XRP has spent 70 days below its 50-week SMA, aligning with past bullish setups.
Historical patterns show +211% and +70% surges following similar SMA cycles in 2017 and 2021.
Analysts project an 850% upside move, potentially pushing XRP beyond $15 if the trend repeats.
XRP enthusiasts are buzzing over a compelling technical pattern that has reliably predicted bull runs in the past. According to recent analysis shared by crypto trader STEPH IS CRYPTO on X, XRP’s interaction with its 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is flashing bullish signals once again. This metric, which smooths out price data over 50 weeks, has served as a key indicator for the token’s cyclical behavior.
Current Setup Aligns with Past Pre-Breakout Phases
Historically, when XRP dips below this SMA and lingers there for approximately 50 to 84 days, a strong rebound follows. In 2017, after 70 days below the line, XRP surged +211%, catapulting from pennies to over $3. The 2021 cycle saw a shorter 49-day dip leading to a +70% gain amid broader market euphoria. More recently, a 84-day period in 2024 set the stage for what could be the most explosive yet—a projected +850% rally as we head into the new year.
Every cycle, when $XRP breaks below the 50-week SMA and stays there for roughly 50–84 days, a strong rally has followed.
History:
– 2017: 70 days below → +211%
– 2021: 49 days below → +70%
– 2024: 84 days below → +850% – Now: 70 days below the 50-week SMA… pic.twitter.com/aDZ7Lqoaw6
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) December 29, 2025
XRP is trading around $1.85 USD, having spent exactly 70 days below the 50-week SMA. This places it squarely in the “historical window” where downside exhaustion typically gives way to expansion. The chart, sourced from BitStamp, highlights these periods with green bars, showing consistent setups: 10 bars (70 days) in 2017, 7 bars (49 days) in 2021, and 12 bars (84 days) in 2024. If patterns repeat, this could mean XRP eyeing targets north of $15, though market volatility and external factors like regulatory shifts remain wild cards.
Key Caveats: Markets Evolve, Risks Remain
Beyond technicals, XRP’s fundamentals bolster the case. Ripple’s network continues to expand in cross-border payments, with partnerships in Asia and Europe driving adoption. Recent SEC resolutions have cleared regulatory hurdles, allowing institutions to engage more freely. In a Web3 era where tokenized assets and DeFi integrations are booming, XRP’s speed and low fees position it as a utility powerhouse.
However, caution is advised. Crypto markets are influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as interest rates and Bitcoin’s halving cycles. While the SMA pattern has held thrice, past performance isn’t a guarantee. Investors should consider diversified portfolios and risk management. As we step into 2026, this setup could mark XRP’s renaissance. Keep an eye on volume spikes and SMA crossovers—they might just herald the next big move.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
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