Bitcoin (BTC) Market Core Analysis: The 91630 USD Support Becomes a Key Point of Contention
1. Market Snapshot
• Recent Trend: After breaking above 126000 USD in October, the price entered a downward phase, continuously oscillating within the 90,000–100,000 USD range, with particularly intense fluctuations around 91630 USD;
• Current Price Performance: On January 7, 2026 (not yet closed), the quoted price was approximately 91,000 USD, with a daily drop of 3%, retesting the core support level;
• Special Context: From January 1 to 3, political turmoil in Venezuela triggered a surge in global risk-averse sentiment, sparking a short-term exceptional price rally.
2. Core Technical Logic
1. Fibonacci Support Structure
Key levels show a clear tiered support structure, with 91630 USD serving as the critical Fibonacci 0.618 golden ratio point, currently the focal point of bulls versus bears:
• Strong Support: 91630 USD (0.618 level), if held, could mark a key turning point for a rebound;
• Secondary Support: 87347 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 level), corresponding to the lower edge of the previous consolidation range;
Daily Bollinger Bands have formed a clear resistance pattern:
• Middle Band Repeated Resistance: Previous attempts to break above have all failed; a brief breakout on January 2 was quickly reversed, and the middle band is now a potential pivot point between support and resistance;
• Upper Band Resistance Active: The price hit the upper band in the previous two trading sessions, met resistance, and directly triggered the recent technical correction.
3. Indicator Signals
The CCI indicator has entered the overbought zone (even extreme overbought) due to the price rise over the past week, indicating a high probability of a technical correction, and short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
3. Fundamental Drivers
The escalation of political situation in Venezuela has increased demand for global safe-haven assets, serving as the core catalyst for the January rally, making this rebound special rather than purely technical in nature.
4. Conclusion and Actionable Strategy
• Optimistic Scenario: If the 91630 USD (Fibonacci 0.618) support holds, a rebound is highly likely, and attention should be paid to whether the Bollinger Band middle line can be broken;
• Pessimistic Scenario: If support is breached, the price will sequentially test 87347 USD (Fibonacci 0.5) and the daily Bollinger Band middle line, with extreme cases potentially reaching 83064 USD (Fibonacci 0.382);
• Trading Reminder: With CCI in overbought territory and a technical correction confirmed, long positions should be handled with caution, and strict stop-losses are recommended.
It's been a while since I analyzed anything; it's just that I can't sleep at night, so I'm randomly doing some analysis. The key points were all covered in the live stream. This is just a supplementary note, a quick analysis on the fly🧐#币安上线币安人生 $BTC #比特币2026年价格预测 #MSCI暂不排除数字资产财库公司
"The Cryptocurrency Market Suddenly Surges! Where Does the Rebound Come From? Institutional Movements + Macroeconomic Shifts, This Wave of Attack is No Coincidence!" #加密市场反弹 #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性
Title: 《The Truth Behind the Cryptocurrency Market Crash: Federal Reserve's Heavy Hand + ETF Drain + Whales fleeing, this wave of decline is not a coincidence!》
Recently, the entire cryptocurrency market seems to have pressed the 'crash button'. Bitcoin and Ethereum have all dropped sharply, and altcoins have suffered even more. This month’s cumulative decline: BTC: approximately 21% drop ETH: approximately 29% drop Mainstream altcoins: 20%–35% What exactly is dragging the market down? The core reasons are actually three things: --- 1. Macro heavy hand: The Federal Reserve continues to lean hawkish Interest rate cut expectations have been slashed, and the market is starting to worry about 'higher rates for longer'. Risk assets are naturally being hammered, and funds are fleeing to dollar-denominated assets. Crypto is caught in the crossfire. --- 2. ETF drain: Institutions not buying in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have recently seen continuous net outflows. Without incoming funds, the market has no support; once money goes out, the destructive power is immediately amplified. This is the most crucial 'accelerator' for this wave of decline. --- 3. Whales are moving: Large holders transferring coins to exchanges Some large holders are transferring BTC/ETH from cold wallets back to exchanges, which usually signals 'intention to sell'. Coupled with leveraged liquidations in a chain reaction, the market is directly being pressed down. --- Conclusion: Is this a washout or a precursor to a collapse? The current decline is not a single point event, but rather a coalescence of macro + institutional funds + on-chain behavior + leveraged liquidations. The key moving forward is to watch three things: Whether ETFs stop the bleeding Whether large holders continue to transfer coins Whether macro turns dovish If these three improve simultaneously, a rebound will come; if it continues to worsen, the market will have to endure a bit longer.
