小莹Angela
资深币安韭菜小姐姐⭐专业链上数据研究🌺交易教学
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❀ Search chat ID:yy0909 add me as a chat friend☆
Use Binance chat + search yy0909 to share more trading tutorials
Or scan the code to join my "Rich People's Gathering" trading exchange group❀❀
Use Binance chat + search yy0909 to share more trading tutorials
Or scan the code to join my "Rich People's Gathering" trading exchange group❀❀
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#BTC走势分析
According to today's (December 14) market data
Intraday market trend and current market situation
Core price position
Intraday trend: The market continues to weaken, and the price has dropped below $89,000.
Key resistance: $92,000 - $94,000. This is a crucial area that determines the short-term direction, and a breakout may open up upside potential.
Important support: $89,000 - $89,100. The price has dropped below this area, with the next level of support around $88,000.
Core characteristics of the market
Main viewpoint: The market structure is not favorable for a significant rise, spot demand (such as ETF fund flows) is weak, and there is ongoing selling pressure from long-term holders.
Volume and sentiment: Trading volume has significantly shrunk, market participation is low, and sentiment is cautious.
Volatility expectations: Short-term volatility indicators have risen, and the options market shows that traders are positioning for potential volatility events.
Technical analysis and key levels observation
Resistance area ($92,000-$94,000): This is the focal point of the current bull-bear struggle. Analysts point out that if Bitcoin can effectively break through this area, it may open the path to $100,000. Conversely, if it continues to face resistance, downward pressure will increase.
Support area (around $89,000)**: The support has been breached today. You need to closely monitor whether the price can quickly recover; if a confirmed effective break occurs, it may further test **$88,000 or even lower.
Technical pattern: Some analysts indicate that the current price is compressed within the range of $86,000** to **$100,000. There are also views mentioning that after a high-level fluctuation, the price is gradually descending, forming a downward channel in the short term.
Short-term market outlook and key points of attention
Overall, the market may maintain low volatility and narrow fluctuations before the end of the year. The short-term direction will depend on the following factors:
1. The key to the bull-bear contest
Demand vs. Selling: Price movements depend on the two forces of weak ETF demand and ongoing selling from long-term holders, and which one prevails.
2. Macro and time factors
Holiday effect: As the Western Christmas holiday approaches, market activity may further decline, which is a seasonal characteristic at the end of the year.
Macroeconomic policy: Although the Federal Reserve's December meeting has passed, the market may remain attentive to future interest rate paths and political factors such as the U.S. elections.
According to today's (December 14) market data
Intraday market trend and current market situation
Core price position
Intraday trend: The market continues to weaken, and the price has dropped below $89,000.
Key resistance: $92,000 - $94,000. This is a crucial area that determines the short-term direction, and a breakout may open up upside potential.
Important support: $89,000 - $89,100. The price has dropped below this area, with the next level of support around $88,000.
Core characteristics of the market
Main viewpoint: The market structure is not favorable for a significant rise, spot demand (such as ETF fund flows) is weak, and there is ongoing selling pressure from long-term holders.
Volume and sentiment: Trading volume has significantly shrunk, market participation is low, and sentiment is cautious.
Volatility expectations: Short-term volatility indicators have risen, and the options market shows that traders are positioning for potential volatility events.
Technical analysis and key levels observation
Resistance area ($92,000-$94,000): This is the focal point of the current bull-bear struggle. Analysts point out that if Bitcoin can effectively break through this area, it may open the path to $100,000. Conversely, if it continues to face resistance, downward pressure will increase.
Support area (around $89,000)**: The support has been breached today. You need to closely monitor whether the price can quickly recover; if a confirmed effective break occurs, it may further test **$88,000 or even lower.
Technical pattern: Some analysts indicate that the current price is compressed within the range of $86,000** to **$100,000. There are also views mentioning that after a high-level fluctuation, the price is gradually descending, forming a downward channel in the short term.
Short-term market outlook and key points of attention
Overall, the market may maintain low volatility and narrow fluctuations before the end of the year. The short-term direction will depend on the following factors:
1. The key to the bull-bear contest
Demand vs. Selling: Price movements depend on the two forces of weak ETF demand and ongoing selling from long-term holders, and which one prevails.
