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Pai Diná Das Criptos
1.1k Posts

Pai Diná Das Criptos

Eu analiso o mercado como ninguém, vocês vão ter que engolir kkk. Since 2021
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BTC Holder
BTC Holder
Frequent Trader
5.1 Years
2 Following
31.8K+ Followers
12K Liked
Posts
Portfolio
PINNED
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Bearish
In three months we will form the fund and finally we will ride a new bullish cycle. See the red line of the possible fractal that we will make in 2026!
In three months we will form the fund and finally we will ride a new bullish cycle. See the red line of the possible fractal that we will make in 2026!
PINNED
2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣6️⃣ Crypto Strategy The year 2025 is coming to an end, it was one of the worst years for the crypto market defying all expectations of extreme greed, so we will follow the following strategy. 🔴FIRST SEMESTER: 📈Trades: we have been making purchases during this downturn and will carry out trades during the upswings until June (after that, it will depend on the tax rules). 📉 Investments (long-term): Since we are likely to start the year with more declines and a bear market, we will focus on accumulating stronger cryptocurrencies from the top 25. The other altcoins we will keep what we have already purchased, but at most 25% of the portfolio. 🟢SECOND SEMESTER: Depending on the new tax rules, we will suspend short-term trades and only maintain holds (long-term investments). Futures have been impractical to operate for several years, for those who like to stay within the law, so our strategy will be to focus only on purchases in the second semester of 2026 onwards, until there is a change in laws or realization of significant future profits, whether in Brazil or in other more attractive countries. Thus, there is enough time to take that English/other language course and focus on saving unnecessary expenses to prioritize purchases. Eliminating debts and fixed bills will also be my goal to accumulate more Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, AvAx, Tron, Link, Sui, CRO, LTC, Near, as examples, but obviously, we will re-study these and other projects over the following months.
2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣6️⃣ Crypto Strategy

The year 2025 is coming to an end, it was one of the worst years for the crypto market defying all expectations of extreme greed, so we will follow the following strategy.

🔴FIRST SEMESTER:
📈Trades: we have been making purchases during this downturn and will carry out trades during the upswings until June (after that, it will depend on the tax rules).

📉 Investments (long-term): Since we are likely to start the year with more declines and a bear market, we will focus on accumulating stronger cryptocurrencies from the top 25. The other altcoins we will keep what we have already purchased, but at most 25% of the portfolio.

🟢SECOND SEMESTER:
Depending on the new tax rules, we will suspend short-term trades and only maintain holds (long-term investments).

Futures have been impractical to operate for several years, for those who like to stay within the law, so our strategy will be to focus only on purchases in the second semester of 2026 onwards, until there is a change in laws or realization of significant future profits, whether in Brazil or in other more attractive countries.

Thus, there is enough time to take that English/other language course and focus on saving unnecessary expenses to prioritize purchases. Eliminating debts and fixed bills will also be my goal to accumulate more Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, AvAx, Tron, Link, Sui, CRO, LTC, Near, as examples, but obviously, we will re-study these and other projects over the following months.
Panic coming.. this dad here is really something
Panic coming.. this dad here is really something
Article
IS PANIC THE NEXT MOVE?According to market cycle psychology, after the Denial phase comes Panic. 📉 Bad news. 📉 Investors are selling at a loss. 📉 Fear is dominating social media. It's the moment when many throw in the towel amid market chaos. "I can't take losing money anymore." "Bitcoin is done." "I'm going to sell everything." Historically, it's right in this zone that big investors start to accumulate while the majority bail on the market. According to market cycle psychology, we're heading into panic in the next 3 months:

IS PANIC THE NEXT MOVE?

According to market cycle psychology, after the Denial phase comes Panic.
📉 Bad news.
📉 Investors are selling at a loss.
📉 Fear is dominating social media.
It's the moment when many throw in the towel amid market chaos.
"I can't take losing money anymore."
"Bitcoin is done."
"I'm going to sell everything."
Historically, it's right in this zone that big investors start to accumulate while the majority bail on the market.
According to market cycle psychology, we're heading into panic in the next 3 months:
Article
Bitcoin, Market Psychology, and the Risk of Panic, Capitulation, and Depression in 2026The image of the Psychology of a Market Cycle, popularized by Bitcoin investors, speaks for itself. It shows something that has repeated many times since 2009: markets go through predictable emotional phases. We're close to Panic, Capitulation, and Depression! 👉The Market Psychology that never fails Many traders believe that the historical cycle might not repeat this time. After years of discussion about ETFs, institutional adoption, corporate buys, and programmed scarcity, the narrative has grown that Bitcoin has matured and left behind the traditional bull and bear cycles.

