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📊 ETH Multi-Period Technical Analysis Summary
Core Viewpoint: The market is in a bullish trend accumulation phase, but is facing a directional choice in the short term.
Key Period Analysis:
1. Four-hour chart: The medium-term trend remains bullish. Key indicators show that bearish momentum is waning, while bullish momentum is gathering. The market is waiting for a clear bullish breakout to initiate a new round of trend movement.
2. One-hour chart: Prices have entered a range of sideways fluctuation. This is a typical consolidation pattern before the trend movement starts, and a breakout direction is about to be chosen, the result of which will drive larger-scale movements.
3. Fifteen-minute chart: As a short-term trading window, the current strategy should focus on buying on dips, while at key resistance levels, a small position can be attempted for short-term high shorts as a supplement.
Summary: Medium-term bullish, short-term fluctuations. In trading, one should wait for the one-hour chart consolidation to end and for clear breakout signals to operate in the trend direction.
Core Viewpoint: The market is in a bullish trend accumulation phase, but is facing a directional choice in the short term.
Key Period Analysis:
1. Four-hour chart: The medium-term trend remains bullish. Key indicators show that bearish momentum is waning, while bullish momentum is gathering. The market is waiting for a clear bullish breakout to initiate a new round of trend movement.
2. One-hour chart: Prices have entered a range of sideways fluctuation. This is a typical consolidation pattern before the trend movement starts, and a breakout direction is about to be chosen, the result of which will drive larger-scale movements.
3. Fifteen-minute chart: As a short-term trading window, the current strategy should focus on buying on dips, while at key resistance levels, a small position can be attempted for short-term high shorts as a supplement.
Summary: Medium-term bullish, short-term fluctuations. In trading, one should wait for the one-hour chart consolidation to end and for clear breakout signals to operate in the trend direction.
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Recognize your mistakes promptly😀
No way, I finally gathered 300 dollars, and it's you again, with a stop loss of 470. Luckily, it didn't hit. Please come down, once I break even, I won't play with you again, I beg you, it has already crossed, come down, let's just walk away at the cost line.
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In 2025, the 'Trump Effect' turned the market into a jumping monkey. You thought that following the president to buy coins would lead you to the peak of life, but you discovered that he might just be promoting his 'official Meme coin' TRUMP. In the end, your account's volatility curve is even more erratic than his tweets. Congratulations, you have personally participated in a national-level performance art worth 80 billion dollars.
#币圈现状 #行为艺术 #BTC #ETH
#币圈现状 #行为艺术 #BTC #ETH
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To survive in the cryptocurrency circle, you need to know these rules!!
The lightning surge in the cryptocurrency market has caused many newcomers' account curves to show steep upward moments, but in the end, most people's curves will fall at an even faster speed, forming long-term deep pits.
In these years of trading cryptocurrencies, I have seen too many people repeatedly educated by the market. As someone who has been through it, I have summarized these 16 principles that condense practical experience and lessons learned with real money for you. This can help newcomers avoid pitfalls and is also worth self-reflection for veterans. Remember, in this market, surviving is more important than anything else.
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01 Timing the Cycle: The Survival Rules of Bull and Bear Markets
In these years of trading cryptocurrencies, I have seen too many people repeatedly educated by the market. As someone who has been through it, I have summarized these 16 principles that condense practical experience and lessons learned with real money for you. This can help newcomers avoid pitfalls and is also worth self-reflection for veterans. Remember, in this market, surviving is more important than anything else.
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01 Timing the Cycle: The Survival Rules of Bull and Bear Markets
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Technical Analysis: ETH: 4 Hour MACD Energy Bars and Price Form a Clear Top Divergence (indicating that the upward momentum in the market is weakening, and buying power is severely insufficient)
SKDJ: Forms a top divergence around 80, price needs to pay attention to a close below 3090 to confirm the validity of the SKDJ divergence.
One Hour: ETH: Price formed a fair value gap on December 9 at 23:00 (3240--3140) and retraced last night to fill the gap, support level tentatively set at 3140-3125, can lay out a rebound long position, hold short term, stop loss of 3070 as the main#ETH#加密市场反弹
SKDJ: Forms a top divergence around 80, price needs to pay attention to a close below 3090 to confirm the validity of the SKDJ divergence.
One Hour: ETH: Price formed a fair value gap on December 9 at 23:00 (3240--3140) and retraced last night to fill the gap, support level tentatively set at 3140-3125, can lay out a rebound long position, hold short term, stop loss of 3070 as the main#ETH#加密市场反弹
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Why did the US stock market celebrate while the crypto market was 'sorrowful' after the Fed's rate cut?
