裸k阿龙
High-Frequency Trader
9 Months
裸k信徒 | 专注量价与结构分析 | 不定期分享交易心得与机会。微博:裸k阿龙；推特X:@zhuzhnglng1。币安手续费八折邀请码：ALONG888
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Is ETH still looking at 5000? The big top has formed, don't be a chump!
Monthly line, just closed. 1. The continuous three candlesticks in July, August, and September, is the increase in candlestick height getting smaller? July was a large upward candlestick, and August's trading volume was slightly larger than July's. The candlestick body has already become much shorter than August's, and the upper shadow is quite long, indicating a potential volume stagnation. September's candlestick directly turned into a downward candlestick, and it was extremely low volume, proving that there are fewer people chasing high prices at high levels. Without buying pressure, how can prices rise? Looking at the comprehensive situation of July, August, and September, it shows a process of bullish exhaustion and a shift to bearish dominance. 2. The left-side horizontal resistance at 4630 was not surpassed. 3. The MACD fast and slow lines and the energy bars are both diverging. Therefore, from the monthly perspective, the outlook is severely bearish.
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#BTC has reached a major peak, with sufficient evidence.
120,000 is the historical peak of this cycle. Perhaps it will hit a new high later, causing losses for those who shorted at 124,500, or it may reach a new high and trap another batch of people. I think it will only go up to about 130,000 at most. Believe it or not, we will wait and see; the following market will verify my words. The data analyzed below is sourced from Coinbase's BTC spot chart.
Before starting this article, let's clarify two points; these two points are very important: First, the monthly level bottomed out in December 2022, and the bull market started vigorously in January 2023. Now, 32 candlesticks have passed, which is two years and eight months. Everyone agrees that it's a slow bull, right? Second, the price increase: the lowest price in the bear market was 15,460, and the current highest price is 124,533, which is an increase of 8.05 times, equivalent to a rise of 7.05 times. So, we are currently at a high position, and there should be no doubt about that. Alright, remember these two premises.
Before starting this article, let's clarify two points; these two points are very important: First, the monthly level bottomed out in December 2022, and the bull market started vigorously in January 2023. Now, 32 candlesticks have passed, which is two years and eight months. Everyone agrees that it's a slow bull, right? Second, the price increase: the lowest price in the bear market was 15,460, and the current highest price is 124,533, which is an increase of 8.05 times, equivalent to a rise of 7.05 times. So, we are currently at a high position, and there should be no doubt about that. Alright, remember these two premises.
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I have my own homepage
Pull me into the group, please. Thank you.
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The group QR code has been placed in the latest article. Family members who haven't joined the group should hurry and scan the code to join the group.
$BTC 2025.12.10 Bitcoin morning analysis.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
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Extra, extra! Brothers, after much hardship, the group over here at Binance is set up. Finally, no more wandering! Aaron's fans, please scan the code to join the group!
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$BTC 2025.12.10 Bitcoin morning analysis.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
See original
Method 3 is indeed a breakthrough pullback, continuing to rise
$BTC 2025.12.9. Supplementary Explanation of the Big Pie
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
See original
$BTC 2025.12.9. Supplementary Explanation of the Big Pie
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
See original
2025.12.8 Bitcoin Early Market Analysis.
Bare K charting looks at the market, getting to the essence; news can be misleading, but candlestick lines cannot.
1. Weekly. Last week's weekly line encountered a horizontal pressure at 94261 and closed as a doji, bearish outlook.
2. Daily. Encountered a horizontal pressure at 92078, forming a spinning top, with a long upper shadow, bearish outlook.
3. 4-hour level. Last night there was a rebound, with three consecutive small bullish candles, reaching the daily pressure point, followed by a large bearish candle, the bulls' efforts wasted, the downtrend is evident. The resonance of the weekly, daily, and 4-hour cycles is downward, those still going long are simply giving money to the market; if there’s another rebound to 91900 today, it would be an excellent shorting opportunity. I checked the plaza, and there are quite a few people looking bullish, many are looking at 98000, a huge number at 100000, good, without these people, how would the bears make money? Not looking at volume and price, just drawing the theory and waves, quite ridiculous.
The way is simple, if you thoroughly research bare K, you don't need to look at anything else. By the way, the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates the day after tomorrow; do you think it's good news? Unfortunately, it has already been priced in over the last two days, and you are still holding onto long positions tightly. The market has priced it in, and when it lands, it will be bad news; anyway, reflected in the market, Bitcoin is just a weak chicken. Who will win, we'll see.
Scan the code to add me to the group; I might write fewer articles in the future, can’t write one every day. If you want to make money, hurry up and follow me, scan the code to join the group. Bottom fishing, peak touching, trend watching, and point watching are all strengths of A Long; I just want to help a portion of people with execution ability to make money, especially in the next bull market.
