贵哥合约营
叮叮etc889966，K线研究者，企鹅🐧3897790719
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In the early hours, the Federal Reserve announced as expected a 25 basis point rate cut
In the early hours, the Federal Reserve announced as expected a 25 basis point rate cut, a move that completely aligns with the market's general expectations. As mentioned a few days ago, 'the shoe drops' often means that the release of good news has come to an end, followed by potential pressure. The recent continuous rise in the stock market has largely benefited from the positive impacts brought about by the rate cut. However, as this favorable factor is gradually digested, we may soon witness the end of this rebound driven by the rate cut. Looking ahead to the next few months, considering that the performance of U.S. economic data is still acceptable and inflation levels are close to the upper end of the target range, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve taking further easing measures is extremely low; conversely, the Bank of Japan may choose to tighten monetary policy due to strong economic growth, with a high probability of rate hikes reaching as much as ninety percent. Additionally, as the Christmas holiday approaches, the demand for funds in the market will become increasingly strong, exacerbating the liquidity shortage. In this context, and in the absence of other significant positive catalysts, I predict that the operating environment of the entire financial market may continue to face downward pressure for the next half month until early spring next year (around January to February).
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Bitcoin (BTC) has risen to the $94,000 mark as expected, with market trends perfectly aligning with my predictions. Next, we anticipate witnessing its advance to new heights of $96,000 and even $98,000.
I sincerely apologize for not being able to update posts and live content promptly yesterday due to a busy schedule, and for not bringing the latest information to everyone on time. However, please remember that the analysis released the day before clearly indicated the direction of the market—I had asserted that Bitcoin would challenge the crucial level of $94,000. Today, this prediction has come true, precisely in line with the guidance I provided earlier. If you followed my advice, you must have achieved considerable profits of about 3,000 to 4,000 points in the market.
Looking ahead, what is the path for Bitcoin? I firmly believe that $94,000 is not the final stop in this round of rally; the market will continue to rise, with a high probability of reaching the vicinity of $98,000. In the short term, prices may experience a slight pullback to consolidate gains, but thereafter, we will see a new wave of strong momentum. For bulls, the current situation is very favorable.
As for when to enter and build long positions, we need to closely monitor the performance of the support level at $91,900. This price level is very likely to become the key defense line to curb the current adjustment momentum. If you plan to establish new long positions, this is indeed an ideal entry point. Even if the support level is inadvertently breached, there is no need to panic; one can wait for the price to stabilize before choosing the right moment to add to long positions. After all, from a short-term perspective, the overall trend still leans bullish.
However, it is crucial to emphasize that when executing the above strategies, it is essential to set reasonable stop-loss measures. No matter how accurate the trend judgment may be, unexpected situations can still occur. Therefore, in the actual trading process, one must leave room and strictly adhere to the principles of discipline, and not blindly pursue profits while neglecting the importance of risk control; otherwise, encountering extreme volatility could lead to significant losses or even a complete wipeout of funds.
I sincerely apologize for not being able to update posts and live content promptly yesterday due to a busy schedule, and for not bringing the latest information to everyone on time. However, please remember that the analysis released the day before clearly indicated the direction of the market—I had asserted that Bitcoin would challenge the crucial level of $94,000. Today, this prediction has come true, precisely in line with the guidance I provided earlier. If you followed my advice, you must have achieved considerable profits of about 3,000 to 4,000 points in the market.
Looking ahead, what is the path for Bitcoin? I firmly believe that $94,000 is not the final stop in this round of rally; the market will continue to rise, with a high probability of reaching the vicinity of $98,000. In the short term, prices may experience a slight pullback to consolidate gains, but thereafter, we will see a new wave of strong momentum. For bulls, the current situation is very favorable.
As for when to enter and build long positions, we need to closely monitor the performance of the support level at $91,900. This price level is very likely to become the key defense line to curb the current adjustment momentum. If you plan to establish new long positions, this is indeed an ideal entry point. Even if the support level is inadvertently breached, there is no need to panic; one can wait for the price to stabilize before choosing the right moment to add to long positions. After all, from a short-term perspective, the overall trend still leans bullish.
However, it is crucial to emphasize that when executing the above strategies, it is essential to set reasonable stop-loss measures. No matter how accurate the trend judgment may be, unexpected situations can still occur. Therefore, in the actual trading process, one must leave room and strictly adhere to the principles of discipline, and not blindly pursue profits while neglecting the importance of risk control; otherwise, encountering extreme volatility could lead to significant losses or even a complete wipeout of funds.
