XRP has been stable for most of the last 24 hours and is still down about 16.8% over the last 30 days. The chart still looks weak, but this Christmas 2025, there are three factors trying to turn the tide.
This is not a buy signal. It is rather an opportunity. If buyers act, this could be the beginning of something new.
Momentum and Money Flow want to be part of the Christmas choir
The XRP price has fallen between November 4 and December 24 and made new lower lows. However, the relative strength index (RSI), which measures momentum, has made higher lows during the same period. This is called a positive divergence. It happens when the price falls but momentum slowly increases, which often occurs before a reversal.
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Money flow index (MFI), which shows volume and inflows, also shows a divergence.
Between November 21 and December 18, the price fell but the MFI rose. This indicates buying tendencies during price drops and that money flows back despite price uncertainty. Therefore, the XRP price began to recover after December 18.
Right now, the MFI still has a higher bottom compared to November 21, despite the last decline. Furthermore, it has left the deep oversold zone, indicating that the interest in buying the dip is increasing close to a possible reversal.
Both signals suggest that sellers may lose control. There is no evidence, but they feel like Christmas carols in the background.
Whales are returning like cautious reindeer
Two large investor groups have started buying again, but not much. The second largest group, which holds between 100 million and 1 billion XRP, increased its holdings from 8.11 billion XRP to 8.23 billion XRP as of December 22. At the current price, that's about 150 million USD.
The next group, with 10 million to 100 million XRP, increased from 10.88 billion XRP to 10.9 billion XRP, shortly after December 23. At today's prices, it corresponds to about 50 million USD more.
It's not an aggressive increase like in mid-December. It is cautious, like reindeer testing the snow before they run. But large investors buying at the same time as momentum increases gives hope for a reversal. They also show that the largest players are not leaving the market at these levels.
XRP price levels that can light up the Christmas tree
If the XRP price is to benefit from these signals, buyers must act. The first resistance level is at 1.98 USD. Since December 15, that level has halted all increases. If XRP buyers manage to get past it, the path opens up towards 2.12 USD. Above that, a breakout over 2.23 USD shows that buyers intend to stay.
On the downside, the key support is 1.77 USD. Since October 10, this level has held up as a strong base. A daily close below 1.77 USD shows that buyers are losing control and sellers still dominate.
Right now, XRP is above 1.77 USD, and momentum is slowly strengthening, the money flow remains, and large investors are stepping in again. None of these factors alone makes the market positive. Together, they create an opportunity for the trend to reverse – if the price follows.
If XRP rises above 1.98 USD with strength, the Christmas winds may become noticeably real. But so far, the sleigh has only just begun to move forward – it hasn't lifted off.
