Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates around $105,062 today, with resistance near $106,500 – $107,000.
Technical Analysis: Resistance is between $106,600 and $107,000, according to a market update, with support near $104,000 (analysis). Macroeconomic Context: Hopes for the end of the U.S. shutdown have boosted risk assets and investor sentiment earlier in the session (market summary). Flows: A strategy added 487 BTC (approximately $49.9 million), reflecting ongoing institutional accumulation.
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💎 My analysis of the Meeting between the USA President and his Counterpart (Summit in South Korea) The meeting, held on the sidelines of the summit in South Korea, produced ambiguous results that immediately triggered extreme volatility in the crypto market. The Results a "Bullish" dominance The agreement, although provisional and short-lived (one year), has been a major positive risk catalyst for the markets: • Immediate Trade Relaxation: The reduction of tariffs by 10% on a portion of Chinese goods. This decreases global economic uncertainty and makes risky assets, such as Bitcoin, more attractive.
Major crypto events that could most impact the market: 1. Fed decision on rates 98% chance of a 0.25% cut; immediate impact on liquidity. 2. Ethereum Fusaka upgrade. This could lead to an increase in scalability via PeerDAS and a reduction in L2 fees. 3. XRP ETF deadlines and SEC decisions on 7 XRP ETFs as well as approval could validate altcoins. 4. Acceleration of MiCA in Spain and early compliance from the EU could trigger market consolidation.
🚨 LAST MINUTE BlackRock would be massively selling Bitcoin before the Fed meeting.
They would have already sold 17,400 BTC (approximately 2 billion dollars) — and continue to sell every few hours.
Markets are watching closely: what is happening behind the scenes? 👀
📊 Information analysis
1. Massive sale = bearish pressure • A sale of 17,400 BTC* is a strong signal. This represents a huge amount that could quickly lower prices if not absorbed by demand. • This may scare small investors, triggering additional sales (domino effect).
2. Why before the Fed meeting? • The Fed (FOMC) influences interest rates. If a negative announcement (rate hike or a hard tone) is expected, BlackRock could anticipate a decline in risky assets like Bitcoin. • This shows a defensive strategy aimed at reducing exposure to macroeconomic risk.
3. Possible consequences • Temporary drop in Bitcoin price. • Increase in volatility. • Markets could overreact if other institutions imitate BlackRock.
After a sharp upward move, $DOGE is now showing early signs of exhaustion near the $0.203–$0.204 resistance zone. The candles are beginning to shrink with weaker buying volume, indicating that momentum is fading and a minor pullback could develop.
Risk Management: Limit exposure to 3–5% per trade. If price rebounds above $0.204, exit early as bullish continuation could resume. #Doge #CPIWatch
After an almost perfect correction of 61.8 to 0.92, buyers (bulls) have gradually regained control since this sharp price drop, and have now *reversed the trend in their favor.
Here is my analysis of the ASTER situation
🔍 1. Correction and technical rebound The drop from 2.40 to 0.92 represents a correction of 61.8 The market reacted positively, indicating a strong technical rebound.
📈 2. Return of buyer confidence - The "bulls" are gradually regaining control after the panic. - The fact that the price holds around 0.92 and rebounds shows strong defense at this level by buyers.
🧠 3. Interpretation of signals - This reversal may mark a change in trend if volume and momentum continue to support the rise. - However, the psychological resistance around 1.50 to 2.00 could pose a challenge.
🌐 4. General context - $ASTER could benefit more if the altcoin season sets in and Bitcoin remains stable or rises, - But in the event of a global pullback, this rebound could be just a "bull trap".
✅ It is a positive signal in the short term, but caution remains advisable. A sustainable bullish confirmation will come with solid volumes and the overcoming of key technical levels.
Chainlink discreetly proves why patience pays off.
After months of stagnation, $LINK has just crossed key levels with whales (big investors) buying for millions. Regular accumulation and buybacks by the protocol show increasing confidence, not just simple hype.
