Christmas Holiday Global Market Closure/Early Closing Summary! A Must-See for Investors
🎄 The Christmas holiday is approaching, and there are significant adjustments to global financial market trading hours! Whether trading stocks or futures, it is crucial to pay close attention to these changes to avoid missing out or making mistakes! Meanwhile, the holiday market has its unique rules, and understanding them in advance can help better mitigate risks and seize opportunities:
📌 Core Rules and Characteristics of the Holiday Market:
1. Liquidity contraction and amplified volatility: Institutional trading activity declines, trading volume sharply decreases, and even small amounts of capital can lead to significant price fluctuations, especially for short-term contracts where volatility risk is higher;
2. Existence of the “Santa Claus Rally” probability: Historical data shows that during the week following Christmas (the last 5 trading days of the year to the first 2 trading days of the next year), the S&P 500 has a 79% probability of rising, with an average increase of about 1.3%, related to factors such as capital inflow after tax-loss selling and passive allocation of year-end bonuses;
3. Overall volatility tends to slow down, and trends weaken: Before the holiday, capital tends to lean towards defensive allocation, and the market lacks clear directional guidance, often showing a sideways consolidation pattern with weak persistence of one-way trends;
4. Increased sensitivity to data: In an environment of insufficient liquidity, the short-term impact of single macro data on the market can be amplified, easily triggering temporary market movements;
📊 Stock Market Adjustment Focus (Starting December 24):
✅ Hong Kong Stock Market: Closed this afternoon, completely closed on December 25-26 (the next two days);
✅ U.S. Stock Market: Closed early today at 02:00 on December 25 (East 8 Time), closed for one day on December 25 (tomorrow);
✅ European Stock Markets: Germany and Italy closed starting today; France, the UK, and Spain closed early today, and will remain closed on December 25-26;
🛢️ Key Adjustments in the Futures Market (East 8 Time)