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$ETH
From the current chart of Ether, it seems that today it might rebound to around 3150, and then directly fall back. It all depends on whether it can break 2900; it has been hovering around this level. What I mean by this range is that if it doesn't break, brothers can consider making moves, buying on dips, and selling on highs.
If Ether cannot break the position of 3200, then I consider it to be at a high level at 3200, while the low level is around 2900, oscillating back and forth.
Because the oscillating range tends to play with pin bars, it doesn't behave like a normal big trend.
From the current chart of Ether, it seems that today it might rebound to around 3150, and then directly fall back. It all depends on whether it can break 2900; it has been hovering around this level. What I mean by this range is that if it doesn't break, brothers can consider making moves, buying on dips, and selling on highs.
If Ether cannot break the position of 3200, then I consider it to be at a high level at 3200, while the low level is around 2900, oscillating back and forth.
Because the oscillating range tends to play with pin bars, it doesn't behave like a normal big trend.
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#BTC
In the vast sea of technical analysis, accurately capturing the starting point of market trends is undoubtedly the 'Holy Grail' that every analyst dreams of.
This is precisely the core of our trend strategy—the ability to keenly perceive the subtle changes in market supply and demand dynamics. Although there is no foolproof method, we are well aware that through the harmonious resonance of multidimensional indicators, especially the effective use of volatility, we can significantly enhance our odds of success.
The budding of market trends essentially occurs after a long period of silence, marked by the rupture of the 'old balance' and the quiet birth of 'new trends'.
This process often follows the trajectory:
• A long period of downturn or sideways consolidation shrouded in gloom
• Bearish forces gradually wane, with selling pressure nearly dissipating
• Bullish forces begin to cautiously explore, with the first signs of demand emerging
• The arrival of a structural turning point, where demand finally turns the tide
• The new trend's outline gradually becomes clearer
As shown in the chart, at the moment of determining the significant market start, we cleverly employed a volatility strategy:
Boldly positioning ourselves in calm waters, while decisively retreating when the storm gathers.
Ultimately, Bitcoin achieved a miraculous growth of up to 191% in this wave. #加密市场观察
In the vast sea of technical analysis, accurately capturing the starting point of market trends is undoubtedly the 'Holy Grail' that every analyst dreams of.
This is precisely the core of our trend strategy—the ability to keenly perceive the subtle changes in market supply and demand dynamics. Although there is no foolproof method, we are well aware that through the harmonious resonance of multidimensional indicators, especially the effective use of volatility, we can significantly enhance our odds of success.
The budding of market trends essentially occurs after a long period of silence, marked by the rupture of the 'old balance' and the quiet birth of 'new trends'.
This process often follows the trajectory:
• A long period of downturn or sideways consolidation shrouded in gloom
• Bearish forces gradually wane, with selling pressure nearly dissipating
• Bullish forces begin to cautiously explore, with the first signs of demand emerging
• The arrival of a structural turning point, where demand finally turns the tide
• The new trend's outline gradually becomes clearer
As shown in the chart, at the moment of determining the significant market start, we cleverly employed a volatility strategy:
Boldly positioning ourselves in calm waters, while decisively retreating when the storm gathers.
Ultimately, Bitcoin achieved a miraculous growth of up to 191% in this wave. #加密市场观察
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Market fluctuations are the norm, and there is no need to worry about temporary gains and losses. True wise investors secure their positions during a bull market and patiently wait for opportunities in a bear market; they continuously refine and improve their investment strategies amid volatility. Patience breeds success, and long-term planning is key to thriving in the market. #加密市场观察
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How to roll positions? Will you still roll positions?
Family and friends, I deeply understand that on the road of cryptocurrency, we have witnessed countless people on the brink of a million, only to perish in smoke due to a final gamble. However, the most chilling yet captivating way to make money in the crypto world is the 'rolling position' strategy.
This method of playing is much more thrilling compared to simply holding cryptocurrencies. It is like a gamble that can make your wealth soar overnight or cause you to go bankrupt in the same night.
Using 100x leverage and reinvesting profits back into the market, firmly locking in a single trading direction. Start with an initial amount of $300, using only $10 for 100x leveraged contract trading. Once you achieve a 1% profit, your capital doubles. Withdraw half as principal each time you make a profit, while the remaining part continues to roll over for investment. Just need to correctly predict 11 times in a row, and the initial $10 can grow to $10,000!
This method of playing is much more thrilling compared to simply holding cryptocurrencies. It is like a gamble that can make your wealth soar overnight or cause you to go bankrupt in the same night.