2. Macro and time factors
Holiday effect: As the Western Christmas holiday approaches, market activity may further decline, which is a seasonal characteristic at the end of the year.
Macroeconomic policy: Although the Federal Reserve's December meeting has passed, the market may remain attentive to future interest rate paths and political factors such as the U.S. elections.
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The Risks of Investment by Y Chromosome Carriers
Overconfidence in investing is very bad, and this problem is particularly common among males.
Women may be better investors,
Let me explain the reasons with male confidence
Ron Lieber
Merrill and Lynch are male, Goldman and Sachs are male, Schwab and Hutton are also male. Gordon Gekko is an "alpha male investor", not to mention the "Wolf of Wall Street" Jordan Belfort. Whether hero or villain, winner or loser, real or fictional, these iconic investors are very, very pure males. But this is actually a misconception - because it turns out women are often better at investing.
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After consuming the news last night, were you trapped?
Good morning everyone, I am Xiao Ying. How are you all after Master Bao?
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision has been surrounded by noise in the past half month, so I want to use the market sentiment from Ethereum's performance early this morning to kick off our topic.
This topic is a bit long: use technical analysis to dominate your trading system, with news as a reference and defense, for example, effectively utilizing trend-following indicators over relying on news.
This morning I saw many people in the square trapped at high positions without escaping; I really couldn't help but say that many times the news significantly affects one’s judgment ability, blinding them. I myself have also been trapped in losses due to overinterpreting the news and using it to negate technical analysis for trading. Knowing full well the numerous traps in the news, I still took the gamble and walked into the pitfall. This is a lesson and a warning in trading. The truth is something everyone slowly realizes, slowly reviewing their past trades to see if similar situations existed.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision has been surrounded by noise in the past half month, so I want to use the market sentiment from Ethereum's performance early this morning to kick off our topic.
This topic is a bit long: use technical analysis to dominate your trading system, with news as a reference and defense, for example, effectively utilizing trend-following indicators over relying on news.
This morning I saw many people in the square trapped at high positions without escaping; I really couldn't help but say that many times the news significantly affects one’s judgment ability, blinding them. I myself have also been trapped in losses due to overinterpreting the news and using it to negate technical analysis for trading. Knowing full well the numerous traps in the news, I still took the gamble and walked into the pitfall. This is a lesson and a warning in trading. The truth is something everyone slowly realizes, slowly reviewing their past trades to see if similar situations existed.
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To be honest, I think this guy is really a bit crazy😌
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What do we see here?🥹
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Is a rate cut equal to 'increase' really that simple?
Is it really that simple? 'Rate cuts = increases'? The Fed's interest rate decisions affect the crypto market through several channels.
The first is the US dollar. A rate cut means a decrease in the yield of dollar-denominated assets, and funds will seek other destinations. When the dollar weakens, dollar-denominated assets (including BTC) tend to perform better.
The second is liquidity. In a low interest rate environment, the cost of borrowing is low, and there is more money in the market, some of which will flow into risk assets. The bull market from 2020 to 2021 was largely a result of the Fed's unlimited quantitative easing.
The third is risk appetite. When the Fed releases dovish signals, investors are more willing to take on risks, and funds flow from bonds and money market funds into stocks and cryptocurrencies; conversely, hawkish signals cause funds to flow back into safe assets.
The first is the US dollar. A rate cut means a decrease in the yield of dollar-denominated assets, and funds will seek other destinations. When the dollar weakens, dollar-denominated assets (including BTC) tend to perform better.
The second is liquidity. In a low interest rate environment, the cost of borrowing is low, and there is more money in the market, some of which will flow into risk assets. The bull market from 2020 to 2021 was largely a result of the Fed's unlimited quantitative easing.
The third is risk appetite. When the Fed releases dovish signals, investors are more willing to take on risks, and funds flow from bonds and money market funds into stocks and cryptocurrencies; conversely, hawkish signals cause funds to flow back into safe assets.
