Just now, the live broadcast of the short position at 3130. Those who haven't exited can take profits around the current price of 3110. Old Chen has already withdrawn; this position is no longer valid. Brothers who made a profit, remember to like the post and share the live broadcast more. Thank you all. #ETH走势分析
Old Chen's die-hard fans all know that I never join the crowd. When 99% of people are struggling in the mud of Bitcoin at $90,000 and Ethereum at $3,000, the market's gun has already aimed at that forgotten corner - ZEC. In fact, Old Chen has been live-streaming about this coin. When mainstream coins are too scared to move before the Federal Reserve meeting, and over 90,000 traders are bloodily liquidated, the smart money has already completed its repositioning.
Reverse decoding: Why is every墨迹行情(ZEC market) a showcase for ZEC? Don't be brainwashed anymore! Funds never sleep; they only flow from crowded places to those with huge expected differences. This time, ZEC's script is exactly the same as every time in history:
Why is the cryptocurrency market suddenly impotent as interest rate cuts approach? Old Chen breaks three fatal illusions!
Last night's market doused cold water on all traders eagerly anticipating an interest rate cut. Although the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will officially be announced at 3 AM Beijing time on Thursday, the market fluctuations last night were like a precise trailer, prematurely revealing the harsh core of this macroeconomic drama. Let’s first take a look at the plot of this trailer: the market seems like a runner injected with stimulants, muscles tense and heart racing due to expectations of interest rate cuts before the resolution is announced. However, any hint of news can cause this overly excited runner's muscles to spasm and stumble. Last night's sharp rise and fall is the most typical manifestation of 'anticipation anxiety'—the market is paying for potential disappointments with its decline.
3100 basic has been reached, with a short position of 40 points taken.
Brothers in the live room who followed this wave of rhythm can take profits on their own. Remember to like if you made a profit, thank you all for your support🤝#ETH走势分析
Margin Call Warning! ETH Main Cost Zone Exposed: This range has accumulated 2,600,000 chips and has become a dead zone.
Dear friends, Old Chen is here. In the past week, Erbing's trend could be described as a fierce operation like a tiger, and upon closer inspection, we found ourselves stuck in place, causing both bulls and bears to exclaim that their hearts couldn't take it. The market has completely followed the script we laid out last week, which once again proves that in this market, logic is more important than emotion, and discipline is more reliable than luck. Next, Old Chen will thoroughly break down the core logic behind this roller coaster market and provide a clear strategy to cope with the current stagnant situation. Macroeconomic double-edged sword: The chain reaction of Japan's interest rate hike and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut.
Today I got off work early, friends. Those who want to open positions should wait for the US stock market to open. If it rebounds to the 3150-3180 range and shows no significant volume, then we can take a short position. If you don't understand, feel free to message me. #ETH走势分析
Tonight's September PCE data, in my view, is a ballast in the current chaotic market. Global liquidity seems to have one foot on the gas (the U.S. may cut interest rates) and one foot on the brakes (Japan is certain to raise interest rates). This rare policy divergence has caused the market to lose direction in the short term.
Therefore, the significance of tonight's data lies in confirming which way the U.S. foot is actually stepping. Currently, the market bets that the probability of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve is as high as about 87%. So, the core logic for tonight is very simple: as long as the data does not exceed expectations, significantly higher than the expected 2.9%, it will pave the way for the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision. This will offset some of the panic caused by Japan's interest rate hike, providing underlying liquidity support for risk assets.
In terms of short-term impact, one must be wary of volatility from expectations being fulfilled. If the data meets or falls below expectations, one must guard against short-term selling pressure from positive news being fully priced in; if unexpectedly strong, it may reinforce tightening concerns and exacerbate declines. However, in the face of the larger narrative of U.S. rate cuts, any short-term declines caused by data could become an opportunity for mid-term positioning.
In summary, don't let a single piece of data lead you by the nose. Understanding the broader picture of U.S.-Japan monetary policy is essential to holding onto your positions. Follow Lao Chen and penetrate the fog. #美联储重启降息步伐
Bank of Japan Tightens Liquidity, Global Panic? Old Chen: Don't Panic, This Rate Hike Might Be the Biggest Smoke Bomb in the Crypto World!
Brothers, I am Old Chen. Early this morning, I was again updated by a significant piece of news: Bank of America predicts that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to 0.75% in December, and then every six months thereafter! Looking at this momentum, the last holdout of global central bank easing is also preparing to tighten the tap.
