军哥论币
Frequent Trader
1.3 Years
公众号【军哥论币】【蝙蝠：134717264】擅长（日内合约，波段布橘）分析压力、支撑以及各种消息面、让各位朋友找到属于自己的节奏与方向。
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The hidden private chat feature of the square chat room! Here comes the step-by-step tutorial👇
1. Open the square page and find the search bar at the top
2. Enter the keyword 'chat room' in the search bar and enter
3. Click the 'plus' button on the page
4. Finally, enter my exclusive ID: junge677 and click search
5. After finding the account, you can send a friend invitation and chat together $BTC #BNB挑战1000大关 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
1. Open the square page and find the search bar at the top
2. Enter the keyword 'chat room' in the search bar and enter
3. Click the 'plus' button on the page
4. Finally, enter my exclusive ID: junge677 and click search
5. After finding the account, you can send a friend invitation and chat together $BTC #BNB挑战1000大关 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
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Brothers, good evening. Last week I was on a business trip and busy outside. Last night, the retail traders were being harvested back and forth. The current performance of the main force is really hard to look at. This kind of extreme spike often results in losses. Various V-shaped reversals should be based on one's own situation.
Currently, Bitcoin has firmly stabilized at the 90000 integer level. For the time being, let's look at the support at the 91000 integer level below. As long as it doesn't break this level, there is basically no need to worry about long positions. The pattern for bullish rebounds is still intact, and the opportunity for a second high is worth looking forward to.
To put it simply, the current long positions should focus on the core defense line of 91000-90000. As long as it doesn't drop below this level, hold onto long positions firmly. The rebound targets to look at are directly 93000-94000-96000 at these integer levels.
The key points that need to be protected are if the four-hour closing effectively breaks below 9000-91000, then to a certain extent, it indicates that the bullish pattern is weakening. Short-term long positions should exit to avoid risks. The support below should first look at 87800, and if it continues to break down, then look at the strong support of 86500.
Overall, Yitai is currently consistent with Bitcoin's rhythm, quickly regaining lost ground after the spike. The daily bullish trend remains intact and has not been damaged due to yesterday's shakeout. Pay attention to the daily support zone of 3080 and 3050-30 here, which is the current defensive position of the bulls.
As long as it doesn't drop below 3050-3030 here, just continue to look for long rebounds. The first target pressure is at 3220 here, with strong resistance above looking at 3500-3580 here. It must be noted that if it directly breaks below the 3050-3010 range later, short-term long positions should be abandoned immediately, as the market will likely break down again. The support below should first look at 2910, and further dips should focus on the integer level of 2800. Brothers, remember to set stop-loss and take-profit orders. Only by following the trend can one adapt to changes. $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Currently, Bitcoin has firmly stabilized at the 90000 integer level. For the time being, let's look at the support at the 91000 integer level below. As long as it doesn't break this level, there is basically no need to worry about long positions. The pattern for bullish rebounds is still intact, and the opportunity for a second high is worth looking forward to.
To put it simply, the current long positions should focus on the core defense line of 91000-90000. As long as it doesn't drop below this level, hold onto long positions firmly. The rebound targets to look at are directly 93000-94000-96000 at these integer levels.
The key points that need to be protected are if the four-hour closing effectively breaks below 9000-91000, then to a certain extent, it indicates that the bullish pattern is weakening. Short-term long positions should exit to avoid risks. The support below should first look at 87800, and if it continues to break down, then look at the strong support of 86500.
Overall, Yitai is currently consistent with Bitcoin's rhythm, quickly regaining lost ground after the spike. The daily bullish trend remains intact and has not been damaged due to yesterday's shakeout. Pay attention to the daily support zone of 3080 and 3050-30 here, which is the current defensive position of the bulls.
As long as it doesn't drop below 3050-3030 here, just continue to look for long rebounds. The first target pressure is at 3220 here, with strong resistance above looking at 3500-3580 here. It must be noted that if it directly breaks below the 3050-3010 range later, short-term long positions should be abandoned immediately, as the market will likely break down again. The support below should first look at 2910, and further dips should focus on the integer level of 2800. Brothers, remember to set stop-loss and take-profit orders. Only by following the trend can one adapt to changes. $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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The pancake is still in a rising triangle convergence pattern on the daily level. Although there hasn't been an effective breakout yet, the lows continue to rise from 912 to 918 to 925, forming a higher bottom. Strong support has moved up to the 925-926 area, coinciding with the 20-day moving average and the triangle's lower trendline for double support, stabilizing with reduced volume on pullbacks.