Market expectations were priced in early, and when the positive news finally arrived, profit-taking by the 'smart money' caused a short-term drop in cryptocurrencies.
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut at 12:00 AM Beijing time on December 11, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.5%-3.75%. This is its third rate cut of the year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points.
After the announcement of the resolution, the US stock market quickly surged, with the Dow Jones index rising by 1%, and the regional bank index, sensitive to interest rates, skyrocketing by 3.3%.
However, the cryptocurrency market played out a completely different script: Bitcoin briefly surged, then quickly fell by more than 2.2%, while Ethereum only saw a slight increase of 1.2%.
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut at 12:00 AM Beijing time on December 11, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.5%-3.75%. This is its third rate cut of the year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points.
After the announcement of the resolution, the US stock market quickly surged, with the Dow Jones index rising by 1%, and the regional bank index, sensitive to interest rates, skyrocketing by 3.3%.
However, the cryptocurrency market played out a completely different script: Bitcoin briefly surged, then quickly fell by more than 2.2%, while Ethereum only saw a slight increase of 1.2%.
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The long-term story of XRP (ETF funds, technical patterns) is quite attractive, but it faces severe selling pressure and resistance in the short term. The market needs a new, strong catalyst (such as a larger favorable event or overall bullish sentiment) to break the current stalemate.
Key focus:
Price levels: Watch for whether it can hold above $2.15 and further challenge $2.20-$2.25; to the downside, pay attention to the two important supports at $2.05 and $2.00.
Capital flow: Continuously monitor the net inflow data of XRP ETF funds, as this directly reflects institutional confidence.
Market sentiment: Pay attention to the impact of subsequent Federal Reserve policies on the overall risk appetite of the cryptocurrency market #加密市场反弹 #Xrp🔥🔥
Key focus:
Price levels: Watch for whether it can hold above $2.15 and further challenge $2.20-$2.25; to the downside, pay attention to the two important supports at $2.05 and $2.00.
Capital flow: Continuously monitor the net inflow data of XRP ETF funds, as this directly reflects institutional confidence.
Market sentiment: Pay attention to the impact of subsequent Federal Reserve policies on the overall risk appetite of the cryptocurrency market #加密市场反弹 #Xrp🔥🔥
B
XRPUSDT
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It is said that the real market has not finished yet, this wave of bull market for ETC has not started, waiting for the doomsday chariot to soar! I am watching you, watching you, staring #ETC
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For traders: Be wary of volatility after the 'expectation realization'. The market has already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut, and the real market drivers come from the dot plot, Powell's tone, and unexpected plans for the balance sheet.
$BTC breaks 100000, $ETH Ethereum skyrockets 4000【Coming Soon】The Federal Reserve's significant decision tonight: Hawkish rate cuts are coming, unprecedented internal divisions! The global financial markets are on high alert for an outbreak!
At 3 AM Beijing time on Thursday, global markets hold their breath — the Federal Reserve is about to announce its latest interest rate decision. The market has generally bet on: a third consecutive rate cut, by 25 basis points, bringing the rate down to 3.5%-3.75%.
But this is not a simple rate cut.
The Federal Reserve is currently experiencing a "serious division": one side fears a deterioration in the job market and calls for continued rate cuts; the other warns of inflation risks, believing that easing has reached its limit.
Thus, a key concept emerges — "hawkish rate cut".
This means: cutting rates while clearly indicating "this may be the last time in the near future".
Focus One: What will Powell say?
The post-meeting statement and Powell's press conference will be crucial for interpreting future policy directions. Goldman Sachs expects the statement may return to cautious wording like "the magnitude and timing of further adjustments", which means the threshold for another rate cut has been significantly raised.
Focus Two: Dot Plot and Internal Voting
The "dot plot" reflecting officials' interest rate predictions will be updated again. It is noteworthy that this vote may see multiple dissenting votes:
· Kansas City Fed President George (who opposed the rate cut last month) is expected to vote against again;
· More than one-third of economists believe St. Louis Fed President Bullard will also oppose, citing concerns over inflation;
· Governor Waller may call for a 50 basis point cut, continuing the "dovish dissent" from the previous two meetings.
Focus Three: Economic Data and Inflation Dilemma
Although the core PCE inflation slightly dropped to 2.8% in September, it still remains significantly above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the job market is beginning to show signs of fatigue: hiring decreased in October, and layoffs increased.
Focus Four: Could the Balance Sheet Shift?