Many newcomers immediately feel weak in the knees: It's over, global liquidity is tightening, isn't Bitcoin going to crash? The panic sentiment in the market does indeed have that flavor now. But Old Chen tells you, things are not that simple. Today, I will break it down for you in plain language, whether this is truly bad news or just another smoke bomb of expectations management.
Did Ethereum Perform a Great Miracle Last Night? Old Chen Exclusively Reveals the Truth Behind the Unbreakable 3240!
Last night, Ethereum repeatedly charged at the 3240 dollar mark but returned in vain, and at dawn, a needle directly pierced the abyss of 3060—if you are still in shock at this moment, or if you find this rollercoaster market hard to understand, then today’s article is written for you. I am Old Chen, a veteran in the cryptocurrency world who has experienced the ups and downs for many years, accustomed to the wild fluctuations. Today, I won’t talk about vague analyses; I will give you the most direct truth, the most practical strategies, and my clearest views on the future market. A Night of Terror: Why 3240 Became an Insurmountable Wall of Sighs?
Brothers, it's time to rise! Those who added positions around 3140 should have fully profited. Everyone should act according to their own judgment! Currently, there is a profit of 30 points in hand, those who are conservative can withdraw if they want, and the aggressive ones can set a trailing stop to aim for 3240! #ETH走势分析
The US dollar has weakened, interest rate cuts are stable, and good days in the cryptocurrency world are coming.
Brothers, I am Lao Chen. How do you feel about the market these days? Do you feel like the US dollar has been drained, while Bitcoin and Ethereum are secretly getting stronger? That's right! The script is unfolding just as we expected.
The core message is simple: the US economic data is disappointing, delivering a necessary signal for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The ADP employment data fell short of expectations, and price pressures in the service sector have eased. Every piece of bad news is a negative for the traditional economy, but for those hoping for monetary easing in the cryptocurrency world, it’s a golden opportunity.
The market is now pricing in an 85% probability of an interest rate cut in December. This is no longer just an expectation; it is a trading consensus written in real money. A weak dollar means global capital is voting with its feet, pulling out of dollar assets in advance and looking for the next reservoir. Tell me, besides the stock market, what other pool has better liquidity, greater elasticity, and a more appealing story than our cryptocurrency world?
So, don’t be scared by minor pullbacks in the market. A weak dollar and rising expectations for interest rate cuts are trend-driven tailwinds that can last for months. Every decent pullback is the market offering you cheap chips. Hold on, and wait for the tide to come. #美联储重启降息步伐
Late night surge of 200 points, Ethereum soars alone! Should we short now? Old Chen advises you not to catch this falling knife.
Brothers, the market has given us another lesson! Last night Bitcoin was still dragging its feet, but Ethereum seemed to be equipped with a rocket, soaring nearly 200 points overnight, with the price shooting above $3200. Old Chen's hint from yesterday has once again proven true.
This wave of strong attacks is not complicated: the powder of good news has piled up, just waiting for a fuse. Last night this fuse was ignited - the expectation of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates is getting hotter, and the market is betting that the tap will soon be turned on, with money flowing rapidly into high-risk assets. Coupled with the mountain of debt in the United States, concerns about money losing its value are forcing smart money to seek new exits. Moreover, Ethereum's own Fusaka upgrade is like giving this world computer a stronger engine, making its long-term value more stable. With favorable timing and conditions, if it doesn’t rise, who will?
8 consecutive wins have been interrupted. The long position was stopped out this evening! Today was an unpleasant end to the workday, sorry brothers, let's do better tomorrow! #加密市场观察
9:15 Tonight! ADP data is about to explode the market, Old Chen will analyze the 'expectation game' in three steps.
Everyone, stop the pointless guessing! At 9:15 tonight, the crucial data that determines the market's life or death is about to explode.
The data itself is already clear; what is truly deadly is how it tears apart expectations and rewrites the script. I am Old Chen, no beating around the bush, I will take you through the essence in three steps to deal with the upheaval. Core interpretation: What is the key to tonight's data? This data (ADP employment) is expected to increase by 10000 people. The market's low expectation itself indicates that 'betting on a cooling job market and the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates faster' has already become a consensus. So, the core of tonight is not whether the data is good or not, but the gap between the actual published value vs market expectations (10000 people).