However, attention is still needed for the overnight institutional impact. The 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone, but the 942-937 range has not broken out with increased volume. Those with poor holding positions should enter in batches instead of getting stuck at one position. Place stop-loss orders below 920, which is considered the level where the subsequent pattern may fail. If volume increases around 940 and stagnates, decisively reduce positions and switch. Short-term strategies must include stop-loss measures to respond, and do not resist the trend. $BTC #币安区块链周 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
However, attention is still needed for the overnight institutional impact. The 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone, but the 942-937 range has not broken out with increased volume. Those with poor holding positions should enter in batches instead of getting stuck at one position. Place stop-loss orders below 920, which is considered the level where the subsequent pattern may fail. If volume increases around 940 and stagnates, decisively reduce positions and switch. Short-term strategies must include stop-loss measures to respond, and do not resist the trend. $BTC #币安区块链周 $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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Good morning, brothers. Yesterday I went out and had a long chat with a big brother. Yesterday was basically a day off for myself. The day before yesterday I broke through, and the empty positions have also seen some gains. I mentioned the pressure breakthrough at 88500, so the market sentiment has reversed. Now what should have gained has mostly gained, and those that haven't are stuck in positions. This wave of rebound by the bulls is still quite strong. Currently, with the expectation of interest rate cuts, we can continue to look for a rebound around 96000-96600. On the monthly chart, the pressure is basically self-explanatory, currently anchored around the integer level of 99000-100000, at which point medium to long-term short positions can start to slowly enter.
$BTC The current trend of Bitcoin on the daily chart has stabilized for the bulls. The initial support to watch is around 92500-3000. At that time, those who haven't entered long positions can try here. #币安区块链周
$ETH On the Aunt side, the daily chart has also formed a reversal and stabilized for the bulls. Currently, the pressure line above to pay attention to is around 3270-50. If this pressure can be broken, the next target pressure is around 3350, as well as the daily level around 3480-3500. For the second entry of long positions, just pay attention to 3180 and 3130 around here. #美联储重启降息步伐
$BTC The current trend of Bitcoin on the daily chart has stabilized for the bulls. The initial support to watch is around 92500-3000. At that time, those who haven't entered long positions can try here. #币安区块链周
$ETH On the Aunt side, the daily chart has also formed a reversal and stabilized for the bulls. Currently, the pressure line above to pay attention to is around 3270-50. If this pressure can be broken, the next target pressure is around 3350, as well as the daily level around 3480-3500. For the second entry of long positions, just pay attention to 3180 and 3130 around here. #美联储重启降息步伐
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Good afternoon everyone, currently there is not much liquidity, overall it is moving too slowly, is it time for trouble again in the evening? From the daily chart perspective, there is still a need for a retracement downwards, plus the current 4-hour chart shape is not looking good, it is expected that the overall decline is not yet complete, and the resistance at the 4-hour level above is still at 87500-87800 without breaking, currently, I continue to maintain a bearish outlook for a downward test, while the target support below remains to pay attention to 85400, 83000, and the highest point around 81200.
Many brothers have come to ask if breaking 87800 would mean a reversal, but actually, I am more optimistic about a reversal if 88500 is broken, as this is also the top of the previous fluctuation range. For an intraday rebound to have a reversal, it must at least break above 88500 for a potential second upward probe. Without breaking this resistance, I see the chart pattern as generally weak.
The daily chart for the other coin is weaker than Bitcoin, and it seems to want to continue a wave of daily retracement downwards. From the 4-hour perspective, the downward pattern has not yet completed, and the resistance at the 4-hour level above is around 2870±10 points. Currently, overall, unless this level is broken, I am leaning towards a bearish view, with target support below at 2700 and around 2620. $BTC #BinanceBlockchainWeek $ETH #加密市场回调
Many brothers have come to ask if breaking 87800 would mean a reversal, but actually, I am more optimistic about a reversal if 88500 is broken, as this is also the top of the previous fluctuation range. For an intraday rebound to have a reversal, it must at least break above 88500 for a potential second upward probe. Without breaking this resistance, I see the chart pattern as generally weak.
The daily chart for the other coin is weaker than Bitcoin, and it seems to want to continue a wave of daily retracement downwards. From the 4-hour perspective, the downward pattern has not yet completed, and the resistance at the 4-hour level above is around 2870±10 points. Currently, overall, unless this level is broken, I am leaning towards a bearish view, with target support below at 2700 and around 2620. $BTC #BinanceBlockchainWeek $ETH #加密市场回调
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Good morning, brothers! Last night we had a wave of "pin reversal" drama, first smashing down to create panic space, then quickly pulling back, and the overall trend is basically in line with our previous expectations.
Today, let's focus on the secondary market, as the upgrade process over the past few days is about to settle down. Previously, the main market dipped, and the upgrade expectations for the secondary market can be said to have provided some support. Now the overall expectations are digested. If the secondary market continues to decline, then the overall risk is quite large. I have noticed that many friends who read my posts really like to get into the secondary market, so I want to remind you all here: when that time comes, don't always think about holding on stubbornly.
$BTC Currently, Bitcoin has broken through 85600-86000 here, with a small level surge to 87300, but overall there hasn't been any continuation of the rebound. The upper pressure levels to watch are 86800 and 88500 here. Those wanting to enter can consider it now, but currently, the overall volume on the hourly level is insufficient. For future support, keep an eye on 85400 here. If this level breaks, then you can hold on for a bit longer, as it can formally announce the failure of the hourly rebound. The lower support levels to watch are 83500-83000 here, as well as 82000 and 81200 here. With the recent complex news, don’t blindly bottom fish #加密市场回调 .