Bare K charting looks at the market, getting to the essence; news can be misleading, but candlestick lines cannot.
1. Weekly. Last week's weekly line encountered a horizontal pressure at 94261 and closed as a doji, bearish outlook.
2. Daily. Encountered a horizontal pressure at 92078, forming a spinning top, with a long upper shadow, bearish outlook.
3. 4-hour level. Last night there was a rebound, with three consecutive small bullish candles, reaching the daily pressure point, followed by a large bearish candle, the bulls' efforts wasted, the downtrend is evident. The resonance of the weekly, daily, and 4-hour cycles is downward, those still going long are simply giving money to the market; if there’s another rebound to 91900 today, it would be an excellent shorting opportunity. I checked the plaza, and there are quite a few people looking bullish, many are looking at 98000, a huge number at 100000, good, without these people, how would the bears make money? Not looking at volume and price, just drawing the theory and waves, quite ridiculous.
The way is simple, if you thoroughly research bare K, you don't need to look at anything else. By the way, the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates the day after tomorrow; do you think it's good news? Unfortunately, it has already been priced in over the last two days, and you are still holding onto long positions tightly. The market has priced it in, and when it lands, it will be bad news; anyway, reflected in the market, Bitcoin is just a weak chicken. Who will win, we'll see.
Scan the code to add me to the group; I might write fewer articles in the future, can’t write one every day. If you want to make money, hurry up and follow me, scan the code to join the group. Bottom fishing, peak touching, trend watching, and point watching are all strengths of A Long; I just want to help a portion of people with execution ability to make money, especially in the next bull market.
See original
After a while, it has hit a new low again; not running away would be foolish.
Only 3 days left, retail investors will have no more opportunities.
Then it will be the institutions' game.
If I were the 🐶 bull, I wouldn't call you to buy the dip at 027.
Buy the dip $LUNC 295 days
Then it will be the institutions' game.
If I were the 🐶 bull, I wouldn't call you to buy the dip at 027.
Buy the dip $LUNC 295 days
See original
$BTC 2025.12.8 Bitcoin Early Market Analysis.
Naked K analysis, hitting the essence directly; news can be deceptive, but K-lines do not lie.
1. Weekly Chart. In a downtrend, encountering weekly support at 85179 and an uptrend line (blue line) support, it stops falling and rebounds. The first resistance level is the opening price of the large bearish candle at 94261. The recent close was a long upper and lower shadow doji, with trading volume larger than the previous candle, indicating that bulls invested a lot of resources to attack, but the result was minimal as the opening and closing prices were basically the same, favoring the bears. Therefore, if it approaches 94200 again this week, it would be a good opportunity to short. On the 19th of this month, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting, and it is highly likely to raise interest rates, which will drain several trillion dollars from the market, having a nuclear-level impact on the global financial market. US stocks, gold, futures, and digital currencies will all be affected, so those going long must be cautious.
2. Daily Chart. Yesterday I published an article predicting a decline because the daily support hadn't been reached, and I couldn't find support on the 4-hour chart, but it just wouldn't drop. If it goes up, the first resistance is the downtrend line; the recent daily candles have hit the trend line and then dropped. The second resistance level is 92078, and the third resistance is the weekly level resistance at 94261. First, let's see if it can get past the first resistance; if not, then short. This is just a consolidation in a downtrend, likely not the final bottom; after the adjustment, it will continue to decline. I have high hopes that it can reach 78000. Again, I remind you, those going long must be cautious. In terms of grasping the larger trend, A Long hasn't missed anything since August, calling for the top over 120,000 times; you can check the pinned articles.
3. 4-Hour Level. Last night there was a false breakdown to lure shorts; the consolidation platform low of 89149 was not breached, and now it's rebounding. The first resistance is 91425; let's see what kind of line it closes at when it bounces here; a stagnation signal will allow for a short.
Overall, the situation is not optimistic; shorting is much safer than going long. Follow me; A Long has studied naked K for four years and will bring a daily market analysis using naked K language, all of which are valuable insights.
Naked K analysis, hitting the essence directly; news can be deceptive, but K-lines do not lie.
1. Weekly Chart. In a downtrend, encountering weekly support at 85179 and an uptrend line (blue line) support, it stops falling and rebounds. The first resistance level is the opening price of the large bearish candle at 94261. The recent close was a long upper and lower shadow doji, with trading volume larger than the previous candle, indicating that bulls invested a lot of resources to attack, but the result was minimal as the opening and closing prices were basically the same, favoring the bears. Therefore, if it approaches 94200 again this week, it would be a good opportunity to short. On the 19th of this month, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting, and it is highly likely to raise interest rates, which will drain several trillion dollars from the market, having a nuclear-level impact on the global financial market. US stocks, gold, futures, and digital currencies will all be affected, so those going long must be cautious.
