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#黄金 In the morning, let it be empty near 4247. Now the market has directly dropped to 4209. Does this prediction count as having the market in hand? The rhythm is right, and Yingli will be a natural result～#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 Assess the situation and the core logic of profitable investment

What we do is investment, not speculation! The key to sustained profitability is only one: wait for the right moment, and when the time comes, act with precision, accuracy, and stability!

Successful investment = strict mindset control + scientific capital management + solid technical skills. Based on years of market experience, the root of most investment losses lies in these 6 mindsets. Self-examination and correction, if there are issues, make changes:

1. Stubbornness: Failing to adjust when the direction is wrong, clinging to luck, ultimately depleting the principal. In investing, first ensure survival, then seek long-term.

2. Heavy Positioning: Overtrading and excessive position sizes leave no buffer when the market moves against you. Reasonable positions and strict position control are the eternal bottom line.

3. No Stop Loss: The influence of luck leads to ignoring risk control. Market rules never shift according to personal will; strict stop losses are essential for long-term survival.

4. Blind Trading: Placing orders without a plan and emotionally, hastily trying to recover losses, only results in greater losses. Abandon emotions, adhere to trading discipline, and avoid 'dull knife cutting meat'.

5. Adding to Losing Positions: Sticking to losing long or short positions without flexibility, adding to losses, ultimately being eliminated by trends. Following trends and adjusting flexibly is the way to go.

6. Following the Crowd: Believing in hearsay and lacking independent judgment. The market is full of uncertainties; learning to observe changes calmly is more important than blindly following the crowd.

Trading is like a game; when things are not going smoothly, reflection and adjustment are crucial. Maintain a steady mindset and focus on 3 things: analyze market patterns to base operations on; seize opportunities decisively, without hesitation or delay; hold profitable positions in line with trends, set stop losses, and let profits run.

Message: Trends are king, follow the trend; intraday markets are volatile, feel free to communicate at any time; if facing position challenges, provide capital position information to obtain stable solutions. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察 $ETH $BTC

#原油 Early oil strategy on November 12

Current oil prices are in a phase of supply pressure + continued short-term decline:
Iraqi oil resumption directly presses oil prices down to $58.50, the geopolitical uncertainty and the limited support effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations lead to a dominant short-term supply shock;
API inventory data is key to short-term fluctuations, and the current market is bearish;
The daily chart is in a minor oscillation, testing the support at $56, the MACD below the zero line shows that the bearish strength is weak but the trend has not changed;
The 1-hour cycle is continuously pressured by the moving averages, and the short-term downward rhythm is clear;
The moving average system on the 1-hour chart suppresses prices, with bearish momentum dominating below the MACD zero line, and the early session's weak oscillation at low levels conforms to the characteristics of continued downward alternation.

Operational suggestion: short when rebounding meets pressure, light position shorts near 58.8-58.9
Defense: 59.1
Target: 58.3, 58.1
#加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

#白银 12.11 Morning Silver Strategy

Currently, silver is in a stage where the daily price increase momentum is temporarily paused and there are expectations for a short squeeze market correction:
Although the daily chart maintains a one-sided upward trend, the tight spot inventory and the driving force of institutional short squeezes have shown signs of overextension, making it difficult for the short squeeze market to sustain, and there is a natural correction demand in the market;
After the 1-hour chart price quickly fell after reaching a new high of 62.718, the K-line body closed in the red and the downward range expanded, indicating that the correction rhythm during the one-sided upward trend has begun;
Short-term moving averages have turned from a bullish arrangement to a downward turn, the price has deviated from the previous strong upward slope, and during the correction process, the rebound is weak, with bears prevailing in the short term.

Operational suggestions: Short when rebounding meets resistance, light short near 62.2-62.3
Defense: 62.5
Target: 61.8, 61.6
#加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 Morning gold strategy on 12.11

Currently, gold is in a bearish phase characterized by a balance breakdown and a top divergence:
In a balanced situation, the bears gradually dominate, with the price reaching a new high of 4247.66, but the indicators have not reached new highs, forming a top divergence, which is a strong bearish signal;
After the new high, there was a quick pullback, and the strength of the rebound continued to weaken, with the candlestick body gradually closing in the negative and the downward range expanding, indicating a clear offensive rhythm from the bears;
Short-term moving averages are weakening horizontally and slightly declining, with strong expectations for a dead cross formation; once the short-term moving averages cross below the long-term moving averages, a bearish trend will be established.

Trading suggestion: Sell short when encountering resistance during a rebound, light position short near 4247-4250
Stop loss: 4255
Target: 4210, 4205#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

$ETH 12.11 Morning Yi Tai Thoughts

Although the mid-term upward trend was once solid, the recent pullback has expanded, and the rebound is weak. The previously reasonable correction range has been broken, and the support at the core level has weakened. In the short term, it deviates from the upward rhythm;
After a period of sideways fluctuation, there has been a significant drop. The K-line entity continues to expand, which is not a healthy turnover but a signal of profit-taking by bulls and increasing dominance of bears;
The price has broken below the short-term moving average support, and the previous upward momentum has quickly decayed. There have been no effective signs of stabilization during the pullback, and short-term pressure characteristics are clear.