$ETH The secondary market here is currently a bit stronger than Bitcoin, but overall there isn’t much volume. First, let's look at the 2780 level we mentioned earlier, and for those wanting to enter at the upper level of 2880, you can slowly start to position. The first target below is to look at 2780-2700 here. To maintain the short-term rebound momentum, it must break through 2880 here. Overall, the main market is in a weak position, and pressure near the resistance level is definitely prioritized higher than support.
If it breaks below 2780-2760, it will be about a total of 20-30 points, then the rebound will end. The lower support levels to watch are 2700 and 2620 here #加密市场观察 .
In the face of trends, respect the trend, identify the pressure levels, and patiently wait for opportunities is much more reliable than blindly following the trend of chasing highs and selling lows, brothers, please pay attention.
Today, let's focus on the secondary market, as the upgrade process over the past few days is about to settle down. Previously, the main market dipped, and the upgrade expectations for the secondary market can be said to have provided some support. Now the overall expectations are digested. If the secondary market continues to decline, then the overall risk is quite large. I have noticed that many friends who read my posts really like to get into the secondary market, so I want to remind you all here: when that time comes, don't always think about holding on stubbornly.
$BTC Currently, Bitcoin has broken through 85600-86000 here, with a small level surge to 87300, but overall there hasn't been any continuation of the rebound. The upper pressure levels to watch are 86800 and 88500 here. Those wanting to enter can consider it now, but currently, the overall volume on the hourly level is insufficient. For future support, keep an eye on 85400 here. If this level breaks, then you can hold on for a bit longer, as it can formally announce the failure of the hourly rebound. The lower support levels to watch are 83500-83000 here, as well as 82000 and 81200 here. With the recent complex news, don’t blindly bottom fish #加密市场回调 .
$ETH The secondary market here is currently a bit stronger than Bitcoin, but overall there isn’t much volume. First, let's look at the 2780 level we mentioned earlier, and for those wanting to enter at the upper level of 2880, you can slowly start to position. The first target below is to look at 2780-2700 here. To maintain the short-term rebound momentum, it must break through 2880 here. Overall, the main market is in a weak position, and pressure near the resistance level is definitely prioritized higher than support.
If it breaks below 2780-2760, it will be about a total of 20-30 points, then the rebound will end. The lower support levels to watch are 2700 and 2620 here #加密市场观察 .
In the face of trends, respect the trend, identify the pressure levels, and patiently wait for opportunities is much more reliable than blindly following the trend of chasing highs and selling lows, brothers, please pay attention.
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Good evening, brothers! I don't know if everyone feels the same as Jun Ge. This afternoon, the market felt off, and the rebound strength throughout the day was pitifully weak, completely failing to support the expected market rhythm.
Next, the core is to see if the interest rate cut expectations can inject some momentum into the market and lead to a decent rebound. The current rebound has no volume at all. For now, let's maintain a high short position; if you don't understand, Jun Ge advises you to watch and rest first. There's no need to stubbornly hold onto rough trades. This afternoon, I also told the brothers that sometimes waiting is also a form of trading. Don't get itchy hands and enter the market randomly, or you'll end up cutting losses back and forth, and in the end, it's all for nothing.
Currently, we should first look at the upper pressure range of 85400-86000. This is the first pressure point for the rebound. If we can strongly break through this range, then look at 86800 and 88500 as strong pressure points; these are also key to whether the subsequent market can reverse.
At present, the essence of the market is still biased towards bearishness. If the short positions can approach the second pressure zone, they should. The target support line below looks at 83500, 83000, and finally 81200.
Today is another day of victory for the bears. Currently, the hourly level still clearly shows a downward volume. Next, let's see the two strong pressure points of 2780 and 2860; the shorts are also relying on these points. If the rebound can show some strength and stabilize above 2860, then there will be a chance to test the daily level pressure at 2940.
The target support below currently looks at the two positions of 2700 and 2620. The market has not escaped weakness; remember, only by breaking through 2940 can a reversal condition be formed. Otherwise, it is merely a weak rebound repair, and the trend will still lean towards weak fluctuations downward. $BTC #加密市场回调 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
Next, the core is to see if the interest rate cut expectations can inject some momentum into the market and lead to a decent rebound. The current rebound has no volume at all. For now, let's maintain a high short position; if you don't understand, Jun Ge advises you to watch and rest first. There's no need to stubbornly hold onto rough trades. This afternoon, I also told the brothers that sometimes waiting is also a form of trading. Don't get itchy hands and enter the market randomly, or you'll end up cutting losses back and forth, and in the end, it's all for nothing.
Currently, we should first look at the upper pressure range of 85400-86000. This is the first pressure point for the rebound. If we can strongly break through this range, then look at 86800 and 88500 as strong pressure points; these are also key to whether the subsequent market can reverse.
At present, the essence of the market is still biased towards bearishness. If the short positions can approach the second pressure zone, they should. The target support line below looks at 83500, 83000, and finally 81200.
