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#BTC

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Basically, after a whole year, the profit is not as high as the fee. 。 。 。

If the transaction volume is large and the contracts are frequent, you can save a SU7 in a year.

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Invitation code: AOIZIDIT

#BNB金鏟子 #BTC走势预测 #ETH大涨

$BTC

The whole market remains calm, do not get overexcited.
To be honest, BTC's trend is a bit weak. From the overall KC channel and the long-term weekly and daily trends, there are three possible scenarios:
1. In the long term:
The first scenario is that it can't break 94,000, leading to a weak rebound, followed by a direct reorganization of the C wave. The probability of this is relatively high.
The second scenario, which has a slightly lower probability, is a direct pullback to 0.618 (around 102,000).
The third scenario, which has the lowest probability, is a direct postponement of the bull market.
The ratio is roughly 5.5:3.5:1.
2. In the short term:
✔ RSI divergence rebound appears
✔ KC lower band quickly rebounds
✔ The angle of moving averages is still downward → the nature of the rebound is a "corrective rebound"
The most likely trends in the next two weeks:
The first scenario continues to rebound to 94,000 (strong resistance) → then falls back for consolidation.
The second scenario is a strong breakout → pushing towards 98,000–112,000.
But it must: increase in volume, RSI stabilizing above 50, 4-hour MA50 must be crossed.
The third scenario is an early end to the rebound → falling back to 86,000–88,000.
The ratio is roughly 6:3:1.

But regardless of the trend, we must follow the market. Technical indicators can only solve 70% of the problems; the remaining 30% cannot be solved by technology.

$BTC

Simply put, let's talk about the current BTC trend. From the daily price perspective, the overall eight-wave pattern has basically ended, indicating a short-term need for consolidation. However, from the weekly level, the possibility of a B-wave rebound is greater. Since 126, there has been a deep drop, basically exceeding the Fibonacci 0.618 level. Generally speaking, considering the news, going to around 98000 is quite probable. The rebound is at 0.318, but in terms of timing, it might be a bit rushed. Let's first observe the trend.

$BTC

Brothers, I Hu Huan San have returned.

$BTC $ETH
It's been a long time since I've analyzed and summarized the market; writing articles and analyses has been inconsistent. Today, I'll briefly discuss it.

This bull market belongs to BTC and is also a bull market for memes, although there is a lack of a general altcoin season. BTC started rising in 2022, reaching its first peak in March 2024 and the second peak in January 2025. The trend is actually similar to March 2021 and December 2021, but the timing of the relative peaks has been delayed by one month. Altcoins are expected to reach their first peak in March 2024 and the second peak in December 2024. BTC rising to 109,000 is already impressive, and altcoins multiplying many times over is also impressive, but it is somewhat different from previous bull markets.

The favorable conditions since Trump took office, MicroStrategy's purchases, BlackRock's continuous accumulation, and interest rate cuts all point to a continuous influx of good news in the second half of 2024. The increasing inflow of funds has led to a rise in trading volume and capital inflow. Now, looking at BTC's trading volume, it's getting smaller and liquidity is decreasing. MicroStrategy's purchases are becoming less frequent. The U.S. stock market continues to print money and rise, and if the crypto market also had continuous money printing, it could also rise continuously, but this scenario is quite unlikely. Institutional holdings may not sell for six months to a year; will they be able to hold that long? Without trading and liquid assets, everything is worthless. Investments definitely need returns, and returns need to be converted into dollars. There are no waves that only rise without falling; they all have ups and downs. The bull market has ended, but the volatility has not.

Returning to the charts, BTC is currently the largest altcoin, with daily fluctuations of several thousand to tens of thousands of points, yet trading volume remains very low. Comparing the trading volume before January to now shows a clear trend: BTC's liquidity is getting worse. Currently, platform coins are rising rapidly, while retail investors are being harvested repeatedly. Funding is not infinite, and the increase in new users is also slowing down. The amount of capital being harvested is decreasing. In this larger trend, one can ignore the news and focus on trend trading, capturing tens of thousands of points of volatility, rather than being overly concerned about fluctuations of a few thousand points. BTC is currently following a rebound trend; it's good to keep an eye on the lower range around 9 or 9.2. Building positions around 88 is not a problem, as most can see the 7 range. Opening 30 trades in a month is not as effective as opening once a month to grasp the trend.

