Is the recent continuous decline of Bitcoin a bear trap in the bull market? Firstly, Bitcoin has risen to a high point of 120,000 without a real pullback, and under the global economic environment trending towards easing, I more believe this is a bear trap. The US non-farm data for September is too lagging, and the data for October and November will inevitably be weak due to the impact of the US government shutdown, coupled with the fact that Federal Reserve Chair Powell will resign mid-next year. The broad easing economic environment has already become a foregone conclusion, not to mention that the Federal Reserve has actually started expanding its balance sheet in the past two months. $BTC $ETH #美国非农数据超预期 #鲍威尔发言
$FIL fil The future outlook for one year ahead is as follows: 1. The storage leader is undoubtedly far ahead of AR. 2. The number of holders has reached more than 3.7 million. 3. The total amount is 200,000, with approximately 60 million from unlocked project investors. It will be fully unlocked in the next 11 months. 4. Currently in circulation: 793 million pieces, pledged: 110 million pieces, destroyed: 41 million pieces. Actual circulation is 793 million. 5. Node stability is around 1130 with some fluctuations. 6. Grayscale holdings: 2.21 million, other institutions' holdings are unclear. Grayscale AI fund's FIL proportion: 13.4%. Gradually increasing. 7. The project team: has been working (selling coins), previously over 95% of stored data was junk documents, but in the future, more coins will be earned, and now there is real storage, leading to decreasing miner profits. Miners have seriously exited in recent years, but it has gradually stabilized over the past six months. The inflation of coin prices in the early stages was very serious, and after several years of cleansing, it has gradually stabilized to around 2u-3u. 2026 is the year of AI explosion, and it is a year when widespread capital enters the market. The demand for storage is enormous, and the price of hard disk storage has risen significantly; orders for 2026 have already been sold out. Water will reach FIL here. This has led to a rise in prices earlier to absorb chips from institutions, followed by suppression of coin prices to wash out retail investors. This is also to maintain a slightly lower price, allowing real demand manufacturers to gradually understand FIL in the early stage. Subsequently, the coin price will definitely explode. After eleven months, the daily increase of FIL will only be around 60,000 for miners. Next year, it will not be a bear market, as liquidity is everywhere. Prices below 2u are really up to you to manage! The above is my personal analysis.
The impact of the AI bubble in the United States on Bitcoin is inevitable in the short term $BTC $ETH
150倍秒速猛男
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Bullish
#山寨爆发 Altcoins have exploded this week. BTC has just stabilized, but after all, BTC has been rising for quite some time, and there is still a possibility of a pullback before the U.S. government reopens. During this period, it is estimated to hover around one hundred thousand, which has given altcoins time to run rampant. $BTC However, it feels like the AI bubble in the U.S. will burst sooner or later, and I hope it won't crash the crypto market at that time.
#降息预期 #山寨的春天 #fil Interest rate cuts may be delayed, is this wave of imitation the last carnival? I hope the cryptocurrency market remains strong! $BTC $FIL $ETH