Today is another day of victory for the bears. Currently, the hourly level still clearly shows a downward volume. Next, let's see the two strong pressure points of 2780 and 2860; the shorts are also relying on these points. If the rebound can show some strength and stabilize above 2860, then there will be a chance to test the daily level pressure at 2940.
The target support below currently looks at the two positions of 2700 and 2620. The market has not escaped weakness; remember, only by breaking through 2940 can a reversal condition be formed. Otherwise, it is merely a weak rebound repair, and the trend will still lean towards weak fluctuations downward. $BTC #加密市场回调 $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
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Barclays: Fed Likely to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points in December, but May Pause in January
News on December 1: Barclays economists predict:
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's December 12-13 meeting exceeds 80%. Powell will support it, and officials like Waller and Bowman will also agree.
There are at least 2 hawkish dissenting votes (Schmidt, Musalam) + 1 moderate dissenting vote, and some officials do not support a significant rate cut.
In January, the Fed's statement and press conference will lean hawkish, indicating a high probability of pausing actions in January unless the labor market deteriorates worse than expected. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
News on December 1: Barclays economists predict:
The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's December 12-13 meeting exceeds 80%. Powell will support it, and officials like Waller and Bowman will also agree.
There are at least 2 hawkish dissenting votes (Schmidt, Musalam) + 1 moderate dissenting vote, and some officials do not support a significant rate cut.
In January, the Fed's statement and press conference will lean hawkish, indicating a high probability of pausing actions in January unless the labor market deteriorates worse than expected. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
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Good afternoon, brothers. Currently, the market feels very strange to me, with no sign of rebound volume at all. This morning, I exited my longs to break even. If I miss out, I miss out. For now, I will keep an eye on 84800 and the recent minor pullback level of 85500. If 84800 breaks, we will need to look at the area around 83500-83000. The rebound is too weak right now. After confirming the two lower support levels, I will consider taking long positions again. The intra-day rebound pressure is at 88500-89600. I expect the bullish volume to increase only if it surpasses 88500. Currently, the daily chart is not looking great either, and there is a trend towards breaking the daily level, presenting an opportunity for a second wave of daily level decline. Given the current recovery strength, the opportunity is still considerable. We will see how it goes; sometimes waiting is also a form of trading, and not every position needs to be taken.
Regarding the auntie, the overall situation is still okay. The lower support is still at 2770 for now. If it breaks, we need to pay attention to the integer level of 2700. The intra-day rebound pressure is initially at 2880; if it breaks, we will consider the range of 2930-2980 for exiting. The rebound must at least break through 2880. At that time, I'll cautiously consider going short around 2930-2980. Just keep an eye on the breakout situation at 2880. If there are other matters, I will consider posting based on the situation. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
Regarding the auntie, the overall situation is still okay. The lower support is still at 2770 for now. If it breaks, we need to pay attention to the integer level of 2700. The intra-day rebound pressure is initially at 2880; if it breaks, we will consider the range of 2930-2980 for exiting. The rebound must at least break through 2880. At that time, I'll cautiously consider going short around 2930-2980. Just keep an eye on the breakout situation at 2880. If there are other matters, I will consider posting based on the situation. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
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$BTC Good morning, brothers. It's really fierce. There's no liquidity over the weekend, and as soon as Monday comes, it directly drops to 87000, which is quite fierce. Although I expected a pullback, I didn't think it would pull back to 87000 here. I expect it to be around 88000-87500. I mentioned the top pressure earlier, and it hasn't broken through. I'm still waiting for a pullback to enter long. The daily rebound pattern is weakening. For now, let's take a look at 86600-86000 here. You can take a small position for a long bet. Keep an eye on 88500, 90000, and the currently anchored top at 910. We'll see the situation and post later. #币安HODLer空投AT
$ETH The aunt's pin directly dropped to 2830 here. I originally said to wait for 2880 to enter again, but now that has also broken. We need to pay more attention to the pin position at 2830 here. If it breaks further, we need to go to 2770 to enter again. This range's support serves as the daily defensive support. Control the position well. The upward rebound pressure during the day is at 2880. At least a four-hour level closing above this pressure is needed for a chance of a second upward test; otherwise, treat it as normal correction. For now, that's all I have to say. We'll see the situation and post later. #加密市场反弹
$ETH The aunt's pin directly dropped to 2830 here. I originally said to wait for 2880 to enter again, but now that has also broken. We need to pay more attention to the pin position at 2830 here. If it breaks further, we need to go to 2770 to enter again. This range's support serves as the daily defensive support. Control the position well. The upward rebound pressure during the day is at 2880. At least a four-hour level closing above this pressure is needed for a chance of a second upward test; otherwise, treat it as normal correction. For now, that's all I have to say. We'll see the situation and post later. #加密市场反弹
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Happy weekend everyone, I feel lazier and lazier these days. I even need others to urge me to post. Haha, to put it simply, Bitcoin surged high last night, and as mentioned before, it is under pressure near the 93000 resistance level. Currently, it is pulling back at a smaller scale. 93000 has been mentioned repeatedly as a resistance position, considered a strong resistance.