Bitcoin, Market Psychology, and the Risk of Panic, Capitulation, and Depression in 2026

The image of the Psychology of a Market Cycle, popularized by Bitcoin investors, speaks for itself. It shows something that has repeated many times since 2009: markets go through predictable emotional phases.
We're close to Panic, Capitulation, and Depression!
👉The Market Psychology that never fails
Many traders believe that the historical cycle might not repeat this time.
After years of discussion about ETFs, institutional adoption, corporate buys, and programmed scarcity, the narrative has grown that Bitcoin has matured and left behind the traditional bull and bear cycles.
Article
WHAT IF BITCOIN HAS THE WORST CYCLE IN HISTORY?Even in the most conservative scenario of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, BTC could reach around $555,000 by the end of 2032. 📈 This represents an appreciation of over 8x compared to current prices. 💡 What's interesting is that this scenario doesn't assume extreme euphoria, explosive adoption, or speculative bubbles. It only considers the continuation of Bitcoin's long-term historical trend. Even in a scenario of high interest rates, persistent inflation in the US and globally, along with negative news for financial markets, the lower range of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart suggests a gradual appreciation trajectory until 2032.

WHAT IF BITCOIN HAS THE WORST CYCLE IN HISTORY?

Even in the most conservative scenario of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, BTC could reach around $555,000 by the end of 2032.
📈 This represents an appreciation of over 8x compared to current prices.
💡 What's interesting is that this scenario doesn't assume extreme euphoria, explosive adoption, or speculative bubbles. It only considers the continuation of Bitcoin's long-term historical trend.
Even in a scenario of high interest rates, persistent inflation in the US and globally, along with negative news for financial markets, the lower range of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart suggests a gradual appreciation trajectory until 2032.
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Bullish
When I graduated, they renovated the school and even installed air conditioning in the classrooms; they even pay to study now, and no one fails anymore... I paid 4 grand to get my driver's license, and now it's only 500, what a sweet discount! I became a public servant, but now we’re not richer anymore since we’re saving public funds, supporting the less fortunate with progressive taxes, and still helping out with the heavy lifting for the wealthy, all while getting criticized. My next move to help humanity will be to sell off the altcoins and Bitcoin, just like I did back in 2022; who knows, maybe they'll pump again now... I think the problem is me, maybe I’m the Thruman.
When I graduated, they renovated the school and even installed air conditioning in the classrooms; they even pay to study now, and no one fails anymore...

I paid 4 grand to get my driver's license, and now it's only 500, what a sweet discount!

I became a public servant, but now we’re not richer anymore since we’re saving public funds, supporting the less fortunate with progressive taxes, and still helping out with the heavy lifting for the wealthy, all while getting criticized.

My next move to help humanity will be to sell off the altcoins and Bitcoin, just like I did back in 2022; who knows, maybe they'll pump again now... I think the problem is me, maybe I’m the Thruman.
- LULE: "Buddy Elon, you're the first trillionaire in history and you still haven't solved world hunger?" - ELON: "Me? But I launch rockets... Your government that's been raking in trillions in taxes for years promised to end hunger in Brazil! And you've already been in office for four terms... Why haven't you sent hunger to the moon yet?" - LULE: "If it's too pricey, then just don't buy it."
- LULE: "Buddy Elon, you're the first trillionaire in history and you still haven't solved world hunger?"

- ELON: "Me? But I launch rockets... Your government that's been raking in trillions in taxes for years promised to end hunger in Brazil! And you've already been in office for four terms... Why haven't you sent hunger to the moon yet?"

- LULE: "If it's too pricey, then just don't buy it."
thank goodness I didn't dump at that bottom lol I was really tempted to move to fixed income haha.
thank goodness I didn't dump at that bottom lol I was really tempted to move to fixed income haha.
📈🚀🌙 Spacex 💲320 could moon to 320 bucks if it breaks that resistance https://youtube.com/shorts/Guiso3P8byQ
📈🚀🌙 Spacex 💲320 could moon to 320 bucks if it breaks that resistance