🎙️ BTC/ETH行情分析，熊转牛即将来临？小白基地！
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05 h 11 m 02 s
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"The Federal Reserve faces a typical dual mandate conflict"
The market holds its breath for the 'delayed judgment': September PCE will be revealed tonight. If inflation remains sticky, will it shake the consensus for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week?
Wall Street expects that the Federal Reserve's preferred core PCE price index will rise by 2.8% year-on-year in September, potentially reaching the highest level since April 2024, highlighting sticky inflation. Nevertheless, due to significant pressure from weakening employment, the market still anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week with a probability as high as 87%. Analysts believe that if PCE inflation meets expectations, rate cut expectations will strengthen, and the year-end Christmas rally is likely to continue. After experiencing a volatile November, U.S. stocks are approaching historical highs again. However, behind this rebound, investor sentiment is not easy: on one hand, inflation is slow to decline, and on the other hand, the job market is gradually cooling, with macro signals being contradictory.
Wall Street expects that the Federal Reserve's preferred core PCE price index will rise by 2.8% year-on-year in September, potentially reaching the highest level since April 2024, highlighting sticky inflation. Nevertheless, due to significant pressure from weakening employment, the market still anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week with a probability as high as 87%. Analysts believe that if PCE inflation meets expectations, rate cut expectations will strengthen, and the year-end Christmas rally is likely to continue. After experiencing a volatile November, U.S. stocks are approaching historical highs again. However, behind this rebound, investor sentiment is not easy: on one hand, inflation is slow to decline, and on the other hand, the job market is gradually cooling, with macro signals being contradictory.
🎙️ 行情分析，看跌？看涨？欢迎小白
End
02 h 11 m 04 s
671
👀
[Replay] 🎙️ 日内分析，跟单策略，麻吉来到直播间
03 h 40 m 45 s · 1.8k listens
🎙️ 日内分析，跟单策略，麻吉来到直播间
End
03 h 40 m 45 s
1.6k
🎙️ 日内分析，看涨？看跌？跟单的来，小白免费教学
End
05 h 01 m 42 s
2k
666
#美国非农数据超预期
If you can't make money in the crypto space, then first learn to lose less!
If you lose, you owe an apology to your family or you might consider jumping off a building or delivering takeout.
1. Position management: If you lack skills, don't go all in; if you're good at making profits, even ants are meat, no matter how much you invest, you'll make money.
2. Follow the trend, don’t follow the K-line! If the big trend is down, go short; if the big trend is up, go long!
3. Set a proper stop loss and execute it strictly. Set the stop loss below the support level or above the resistance level. If your stop loss is hit, it means you made a wrong decision. Many people stubbornly refuse to change and end up losing everything by averaging down.
4. If there’s no market and the trend hasn’t formed, don’t enter. If you can't control yourself, spend a few tens of U to play with altcoins.
5. Don’t invest large sums in altcoins unless you want to become a shareholder! If it’s not decentralized, it’s considered controllable. When you play with the market makers, what do you think your odds of winning are?
6. Avoid so-called projects; good projects are not for you.
No amount of persuasion will change that. Instead of losing money, come learn some skills from me.
If you can't make money in the crypto space, then first learn to lose less!
If you lose, you owe an apology to your family or you might consider jumping off a building or delivering takeout.
1. Position management: If you lack skills, don't go all in; if you're good at making profits, even ants are meat, no matter how much you invest, you'll make money.
2. Follow the trend, don’t follow the K-line! If the big trend is down, go short; if the big trend is up, go long!
3. Set a proper stop loss and execute it strictly. Set the stop loss below the support level or above the resistance level. If your stop loss is hit, it means you made a wrong decision. Many people stubbornly refuse to change and end up losing everything by averaging down.
4. If there’s no market and the trend hasn’t formed, don’t enter. If you can't control yourself, spend a few tens of U to play with altcoins.
5. Don’t invest large sums in altcoins unless you want to become a shareholder! If it’s not decentralized, it’s considered controllable. When you play with the market makers, what do you think your odds of winning are?
6. Avoid so-called projects; good projects are not for you.
No amount of persuasion will change that. Instead of losing money, come learn some skills from me.
