Faiza Syed

Everyone’s calling me crazy for planning to offload most of my crypto before late October. But history, metrics, and market cycles suggest otherwise. Before you drop a “DUMB” in the comments – let me walk you through the reasoning.
Short-Term Still Bullish – But Tops Don’t Last Forever
$BTC Already 2x off cycle lows this year, fueled by institutional demand and strong momentum.$ETH Holding above $4,200, setting up for one final push toward $5,800–$6,000 in the coming weeks.Historically, mid-cycle extensions like this deliver 3x rallies off the lows before stalling out.The structure is clean, but tops always end the same way – fast and violent once momentum cracks.
The Altseason Clock is Ticking
past cycles (2017, 2021) followed the same path:
BTC → ETH → Big Caps → Small Caps → Blow-off.Right now ETH is in the driver’s seat, liquidity is maxed, and sentiment is overheated.Once $ETH peaks, money flows briefly into alts before the final speculative surge collapses.
This is where retail usually FOMOs in – and whales quietly exit.
Correction Scenarios After October
History shows the retraces are brutal:
BTC could slip back to $55K$ETH toward $1,400$SOL around $75Not doom – just a normal post-peak correction. But if you don’t exit into strength, you end up selling into panic.
Metrics Flashing Warning
NUPL > 0.75 → Holders sitting on big unrealized gains (classic top signal).SOPR < 1 → Coins getting sold at a loss as hype fades.MVRV overheated → Market value stretched way beyond cost basis – usually unsustainable.Altseason Index > 65 → Last euphoric run before everything unwinds.
These aren’t doom signals – they’re history repeating itself.
My Exit Strategy (Scaling Out Smartly)
Step 1: Offload high-risk alts first (memecoins, low-liquidity plays).Step 2: Rotate out of big caps (SOL, AVAX, MATIC) as they peak.Step 3: Finally, unwind Eth and BTC into stables + yield setups before mid-October.
No chasing the “perfect” top – just locking in gains gradually.
Why Timing Matters Now
A September rate cut could give crypto one more liquidity boost.Expect wild swings, but weeks not months of upside.Exiting in strength = life-changing profits secured.Waiting for “just a little more” = risk of giving it all back.
Remember: 20x gains in hand > gambling for 22x
Final Thoughts
Cycle tops always feel like euphoria – ATH headlines, record volumes, everyone screaming “up only.” That’s exactly when sharp players rotate out quietly.
I’m not here to call doom. I’m here to say: have a plan before October.
Because when the music stops, there won’t be many chairs left.
So… what’s your move? 🧐