$BTC Bitcoin is still steady, and it's better to consider going long around 89000. If it doesn't break this level, there won't be much problem. So this drop is a normal correction. It is expected that there will be another surge later. If it breaks below 89000, we should pay more attention to 88000, as it may break down further. I just want to let you know in advance that it should be fine this weekend.
This weekend, both long and short positions can be considered. Currently, Bitcoin should pay attention to the small scale support at 90400. Later, you can consider lightly entering long positions, looking at 91300 here. If it breaks this position, it is expected to have another rebound, so continue to pay attention to 92200, 93000, and finally 94400 here, and the same goes for short positions. #币安HODLer空投AT
$ETH Regarding the auntie aspect, pay attention to the pressure at the 1-hour level at 3045 here. It's almost there. If it stabilizes above this position, it is expected to have another rebound at the 1-hour level. The short-term pressure above is at 3070, 3100, and finally around 3170 here. #加密市场反弹
$BTC Bitcoin is still steady, and it's better to consider going long around 89000. If it doesn't break this level, there won't be much problem. So this drop is a normal correction. It is expected that there will be another surge later. If it breaks below 89000, we should pay more attention to 88000, as it may break down further. I just want to let you know in advance that it should be fine this weekend.
This weekend, both long and short positions can be considered. Currently, Bitcoin should pay attention to the small scale support at 90400. Later, you can consider lightly entering long positions, looking at 91300 here. If it breaks this position, it is expected to have another rebound, so continue to pay attention to 92200, 93000, and finally 94400 here, and the same goes for short positions. #币安HODLer空投AT
$ETH Regarding the auntie aspect, pay attention to the pressure at the 1-hour level at 3045 here. It's almost there. If it stabilizes above this position, it is expected to have another rebound at the 1-hour level. The short-term pressure above is at 3070, 3100, and finally around 3170 here. #加密市场反弹
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Good afternoon everyone, there's not much liquidity in the market right now, with only slight fluctuations, and not much to see at the moment. Pay attention to the minor support around 90400; if it breaks, we can look down to 89000. The upper pressure hasn't broken either, so this position can only be used for very short trades; otherwise, it's better to rest for now.
$BTC Let's see if that side breaks first. For more stable trades, pay attention to the area around 89000-88000. If it retraces to the 4-hour level and closes below 88000, the issues with stable trades shouldn't be too big. We're still looking at a rate cut expectation. The upper target pressure is around 93000 and 94000; if that breaks, we expect it to reach 96600. That's about all for now. The reason I didn't send anything this morning is that there weren't any significant fluctuations. Now, to put it simply, #加密市场反弹 .
$ETH Overall, the situation regarding stable trades is still the same as previously mentioned. After touching the pressure at 3060, it retraced down and is currently testing the 3000 level. The 4-hour level support remains unchanged at 2970-30. If you want to enter stable trades, you can rely on this area. The upper pressure is still around 3070-3150 and 3220.
Overall, as long as we don't break this support range on the 4-hour level, there's no need to worry about stable trades. If it breaks, we have another level at 2880; then we can look at the volume situation for adjustments or to stop losses. Just watch the volume, it's not difficult. That's about it. Basically, it's the same as what was sent earlier, so I didn't send anything this morning. I mainly felt that repeating it didn't have much significance, just consider it a reinforcement for the brothers. #币安HODLer空投AT
$BTC Let's see if that side breaks first. For more stable trades, pay attention to the area around 89000-88000. If it retraces to the 4-hour level and closes below 88000, the issues with stable trades shouldn't be too big. We're still looking at a rate cut expectation. The upper target pressure is around 93000 and 94000; if that breaks, we expect it to reach 96600. That's about all for now. The reason I didn't send anything this morning is that there weren't any significant fluctuations. Now, to put it simply, #加密市场反弹 .
$ETH Overall, the situation regarding stable trades is still the same as previously mentioned. After touching the pressure at 3060, it retraced down and is currently testing the 3000 level. The 4-hour level support remains unchanged at 2970-30. If you want to enter stable trades, you can rely on this area. The upper pressure is still around 3070-3150 and 3220.
Overall, as long as we don't break this support range on the 4-hour level, there's no need to worry about stable trades. If it breaks, we have another level at 2880; then we can look at the volume situation for adjustments or to stop losses. Just watch the volume, it's not difficult. That's about it. Basically, it's the same as what was sent earlier, so I didn't send anything this morning. I mainly felt that repeating it didn't have much significance, just consider it a reinforcement for the brothers. #币安HODLer空投AT
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How are the brothers doing? There wasn't much posting yesterday, and the US market was closed, basically maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations. As I mentioned earlier, we wait for a pullback before going long again. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen into a narrow range of oscillation, but after a slight intraday pullback, it failed to break through the neckline support. However, the technical chart has shown a small M-top pattern trend, a typical signal of 'volume-price divergence.' Here, the bullish momentum has somewhat weakened, and short-term pullback pressure is accumulating; you need to pay attention to this.
From the indicator perspective, the 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone and has started to turn down. The MACD has formed a death cross above the zero line, and the bulls are gradually reducing volume. Signs of short-term momentum conversion are appearing, while the 4H KDJ indicator has shown signs of 'death cross resonance' after becoming dull at high levels, indicating a need for adjustment at smaller levels.
