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一起和 jerry 穿越周期

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Frequent Trader
6.7 Years
21年开始,全职散修投资人,致力于用投资养活余生,关注中美股市,币市和黄金,话痨人设,观点一定不对,主打一个“陪伴”价值!
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#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 The new chairman candidate has not yet been announced, and the major candidates do not forget to flatter the understanding king. It is estimated that what Hassett said in an interview a few days ago was not liked by the leadership, and today he directly made a super "dove" speech, which significantly boosted market sentiment, and the bull is back quickly!
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议

The new chairman candidate has not yet been announced, and the major candidates do not forget to flatter the understanding king. It is estimated that what Hassett said in an interview a few days ago was not liked by the leadership, and today he directly made a super "dove" speech, which significantly boosted market sentiment, and the bull is back quickly!
B
BNBUSDC
Closed
PNL
+15.82USDT
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Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting on December 11Recently, the market's focus has been on the FOMC meeting on the 11th, where a 25 basis point rate cut has become a high-probability event. The most critical aspects are the dot plot to be announced, Powell's statements, and whether to expand the balance sheet, these three things. Dot plot: Determines the future interest rate cut path. Currently, Nomura and Morgan Stanley have also adjusted their rate cut predictions today, basically one cut in December, and two cuts in 26, from the current 3.75–4% to 3–3.25% However, at the beginning of 26, the announcement of the new Federal Reserve chairman caused a lot of disturbances to the interest rate cut path for 26; Post-meeting statement: Neutral statement, in line with expectations, but with limited impact on the market

Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting on December 11

Recently, the market's focus has been on the FOMC meeting on the 11th, where a 25 basis point rate cut has become a high-probability event. The most critical aspects are the dot plot to be announced, Powell's statements, and whether to expand the balance sheet, these three things.
Dot plot: Determines the future interest rate cut path. Currently, Nomura and Morgan Stanley have also adjusted their rate cut predictions today, basically one cut in December, and two cuts in 26, from the current 3.75–4% to 3–3.25%
However, at the beginning of 26, the announcement of the new Federal Reserve chairman caused a lot of disturbances to the interest rate cut path for 26;

Post-meeting statement:
Neutral statement, in line with expectations, but with limited impact on the market
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Congratulations to the two for winning the title of the most disgusting dog farm in December @jupiterexchange @humidifi Previously, the public offering was first come, first served, and within 1 second, all the scientists were taken. Okay, let's do it again tonight, but the mechanism remains the same, is this ? stupid? Originally scheduled to start at 11 PM, it was delayed due to issues, then postponed again, and again, confirming to start at 12 AM, but the funniest scene came, the dog farm suddenly started early, and the quota was taken in seconds, while the leeks were played with like monkeys all night long. #wet打新
Congratulations to the two for winning the title of the most disgusting dog farm in December
@Jupiter 🪐 @humidifi

Previously, the public offering was first come, first served, and within 1 second, all the scientists were taken.

Okay, let's do it again tonight, but the mechanism remains the same, is this ? stupid?

Originally scheduled to start at 11 PM, it was delayed due to issues, then postponed again, and again, confirming to start at 12 AM, but the funniest scene came, the dog farm suddenly started early, and the quota was taken in seconds, while the leeks were played with like monkeys all night long.
#wet打新
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The upcoming bad news mainly includes 1. The interest rate cut on the 10th is basically a done deal; it just depends on whether Powell's post-meeting speech is hawkish or dovish. A hawkish rate cut is bearish for the market. However, Trump said he would announce the new chairman of the Federal Reserve before Christmas. Currently, Hassett is leading the race, and if this "shadow chairman" takes office, Powell's ability to manage market expectations will be greatly weakened. The "shadow chairman" appointed by Trump is aimed at rate cuts and easing services. In the second half of 2026, during the midterm elections, current polls show that Trump is in a bit of danger, so various measures to support the economy and the stock market will emerge in the first half of 2026. Sometimes it’s not possible to buy at the lowest price; if it’s cheaper, just buy a little bit.😁 #美联储重启降息步伐
The upcoming bad news mainly includes

1. The interest rate cut on the 10th is basically a done deal; it just depends on whether Powell's post-meeting speech is hawkish or dovish. A hawkish rate cut is bearish for the market.

However, Trump said he would announce the new chairman of the Federal Reserve before Christmas. Currently, Hassett is leading the race, and if this "shadow chairman" takes office, Powell's ability to manage market expectations will be greatly weakened.

The "shadow chairman" appointed by Trump is aimed at rate cuts and easing services. In the second half of 2026, during the midterm elections, current polls show that Trump is in a bit of danger, so various measures to support the economy and the stock market will emerge in the first half of 2026.