2. Daily Chart. Yesterday I published an article predicting a decline because the daily support hadn't been reached, and I couldn't find support on the 4-hour chart, but it just wouldn't drop. If it goes up, the first resistance is the downtrend line; the recent daily candles have hit the trend line and then dropped. The second resistance level is 92078, and the third resistance is the weekly level resistance at 94261. First, let's see if it can get past the first resistance; if not, then short. This is just a consolidation in a downtrend, likely not the final bottom; after the adjustment, it will continue to decline. I have high hopes that it can reach 78000. Again, I remind you, those going long must be cautious. In terms of grasping the larger trend, A Long hasn't missed anything since August, calling for the top over 120,000 times; you can check the pinned articles.
3. 4-Hour Level. Last night there was a false breakdown to lure shorts; the consolidation platform low of 89149 was not breached, and now it's rebounding. The first resistance is 91425; let's see what kind of line it closes at when it bounces here; a stagnation signal will allow for a short.
Overall, the situation is not optimistic; shorting is much safer than going long. Follow me; A Long has studied naked K for four years and will bring a daily market analysis using naked K language, all of which are valuable insights.
See original
If it doesn't run, it will reach a new low.
Bottom fishing $LUNC 294 days
Can we still get on board now?
This is the first wave of adjustment heading towards the stars and the sea.
This is the first glance of countless dreams.
This is a deflation that even the top public chain Ethereum cannot achieve.
This is a 100% decentralized project that stands shoulder to shoulder with Bitcoin.
Figure 1, deflation webpage, verify it yourself, the data won't lie.
Can we still get on board now?
This is the first wave of adjustment heading towards the stars and the sea.
This is the first glance of countless dreams.
This is a deflation that even the top public chain Ethereum cannot achieve.
This is a 100% decentralized project that stands shoulder to shoulder with Bitcoin.
Figure 1, deflation webpage, verify it yourself, the data won't lie.
See original
Great minds think alike
Don't believe in 'new highs imminent', believe in K-line language
$LUNA2 The community is starting to shout 'the breakthrough is today'? Be careful, this is often the atmosphere that the main forces prefer. The K-line has a long upper shadow + high position stagnation, which has already exposed the bulls' fatigue. Going short now is not being bearish, it is respecting market signals.
{future}(LUNA2USDT)
$LUNA2 The community is starting to shout 'the breakthrough is today'? Be careful, this is often the atmosphere that the main forces prefer. The K-line has a long upper shadow + high position stagnation, which has already exposed the bulls' fatigue. Going short now is not being bearish, it is respecting market signals.
{future}(LUNA2USDT)
See original
Your 126000 empty pancake, with added warehouse in the middle
I found that what truly causes many people to suffer huge losses is not the technology, but rather the loss of the ability to endure the fluctuations of their positions.
Recently, I have come into contact with some friends who have suffered significant losses. Even when given a correct medium-term strategy, they cannot hold on. It is not that they do not recognize the strategy, but the psychological trauma from their losses has already left a deep mark in their hearts.
They have lost too much before, so with every trade, they hope for a "big turnaround." They take on positions that are absurdly heavy, as if handing their lives over to the market the moment they place an order.
Every time the candlestick moves a point, their hearts leap; every fluctuation in account balance sends their adrenaline soaring; they stare at the screen without daring to blink, fearing they will miss a rebound or a crash.
At that moment, they are not trading; they are waiting for a verdict.
You think you are doing finance, but in reality, you have become a chip.
You think you are smart, but in that state, you are worse than a gambler.
Trading should be calm, an execution based on probabilities and plans.
But when a person pins all their hopes on a single order, every market fluctuation tears at their psychological defenses.
Losses are not terrifying; what is terrifying is losing the ability to "withstand fluctuations and hold good positions."
Position size determines fate; light positions can survive, while those with heavy positions... hover on the brink of death every day.
A truly mature trader is not one who wins heavily, but one who can afford to lose and hold on.
You can only seize opportunities if you can let go of fear.
If you are controlled by emotions, no matter how good the strategy, it will turn into a nightmare.
Recently, I have come into contact with some friends who have suffered significant losses. Even when given a correct medium-term strategy, they cannot hold on. It is not that they do not recognize the strategy, but the psychological trauma from their losses has already left a deep mark in their hearts.
They have lost too much before, so with every trade, they hope for a "big turnaround." They take on positions that are absurdly heavy, as if handing their lives over to the market the moment they place an order.
Every time the candlestick moves a point, their hearts leap; every fluctuation in account balance sends their adrenaline soaring; they stare at the screen without daring to blink, fearing they will miss a rebound or a crash.
At that moment, they are not trading; they are waiting for a verdict.
You think you are doing finance, but in reality, you have become a chip.
You think you are smart, but in that state, you are worse than a gambler.