Operation suggestion: Short near 3300-3350, target: 3200, 3150
#加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

$BTC 12.11 Morning Big Cake Strategy

In the morning, it is in the stage of callback and bottoming out. Although the bulls are temporarily dominant, the downward momentum has obviously weakened, and there are no signs of accelerated breakdown, making the risk of chasing long positions relatively high;
After the price dips, the rebound strength has increased, and the K-line body is gradually narrowing. The Asian session is likely to continue the consolidation, belonging to the stage of energy accumulation after the callback;
On the 4-hour chart, the price is close to the MA144 support level, and the pressure from the moving averages is weakening. After the previous sharp drop, the indicators are gradually recovering, and the characteristics of consolidation are significant.

Operation suggestion: Short around 91300-91800, target: 90000, 89500#加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 #BTC走势分析

#黄金 Today's golden rhythm is steady, and the switch is perfectly timed, resulting in something beautiful! In market fluctuations, finding the right rhythm is more important than anything else; those who follow this wave understand! The next opportunity is still locked in, don't fall behind! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 Strategy implementation, steady gains! This wave of gold short positions is so smooth!
Students who keep up with the rhythm, are you making easy profits again this time?
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 Student's winning streak comes to an end! Golden profits are securely in the bag!
Trading is never about luck; it is the inevitable result of strategy and execution!
This wave of both long and short positions has left everyone who followed it earning a lot!
In the next wave of the market, we are waiting for you to hop on! #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

#原油 Evening crude oil thoughts on 12.10

Current crude oil is in a weak phase of "supply pressure + oscillation testing support":
Iraqi crude oil resumption directly suppresses oil prices to fall back to $58.50. Geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts provide some support, but short-term supply shocks dominate the trend;
API inventory data is a key variable for short-term fluctuations, and the current market is cautious;
The daily chart is in a secondary oscillation, with alternating K-line patterns and prices testing the support at $56. The MACD shows a weak bearish momentum below the zero axis, but the trend remains unchanged;
The one-hour cycle is under pressure from moving averages and is moving lower, indicating a clear short-term downward rhythm;
The moving average system on the one-hour chart continues to suppress prices, with the MACD operating below the zero axis, showing that bearish momentum is dominant. The early session's low-level weak oscillation aligns with the characteristics of continued downward movement alternating between primary and secondary trends.

Operational suggestion: Short on rebounds near 58.6-58.7 with light positions
Defense: 58.9
Target: 58.2, 58.0#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH

#白银 12.10晚间白银思路

当前白银处于“短期多头主导+宽松预期+通胀联动”的强势阶段：
市场计价美联储12月降息预期，降息降低贵金属持有成本，叠加白银的商品+避险双重属性，宽松预期下需求端获双重提振；晚间EIA原油数据若推升油价，将进一步抬升通胀预期，强化白银抗通胀吸引力；
短期多头趋势明确，前期回踩60.487支撑后快速反弹，未破坏上行节奏，属于拉升过程中的健康休整；
1小时图站稳布林带中轨，均线呈多头排列，MACD金叉延续且动能充足，多头主导特征显著。

操作建议：回踩支撑做哆，60.9-61.0附近轻仓哆
防守：60.7
目标：61.3，61.5#加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金

#黄金 Evening Gold Strategy on October 12

Currently, gold is in the stage of 'Asian session oscillation under pressure + speculation before the Federal Reserve's decision':
The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning, with a general expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut, but there is uncertainty in the 'hawkish rate cut' signal. Combined with a weak labor market and inflation above target, volatility will increase after the decision, and capital in the Asian session is cautious and observing;
Although the longer cycle continues to rise, the Asian session is constrained by the previous high of 4219, oscillating around 4213. The short-term upward pace is slowing, and it is in a consolidation phase before the decision;
The MACD on a larger cycle has a golden cross upwards, but the energy bars above the 0 axis are weakening. The moving average system on the hourly chart is turning downward, and the price has fallen below the short-term moving average. The bullish momentum is temporarily paused during the Asian session's oscillation and consolidation.