Sometimes it’s not possible to buy at the lowest price; if it’s cheaper, just buy a little bit.😁
#美联储重启降息步伐
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ETH/USDC
Price
3,043.08
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#ETH走势分析 Add another hand of eth, but the liquidity will be a bit poor this coming Saturday and Sunday, reserve some for later, and buy again when the opportunity arises.
#ETH走势分析

Add another hand of eth, but the liquidity will be a bit poor this coming Saturday and Sunday, reserve some for later, and buy again when the opportunity arises.
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ETH/USDC
Price
3,141
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23:01:14 【U.S. September Core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% month-on-month, in line with expectations】 Financial News, December 5 - The U.S. September PCE price index increased by 2.8% year-on-year, with an expected growth of 2.8%, and a previous growth of 2.7%. The U.S. September Core PCE Price Index rose by 0.2% month-on-month, with an expected growth of 0.2%, and a previous growth of 0.2%. (From Financial News APP) Inflation is in line with expectations, trending in a positive direction. Invest in Ethereum, let's go!!!
23:01:14 【U.S. September Core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% month-on-month, in line with expectations】 Financial News, December 5 - The U.S. September PCE price index increased by 2.8% year-on-year, with an expected growth of 2.8%, and a previous growth of 2.7%. The U.S. September Core PCE Price Index rose by 0.2% month-on-month, with an expected growth of 0.2%, and a previous growth of 0.2%. (From Financial News APP)

Inflation is in line with expectations, trending in a positive direction. Invest in Ethereum, let's go!!!
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ETH/USDC
Price
3,115.17
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Clanker’s first presale was targeted, and Jupiter's HumidiFi presale was also targeted. So the current situation is: we will not buy any VC projects, no matter how good they are, and we will not participate in any 'fair' launches. Not losing is gaining.
Clanker’s first presale was targeted, and Jupiter's HumidiFi presale was also targeted. So the current situation is: we will not buy any VC projects, no matter how good they are, and we will not participate in any 'fair' launches.

Not losing is gaining.
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@YZiLabs Season 2 has come to an end. In addition to the usual infrastructure, games, and AI, the top priority is the prediction market, aiming for victory in 2026. The prediction market has become the most crowded track. My personal understanding of the prediction market is that "everything can be bet on"; the future can become a giant trading platform encompassing everything. Currently, there are still very few issued coins, and there are still many opportunities. Finding new platforms backed by a "big player" is a good alpha opportunity.
@YZi Labs Season 2 has come to an end. In addition to the usual infrastructure, games, and AI, the top priority is the prediction market, aiming for victory in 2026. The prediction market has become the most crowded track.

My personal understanding of the prediction market is that "everything can be bet on"; the future can become a giant trading platform encompassing everything.

Currently, there are still very few issued coins, and there are still many opportunities. Finding new platforms backed by a "big player" is a good alpha opportunity.
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Previously, the exchange was basically in a flat position (except for on-chain mining). Today, I bought one lot of Ethereum. The negative impact of the previous yen interest rate hike has been mostly digested, and with a high probability of continued interest rate cuts on the 10th, the Federal Reserve will stop QT. According to Goldman Sachs' predictions, the Federal Reserve is expected to implement approximately $25 billion in liquidity injections each month (small QE), and the candidate for the Federal Reserve chair may be announced before Christmas. Saying all this, the negative factors have been mostly digested, and future liquidity is expected to loosen. We can look forward to a rebound in December. Tonight at 11:11, after the release of the PCE inflation data, let's see if there are any opportunities to add more Ethereum.
Previously, the exchange was basically in a flat position (except for on-chain mining). Today, I bought one lot of Ethereum.

The negative impact of the previous yen interest rate hike has been mostly digested, and with a high probability of continued interest rate cuts on the 10th, the Federal Reserve will stop QT. According to Goldman Sachs' predictions, the Federal Reserve is expected to implement approximately $25 billion in liquidity injections each month (small QE), and the candidate for the Federal Reserve chair may be announced before Christmas.

Saying all this, the negative factors have been mostly digested, and future liquidity is expected to loosen. We can look forward to a rebound in December.

Tonight at 11:11, after the release of the PCE inflation data, let's see if there are any opportunities to add more Ethereum.
B
ETH/USDC
Price
3,180
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Application, eligible
Application, eligible
币毒
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My current largest position is still $ASTER. Everyone can see my identity "Holder of ASTER" from my homepage. The reasoning and logic are very simple and quite aggressive.

I don't want to miss out like I did years ago with 100,000 $BNB. ASTER has given me another chance; how many opportunities can a person have in a lifetime?

I missed Binance, but I can't miss on-chain Binance again, and this time I'm in the same boat as the richest Chinese person. It doesn't matter anymore because the cost of missing out is far greater than the cost of losses, so this time there's no reason to give up. #ASTER will always be a Holder!

ASTER HOLDER CLUB is being established; those holding more than 10,000 $ASTER can apply.
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pol keeps falling, shorting to get rich?
pol keeps falling, shorting to get rich?
常樂 Crypto Insights
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💥"Shanghai Zhao Yongqiang leveraged RWA to earn 28 million! The clues he discovered about BlackRock's holdings are astonishing..."

At 45 years old, traditional finance practitioner Zhao Yongqiang immediately invested heavily in $POL after discovering that BlackRock had tokenized its $12.7 billion money market fund on Polygon. In just 9 months, his $800,000 investment turned into 28.8 million! This is by no means an isolated case - the total value of RWA on the Polygon chain has surpassed $11.8 billion, including Franklin Templeton's $3.6 billion fund and WisdomTree's $1.4 billion assets. Even more astonishing, the daily trading volume of RWA on Polygon has surged by 430% in the last 30 days, reaching an average of $370 million per day. Zhao Yongqiang asserts: "Traditional institutions are accelerating their entry, and the best window period for ordinary investors is only a few weeks left." Data shows that the number of institutional wallets holding over $1 million in $POL has surged by 87% in a month.

@Polygon #Polygon $POL
{spot}(POLUSDT)
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