https://youtube.com/shorts/Guiso3P8byQ
#SPCX it's more natural for the price to drop to the Fibbo zone at $150, then catch the bull run up to the bear resistance at $172 to $176. If the price stays above that resistance, it's infinite gains.
#SPCX it's more natural for the price to drop to the Fibbo zone at $150, then catch the bull run up to the bear resistance at $172 to $176. If the price stays above that resistance, it's infinite gains.
https://youtu.be/VJ0CTWOzRnE - Is it time to go ALL IN on Bitcoin? My indicators are showing that it is! 😍
https://youtu.be/VJ0CTWOzRnE - Is it time to go ALL IN on Bitcoin? My indicators are showing that it is! 😍
The world is about to miss the most impressive rocket in the crypto market! There's never been so many billions in liquidity to be captured above. We've never seen such extreme fear for this long. I'm 100% long. I'm going to take my tenth and buy US stocks focused on crypto in search of better asymmetry. In a few years, I'll be back to show the exorbitant profit. 😀😂😍💥✨🎉🚀⭐💰💵
The world is about to miss the most impressive rocket in the crypto market! There's never been so many billions in liquidity to be captured above. We've never seen such extreme fear for this long. I'm 100% long. I'm going to take my tenth and buy US stocks focused on crypto in search of better asymmetry. In a few years, I'll be back to show the exorbitant profit. 😀😂😍💥✨🎉🚀⭐💰💵
Have patience and resilience. The next rally will make a difference if the secular uptrend continues.
Have patience and resilience. The next rally will make a difference if the secular uptrend continues.
BTC has pretty much returned to the same price range as March 2024 — when Bitcoin was close to $72k at the top of the MVRV Score in that local cycle. The difference is that back then, the MVRV was around ~2.77, at its peak! Today, the market is revisiting similar price regions with a considerably lower MVRV, just coming out of the bottom of the indicator! This matters because the MVRV measures the level of unrealized profit in the market. In March 24, the market looked much more stretched: a large portion of holders was sitting on high profits, the euphoria was greater, and the risk of profit-taking was also higher, and we always warned about those risks! So far, the behavior seems more like a structural consolidation at high levels rather than a classic blow-off top. This is typical of the maturation phase of the cycle. 👉 The market seems to be stabilizing at high prices; we will likely remain more sideways, possibly capturing high liquidity this year, which would be ideal for my outlook for the next semester! Instead of being in a final explosive euphoria before a top. However, we might see moments of euphoria in June or October due to the FED's economic calendar and presidential elections.
BTC has pretty much returned to the same price range as March 2024 — when Bitcoin was close to $72k at the top of the MVRV Score in that local cycle.

The difference is that back then, the MVRV was around ~2.77, at its peak!
Today, the market is revisiting similar price regions with a considerably lower MVRV, just coming out of the bottom of the indicator!

This matters because the MVRV measures the level of unrealized profit in the market. In March 24, the market looked much more stretched:
a large portion of holders was sitting on high profits, the euphoria was greater, and the risk of profit-taking was also higher, and we always warned about those risks!

So far, the behavior seems more like a structural consolidation at high levels rather than a classic blow-off top. This is typical of the maturation phase of the cycle.

👉 The market seems to be stabilizing at high prices; we will likely remain more sideways, possibly capturing high liquidity this year, which would be ideal for my outlook for the next semester! Instead of being in a final explosive euphoria before a top.

However, we might see moments of euphoria in June or October due to the FED's economic calendar and presidential elections.
Something that not many folks get: 📌 your portfolio doesn’t just grow from profits. It grows A LOT from: a) discipline b) emotional control c) consistent contributions. Make a donation and hop into my telegram. Oh, but I can't donate, still come through.
Something that not many folks get:

📌 your portfolio doesn’t just grow from profits.

It grows A LOT from:
a) discipline
b) emotional control
c) consistent contributions.

Make a donation and hop into my telegram.
Oh, but I can't donate, still come through.
The other day, I had a dream that I was buying crypto! But that's not all I've got to say! I've never seen the BTC withdrawal fee this low in my life. I've never seen the SP500 at an all-time high while BTC is in fear and the MVRV indicator at 2/10! A lot of folks are shorting BTC. We're talking about 5 billion dollars down to 95k! Get ready for a violent pump; you can take that to the bank, it won’t take long and it’s not going away anytime soon, it seems! Clarity Act approved and retail is dead and sidelined from BTC and altcoins; it looks like these guys really know their stuff, nothing here is by chance!
The other day, I had a dream that I was buying crypto! But that's not all I've got to say!

I've never seen the BTC withdrawal fee this low in my life.

I've never seen the SP500 at an all-time high while BTC is in fear and the MVRV indicator at 2/10!

A lot of folks are shorting BTC. We're talking about 5 billion dollars down to 95k!

Get ready for a violent pump; you can take that to the bank, it won’t take long and it’s not going away anytime soon, it seems!

Clarity Act approved and retail is dead and sidelined from BTC and altcoins; it looks like these guys really know their stuff, nothing here is by chance!
$BTC has everything it needs to keep climbing healthily in the coming weeks and months. The billion-dollar liquidity in shorts will generate some good news very soon for our market.
$BTC has everything it needs to keep climbing healthily in the coming weeks and months. The billion-dollar liquidity in shorts will generate some good news very soon for our market.
The LSR of the SP500 has finally reached a bottom below the liberation day, the time of Donald Dump's tariffs. We may have good rises for some months or weeks.
The LSR of the SP500 has finally reached a bottom below the liberation day, the time of Donald Dump's tariffs.

We may have good rises for some months or weeks.
And there are still idiots holding risky assets with a focus of 100% of the portfolio, having just sold the house because they think that the higher the risk, the greater the return. Talk about being broke if they crash in 2026.
And there are still idiots holding risky assets with a focus of 100% of the portfolio, having just sold the house because they think that the higher the risk, the greater the return.
Talk about being broke if they crash in 2026.
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