【News Flash】The Fan Cang project today achieved its third order again at 3100U, with precise direction points directly reached. Do you still think Fan Cang is difficult?
Prepare in advance, the opportunity is right at your fingertips! The annual Fan Cang project seats are about to run out, seize the opportunity quickly! $BTC #美联储降息
1. Aggressive short · Entry: Light short in the 4198 – 4202 area · Stop loss: Above 4215 (above the previous high of 4221) · Target: ① 4175 (initial target) ② 4169 ③ 4120 2. Conservative short · Entry: Wait for the price to bounce back to the 4205 – 4210 area before entering again · Stop loss: Above 4222 · Target: Same as above
Speculate on rebound longs
1. Aggressive long · Entry: Light long when the price first touches the 4169 – 4175 area, and a 5-minute or 15-minute K line closes bullish with a long lower shadow or RSI divergence occurs. · Stop loss: Below 4162 · Target: 4190 → 4200 (near MA20) 2. Conservative long · Wait for signal: After the price oscillates near 4169, consider following when it breaks above 4190 and stabilizes. · Stop loss: Below 4175 · Target: 4200 – 4210#加密市场反弹 $BTC
Despite the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in December being close to 90%, its monetary policy is facing a threefold dilemma:
1. Conflicting Goals: Inflation has rebounded (PCE reached 2.8%), while the job market has significantly slowed down (the private sector lost 32,000 jobs in November), making it difficult to balance the two policy objectives. 2. Political Pressure: Trump has repeatedly publicly pressured for faster interest rate cuts and tried to influence the Federal Reserve's decision-making independence through personnel changes. 3. AI Variables: The AI investment boom has both driven up the stock market and relied on low interest rates, but it may also push inflation higher and replace human labor. If it is a bubble, lowering interest rates may exacerbate the risks; if it continues, it may worsen structural employment issues.
Under the multiple pressures of inflation, employment, politics, and technological change, the effectiveness and side effects of the Federal Reserve's traditional interest rate cut tools are becoming increasingly difficult to predict and control. $BTC #加密市场反弹
Why is the rate-cutting tool becoming 'ineffective'? An analysis of the multiple dilemmas faced by the Federal Reserve under the variables of politics, inflation, and AI
$BTC The U.S. Federal Reserve Board is set to announce its interest rate decision after the monetary policy meeting on the 10th. The latest data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch Tool indicates that the probability of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's December monetary policy meeting is close to 90%, and a rate cut is widely expected in the market. The Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle in September last year, and by November this year, it has cumulatively cut rates by 150 basis points. However, due to the difficulty of balancing the job market and inflation targets, as well as concerns about the bubble in artificial intelligence (AI) investment, the rate-cutting 'tool' is becoming increasingly 'ineffective'.
Recently, gold has been consistently highlighted by Hong Fei for high short and low long positions. Gold 4193 long position entry, 4203 exit, 10-point profit taken, profit taken 1832 dollars $BTC #加密市场反弹
The overall market is weak and fluctuating with a bearish tendency. It is recommended to mainly think about shorting on rebounds or chasing shorts after a breakdown. Pay attention to the breakout situation of the support at 90,460 and the resistance at 92,410.
Short Selling: · Position: After rebounding to 92,300–92,400 or breaking below 91,726. · Target: 91,200 → 90,750 → 90,460. · Stop Loss: Above 92,800.
· Betting on rebound to go long (light position short term): · Position: A stop signal appears at 90,500–90,800. · Target: 91,500 → 92,000. · Stop Loss: Below 90,300. $BTC #加密市场反弹
Last night, the empty order strategy provided by Hongfei has fully realized its profits! The market trends are under control, and you can relax and secure your gains!
The market never disappoints those who are serious—if you treat it with focus, it will return the favor. Choosing the right direction and following the right people is far more important than blindly working hard.
As the year-end approaches, let’s join hands and celebrate a prosperous year together!
· Hongfei 5000U Fan Cang 100000U, remaining seats: 1 seat · Hongfei 2000U Fan Cang 50000U, remaining seats: 2 seats
Seats are filling up quickly, act early to secure your spot! $BTC #加密市场反弹
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting results will be announced tomorrow at 3 AM. The current market expects a probability of over 89% for a 25 basis point rate cut in December. There are two possible situations for rate cuts: hawkish and dovish. A hawkish rate cut is characterized by opposition from some officials, with Powell stating that it is uncertain whether there will be a rate cut next year, and the threshold for the next rate cut is high; A dovish rate cut is when Powell implies that there will be further rate cuts, starting to taper in January. Before the results are announced, the market is expected to exhibit a volatile trend.
Hongfei's strategy for the big cake on the early morning of December 10:
Above 94,000 has entered a high-risk zone, better to miss the rebound than to take the overbought hand. Waiting for a pullback or high short opportunity.
Only by working closely together can we truly move forward with peace of mind; everything else is just fleeting clouds. Do not betray any trust, and do not let any choice go to waste.
Hongfei 2000u Fan Cang 50000u Last 2 seats, about to be full.
Opportunities are fleeting; if you want to come, do so quickly! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐
On the third day of the partner sail, the 1000U account is about to break through 3000U! This is not a coincidence, but a result created by trust and execution力!
Hong Fei firmly believes: not to disappoint every trust is the baseline of strength, and also the principle of commitment.
In the final sprint phase, only 4 seats remain for the 1000U sail cabin 20000U. As the year-end approaches, opportunities are fleeting, so seize the moment, lock in, and accelerate profit! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