Using 100x leverage and reinvesting profits back into the market, firmly locking in a single trading direction. Start with an initial amount of $300, using only $10 for 100x leveraged contract trading. Once you achieve a 1% profit, your capital doubles. Withdraw half as principal each time you make a profit, while the remaining part continues to roll over for investment. Just need to correctly predict 11 times in a row, and the initial $10 can grow to $10,000!
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At this highly anticipated FOMC meeting, participants' attention is focused on two core elements: the dot plot and the tapering pace it suggests.
People can't help but wonder: will the dot plot continue to support the expectation of two rate cuts? And will the discussion about tapering reveal subtle signals of a slowdown? It is these unclear factors that will ultimately determine the fate of future market trends.
A publicly announced rate cut is no longer viewed as purely good news; rather, those policy trends hidden behind the scenes are the real arena testing the wisdom and strategies of major financial institutions. #加密市场观察
People can't help but wonder: will the dot plot continue to support the expectation of two rate cuts? And will the discussion about tapering reveal subtle signals of a slowdown? It is these unclear factors that will ultimately determine the fate of future market trends.
A publicly announced rate cut is no longer viewed as purely good news; rather, those policy trends hidden behind the scenes are the real arena testing the wisdom and strategies of major financial institutions. #加密市场观察
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How to achieve wealth growth in the cryptocurrency circle? This is a journey from beginners stumbling through the baptism of the market to gradually growing into wise individuals who can perceive and lead market trends.
Phase One: Relying on intuition and opportunity (The starting point for everyone).
Newcomers often act in response to the emotional fluctuations of the crowd, whether it is optimistic rises or aggressive bets, and are easily influenced by group psychology. Although occasional big market movements may lead to significant growth in account funds, this often gives a false impression of having mastered the market's secrets. However, the reality is ruthless:
Those benefits gained through luck will eventually be returned to the market due to a lack of sound strategies.
Phase Two: Applying skills and analysis (Initial awakening).
After several painful lessons in the market, beginners start to delve into chart analysis, fundamental evaluation, trend forecasting, and understanding market sentiment. They learn to set price ranges and develop trading plans, but still face a major challenge:
Newcomers often act in response to the emotional fluctuations of the crowd, whether it is optimistic rises or aggressive bets, and are easily influenced by group psychology. Although occasional big market movements may lead to significant growth in account funds, this often gives a false impression of having mastered the market's secrets. However, the reality is ruthless:
Those benefits gained through luck will eventually be returned to the market due to a lack of sound strategies.
Phase Two: Applying skills and analysis (Initial awakening).
After several painful lessons in the market, beginners start to delve into chart analysis, fundamental evaluation, trend forecasting, and understanding market sentiment. They learn to set price ranges and develop trading plans, but still face a major challenge:
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Eternal Black Friday, steady short position, sustained yield. 1W_+ oil. Successfully bagged. $ETH
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Family, I'm out! Ethereum target reached, ready to short? Let's take a look.
With the strong demand brought by interest rate cuts and Ethereum upgrades, ETF funds have flooded into the cryptocurrency market, leading to a significant rise in coin prices recently. The previously bullish Gui Ge has finally reached her target price today — Ethereum (ETH) around $3250. She has closed all her short-term positions and is preparing to establish a long-term short position.
First, she deployed 20% of her funds near $3220, planning to gradually invest the remaining portion in the market as the price approaches $3400 or within one to two trading days before the interest rate cut. This phased market entry strategy is more cautious; although it may not precisely capture the peak, as long as she can establish positions at relatively high levels, the expected goal has already been achieved.
First, she deployed 20% of her funds near $3220, planning to gradually invest the remaining portion in the market as the price approaches $3400 or within one to two trading days before the interest rate cut. This phased market entry strategy is more cautious; although it may not precisely capture the peak, as long as she can establish positions at relatively high levels, the expected goal has already been achieved.
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#ETH Significant profit opportunities! Have friends who see this post reaped substantial rewards? How is the situation based on the time the post was made?
When the post was published yesterday, the price of Ethereum was below 3050, then it rose to 3240, a difference of about 8 points, which still seems somewhat conservative.
When reaching the resistance level, one should reduce positions and take profits, patiently waiting for the next opportunity.
If it breaks through but fails to accelerate upwards and instead falls back, consider going short. Set the stop-loss point at the high of the breakout and ensure the profit-taking ratio is greater than 1:1.
#ETH走势分析
When the post was published yesterday, the price of Ethereum was below 3050, then it rose to 3240, a difference of about 8 points, which still seems somewhat conservative.