In addition to interest rates, the Federal Reserve may also send another signal: restarting bond purchases (though not on a scale that would be called "quantitative easing"). In October, they just announced the halt of "balance sheet reduction"; now, due to market funding pressures, the purchasing plan may restart.
$ZEC #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
At 3 AM Beijing time on Thursday, global markets hold their breath — the Federal Reserve is about to announce its latest interest rate decision. The market has generally bet on: a third consecutive rate cut, by 25 basis points, bringing the rate down to 3.5%-3.75%.
But this is not a simple rate cut.
The Federal Reserve is currently experiencing a "serious division": one side fears a deterioration in the job market and calls for continued rate cuts; the other warns of inflation risks, believing that easing has reached its limit.
Thus, a key concept emerges — "hawkish rate cut".
This means: cutting rates while clearly indicating "this may be the last time in the near future".
Focus One: What will Powell say?
The post-meeting statement and Powell's press conference will be crucial for interpreting future policy directions. Goldman Sachs expects the statement may return to cautious wording like "the magnitude and timing of further adjustments", which means the threshold for another rate cut has been significantly raised.
Focus Two: Dot Plot and Internal Voting
The "dot plot" reflecting officials' interest rate predictions will be updated again. It is noteworthy that this vote may see multiple dissenting votes:
· Kansas City Fed President George (who opposed the rate cut last month) is expected to vote against again;
· More than one-third of economists believe St. Louis Fed President Bullard will also oppose, citing concerns over inflation;
· Governor Waller may call for a 50 basis point cut, continuing the "dovish dissent" from the previous two meetings.
Focus Three: Economic Data and Inflation Dilemma
Although the core PCE inflation slightly dropped to 2.8% in September, it still remains significantly above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the job market is beginning to show signs of fatigue: hiring decreased in October, and layoffs increased.
Focus Four: Could the Balance Sheet Shift?
In addition to interest rates, the Federal Reserve may also send another signal: restarting bond purchases (though not on a scale that would be called "quantitative easing"). In October, they just announced the halt of "balance sheet reduction"; now, due to market funding pressures, the purchasing plan may restart.
$ZEC #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
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Strict implementation, unity of knowledge and action.
In the cryptocurrency market, from 2000U to 20,000U, you only need to remember three "dead rules." #币圈投资策略
Three months ago, my fan Ah Hui found me. At that time, he only had 2100U in his account, and I gave him a simple method. He persisted for 90 days with a try-it-out attitude and multiplied his funds.
Split the 2100U into 3 parts, each part 700U.
1. Short-term trading: 700U, a maximum of two trades per day, cut losses immediately.
2. Trend trading: 700U, don't release the eagle until you see the rabbit; if the weekly chart is not in an upward trend, play dead.
3. Emergency funds: 700U, specifically for emergencies, replenish immediately on the day of liquidation to ensure you're still at the table.
Investing everything? Don't even think about it; liquidation = "amputation"; you can grow back a finger, but a severed head is the final outcome. Capture only the most advantageous part of the trend, while making small profits through short-term trading during the rest of the time.
A volatile market is like a meat grinder, and it's highly likely to cut you down. My signals are very simple:
1. Daily moving average is not in a bullish arrangement = no position.
2. Volume breaks previous high points + daily close confirmation = first entry.
3. Once profits reach 30% of the principal, immediately withdraw half and set a 10% trailing stop loss on the remaining part.
Remember, there will always be the next wave in the market, no need to rush $WIN
Lock your emotions in a cage, just press the button.
Before going in, write down your “life and death statement”:
- Stop loss at 5%, automatically cut losses at the point, no bargaining.
- Profit at 10%, pull the stop loss to the cost price, the rest is the market's gift. #币圈暴富
Going from 2000U to 20,000U is not about the magic of trading, but about “making fewer mistakes.” The market has opportunities every day, but funds are not always available. First, remember these three dead rules, then study waves, indicators, and charts. Surviving is the key to discussing wealth; if you don't survive, you're just paying others' trading fees. The wealth in the cryptocurrency world never belongs to the fastest runners, but to those who can endure until the end.
If before you were walking alone in the dark at night, now the light is in my hands, always shining 💡 are you following or not?
Three months ago, my fan Ah Hui found me. At that time, he only had 2100U in his account, and I gave him a simple method. He persisted for 90 days with a try-it-out attitude and multiplied his funds.
Split the 2100U into 3 parts, each part 700U.
1. Short-term trading: 700U, a maximum of two trades per day, cut losses immediately.
2. Trend trading: 700U, don't release the eagle until you see the rabbit; if the weekly chart is not in an upward trend, play dead.