Regarding support, everyone should still pay attention to the last support line we mentioned earlier, around 88000-89000. The upper pressure should be focused on the 93000-94000 range, which is not only the pressure point of the previous high point connection but also corresponds to the upper band of the hourly Bollinger Bands and the 20-day moving average suppression resonance area. At the same time, it corresponds to the potential 'top divergence' trigger point of the RSI, making it the optimal area for entering short positions.
As always, it's better to miss the ambiguous opportunities during fluctuations than to blindly enter and endure unnecessary volatility. The core of trading is to seize the deterministic opportunities of 'multi-factor resonance,' rather than betting direction in chaos. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
From the indicator perspective, the 4-hour RSI has entered the overbought zone and has started to turn down. The MACD has formed a death cross above the zero line, and the bulls are gradually reducing volume. Signs of short-term momentum conversion are appearing, while the 4H KDJ indicator has shown signs of 'death cross resonance' after becoming dull at high levels, indicating a need for adjustment at smaller levels.
Regarding support, everyone should still pay attention to the last support line we mentioned earlier, around 88000-89000. The upper pressure should be focused on the 93000-94000 range, which is not only the pressure point of the previous high point connection but also corresponds to the upper band of the hourly Bollinger Bands and the 20-day moving average suppression resonance area. At the same time, it corresponds to the potential 'top divergence' trigger point of the RSI, making it the optimal area for entering short positions.
As always, it's better to miss the ambiguous opportunities during fluctuations than to blindly enter and endure unnecessary volatility. The core of trading is to seize the deterministic opportunities of 'multi-factor resonance,' rather than betting direction in chaos. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT $ETH #加密市场反弹
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Good afternoon everyone, the midday short position made about 1000 points, today the big cake broke through 90000 and made a daily level rebound, the rebound target pressure currently remains unchanged, pay attention to the two positions of 92500 and 93600. If the intraday pullback does not break below 89000-88500 here, then there are no issues with the short position, the upward channel remains valid. Only if it breaks below this position can we have the opportunity to explore down to 86000-85000 and 84000 here.
On the aunt side, it also broke through 2980 to make a daily level rebound, just reaching 3070 here. For the intraday pullback support, pay attention to 2970-40. If the subsequent short position does not break below here, then we can continue to look for a rebound, with target pressures still to keep an eye on around 3150 and 3200.
For a conservative short position, consider going towards around 3200 later. If the four-hour closing line breaks below 2940, then the rebound trend will weaken. For short-term long positions, consider stopping losses, and later pay attention to the support in the range of 2880-2800. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
On the aunt side, it also broke through 2980 to make a daily level rebound, just reaching 3070 here. For the intraday pullback support, pay attention to 2970-40. If the subsequent short position does not break below here, then we can continue to look for a rebound, with target pressures still to keep an eye on around 3150 and 3200.
For a conservative short position, consider going towards around 3200 later. If the four-hour closing line breaks below 2940, then the rebound trend will weaken. For short-term long positions, consider stopping losses, and later pay attention to the support in the range of 2880-2800. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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Good morning everyone, I stared at the market all night, took a break, did anyone get into this long position? As mentioned before, there must be a reason for the change in direction. Many brothers took off with high longs and low shorts yesterday, coming here to show off. Still, as I always say, everyone is happy when making money, and if there are losses, no one should blame it. After all, it’s just an analysis of the market to provide a reference. Here, I still wish my brothers all the best.
Currently, Bitcoin is testing around 91500. If you want to gamble on long positions later, pay attention to the 89000-88500 area, which can be considered a top-bottom exchange position. Today, the US market is closed, so it's still advisable to reduce your positions if needed. Those who can exit should exit. Although there is still a chance for a push to 92500-93600 on the hourly chart, the risks that should be taken can be taken; unnecessary risks should be avoided. It's up to you.
The first target mentioned by my aunt at 3060 has also been reached. Currently, just like Bitcoin, pay attention to the stability at this position. If it’s not stable, pay attention to the area around 2970-40 below. Consider entering when it reaches here. The upper target pressure remains unchanged, still paying attention to the 3060-3150-3200 area. Overall, the upward channel is currently maintaining well, but what needs to be said still needs to be said. Just relying on posting, there’s only so much I can talk about. For now, let’s keep an eye on these. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
Currently, Bitcoin is testing around 91500. If you want to gamble on long positions later, pay attention to the 89000-88500 area, which can be considered a top-bottom exchange position. Today, the US market is closed, so it's still advisable to reduce your positions if needed. Those who can exit should exit. Although there is still a chance for a push to 92500-93600 on the hourly chart, the risks that should be taken can be taken; unnecessary risks should be avoided. It's up to you.