Trading should be calm, an execution based on probabilities and plans.
But when a person pins all their hopes on a single order, every market fluctuation tears at their psychological defenses.
Losses are not terrifying; what is terrifying is losing the ability to "withstand fluctuations and hold good positions."
Position size determines fate; light positions can survive, while those with heavy positions... hover on the brink of death every day.
A truly mature trader is not one who wins heavily, but one who can afford to lose and hold on.
You can only seize opportunities if you can let go of fear.
If you are controlled by emotions, no matter how good the strategy, it will turn into a nightmare.
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Reached the top, return where you came from
Bottom fishing $LUNC 293 days
In 5 days, you will be free.
Will the prophecy of August come true?
In 5 days, you will be free.
Will the prophecy of August come true?
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$BTC 2025.12.7 Bitcoin early market analysis. The daily chart shows a doji, but it hasn't reached support, so this is not a signal of a stop in the decline, but rather a continuation of the downtrend. Support below is at 85179-86286; if it doesn't break, it may go to 94000, but if it does break, it will need to go to 78000. Today's fluctuations are expected to be larger.
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$BTC 2025.12.6 Bitcoin early market analysis. Yesterday I mentioned to short at 942-945, but there wasn't any opportunity, so I missed it again. No worries, at least I didn't lose money by going long. A Long's grasp of the overall direction is still acceptable; there will be plenty of opportunities. The support below is 873, 862, with the lower boundary of the yellow flag shape at 852. As long as the support holds, it will bounce back to around 942, because the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is on the 10th of this month, and there are still a few days left to speculate a bit. Once the rate cut is announced, it will continue to drop, with a target of 78500. Over the weekend, everyone should spend more time with family and kids; the fluctuations are small, and there's not much market movement. We'll fight again next week!
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$LUNC Last night, LUNC surged onto the gainers' list, closing the day with an 80% increase. This coin is likely to be delisted soon, with a daily trading volume of only 1 million dollars. Your rise is impressive, but the shorts are steady, and they are very stable. Reason: First, look at the weekly chart. Since February, it has been consolidating, and on October 6th, it suddenly broke down from the platform with high volume. Those who bought and held for 8 months were all trapped, so when it rises to the consolidation area, there will be significant selling pressure. That's why yesterday's highest price reached 7063, resulting in a shooting star. The daily chart shows a strong bullish candle but with a long upper shadow. The key is the trading volume; compared to historical daily volume, yesterday was the highest, which indicates a massive volume at a high price. The daily chart's strong bullish candle seems not to indicate a short position. No worries, let's take a look at the 4-hour chart. The 4-hour chart looks stable; that line at 4 o'clock is at the top, and it shows massive volume and stagnation. As long as the liquidation price is above 7063, everything is fine. Wait for a rebound to 61 to short; I entered the first position at 84 and expect to go back and forth within a few days.
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$BTC 2025.12.5 Bitcoin early market analysis. It was right not to let everyone chase the rise yesterday, as just now the closing was a small bearish candle, with four layers of resistance above, making it hard to go up. There’s a high probability this is just a false signal; the night before yesterday was triggered by several positive news leading to a V-shaped recovery, defined as a rebound from an oversold condition. Still, as the saying goes, the longer it moves sideways, the higher it can go up. Ten days of sideways movement does not support a double bottom structure for rising; once it goes up, those analysts outside will shout for 98, 99, 100 thousand. Right now, we can't even break through the weekly resistance at 942. Currently, there’s also a favorable interest rate cut on the 9th that hasn't materialized yet; this recent upward move seems to be speculative, and once it lands, it may start to drop again. It seems there's still hope to see 78500. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we currently have a single peak; we can wait for a rebound to open a short position at 942-944, placing a direct order on the left side, with a stop loss of 1000 points and a take profit at 855. There's nothing else to say; that’s it for today.
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2025.12.4 eth.sol.bnb market analysis
Naked K looks at the market, hitting the essence directly; news can be misleading, but K lines won't. Hello everyone, I am Naked K A Long, a trader who has studied the Naked K system for 4 years. Every morning, I bring everyone a Bitcoin market analysis.
It's been a while since I've dedicated a separate article to eth.sol and bnb. Since I work at a state-owned enterprise, there are many summaries towards the end of the year, and I just finished a busy period yesterday. Today, I have some free time to briefly discuss these coins, but there isn't much to say; they all follow Bitcoin. Since I need to discuss three coins in one article, I will say a few words about each coin, keeping it concise.
It's been a while since I've dedicated a separate article to eth.sol and bnb. Since I work at a state-owned enterprise, there are many summaries towards the end of the year, and I just finished a busy period yesterday. Today, I have some free time to briefly discuss these coins, but there isn't much to say; they all follow Bitcoin. Since I need to discuss three coins in one article, I will say a few words about each coin, keeping it concise.
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