Cryptocurrency Market Crash Warning! Bitcoin Plummets, Ethereum Can't Hold Up, $540 Million Options Ignite Panic! In the past week, the cryptocurrency market has once again plunged into turmoil. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have fallen sharply, market sentiment has turned negative, and the fear index has soared to a new high in nearly two months. Just when investors thought the "bad news had run its course," a bigger storm is approaching. According to BeInCrypto, this week, over $540 million in BTC and ETH options are set to expire, which could become the "trigger point" for the next round of market volatility. At the same time, ETF funds continue to flow out, with $2.6 billion withdrawn from BTC and ETH funds in the past seven days. Institutional funds are retreating, retail investor sentiment is in panic, and the support for the entire market is precarious. Currently, Bitcoin is hovering in the $101,000–$102,000 range, facing dual pressure from the Federal Reserve's continued hawkish stance and the strong rebound of the dollar, showing significantly insufficient rebound momentum in the short term. Ethereum is also under pressure, with its on-chain activity declining and capital inflows sharply reducing, leading to a cautious market expectation. Analysts point out: "The market has entered a high-leverage liquidation zone, and any slight disturbance could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations." From a technical perspective, if BTC loses the $100,000 level, it may further test $95,000; while if ETH falls below the $2,700 support, it may face a deep adjustment. However, it is worth noting that whenever the cryptocurrency market falls into extreme panic, it often signifies the approach of a short-term bottom. Institutions and whale accounts have begun to buy in on a small scale, and on-chain data shows that some long-term holders are taking advantage of the low prices. The current market is at a "watershed moment": is it the final shuffle before a new bull market, or the prelude to a comprehensive collapse? The next 48 hours will determine everything. $BTC
Explosion! Bitcoin falls below 100,000 USD! US dollar index breaks 100——106825 USD is the line between life and death (short or long?) #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨 #币安合约实盘
October cryptocurrency market fluctuates downward! BTC falls by 4%, ETH drops by 7%, 3 major popular coins plummet by 20%. Will a breakthrough of 100 in the dollar index trigger a new round of collapse? #币安Launchpool上线KITE #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息
The cryptocurrency market has collapsed and risen again! Bitcoin returns to $100,000, institutions are frantically bottom-fishing! Who is really in control?
It mainly revolves around the recent trends of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, discussing the impact of the US dollar index on the market and the analysis of related technical indicators. The host also provides operational suggestions for different cryptocurrencies and answers some viewer questions. 1. Market Analysis The current support range for Bitcoin is between $105,496 and $119,362. If it falls below $106,825 and $105,496, it may decline further. The support level for SOL is $188.75, and the resistance level is $210.43. If it cannot break through $202.65, it is recommended to short on rallies. SUI has entered a bearish market, and if it cannot rebound above $610, it may fall to $1.3 to $1.6. Gold had a maximum single-day drop of over 6.25% on December 1, the largest drop in 12 years. The US dollar index continues to rise, with indices like the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones continuously reaching historical highs. The support level for Ethereum is $3,825, and the resistance level is $4,215. If it cannot break through $4,098, it is recommended to short on rallies. 2. Impact of the US Dollar Index If the US dollar index breaks through 100, the cryptocurrency market may decline further, and holding long positions carries a high risk. #加密市场回调 #市场过度杠杆已被出清 #Strategy增持比特币
The cryptocurrency market is in turmoil! BTC has fallen below 110,000, ETH has dropped below 4,000, with an average decline of over 6%. The fear index has broken 20.8, and DXY is at 99.2 but still needs to drop! #加密市场回调 #BNB创新高 #鲍威尔发言 $BTC
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