When reaching the resistance level, one should reduce positions and take profits, patiently waiting for the next opportunity.
If it breaks through but fails to accelerate upwards and instead falls back, consider going short. Set the stop-loss point at the high of the breakout and ensure the profit-taking ratio is greater than 1:1.
#ETH走势分析
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The opportunity has arrived. Whether you are a newcomer or an experienced player, we provide full guidance to help you find the right rhythm.
No need to shoulder it alone: direction is set, the market is monitored, signals are analyzed, and strategies are synchronized to seize volatility opportunities. Just keep up with the execution.
No need to shoulder it alone: direction is set, the market is monitored, signals are analyzed, and strategies are synchronized to seize volatility opportunities. Just keep up with the execution.
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The bullish trend of Erbing has become clear, and the perfect bullish alignment of the moving average system provides solid support for the rise in coin prices. In the MACD indicator, the fast line and the slow line are steadily rising, and the red momentum bars are continuously growing, indicating the market's optimistic sentiment.
Although there are occasional short-term pullbacks, this does not affect the overall upward trend. Enter the market without hesitation and firmly hold a bullish stance, clarifying your target direction.
The operational strategy is as follows: buy on dips when the price falls to the 3020-2960 range, then look towards subsequent levels of 3080-3140-3200; if a breakthrough occurs, it will further open up upward space; if the breakthrough fails, consider adjusting positions in a timely manner.
Although there are occasional short-term pullbacks, this does not affect the overall upward trend. Enter the market without hesitation and firmly hold a bullish stance, clarifying your target direction.
The operational strategy is as follows: buy on dips when the price falls to the 3020-2960 range, then look towards subsequent levels of 3080-3140-3200; if a breakthrough occurs, it will further open up upward space; if the breakthrough fails, consider adjusting positions in a timely manner.
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Alas, the cryptocurrency world is really in trouble this time... It's time to make wise decisions and explore the future direction.
The current situation is indeed not optimistic, the impact of Japan's interest rate hike has just begun to emerge, and MicroStrategy has brought new troubles. The company recently announced the establishment of a fund aimed at raising $1.44 billion to pay interest, which undoubtedly exacerbates the tight funding situation. It is expected that it will be difficult to invest more funds in purchasing cryptocurrencies in the future. As a result, the company's stock price fell by about 10% this morning, and the price of Bitcoin also reverted to previous low levels.
Although the news that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates is a positive factor for the market, the current performance of the market appears unusually weak. This is a typical characteristic of a bear market, where profitability becomes extremely difficult, far surpassing the challenges of a bull market. In fact, achieving break-even during a bear market already exceeds the performance of most investors. Therefore, we need not worry too much. At least we successfully avoided the peak by the end of October, and gained some profits through subsequent short positions, which is already quite remarkable. We need to abandon the mindset of easily making profits during past bull markets and learn to adjust our investment philosophy to better cope with the changes in bull and bear cycles.
Although the news that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates is a positive factor for the market, the current performance of the market appears unusually weak. This is a typical characteristic of a bear market, where profitability becomes extremely difficult, far surpassing the challenges of a bull market. In fact, achieving break-even during a bear market already exceeds the performance of most investors. Therefore, we need not worry too much. At least we successfully avoided the peak by the end of October, and gained some profits through subsequent short positions, which is already quite remarkable. We need to abandon the mindset of easily making profits during past bull markets and learn to adjust our investment philosophy to better cope with the changes in bull and bear cycles.
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Market Dynamics Analysis for December 2
Chart and Trading Volume Observation:
At the current daily level, we have witnessed significant incremental selling behavior, with prices experiencing a tentative pullback to the solid support area of 2700, where buying power was gained to push it back up. However, it faced selling pressure as it approached the key resistance level of 2985. Notably, a 'Morning Star' reversal pattern has appeared on the four-hour chart, although the accompanying small-bodied bullish candlestick indicates that the momentum behind it is not strong. From the one-hour cycle perspective, potential short-term short entry points are at price levels 2813 and 2839, with corresponding risk control points set at 2832 and 2855; given that the former has been touched once, subsequent operations should consider appropriately reducing position sizes.
At the current daily level, we have witnessed significant incremental selling behavior, with prices experiencing a tentative pullback to the solid support area of 2700, where buying power was gained to push it back up. However, it faced selling pressure as it approached the key resistance level of 2985. Notably, a 'Morning Star' reversal pattern has appeared on the four-hour chart, although the accompanying small-bodied bullish candlestick indicates that the momentum behind it is not strong. From the one-hour cycle perspective, potential short-term short entry points are at price levels 2813 and 2839, with corresponding risk control points set at 2832 and 2855; given that the former has been touched once, subsequent operations should consider appropriately reducing position sizes.