3. Emergency funds: 700U, specifically for emergencies, replenish immediately on the day of liquidation to ensure you're still at the table.
Investing everything? Don't even think about it; liquidation = "amputation"; you can grow back a finger, but a severed head is the final outcome. Capture only the most advantageous part of the trend, while making small profits through short-term trading during the rest of the time.
A volatile market is like a meat grinder, and it's highly likely to cut you down. My signals are very simple:
1. Daily moving average is not in a bullish arrangement = no position.
2. Volume breaks previous high points + daily close confirmation = first entry.
3. Once profits reach 30% of the principal, immediately withdraw half and set a 10% trailing stop loss on the remaining part.
Remember, there will always be the next wave in the market, no need to rush $WIN
Lock your emotions in a cage, just press the button.
Before going in, write down your “life and death statement”:
- Stop loss at 5%, automatically cut losses at the point, no bargaining.
- Profit at 10%, pull the stop loss to the cost price, the rest is the market's gift. #币圈暴富
Going from 2000U to 20,000U is not about the magic of trading, but about “making fewer mistakes.” The market has opportunities every day, but funds are not always available. First, remember these three dead rules, then study waves, indicators, and charts. Surviving is the key to discussing wealth; if you don't survive, you're just paying others' trading fees. The wealth in the cryptocurrency world never belongs to the fastest runners, but to those who can endure until the end.
If before you were walking alone in the dark at night, now the light is in my hands, always shining 💡 are you following or not?
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Today, remind yourself to do just one thing: control your own hands and thoughts.
Market trends are never about "capturing every fluctuation" to profit; on the contrary, it's about "giving up those vague and unclear wasted times".
Rather than being repeatedly harvested by emotions in the fluctuating K-lines, it’s better to step aside and enjoy a cup of tea. Wait for the market to find its direction, wait for the clear "effective time" to appear after the competition between bullish and bearish forces.
The crypto world is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is patience and a clear mindset. Today, let those who are anxious gamble; we will remain calm observers.
Sometimes, missing a heart-pounding fluctuation is to ensure you don't miss the next real wave. #美联储重启降息步伐 #BTC #ETH #Self-Trading Cultivation
Market trends are never about "capturing every fluctuation" to profit; on the contrary, it's about "giving up those vague and unclear wasted times".
Rather than being repeatedly harvested by emotions in the fluctuating K-lines, it’s better to step aside and enjoy a cup of tea. Wait for the market to find its direction, wait for the clear "effective time" to appear after the competition between bullish and bearish forces.
The crypto world is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is patience and a clear mindset. Today, let those who are anxious gamble; we will remain calm observers.
Sometimes, missing a heart-pounding fluctuation is to ensure you don't miss the next real wave. #美联储重启降息步伐 #BTC #ETH #Self-Trading Cultivation
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In the crypto world, good news that is too obvious is the most dangerous. When the positive impacts are fully realized, it turns into negative ones; I'm familiar with this lesson. No more guessing, I've reduced my positions and placed orders at several key levels, letting the fluctuations just happen. Brothers, in this kind of market, surviving is victory! #美联储FOMC会议 #BTC #ETH
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"Interest Rate Cuts Land, Market Hits Bottom?": A Survival Guide for Cryptocurrencies Under a Hawkish Rate Cut
Interest rate cuts are just half of the narrative. The real market code is hidden in the other half of the risks.
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1. Current Market Situation: A Long-Awaited Bullish Trample
In December 2025, the Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut of the year was seen as a market gift set in stone. However, this gift did not ignite the anticipated frenzy in the crypto market. Before the announcement, the market exhibited a bizarre calm: Bitcoin was caught in a tight range between $90,000 and $92,000.
In the past 24 hours, market volatility has led to over $500 million in liquidations, forcing many long positions to be closed. This shows that in the face of a nearly 'fully priced' positive sentiment, the market chose to vote with its feet, digesting potential positives in advance and falling into a cautious sentiment of 'too much positivity leads to negativity.'
---
1. Current Market Situation: A Long-Awaited Bullish Trample
In December 2025, the Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut of the year was seen as a market gift set in stone. However, this gift did not ignite the anticipated frenzy in the crypto market. Before the announcement, the market exhibited a bizarre calm: Bitcoin was caught in a tight range between $90,000 and $92,000.
In the past 24 hours, market volatility has led to over $500 million in liquidations, forcing many long positions to be closed. This shows that in the face of a nearly 'fully priced' positive sentiment, the market chose to vote with its feet, digesting potential positives in advance and falling into a cautious sentiment of 'too much positivity leads to negativity.'
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