The wisdom of prudent trading to encourage each other
Dear fans and friends: When you step into the magnificent financial market, you may harbor a desire for wealth and a vision for the future. The market is like a vast ocean, containing endless opportunities while also concealing turbulent currents. To successfully navigate this ocean rather than drift with the tide, we need a time-tested navigation chart and the art of sailing. Please allow me to share with you some core maxims regarding prudent trading: always have a goal in trading, control your position size, set take-profit and stop-loss orders, follow the trend primarily, use technical analysis as a supplement, and leverage profits through compound interest.
Brothers, hold onto your low-magnification chips. The government opening at the end of the month is equivalent to a rate cut, adding to the expectations of a rate cut in December. Now is the time to go long.
The government opening the door will be another wave of harvesting
森森淼淼
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A few days ago, I secured the low-multiplication contracts that I bought at the bottom. With the government reopening at the end of the month and the expectation of an interest rate cut in December, the imitation season has arrived. Stay steady.
Is the crash an illusion? $100,000 Bitcoin reveals "greedy bottom fishing," only one last push for the altcoin season to explode!
Is the market still in panic? On-chain data exposes the truth: Bitcoin whales haven't withdrawn at all; instead, they are buying more as the price drops! Despite the price being repeatedly strangled at $103,000, while short-term selling pressure is released, long-term whales are madly accumulating chips.
Key URPD data reveals the mystery: 2.35 million Bitcoins are piled up in the range of $104,500-$111,000, forming a "high-pressure door frame." Once the volume breaks through, there will be no limit above! Meanwhile, $93,500 has become an iron bottom, with strong support.
The technical aspect has shown a turning point. The RSI three-line indicator is deeply entrenched in the oversold zone, with rebound momentum accumulating. Coupled with the government reopening at the end of the month + expectations of a rate cut in December, the liquidity gate may restart.
The "altcoin season" is quietly approaching. Historical patterns indicate that Bitcoin stabilizing is a signal for the altcoin frenzy. Institutional funds are secretly laying out positions in high-elasticity sectors such as AI, RWA, and Layer2, just waiting for Bitcoin to generate a strong bullish line, and the market will instantly switch to "celebration mode"!
Don't let the volatility shake you out—pullbacks in a bull market are gifts from God. Focus on breaking key levels and set up potential altcoins in advance; this time, don't miss out!
A few days ago, I secured the low-multiplication contracts that I bought at the bottom. With the government reopening at the end of the month and the expectation of an interest rate cut in December, the imitation season has arrived. Stay steady.
The U.S. Government Shutdown Ends + Rate Cut Expectations Resurge, Is Under $100,000 Actually the “Bear Trap” Set by Whales?
1. The Truth Behind the Sudden Drop: Retail Investors Cut Losses, Whales Secretly Take Over Last night, Bitcoin plummeted to $98,900, and the market was in chaos, but on-chain data exposed key signals:
· The URPD chip distribution map shows: 2.484 million BTC (12% of circulation) accumulated densely in the $104,500-$111,000 range, while only 1.054 million BTC was in the $93,500-$98,500 range. This indicates that the main force's holding cost is much higher than the current price, and the plunge is actually a washout! · Long-term holders are steady as a rock: over 75% of Bitcoin holdings have been held for more than one year, with selling pressure mainly coming from leveraged short-term funds.
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2. Two Major Catalysts Are About to Explode
1. U.S. Government Shutdown Crisis Resolved: The two houses have reached an agreement on a temporary spending bill, and the return of risk appetite will trigger a flow of hundreds of billions of dollars back into high-risk assets. 2. Rate Cut Expectations for December Resurge: CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of a rate cut in December has surged to 68%, and the liquidity spigot is reopening!
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3. Bloody Harvest Script Exposed: How Do Whales Strangle Shorts?
· Technical Indicators Show Textbook-Level Divergence: RSI(6) has fallen to 23.38 (extremely oversold), KDJ's J value is only 6.59, and the rebound momentum is comparable to the epic reversal on the eve of January 2023. · Short Squeeze Roadmap: ① Rapidly rise to $105,000, triggering short stop-losses (current perpetual contract funding rate is extremely negative) ② Break through the $111,000 dense chip area with positive news, triggering FOMO buying ③ Build a long trap in the $120,000 area to complete distribution
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4. Emergency Operation Strategy
· Short-term: Firmly layout long positions in the $98,500-$100,000 range, with a stop-loss at $97,000 · Medium-term: Increase positions after breaking $105,000, target $118,000-$120,000 · Risk Warning: If it effectively breaks below $95,000, be cautious of a deeper correction to $88,000
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History does not simply repeat itself but always follows a rhythmic pattern—current trends are highly similar to the mid-market washout after the “3·12” crash in 2020. When most people are fearful, whales are opening their greedy mouths in the darkness.
Brothers who are bottom fishing can take some profits. The data will be released tonight at 21:15, and if it does not meet expectations, it will take off.
Extra, extra: The high-win-rate whales continue to increase their BTC long positions Whale position update: BTC long positions increased to 20 million USD ▶︎ BTC long position: Holding 280 BTC, worth 31 million USD, opening price 110971 ▶︎ ETH long position: Holding 33,300 ETH, worth 132.1 million USD, opening price 3897
Extra, extra: The high-win-rate whales continue to increase their BTC long positions Whale position update: BTC long positions increased to 20 million USD ▶︎ BTC long position: Holding 280 BTC, worth 31 million USD, opening price 110971 ▶︎ ETH long position: Holding 33,300 ETH, worth 132.1 million USD, opening price 3897
Did anyone make a profit yesterday? This account only set a stop loss and forgot to set a take profit, and it fell back down. Another account successfully made a profit of 111%, starting from $200 today. The market is volatile, so take action when there is an opportunity, ensuring to set take profit and stop loss, aiming for 25 times compound interest, first placing a long order between 3735-3755.
Tomorrow, the US-China trade negotiations will encounter the release of CPI data, leading to high volatility. Strategy recommendation: 1. Before the event: Remain cautious, appropriately reduce positions to avoid severe fluctuations caused by uncertainty. 2. After the event: Take a long position and wait for the market to choose a direction. · Long signal: If the price breaks above $110,300 with significant volume, follow the trend. · Short/sell signal: If the price falls below $106,650 and rebounds weakly, consider reducing positions to avoid risks. Core conclusion: The long-term bullish foundation of Bitcoin remains unchanged, but it is currently experiencing a test from macro storms in the short term. What traders need at this moment is patience and discipline. Keep a close eye on macro data and key technical levels; once the direction is clear, act decisively to seize opportunities and manage risks amid the upcoming significant fluctuations.