666
白歌Bit
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Will the joint crackdown by 13 ministries lead to a massive drop in the currency market?
Brothers, the big cake dropped from over 90,000 dollars to 85,000. Do you think this is because the 13 ministries held a joint meeting to combat the speculation in virtual currency trading?
Hehe, let me tell you: you're overthinking it. This meeting at the University of Tokyo is like taking off your pants to fart, completely useless. There have been many meetings in the past that were even more grandiose, and the policies were not lacking. The prices of currencies go up and down as they please.
The real culprit is that the Japanese devils have already flipped the table, and these dead devils quietly set off a nuclear bomb — their ten-year government bond yield has quietly soared to 1.1%! What does this mean?
Hehe, let me tell you: you're overthinking it. This meeting at the University of Tokyo is like taking off your pants to fart, completely useless. There have been many meetings in the past that were even more grandiose, and the policies were not lacking. The prices of currencies go up and down as they please.
The real culprit is that the Japanese devils have already flipped the table, and these dead devils quietly set off a nuclear bomb — their ten-year government bond yield has quietly soared to 1.1%! What does this mean?
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Bitcoin Surge: Is the Bull Market Back?
Analysis of Bitcoin's Surge: Is the Bull Market Back?
Bitcoin has recently seen a significant rise, and market sentiment is recovering. This article will explore the reasons for this rise and the potential future trends.
Reasons for the Rise
1. Impact of Federal Reserve Policies
• The Federal Reserve has confirmed it will cut interest rates on December 10, which has greatly boosted market confidence.
2. Technical Analysis
• Bitcoin has accumulated a significant rise in the short term, and a pullback may occur, which is a normal market phenomenon.
Key Points to Watch
• Key Resistance Levels
• Bitcoin: 97,000-98,000 RMB
• Ethereum: Around $3,250
Bitcoin has recently seen a significant rise, and market sentiment is recovering. This article will explore the reasons for this rise and the potential future trends.
Reasons for the Rise
1. Impact of Federal Reserve Policies
• The Federal Reserve has confirmed it will cut interest rates on December 10, which has greatly boosted market confidence.
2. Technical Analysis
• Bitcoin has accumulated a significant rise in the short term, and a pullback may occur, which is a normal market phenomenon.
Key Points to Watch
• Key Resistance Levels
• Bitcoin: 97,000-98,000 RMB
• Ethereum: Around $3,250
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#ETH Currently, we still need to pay attention to the trend of rebound. Due to the recent significant decline, it requires a period of recovery, and this recovery process will be accompanied by a rise in prices.
Many people have been asking me why this position is still open; the reason is that I foresee it will rebound to the range of 3100 to 3300. Its increase also requires time to achieve. Currently, what we can observe is that despite the occurrence of pullbacks, each new low point is gradually rising. This indicates that the market bottom is gradually being raised, which means that there is hope for further upward movement in the future. Therefore, I suggest that everyone seize the opportunity to position themselves at low levels and set reasonable stop-loss levels.
Many people have been asking me why this position is still open; the reason is that I foresee it will rebound to the range of 3100 to 3300. Its increase also requires time to achieve. Currently, what we can observe is that despite the occurrence of pullbacks, each new low point is gradually rising. This indicates that the market bottom is gradually being raised, which means that there is hope for further upward movement in the future. Therefore, I suggest that everyone seize the opportunity to position themselves at low levels and set reasonable stop-loss levels.
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Is Ethereum's rise weak? Where is the top? Can WLFI and ZEC still be shorted? Come and find out!
Currently, ETH has touched the key price level of 3000 twice in a row, both times suppressed back by market forces. The resistance here is obvious. Therefore, we have executed a second short position at this level, a strategy that was detailed yesterday by Gui Ge.
For the profit target, we can set it around 2880, and the current price is close to this level, so it is advisable to take it easy. Given that Ethereum plans to undergo a major network upgrade in the early hours of December 4, which may trigger a rebound as an opportunity, it is not advisable to aggressively add to short positions.
For the profit target, we can set it around 2880, and the current price is close to this level, so it is advisable to take it easy. Given that Ethereum plans to undergo a major network upgrade in the early hours of December 4, which may trigger a rebound as an opportunity, it is not advisable to aggressively add to short positions.
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