$BTC

I don't know if the cow exists, I only know that the eight waves have ended. I also only know that we are currently fluctuating between the middle and lower tracks. Sometimes I remember to share, sometimes I don't, but I have been keeping up with my trades. There are too many people following the crowd; I prefer to quietly focus on my own trades and have fewer thoughts.

The private domain copy trading experiment is basically coming to an end, and there has been a large retracement in the middle. Overall, long-term investment can generate returns, but to obtain large returns basically requires a big market, and the stop loss space in a big market needs to be very large.

$BTC

The daily eight-wave pattern has ended, and the weekly price has a pullback to 73. Currently, the short-term resistance is at the mid-track of 94. If it breaks through, there will be more space; if it doesn't break through, just wash and sleep.

$BTC

There's no point in saying much; the 2/3 warehouse starting with 8 has never changed, and the stop-loss has always been set. Even though it has fallen a lot, I haven’t mentioned a bear market. There are too many factors involved in trading, but as long as you don't exit the market, you will profit.

$BTC

Isn't it true that many people are shouting that the bull has arrived and the bear has left? When you see this, just directly blacklist and block it all. It is unpredictable when major news will cause a sell-off, but an understanding of technical indicators must be clear. A sell-off does not necessarily mean a bear market, and a rally does not necessarily mean a bull market. Manage your positions well, don't take on too much risk, and problems won't be too significant.

$BTC

If it drops, the cow is gone; if it rises, the cow is still here. If your skills are insufficient, don't force it. The technical indicator shows a C-wave correction, and the expectation is 873. I really didn't expect it to drop directly to the 82 range, but the counterfeit is basically close to the bottom position, which is not a problem. Relatively speaking, I can't say much about the 7 range, but for the 8 range, I have kept 2/3 of my position unchanged. Now it's just about waiting; a new round of increases needs time to wait.
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$BTC

Looking back now, have the expectations starting with 8 been met?

$PEPE

The lower track of the daily level, the rising wedge of 4h, the correction wave of the daily line,

0.000007 is a very hard support. At this stage, it fluctuates with BTC around 0.000009, and it has not stood firm at the 0.00001 mark. Relatively speaking, it is enough to make waves between 9 and 1. If it does not fall below the strong support, it will rebound quickly.

Overall, the current big market is not on BTC and the previous meme. At this stage, the bnb chain is more volatile.

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$BTC

Nothing has changed. If you have a heavy position at the beginning of 8, you will have a 1/4 position around 95. I take back what I said about there being no alt season. The BNB chain has had a platform coin alt season in the past few days. BNX has increased by nearly 10 times in the past few days. Other corresponding on-chain coins have also seen a large increase.

$PEPE

At this stage, the trend of Pepe is not very different from that of Dogecoin. It is undergoing a correction after the C wave, and moving stop-loss is very important, as is stop-loss, and controlling position size is also crucial. One needs to have some planning regarding when to enter and when to sell.

Currently, Pepe has relatively resisted the downward pressure after the repeated fluctuations of BTC, but once it breaks below 90,000, the downward needle for Pepe will be quite long. Therefore, relatively speaking, do not hold positions; wait for a new trend or a downward spike to enter the market and move the stop-loss. Generally, a return of around 10% should not be less.

$BTC

BTC trend has not changed much. The corresponding middle rail, upper rail, lower rail and corresponding price in the figure are all on the left. The blue line is the blue marked price, the line corresponds to the price, and the time below the price is the current price. The middle rail is the resistance level, isn’t it 982? This picture is yesterday’s picture.

And the c wave is the expectation of 876. I have said it many times, it may not come, but there is an expectation. Enter the first position near 95, add positions near 8, or do the band. The market has not changed much. Don’t be the kind that either rises or falls. Drawing lines is an expectation. If the trend is oscillating, then the 876 expectation will move up, and the decline will be replaced by horizontal, or it can be completed directly with one needle. The market does not move like this. Look at the picture, be rational, and control.