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If you can't control your emotions, you will not be able to get rich ๐ค
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Fed Ended Quantitative Tightening: What It Really Means for Markets (No, Its Not Full-Blown QE)Hey everyone, saw a lot of hype around the Feds recent move, but lets break it down with the actual facts to cut through the noise. On October 29, 2025, the FOMC announced theyd end quantitative tightening (QT) effective December 1, 2025. QT was the Fed letting $60B in Treasuries and $35B in MBS roll off their balance sheet each month to shrink it post-pandemic. Now? Theyre pausing that runoff.Key Details:Reinvestment Mode: Starting Dec 1, the Fed will reinvest principal payments from maturing securities back into the market (mostly short-term Treasuries). This keeps the balance sheet roughly stable around $7 trillionโno active buying to expand it like in QE rounds. Not QE: QE involves outright purchases to pump liquidity (e.g., $80B/month in 2020-21). Here, its just maintenance. No new money printing press cranking out billions. Liquidity Impact: Expect $20-30B/month in reinvestments based on recent runoff paces (actual QT slowed to ~$20B/month by late 2025). Analysts like BofA speculate up to $45B if they buy short-term bills for bank reserves, but thats not officialโits tied to liquidity needs, not a fixed program. Weve seen small repo ops ($13.5B in early Dec) to smooth things, but nothing massive yet. Why It Matters:For Stocks/Crypto: Ending QT eases liquidity drains, which could support risk assets (think 2019-2020 vibes when QT paused). Bitcoins up ~5% since the announcement, but dont call it a moonshot triggerโits more like removing a headwind. Bigger Picture: With rates at 4.25-4.50% and inflation cooling, this sets up for potential cuts in 2026. Watch the Jan 29 FOMC for clues. Sources: Official FOMC statement (federalreserve.gov), Bloomberg/Reuters recaps. If youre trading, DYORโmarkets love narratives, but facts keep you grounded.What do you thinkโbullish pivot or just steady state? Drop your takes below! #WriteToEarnUpgrade
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Weโve pushed through a key resistance level โ now the real test begins. Price must hold above this breakout zone to confirm strength and attempt a full reclaim of 92,000. Failure to maintain this level could trigger a rejection and a pullback toward the 88,000 region. Market Structure Overview Short-term โ Bullish Momentum has shifted upward, supported by improving candle structure and increasing buy volume near intraday support levels. Mid-term โ Bearish The market is still trading below key moving averages on higher timeframes (like the 1D/3D MAs and mid-BB), showing downward pressure remains intact unless we reclaim the 92kโ95k zone. Long-term โ Bullish Macro structure is unchanged. Higher lows on weekly charts and strong on-chain demand zones continue to support long-term accumulation. Strategy Breakdown Long-term bags (investors) Accumulate on dips (DCA). Buy zones remain valid as long as weekly structure stays intact. No need to chase green candles. Mid-term bags (swing traders) DCA out slowly with caution. Use resistance zones (92k โ 95.5k โ 101k) to scale out gradually. Momentum still hasnโt flipped fully bullish on mid-timeframes. Short-term bags (scalpers/day traders) Take profits aggressively. DCA out at resistance zones. If price loses a major support (like 90k or 88k), close positions and re-enter lowerโdonโt hold and hope. Trade what you see, not what you fear. Bless you all. ๐ #WriteToEarnUpgrade
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๐๐ฎ๐ข๐๐๐ฌ, ๐ก๐๐ซ๐โ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐ญ๐ฌ: The Dollar Index (DXY) is rising, which historically puts pressure on crypto. ETH dominance is dropping, showing weakness across altcoins. BTC dominance is struggling, signaling uncertain confidence even in the market leader. Fear & Greed Index is at extreme fear, meaning the market is emotionally oversold. Crypto has seen a โ4.19% net outflow, confirming broad risk-off behavior. ETFs are panic selling, adding more downward pressure. Even though BTC and ETH are seeing strong accumulation based on volume, every inflow is immediately being sold off, which means smart money is buying while weak hands keep exiting. ๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐๐จ? Make it hard for your buy orders to fill as you accumulate blue chips โ place them lower and let price come to you. And make it easy to take profits, because during a downtrend, every relief bounce gives you an opportunity to lock something in. ๐๐โ๐ซ๐ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐ญ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ฉ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐๐ค๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐จ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง ๐ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ โ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ฒ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ญ. #MarketPullback
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๐๐ก๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ง โ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐จ๐ง-๐๐ก๐๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ค๐ฌ.
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๐๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐งโ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐ฐ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ. ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ๐งโ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ ๐๐ญ ๐๐ฑ๐๐ข๐ญ๐๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ซ๐๐๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐๐ข๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ง๐๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐๐ค๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐จ๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐๐ง ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ข๐๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง ๐ฐ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ. ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ฒโ๐ซ๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ โ๐ฐ๐โ๐ซ๐ ๐๐๐๐ค,โ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ก๐๐ง ๐ฐ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ญ๐๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ. ๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ โ ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐๐งโ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ญ๐จ๐ฉ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐จ๐ญ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ฅ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ฒ. #Market_Update
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