I now understand that improving oneself in the crypto world is not about learning to read K-lines, but about learning to give myself a slap in the face the moment the impulse of "I think this coin will rise" emerges. It's not about studying support and resistance; it's about understanding why I always want to catch the bottom. It's not about learning money management; it's about learning how to control that hand that always wants to click "open position". I uninstalled TradingView and installed a meditation APP. It didn't help; I still want to open positions. But at least now I know that my enemy is not the market; it's that illusion in my head that "I can predict". That's the real alpha; everything else is nonsense. $ETH
Watched three hours of high-quality macroeconomic analysis. The expert's conclusion is: bullish in the long term, volatile in the short term, the Federal Reserve may raise or lower interest rates. Listening to your words, wasted three hours. $ETH
Everyone in my friend circle is flaunting those several times returns from the 'golden dogs', and the group chat is flooded with codes; everyone seems to be making money. To be honest, I didn't join in. It's not that I don't want to earn, but the scar from being stuck at the mountain top last time hasn't healed yet. Don't talk about 'value investing' or 'sector analysis'; admit it, in the face of this kind of hot topic, we are just gambling. Watching that green line shoot up makes my hands tremble; I want to chase it but fear being buried. That kind of inner turmoil is harder to bear than a breakup. I used to think I could understand candlestick charts, but now I realize that in this circle, luck often works better than brains. Sometimes, after researching a white paper all night, it's better than someone else gambling on a meme code with their eyes closed. This sense of powerlessness is quite tormenting.
I just removed that 10x rising Shiba Inu (Meme) from my watchlist.
It's not that I don't have faith in $DOGE , but I'm afraid that if I look one more time, I won't be able to swallow the freshly cooked instant noodles. Having been in this circle for a long time, the biggest realization is not 'cognitive improvement,' but rather becoming increasingly honest with myself: 1. Admit that luck is more important than skill. I stayed up for three days researching white papers and cross-chain technology, but the returns are still not as good as my friends blindly investing in an animal meme. There's no logic to it; acknowledging this absurdity makes me feel a bit better. 2. The so-called 'pattern' is all constructed through being trapped. Stop talking about 'long-termism.' The real psychological activity is often: when it drops, we can't bear to sell, and when it rises a bit, we're afraid of missing out. We have no firm beliefs; it's all just emotions kidnapped by candlestick charts.
The recent decline in the crypto market has led many to think they are buying the dip, only to end up buying their own bottom. When the market is in panic, humanity swings between greed and fear. Looking back at history: Bitcoin fell to $3,000 in 2018, but those who held on to their belief in the bottom witnessed a peak of $69,000 in 2021; Ethereum's price was sluggish before the 2.0 upgrade, but investors who adhered to the technological vision are now reaping double returns; Dogecoin has transformed from a 'joke currency' to a hundredfold increase due to community power. True buying the dip is not about hitting the lowest price, but about buying into the belief in the future of blockchain. If you dare to hold your cards tightly in a storm, it's because you see the power of technological innovation and consensus. Every decline filters out the souls that truly resonate with it. $BTC
Recently, this wave of decline... I don't know how to describe it, I just feel like I've been thrown hard to the ground, so much that even the pain feels numb. I've lost too much, so much that now when I see numbers, I feel a bit indifferent.
It's not heartbreak, it's more like my heart has been hollowed out, so empty that I can hear the echo inside.
I've been asking myself repeatedly these days: "What exactly am I holding on to?" By the end, I was a bit afraid to ask anymore. Because the answer... seems to be gone.
The more the market falls, the less I know who I am, the less I know whether I'm investing, or just using money to fill something deeper.
When it was rising, I could talk a lot, about faith, about long-term, about trends, about cycles. Now looking back— that was not composure at all, that was an illusion during the tailwind. Only when it falls do I realize that I'm actually not steady at all.
This drop, it's like someone suddenly turned off all the lights in my heart. All at once, complete darkness. I can't find the direction, and I don’t know where to go.
Every time the red refreshes, it feels like a reminder: "Look, you still haven't prepared."
At times like this, people show their truest versions: • Some can remain steady like a rock. • Some can shut off all hope in a second. • And then there are people like me, who want to leave but can't, want to stay but don't know what the meaning is, stuck in midair, unable to go up or down.
I've found that, the more I lose, the less I dare to move. It's like I'm afraid that if I move again, I'll just shatter completely.
Someone asked me: "Can you still hold on?" I don't know. I really don't know. Now I can't even grasp my own emotions, it feels like holding water in my hands, the more I try to steady it, the more it leaks.
The market walks in darkness, so do I. The only thing I can be sure of is: when the storm comes, it's not about whether you're strong or not, it's about whether you have the courage to admit that you're actually very weak.
At this point of loss, I admit I really can’t hold on much longer. It's not that I don't have money, it’s that my heart is tired. Tired to the point where saying a complete sentence feels laborious.
But I haven't left, I don't know why, it might be that last bit of silly hope, or maybe I just don't want this experience to only result in the two words "give up". $ETH
"Long-termism" = It's embarrassing to be stuck "Buddhist-style holding" = No money to add positions "Pattern opened" = Price has fallen below cost "Grateful to the project party" = Just broke even, hurry and run $BTC $ETH
Today, standing in front of the supermarket shelves, I spent 5 minutes deciding which soy sauce to buy. It's not because I'm picky, but because I subconsciously believe: this choice will make my quality of life today different. That's how people are, wasting their desire for control over life on soy sauce.
Analysis related to the FMC interest rate cut meeting (2 AM the day after tomorrow, October meeting)
Probability of interest rate cut: The probability of this FMC interest rate cut is as high as 99.3%. Historical market reference (last year): During the interest rate cut period from September 17 to 18, the market declined before the meeting and then rose for 11 consecutive days afterward, followed by a correction; during the interest rate cut period from November 6 to 7, the market declined before the meeting, and after that, Bitcoin reached its peak before entering a correction phase. Market forecast for this meeting: bearish in the short term before the meeting; overall optimistic after the meeting, with potential for upward movement. Supporting factors include the golden cross at the bottom of the indicators, the drop in gold prices due to interest rate cuts, the positive performance of U.S. stocks, and favorable news regarding U.S.-China negotiations.
JPM has completely knelt! + OpenSea finally launched its token! Today is truly a historic moment…
Brothers, two monumental events from the 'in our lifetime' series have exploded today! News One: Wall Street veterans have completely surrendered! Bloomberg just revealed (100% authentic) that JPMorgan (yes, the same JPMorgan whose CEO is always criticizing BTC) will allow institutional clients to use $BTC and $ETH as collateral for loans by the end of the year! Do you understand? This is not just 'adoption'; this is treating Bitcoin and Ethereum as a level of 'hard currency' on par with gold and US Treasuries! Back then, those who said BTC was a 'fraud' are now scrambling for it. What a slap in the face... Tsk tsk. These Wall Street folks are always living examples of the 'I told you so' law.
$BTC and $ETH continue to fluctuate at low levels during the day, feeling lifeless. This kind of market is the most exhausting, just to shake off the indecisive chips!