✅ What’s new: The Fusaka upgrade and network strength
On December 3, 2025, Ethereum implemented the Fusaka upgrade — its second major upgrade this year. The update brings important improvements, including a feature called PeerDAS, which improves data-availability, and new blob-handling optimizations that can increase data throughput for Layer-2 rollups by up to 8×.
The block gas limit has been raised significantly (from 30M to potentially 150M in some proposals), giving Ethereum much more capacity per block. This means more transactions can be processed per block, which helps ease congestion.
As a result, Ethereum’s scalability has improved: the network recently hit a new milestone of ≈ 24,192 TPS (transactions per second, measured over a 7-day average) — a reflection of scaling gains from recent upgrades and increased Layer-2 usage.
📈 Market & Price Outlook (Short-Term & Beyond)
After a recent dip earlier in December, ETH has rebounded and is consolidating around $3,030–$3,050, supported by post-upgrade optimism and tightening supply.
Technical analysts highlight that a break above $3,206 (200-day moving average) could open targets between $3,360–$3,566 in the short term.
On the bullish side, some projections — buoyed by improved fundamentals and growing institutional interest — suggest ETH could aim for $4,500+ if momentum continues.
⚠️ Risks & What to Watch
Despite the upgrades, volatility remains. External factors — macroeconomic conditions, interest-rate moves, and crypto-wide sentiment — can still swing price quickly.
Some analysts caution that supply dynamics (staking exits, exchange flows) and overall market liquidity may keep price swings sharp.
As much as upgrades improve the network, the real test will be adoption — more Layer-2 rollups integrating upgrades, more use of ETH for real-world-asset settlement, DeFi, and institutional flows.
🧭 Long-Term: Why Many Still Believe in Ethereum
The Fusaka upgrade (and 2025’s earlier upgrades) reinforce Ethereum’s technical foundation — enhancing scalability, lowering transaction fees, and making it more suitable for mass adoption (DeFi, tokenized assets, enterprise use).
Reduced circulating supply — thanks to staking and lower exchange supply — alongside growing interest from institutions and developers, support a bullish long-term narrative.
Some long-term forecasts, assuming favorable conditions (adoption, macro backdrop, regulatory clarity), envision ETH reaching new highs well above current levels.
---$ETH If you like — I can prepare 3 scenarios for ETH Price at the end of 2026 (conservative / base / bullish), with probabilities.$ETH
After peaking near $126,000 in October 2025, BTC has seen a broad pullback — reflecting elevated volatility and risk-off sentiment across markets.
Market participants are closely watching macro factors: rising demand interest returns if monetary conditions ease, but uncertainty lingers.
🔎 What’s Supporting — and What’s Pressuring — BTC for Now
✅ Bullish / supportive factors
A rising “liveliness” metric suggests that underlying demand might be re-emerging — meaning holders are moving coins, possibly indicating renewed interest.
Some technical-analysis models project a rebound toward $105,000–$108,000 by year-end, assuming BTC can hold current levels and investor sentiment improves.
If macroeconomic conditions ease — e.g. lower interest rates or renewed liquidity — cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could regain attractiveness relative to traditional assets.
⚠️ Risks and headwinds
On-chain data suggests increasing supply in loss (i.e. many holders are underwater), meaning fallout if sentiment worsens.
Broader risk-off — including weakness in equities and global markets — has weighed on crypto, hurting demand and triggering outflows from related investment products.
The recent sharp drop eroded much of October’s gains — making many investors cautious, which can dampen momentum for a while.
🔮 What Could Happen Next — Scenarios
Upside scenario: If BTC stabilizes and technical signals remain positive — combined with renewed institutional or retail demand — it could climb back toward $105,000–$110,000 by late 2025 or early 2026.
Downside / consolidation scenario: If broader markets stay risk-off or on-chain pressure persists, BTC may hover in the $85,000–$90,000 range (or dip toward lower support zones) before a clearer trend emerges.
Volatile bounce / trading range: Given current conditions, expect strong volatility — frequent swings up or down — which could offer trading opportunities but also elevated risk for investors.$BTC $BTC #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceHODLerTURTLE $
After peaking near $126,000 in October 2025, BTC has seen a broad pullback — reflecting elevated volatility and risk-off sentiment across markets.
Market participants are closely watching macro factors: rising demand interest returns if monetary conditions ease, but uncertainty lingers.
🔎 What’s Supporting — and What’s Pressuring — BTC for Now
✅ Bullish / supportive factors
A rising “liveliness” metric suggests that underlying demand might be re-emerging — meaning holders are moving coins, possibly indicating renewed interest.
Some technical-analysis models project a rebound toward $105,000–$108,000 by year-end, assuming BTC can hold current levels and investor sentiment improves.
If macroeconomic conditions ease — e.g. lower interest rates or renewed liquidity — cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could regain attractiveness relative to traditional assets.
⚠️ Risks and headwinds
On-chain data suggests increasing supply in loss (i.e. many holders are underwater), meaning fallout if sentiment worsens.
Broader risk-off — including weakness in equities and global markets — has weighed on crypto, hurting demand and triggering outflows from related investment products.
The recent sharp drop eroded much of October’s gains — making many investors cautious, which can dampen momentum for a while.
🔮 What Could Happen Next — Scenarios
Upside scenario: If BTC stabilizes and technical signals remain positive — combined with renewed institutional or retail demand — it could climb back toward $105,000–$110,000 by late 2025 or early 2026.
Downside / consolidation scenario: If broader markets stay risk-off or on-chain pressure persists, BTC may hover in the $85,000–$90,000 range (or dip toward lower support zones) before a clearer trend emerges.