💰
Quoted content has been removed
🎙️ 涨粉+深造 资源共享：三步达成卓越 加入我们 共建繁荣币安广场
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02 h 45 m 31 s
8.1k
👏🏻
[Replay] 🎙️ 周末震荡吃波段~100呗50苍Allin，翻仓干鲸鱼！
03 h 05 m 20 s · 1.2k listens
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#美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币波动性
For the world, "protecting the market" has the Federal Reserve "surrendered"?
"Last night, the eyes of people around the world were closely watching the opening of the U.S. stock market. If the situation was not good, investors would be ready to press the sell button and exit the market at any moment. Unexpectedly, the Federal Reserve surrendered first. Just two hours before the opening, New York Fed President Williams gave a speech: he indicated that there would be a possibility of interest rate cuts in the short term. Williams is the most "hawkish" senior official of the Federal Reserve, and his signals are equivalent to indicating that the Federal Reserve has one foot already in the rate-cutting path. Moreover, he also stated that the market is very optimistic about artificial intelligence and expects a period of strong growth. This is very clear; this hawkish official has come out to "protect the market" for U.S. stocks. There were other officials who also spoke out. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Clarida similarly supported that AI has real profitability. He believes that the U.S. stock market is unlikely to repeat the scenario of the late 1990s Internet bubble crash. Federal Reserve Governor Mester was even more blunt, stating that if the vote becomes a key vote, he will support a 25 basis point rate cut. Federal Reserve officials have collectively taken a stand, openly supporting AI, releasing signals for rate cuts. As a result of this strong influence, the probability of a rate cut in December has increased to over 50%, while before it was only 27%. After they spoke, the price of gold rose nearly $50, avoiding further declines, and BTC also temporarily halted its drop, hovering around $83,000. Subsequently, the three major U.S. stock indices opened higher and quickly rose in the midst of fluctuations. Ultimately, the U.S. stock market did not disappoint. If it maintains its upward or stable trend, this global storm may be calmed. If it cannot hold on and falls back down at the end of the trading session, then the market may enter an unimaginable situation. So, what about next week? Will U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies rebound? What do you think?
?
For the world, "protecting the market" has the Federal Reserve "surrendered"?
"Last night, the eyes of people around the world were closely watching the opening of the U.S. stock market. If the situation was not good, investors would be ready to press the sell button and exit the market at any moment. Unexpectedly, the Federal Reserve surrendered first. Just two hours before the opening, New York Fed President Williams gave a speech: he indicated that there would be a possibility of interest rate cuts in the short term. Williams is the most "hawkish" senior official of the Federal Reserve, and his signals are equivalent to indicating that the Federal Reserve has one foot already in the rate-cutting path. Moreover, he also stated that the market is very optimistic about artificial intelligence and expects a period of strong growth. This is very clear; this hawkish official has come out to "protect the market" for U.S. stocks. There were other officials who also spoke out. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Clarida similarly supported that AI has real profitability. He believes that the U.S. stock market is unlikely to repeat the scenario of the late 1990s Internet bubble crash. Federal Reserve Governor Mester was even more blunt, stating that if the vote becomes a key vote, he will support a 25 basis point rate cut. Federal Reserve officials have collectively taken a stand, openly supporting AI, releasing signals for rate cuts. As a result of this strong influence, the probability of a rate cut in December has increased to over 50%, while before it was only 27%. After they spoke, the price of gold rose nearly $50, avoiding further declines, and BTC also temporarily halted its drop, hovering around $83,000. Subsequently, the three major U.S. stock indices opened higher and quickly rose in the midst of fluctuations. Ultimately, the U.S. stock market did not disappoint. If it maintains its upward or stable trend, this global storm may be calmed. If it cannot hold on and falls back down at the end of the trading session, then the market may enter an unimaginable situation. So, what about next week? Will U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies rebound? What do you think?
?
看涨
47%
看跌
53%
232 votes • Voting closed
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Family, come and grab the 20U red envelope 🥰🥰🥰🧧❤❤❤💰💰💰💰🌹🌹🌹
🎙️ 行情分析，今日走势何去何从？
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03 h 19 m 15 s
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