#200u起家日记 12.14 Day 44 Funds 280u Beginning of the month 350u
Today I was stuck shorting grass. I'll take another look tomorrow. I checked the market, and the overall market hasn't fluctuated over the weekend, so I'm unclear about the situation. It's hard to operate every day; I'll go have some light stir-fry. I'll wait until tomorrow morning at 7 a.m. to see if it drops.
#200u起家日记 12.13 Day 43 Capital 310u This month's capital 350u
Yesterday I shorted AAVE and FART, let's review.
1. It's a pity to short AAVE, I shorted at the highest point of 205.5. The three tops and four-hour top divergence was one day apart. In my trading system, after reviewing this situation a thousand times, it has a 70% win rate, but unfortunately, I didn't hold on and only made 10u. If I had held on, I could have made 100u when it plummeted to 190 at the open. I earn 10u every day and feel dizzy 😫. In the past two days, I missed two opportunities to make 100u. When losing money, I just grab it tightly, it's exhausting.
The reason I didn't hold on is that I traded during the day, and there was no movement for a whole day. However, I thought it would plummet at night. One part of my mind said it would collapse at 10:30 PM, while another part said to quickly close the position since there had been no movement for a day. There was no synergy, and in the end, an hour before the open, I closed the position like a novice.
So I have to trade at night, as during the day if there is no movement for half a day, I start to doubt holding onto it. Sure enough, it plummeted as soon as the market opened 📉.
So I analyze that my win rate is high at night for this reason. During the day, there are fluctuations and even stop losses, plus false signals. I chose the highest point of 205 to short, but it's not the optimal short position.
If I had shorted at 203 at 10:30 PM, it would have plummeted to 190 in an hour. Holding the position would not only have no pressure but also could yield significant profits. If I had been wrong, I could have lost quickly, and I would accept that. Moreover, I am aware that the US stock market opens at 10:30 PM with significant volatility, but because I held the position for a whole day with no movement, I was still afraid and closed it. So I realized this and will take note of it next time. It’s not necessary to choose the highest point to short; selecting a time node where there is rapid decline is better.
2. FART also shorted on the four-hour top divergence, but unfortunately, the decline was not smooth. There is nothing I can do; it couldn't drop, which is not my problem. If it can't drop, I will first close the position. In the future, if it hits the resistance level, I can continue to short.
#200u起家日记 12.12 Day 42 Capital 270u Beginning of month capital 350u
Last night at 11:30 PM, I shorted fart after a double top and made three points. By midnight, I thought for a long time and felt that this place would rise. I wanted to earn a bit more, but after thinking back and forth, I couldn't figure it out and ended up falling asleep.
The next day was a classic situation: Sleeping without closing the position, all the profits turned into losses. Earned 20u turned into a loss of 20u.
This morning I went long on fart, and this time I learned my lesson. When it went up, I quickly closed the position to avoid it turning into a loss later.
Now at 4 PM, I'm continuing to short fart. There's a four-hour top divergence double top pressure. I wonder if I can successfully short this time.
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#200u起家日记 12.11 Day 41 Funds 280u Principal 350u at the beginning of this month
Yesterday I made a fart, it kept hovering around 0.36, I knew it was going to rise, so I quickly increased my position to 50u, because at three o'clock there were Federal Reserve data, I just kept watching the market until three o'clock, and then saw the downward spike at three, it was going to go up, then I saw I made 80u, very good, waiting for it to continue rising, I want to make 100u! Then because I stayed up late and was a bit sleepy, I was watching and then fell asleep.
Woke up at five-thirty and saw it was done, a crash 📉, waited for it to go up, waited for a long time without any rise, quickly closed it with a loss of 20u, otherwise if I held on longer, I would have lost 100u and my mindset would explode 😧
Every time I say I need to wait for the critical moment, when I see it clearly to earn a bit more, in the end, when the timing comes to the critical moment, it turns into a loss. Indeed, the greater the expectation, the more distorted the operation, when it was crucial to make money, I fell asleep. Earning in my dreams, waking up to find I lost everything.
