On Sunday, when I caught that wave of $12500 on ZEC again, a friend in the adjacent group exclaimed, 'What great luck!' But they didn't see that I had been waiting in a completely flat position for a full 8 trading days before that. A true hunter spends 90% of their time waiting and only 10% actually pulling the trigger.
Why do 90% of traders ultimately lose their positions?
The harsh truth of the crypto market is that the vast majority of people lose not because of a lack of analytical ability, but because they fall victim to their own psychological weaknesses.
Look at these familiar scenes: the exhausted trader staring at the candlestick chart at three in the morning; the 'gambler' who increases their position size in retaliation for consecutive losses; the self-inflated person who feels like a genius with any small profit... I've experienced all of this and paid a real price for it.
Data shows that over 70% of retail investors' losses stem not from insufficient technical analysis skills, but from a lack of respect for market rules and self-restraint mechanisms. This is why I gradually formed my 'Hunter's Rule'; I'd rather miss out than make a mistake before the market gives a clear signal.
The three core principles of my 'Hunter's Rule'.
1. Never enter a trade without a clear signal.
The market will always give you a second chance, but it won't give you a second capital. This is my first iron rule.
What is a clear signal? For me, it can be a breakout with volume at a key level or a valid break of a trend line. For example, the recent PIPPIN, which suddenly broke out with volume after a long period of consolidation, is the clear signal I was waiting for.
One of the most common mistakes made by many beginners is 'obsessive trading', feeling an itch to trade multiple times every day. Data shows that the one-year survival rate of frequent traders is less than 20%, while traders who patiently wait for high-probability opportunities have a three-year survival rate exceeding 70%.
2. A stop-loss is a seatbelt; it must be fastened once you're in.
Before every trade, I must set a stop-loss level. It's like buckling up when driving; it's not for looks, but for survival.
The painful lesson of Bitcoin's 8% crash on October 11, 2025, which led to 1.64 million liquidations, is right in front of us. Among them, 83% of liquidators used over 20x leverage, which is the consequence of not buckling up.
My principle is: the risk of a single trade must never exceed 2% of total capital. Once the price approaches the stop-loss level, decisively withdraw without any emotion. Remember, the market will always have the next opportunity, but capital only has one.
3. Take profits in batches while letting profits run.
Those who can buy are apprentices, but those who can sell are masters. My profit-taking strategy is to do it in batches, rather than liquidating everything at once.
Taking my operations on BEAT as an example: when the price surged towards a previous high with a clear upper shadow, I first closed half of my position to lock in profits, then set a trailing stop for the remaining position to let the trend continue. The result proved that this strategy earned me an additional $56,000.
The volatility of the crypto market is 3-5 times that of traditional markets, which means that 'letting profits run' requires greater courage and stricter discipline.
The ultimate secret to surviving in the crypto market: stay alive.
In a crypto market where trading occurs 24/7 without limits on price fluctuations, survival is always the top priority, and profit is secondary.
I've seen too many genius traders multiply their wealth several times in a bull market, only to lose everything in a black swan event. This also validates the truth: the market remains irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
My survival rule is very simple:
Position management: total position not exceeding 30%, using funds that can withstand losses to speculate.
Mental state management: do not trade when tired to avoid a decline in decision quality.
Continuous learning: the market is evolving, and traders need to upgrade synchronously.
Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
The most fascinating aspect of the crypto market is that it is never short of opportunities. What is lacking is the patience to wait for opportunities and the discipline to execute plans.
When others boast on social media about 'getting rich overnight', you don't need to envy them. Statistics show that 9 out of 10 short-term overnight millionaires eventually lose it all. The true winners are those who can survive through bull and bear markets.
‘Less is more, more leads to confusion.’ This ancient saying is particularly applicable in the crypto market. There are plenty of opportunities in the market; the greedier you are, the easier you are to be misled. Set a goal, take it when reached, and do not be greedy or attached.
Every major market fluctuation is a test of whether you have a trading plan. In this high-volatility market, survival is victory. Follow me.@币圈罗盘 Let's move rationally in this market full of temptations and risks, and be the last one left at the table.
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