Operational Suggestions: Take short positions when rebounds meet resistance, lightly short near 4205-4208
Defense: 4213
Target: 4198, 4195
#加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH

#白银 Today's silver is consolidating at a high position, accumulating strength; in the trend market, signals are more reliable than predictions! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH

$ETH 12.10 Midday Auntie's Thoughts Analysis

Currently, Auntie is in the "short-term strong but weakening momentum + high-level stagnation" phase:
Although it maintains a relatively strong trend in the short term, the K-line body is gradually shrinking, reflecting a weakening of the bulls' offensive strength, which belongs to the phase of stagnation after the rise;
After the price touched the high point of 3397.50, it fell back, and during the rebound process, the high points were not effectively lifted, and the adjustment range expanded, showing the characteristics of "rising - consolidating" under pressure;
DIF and DEA continue to diverge above the zero axis, but the slope is slowing down. Although the red bars are expanding, the subsequent momentum is insufficient, and the upper Bollinger Band has not expanded further, revealing risks of high-level stagnation.

Operational Suggestions: Short near 3350-3380, target: 3250, 3200
#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #比特币VS代币化黄金

$BTC 12.10 Midday Pancake Thoughts

Currently, Bitcoin is in the 'high rebound after consecutive daily gains + short-term pressure' phase:
Although the daily chart once showed consecutive gains, the price retreated after reaching the high point of 94555, and the trading volume significantly decreased after the high rebound, indicating signs of loosening in the upward channel, and bullish momentum is starting to weaken;
The 4-hour chart shows a 'high rebound - retreat - fluctuation' pressured trend, with the pullback gradually expanding, and the rebound strength continuing to weaken, representing a profit-taking phase after the rise;
Although the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the signs of a turn in the upper band have started to appear, with the price retreating from closely adhering to the upper band to near the middle band, and the support strength of the moving average is weakening, clearly indicating short-term pressure characteristics.

Operation suggestion: Short near 93000-93500, target: 92000, 91500#加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #BTC走势分析

#白银 12.10 Afternoon Silver Strategy

Spot silver is strongly breaking high at the 1-hour level + in-depth analysis of the bullish leading strategy
Currently, silver is in the phase of "strongly breaking high + policy expectation driven":
The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates on Wednesday are rising, attracting buying support at lower prices, although better-than-expected U.S. job vacancy data has led to a rebound in the dollar, silver's strong performance surged over 4% to refresh historical highs, dominating short-term bullish sentiment;
The price on the 1-hour chart breaks through historical highs, the moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, and the upward momentum is sufficient, belonging to the continuation phase after a one-sided surge;
The MACD fast and slow lines continue to stay above the zero line, although the red bar momentum has slightly reduced, it remains in a strong range, and the price on the hourly chart firmly maintains above the moving average, with strong support during pullbacks, consistent with bullish leading characteristics.

Operational Advice: Buy on pullbacks to support, light positions near 61.2-61.3
Defense: 61.0
Target: 61.6, 61.8
#美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 12.10 Midday Gold Strategy

Currently, gold is in a stage of "geopolitical risk support + technical adjustment nearing the end": global geopolitical tensions are escalating, providing core safe-haven support for gold. The market's cautious attitude towards risk assets continues to enhance the attractiveness of gold allocation, which is the core driver for potential upward movement;
Although the daily level touched 4250 and then slightly retreated, the adjustment range is controllable, and it has not broken through the key support zone. The short-term moving averages running horizontally are actually a signal of accumulation, not a sign of weakening trend;
The MACD momentum is reducing but has not entered the deep negative value zone. After the price on the hourly chart retraces, it gradually stabilizes, and the support during the pullback strengthens, which is a characteristic of bullish accumulation after adjustment.

Operational Suggestions: Buy on the pullback support, lightly buy around 4200-4202
Stop Loss: 4195
Target: 4208, 4212
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

#黄金 Gold Trading Practical Experience Summary

This material focuses on short-term gold trading, specifically designed for independent traders who are continuously losing money and lack professional guidance, outlining the core logic and practical methods. The essence of trading is not to rush for profits, but to first protect the principal, maintain a rational mindset, and avoid self-consumption from inconsistency between knowledge and action. A stable mindset is essential for making accurate decisions, and one must plan before acting to respond to market fluctuations.

There are three core techniques for short-term gold trading: first, strict control of capital management, with a single short-term position not exceeding 10% of total funds, and not opening more than one new position in a single day. Adding to positions must be rational, and profits should be promptly locked in; second, combining multi-timeframe candlestick charts, using daily charts to determine trend direction, prioritizing short positions in bearish markets and light long positions in bullish markets, and capturing precise entry and exit opportunities using hourly charts; third, trading with caution to avoid risks, refraining from blind and frequent operations, and choosing to wait during critical policy announcements such as Federal Reserve interest rate hikes or cuts until market sentiment stabilizes and trends become clear before entering the market.

In addition, one must avoid six high-risk operations that can lead to liquidation: heavy trading, stubbornly holding losing positions, lack of stop-loss habits, frequent trading, averaging down against the market, and blindly following trades. The trend of gold prices can be traced, and profits rely on scientific methods and professional understanding. Only by strictly adhering to rules and acting rationally can one steadily walk on the path to profitability.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH