๐ Current unlock situation
According to on-chain/token data:
โข Max supply: 100M $RIVER
โข Unlocked: ~47.7M (โ 47.7%)
โข Locked: ~52.3M (โ 52.3%)
โข Circulating supply: still relatively low
โข FDV is much higher than current market cap
๐ This means over half of the total supply is still locked.
Future unlocks = future supply entering the market.
โ ๏ธ What this means professionally
Token unlocks are not automatically bearish โ
but they change market dynamics.
They introduce:
โข Potential sell pressure
โข Liquidity shifts
โข Trend instability
โข Whale re-positioning
As more tokens unlock, price must find new real demand to absorb that supply.
If demand is weak โ price adjusts downward.
If demand is strong โ market can absorb unlocks.
๐ง Professional trader perspective
Professionals donโt only ask:
โIs price bullish?โ
They ask:
โข Who will receive unlocked tokens?
โข Are they builders or sellers?
โข Is volume strong enough to absorb new supply?
โข Where is forced liquidity?
Unlock phases often create:
โ fake breakouts
โ distribution zones
โ volatility spikes
โ liquidity traps
This is when emotional traders get hurt.
๐ฏ Final assessment
$RIVER is entering a supply-sensitive phase.
Price will now depend less on hype
and more on real capital absorption.
This is no longer a simple momentum market.
It is becoming a structure market.
High opportunity.
High risk.
What matters most now is not prediction โ
but reaction to unlock behavior.
๐
Do you think the market can absorb future $RIVER supply,
or will unlocks dominate price?
#RIVER #TokenUnlock #OnChainAnalysis #CryptoRisk #ProfessionalTrading #BinanceSquare #DYOR