Today I made an irys, but there was no movement at all, just left it there, not looking at it anymore.
#200u起家日记 12.10 Day 40 Funds 310u This Month 350u Compared to yesterday +40u
Last night I opened a fart, but it didn't go well. At 10:30, I saw the pin bar thinking it was a false breakout upwards, so I started going short, and then it kept rising. Later I added to my position at 0.4; it was still quite regular. When it got close to 0.405, it came down, then went up to 0.365, and then I closed my position in the morning.
In the morning, I went short on AAVE because I saw a four-hour top divergence suppressing it. I shorted at 205, the highest point, and just closed it, making 30u.
Someone privately messaged me asking how to choose coins. ① Choose coins with large market caps and good liquidity. Large market cap coins are harder to manipulate, and good liquidity leads to good volatility. The ups and downs are comfortable and won't always have pin bars. ② Choose familiar coins. Select coins that you are familiar with and can make money from. Look carefully every day to find the underlying patterns and blacklist those that frequently have incorrect pin bars. In any case, do more of the correct trades and less of the wrong ones. ③ Scan the market. If you have a good trading system, you can scan the market yourself to find coins and look for places with a good risk-reward ratio. However, you still need to have some understanding of the coins you are scanning.
Then tonight, let's see how the market opens at 10:30. I'm not quite sure about the situation; there’s also some Federal Reserve data that might cause pin bars in the early morning. It's best not to hold positions overnight.
#200u起家日记 12.9 Day 39 Funds 270u Initial funds this month 350u Increase of +70u compared to yesterday
Yesterday and today I made a few trades.
Yesterday: ① Around 10:30 I kept an eye on the market, saw it rise around 10:30, so I started shorting, and when it didn't drop by 11:30, I closed the position.
② Then I shorted again at the double top 0.4, and closed the position when I woke up in the morning.
③ Later this morning at 10:30, I saw a sharp rise with a k-line, continued to short, and exited at the small double bottom reversal signal.
Today I will observe the opening situation tonight; if it continues to rise, I can still short if it spikes. If it consolidates at the bottom, I will just watch.
#200u起家日记 12.8 Day 38 Funds 200u Initial capital 350u
Yesterday I took a position in pippin, and when I checked this morning it was plummeting, so I quickly closed it. I couldn't understand this trend, and then it started to rise again for reasons I don't know.
This morning I wanted to go long on fart, thinking that if I went long in the morning, it could rise to 0.405 three times. After watching for a while, I felt too scared to do it.
Well, I waited until the afternoon and saw it had risen to 0.405; I was frustrated that I didn't act. I started to short it out of revenge, made a little profit of 1u.
When I checked again at ten-thirty tonight, it was dropping towards 0.365. If the daily line breaks 0.41, it could go to 0.5 and then see 0.6. The scenario I envisioned is first going down to 0.365 and then up to 0.5👆
Yesterday I shorted a Griffin, stopped out. Yesterday I also shorted a cookie, stopped out. Then I noticed all AI tokens are rising, swarms are rising, fart is rising, cookie, Griffin is rising. So why when I go long on swarms and fart they don't rise, fainted.
So today I started going long, and I will go long when it rises. Started going long on pippn, currently fluctuating.
#200u起家 12.6 Day 36 Funds 210u Initial 350u this month Compared to yesterday +20u
Last night around 10:30, I saw that the market was continuously falling before it opened, so it was going to rise at the opening. When it dips down, it should go up, at least a few candlesticks will go up.
Then I went long with grass and fart. As soon as grass and fart opened, they both started to rise. I directly took 15 minutes, made three points, and ran away, not caring too much about it.
Don't say that grass rose another ten points later, that's too painful, every time I don't take a little more it skyrockets, then I think next time I'll take a little more and it goes the other way. I'll just take the opening reverse liquidity. Close the position and sleep, not caring about the situation later.