The first target mentioned by my aunt at 3060 has also been reached. Currently, just like Bitcoin, pay attention to the stability at this position. If it’s not stable, pay attention to the area around 2970-40 below. Consider entering when it reaches here. The upper target pressure remains unchanged, still paying attention to the 3060-3150-3200 area. Overall, the upward channel is currently maintaining well, but what needs to be said still needs to be said. Just relying on posting, there’s only so much I can talk about. For now, let’s keep an eye on these. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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Market long and short disparities are significant, take good precautions, tomorrow the US stock market is closed, if trading short, ensure to set stop-loss $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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Brothers, this market sentiment is really dull. After the break, Danzi is inside, and the profit-taking settings are in place. Currently, the 4-hour trend shows slight weakness, and there is even a 'secondary peak' trend. However, theoretically, after the adjustment until now, there has still been no obvious increase in volume. The lack of volume means that the bearish selling pressure has not been concentrated and released. Currently, you guys can first look at the bullish trend around 87000. If it doesn't work, we can just run away. Further down, it is expected to fluctuate, so pay attention to the previously mentioned 86000 and 84600 before considering buying back.
The triangular range is also slowly converging, and it is expected that there will be a breakout direction in the next few days. Based on the current collected market sentiment and news, I am still relatively optimistic. The upper side still pays attention to the area around 90000-91500, which is considered a previous area of concentrated transactions. Making a long bet is indeed slow; the recent rebound rhythm has been sluggish. Everyone should ensure their protection, patiently waiting for the volume to cooperate and for a clear result in the battle between bulls and bears.
If you have done something on the aunt's side, there is currently a small space of about 100 points. Next, let's first see the situation of breaking 2980. If it doesn't work, we can also reduce positions or exit, depending on your own judgment. The support remains around 2850-30, and there are no significant changes. The breakthrough target still looks to see if it can reach the dense areas of 3060/3150/3200, depending on the situation. #加密市场反弹 $BTC #美国非农数据超预期 $ETH
The triangular range is also slowly converging, and it is expected that there will be a breakout direction in the next few days. Based on the current collected market sentiment and news, I am still relatively optimistic. The upper side still pays attention to the area around 90000-91500, which is considered a previous area of concentrated transactions. Making a long bet is indeed slow; the recent rebound rhythm has been sluggish. Everyone should ensure their protection, patiently waiting for the volume to cooperate and for a clear result in the battle between bulls and bears.
If you have done something on the aunt's side, there is currently a small space of about 100 points. Next, let's first see the situation of breaking 2980. If it doesn't work, we can also reduce positions or exit, depending on your own judgment. The support remains around 2850-30, and there are no significant changes. The breakthrough target still looks to see if it can reach the dense areas of 3060/3150/3200, depending on the situation. #加密市场反弹 $BTC #美国非农数据超预期 $ETH
Good afternoon everyone, I might take a nap later, just a little rest. When the time comes, the assistant will notify everyone. I feel like I’ve become lazier after resting for a few days. I want to inform the brothers in advance that the overall market is still leaning towards a slightly stronger fluctuating rhythm. The long position we tried in the morning has also come out, but we didn’t hit the first point of 88500 mentioned this morning; we only got to around 88470, which is not far off. Basically, it meets expectations. For those who still want to gamble, just keep your stop loss tight. I will stop looking at it for now; the market is moving too slowly.
$BTC Regarding the current large coin's daily line shape, it is relatively strong. There are signs of a bullish warming on the three-day line as well. Today still shows opportunities to test the integer level of 90000. Also, brothers have been asking me how I view the interest rate cut expectations for December. For now, it is considered a favorable factor, but I dare not draw conclusions yet. I can only say that I expect there will be a pullback followed by observing the facts. Overall, you can start to gradually get involved in long positions without heavy loading; just try out small positions. I won't repeat where to get involved; just refer to the previous text. The only thing to pay attention to is if the 90000 level is broken, then we have to push up again. Keep an eye on 91500 and 93600 here. Other than that, basically nothing has changed; just pay more attention to it. #加密市场回调
$ETH The overall situation on this side is slightly weaker. The main short-term pressure above is at 2960. We need to see if we can break through with volume; we’ll have to wait and see what the evening situation looks like. If we break through, then like the large coin, we can expect another small push near 3050 and the previous upper range on the hourly level at 3140.
In terms of intraday support, continue to refer to the position of 2850-30. As long as we do not close below this level on the hourly chart, we can start trying to rebound. We should hold if we can. This way of gambling, if it breaks down, the stop loss won’t be very big. If it breaks down, then pay attention to the integer level of 2700 for a second dip. I won’t write further down; it has been mentioned above. Repeating it isn't meaningful. For now, let's leave it at that. #美国非农数据超预期
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$BTC Regarding the current large coin's daily line shape, it is relatively strong. There are signs of a bullish warming on the three-day line as well. Today still shows opportunities to test the integer level of 90000. Also, brothers have been asking me how I view the interest rate cut expectations for December. For now, it is considered a favorable factor, but I dare not draw conclusions yet. I can only say that I expect there will be a pullback followed by observing the facts. Overall, you can start to gradually get involved in long positions without heavy loading; just try out small positions. I won't repeat where to get involved; just refer to the previous text. The only thing to pay attention to is if the 90000 level is broken, then we have to push up again. Keep an eye on 91500 and 93600 here. Other than that, basically nothing has changed; just pay more attention to it. #加密市场回调
$ETH The overall situation on this side is slightly weaker. The main short-term pressure above is at 2960. We need to see if we can break through with volume; we’ll have to wait and see what the evening situation looks like. If we break through, then like the large coin, we can expect another small push near 3050 and the previous upper range on the hourly level at 3140.