Do you think the current setup of LINK reflects its breakout pattern from 2021, or is it a bull trap?
My quick analysis
📈Bullish signal: Massive buying by whales indicates renewed interest.
Market confidence: Token buybacks show a willingness to support the price.
Risk: A false breakout (bull trap) is possible if volume or fundamentals do not follow.
Watch closely if the movement is accompanied by volume and continuity, it could mark the beginning of a sustainable bullish trend.
🇷🇺 The Russian Central Bank adopts Crypto in foreign trade.
📣Finance Minister Anton Siluanov announced that the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank agreed to legalize the use of cryptocurrencies in foreign trade and introduce relevant legislation. Regulators will strengthen oversight during the implementation of the framework. 🔍Here is my analysis of the impact of the legalization of cryptocurrencies in foreign trade by Russia 📌 Context In the face of international sanctions and the isolation of the traditional financial system (SWIFT, USD), Russia is seeking alternatives to secure its international trade.
"Crypto czar", a former official of the Trump administration, claims that upcoming regulations in the United States could trigger a Bitcoin boom.
My analysis of the impact on cryptocurrencies
✅ Potential positive effects • Regulatory clarity: well-defined rules reassure institutional investors (banks, funds, etc.), who could massively enter the market. • Accelerated adoption: companies would be more inclined to integrate cryptocurrencies if the legal framework is clear and stable. • Legitimization of the sector: federal support or oversight enhances the credibility of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, as a serious asset.
⚠️ Risk to watch If regulation is too strict (e.g., restrictions on wallets or DeFi), it could stifle innovation or drive crypto projects to other countries.
🇷🇺 The Central Bank of Russia will study Bitcoin as a possible "safe haven" against the devaluation of fiat currencies.
My Analysis
🔥Context Russia is facing significant economic pressure (sanctions, inflation, weakening of the ruble). The idea that the central bank considers *Bitcoin* as a *hedging asset* is a strategic turning point.
📌Why it’s important Central banks have historically been wary of cryptos. If a power like Russia views them as protection against the loss of value of traditional currencies, it could : 1- Further legitimize Bitcoin on a global scale. 2- Influence other countries, particularly those facing inflation. 3- Create a new geopolitical dynamic around digital assets.
🪙The Fed in silent transition: the market anticipates a loosening before 2026
📉The market anticipates "a monetary pivot" from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), even if Jerome Powell does not officially admit it. The rate cut of 25 basis points in September and the more dovish speeches from the governors indicate a beginning of loosening. Some members of the Fed are already calling for stronger cuts.
Why this change? - The labor market is slowing down. - Inflation is decreasing but remains high. - Long-term rates remain high despite monetary tightening. - Electoral pressure for 2026 is starting to weigh.
🤔Powell's dilemma: - Lowering too quickly = return of inflation. - Too slowly = damage to employment.
The Fed Chairman, Powell, stated that the quantitative tightening (QT) program initiated since 2022 may end soon.
This fuels hopes for monetary easing. The Fed's program to reduce liquidity from 9 trillion dollars to 6.6 trillion would be coming to an end in the coming months.
This tone acts as a bullish catalyst for the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin (BTC) has regained key levels, and Ethereum (ETH) as well as other altcoins have recorded increases (+10% for ETH)
This is a signal of a major shift in liquidity in the market. 💰 This means there will be a potential increase in global liquidity. This could create a bullish movement in the market.
Analysis of the potential correction of Bitcoin #BTC: key factors and Support Level
Analysis and Scenarios of Bitcoin Correction #BTC To what level could the price of Bitcoin fall? 👇Here is my analysis based on market structure, key support levels, and several determining factors. The intentions of big buyers, the "Whales"; if the whales aim for quick profit (forced capitulation) or a long-term reversal. Their actions strongly impact and cause unexpected volatility. High leverage from traders can trigger liquidation cascades, accelerating the price drop.
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