Take a wave of opening reverse volatility, if it dips down, close the position directly, don't care about the subsequent trend, just close the position and sleep, to avoid waking up the next day and crying out. $GRASS
#200u起家日记 12.5 Day 35 Capital 190u Initial 350u this month Compared to yesterday +20u
Yesterday afternoon I shorted grass and made 10u Last night at eleven o'clock I saw fart not going down, I thought it would test the double top resistance and went long directly, made 30u Today in the afternoon I went long on fart, thinking it would test 0.4 again, continued to go long, but it broke down, losing 22u
#200u起家日记 12.4 Day 34 Funds 170u Initial capital 300u + recharge 50u yesterday to hold positions, Net loss this month 180u
Sorry, the king of leeks is back again. Because I thought about it, I don't want to withdraw this at all, just play for two days and it will go to zero, posting in the square can still last a few more days. The main focus is on frenzied trading and opening positions 😫 The main focus is on repeated failures and battles, repeated battles and repeated failures... The name will be changed back in seven days, need to wait seven days. That is, the daily posts may spread negative energy, unfollow if you don't like it.
Yesterday I saw fart making money in long positions, and losing money by closing short positions early, after a while I saw it drop so much, originally made a lot turned into a loss. I thought, what the hell, this definitely needs to be picked up a few more times to turn into profit.
Okay, when I looked at night and saw BTC rise so much, very good, I shorted, and then just like Monday it quickly dropped, then kept rising, rising so much I felt anxious. I saw it was going to be liquidated and quickly transferred some NXPC from the chain game to make up for the position, then it kept rising, kept rising. Then the game came with a message that this time we have completely failed. Then I directly fainted.
Then don't learn from me or communicate with me, I mainly focus on solo trading and playing by myself. If I make money, I laugh haha 😀, if I cry, I scream wah wah 😫 Cannot communicate at all, beneath the calm exterior is a heart full of wounds. I just want to remain silent.
It's not that losing money feels bad, first, the principal hasn't lost to zero, second, the principal is all from playing Web3 chain game adventure island n, I've found that playing this every night can sometimes earn 30u, which is better than opening positions.
Mainly, all positions opened are wrong, opening east and west, both long and short are mistakes, the main focus is on giving me a strong sense of frustration. I don't know how to say, I even memorized my own patterns.
Then I started memorizing the mantra, my classic zeroing three-piece set: ① Stop loss stop loss stop loss, can't take it anymore. ② Don't stop loss, quickly go all-in, quickly make it back. ③ Zero out and run away.
I also have a second pattern: ① Stop loss stop loss stop loss, feeling anxious can't act. ② Earn 1u when making money, lose 100u, 1000u when losing. ③ Can't play, run away.
Today is another starless night 💫 Alright, goodbye 👋
I am doing long $SENT 0.0447 long, stop loss set at 0.0423 Take profit first look at 0.0485 then look at 0.051 Reason: four-hour bottom divergence W double bottom pattern
#200u起家日记 13.1 Day 31 Capital 385u (Withdrawal 200u) Compared to yesterday -30u
Yesterday afternoon I did swarms to short, it kept rising. Last night on Sunday I did fart to go long and closed with a spike.
This morning at 7 AM the US stock market opened, because it was closed over the weekend, the opening at 7 AM on Monday would be very strong, so I was optimistic about the direction. I woke up at 6 o'clock and watched for a while, thinking that the spike down at 5 o'clock meant the market should go up, so I went long, but found that I hit a waterfall and stopped loss directly.
My AI November summary Before and after the US stock market opens (20:00-24:00) 71.4% win rate (10 wins/14 total) 🎯 Golden period, full attack
Afternoon About 29% win rate (4 wins/13 total) ❌ Heavy loss zone, try to avoid
I am now preparing to open in the evening, and then add the Monday morning 7 AM US stock market opening, other times have a pitiful win rate of 30%, the more I open the more it goes to zero.
As for swarms, two weeks ago swarms went long on Sunday morning and stopped loss, yesterday afternoon swarms went short and stopped loss. All three trades opened in the evening for swarms were profitable. Like fart, I made a profit last night, but opened in the morning and lost. Um, like alch, I also made 100u by placing an order at night.
Alright, I will wait to open in the evening today, goodbye 👋