In terms of intraday support, continue to refer to the position of 2850-30. As long as we do not close below this level on the hourly chart, we can start trying to rebound. We should hold if we can. This way of gambling, if it breaks down, the stop loss won’t be very big. If it breaks down, then pay attention to the integer level of 2700 for a second dip. I won’t write further down; it has been mentioned above. Repeating it isn't meaningful. For now, let's leave it at that. #美国非农数据超预期
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
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Good morning everyone! Let's talk about Bitcoin. Overall, there hasn't been much change. Currently, based on short-term volume and candlestick structure, the primary resistance levels above are 87500 and around 89600. This area is the upper limit of the recent fluctuation range, as well as the short-term resistance levels of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Before breaking through and stabilizing above these levels, rebound momentum is likely to be limited.
Currently, Bitcoin is still relying on the pullback opportunity at 86800 for light long positions, which is the same as yesterday's publication. We are about to close the daily line, so let's observe the rebound situation at the close. Continue to pay attention to the integer level of 90000, with the same strategy as last night.
On the other hand, the current four-hour level trend of Ethereum is relatively independent. Yesterday, I also wrote that everyone should attempt to go long in the 2850-2830 support range. This position is a resonance support between the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart and the previous low point. Moreover, the MACD indicator is still in a golden cross formation, which provides some short-term resistance to downward movement.
In the short term, Ethereum still needs to pay attention to the stabilization at 2950. It's fine to try going long here, but one must be aware of the stabilization situation. If it breaks below 2925, one should exit. For upward speculation, the rebound range of 3150-3200 is also the upper limit of the previous fluctuation platform and an important resistance zone for the mid-term trend. At that time, one can gradually follow up based on new support levels.
$BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
Currently, Bitcoin is still relying on the pullback opportunity at 86800 for light long positions, which is the same as yesterday's publication. We are about to close the daily line, so let's observe the rebound situation at the close. Continue to pay attention to the integer level of 90000, with the same strategy as last night.
On the other hand, the current four-hour level trend of Ethereum is relatively independent. Yesterday, I also wrote that everyone should attempt to go long in the 2850-2830 support range. This position is a resonance support between the middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart and the previous low point. Moreover, the MACD indicator is still in a golden cross formation, which provides some short-term resistance to downward movement.
In the short term, Ethereum still needs to pay attention to the stabilization at 2950. It's fine to try going long here, but one must be aware of the stabilization situation. If it breaks below 2925, one should exit. For upward speculation, the rebound range of 3150-3200 is also the upper limit of the previous fluctuation platform and an important resistance zone for the mid-term trend. At that time, one can gradually follow up based on new support levels.
$BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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Good evening, everyone! Let's talk about Bitcoin. Currently, the short-term resistance above is at 87500. The key support to watch below is the small range between 85800-85300. You can consider entering long positions based on this support range. The evening position of 86800 has been broken, and it is currently uncertain whether this point's timeliness is still valid. If you are aggressive, you can consider entering at this position. If you prefer right-side trading, wait patiently for a rebound to break through the 87500 resistance before entering the market. The subsequent rebound is expected to continue to target the 90000 level mentioned in the afternoon, while other strategies remain unchanged.
The support level for Ether is currently at 2850-2830 in the four-hour timeframe, which has not yet been broken. However, the current Bitcoin trend is relatively weak, and we must be cautious of the risk of Ether being dragged down by Bitcoin. The short-term resistance above is still at 2950. If the rebound is blocked at this position, it is recommended to exit and observe for clearer opportunities. If it can successfully break through the 2950 resistance, this rebound could further target the 3150-3200 range nearby. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
The support level for Ether is currently at 2850-2830 in the four-hour timeframe, which has not yet been broken. However, the current Bitcoin trend is relatively weak, and we must be cautious of the risk of Ether being dragged down by Bitcoin. The short-term resistance above is still at 2950. If the rebound is blocked at this position, it is recommended to exit and observe for clearer opportunities. If it can successfully break through the 2950 resistance, this rebound could further target the 3150-3200 range nearby. $BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH #美国非农数据超预期
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《Not Overly Positive or Negative: The Medium-term Rate Cut is Good, but Short-term Volatility Pit is Real》
Good afternoon, brothers. Many brothers are still asking about this thing, so I will briefly talk about it. In the short term, it is neutral and volatile; everyone is waiting. At this time, everyone is waiting, which is commonly said as selling you a wave of expectations first, and then giving you a wave of facts. In the medium term, it is biased towards positive but has uncertainties. After all, you have to wait for the facts to be announced to know. Right now, you can only buy expectations. As for those who say they have access to such news, they are not people you or I can reach. What the market is currently announcing is just its own speculation. My post is also my own speculation, not any insider information; I am not capable of that yet.
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