涵宇ss

Is the chart I drew yesterday ($ETH ) hard to understand?

Yesterday's perspective: aliens climbing stairs! Each step up, so why not just mark the price?

1/ The latest step level is at 2320, and since the price is above that level, why should we be biased towards a pullback?

2/ Ethereum is generally in a sideways market, ranging from 2270 to 2410.

$BTC The sky drops seven words.

In a choppy market, ride the waves~

--- The bounce from 79300 has completed its leg.

--- Consolidation zone is 82500-79300, with the strength-weakness dividing line at 80500.

--- If 79300 holds, is there an opportunity for a right-side short, or what? 0.0

$ETH Aliens climbing stairs.

2270 is always a resistance level that we can't seem to break.

1/ I've drawn a stair-step pattern on the chart, should be pretty easy to understand.

2/ Until we see a "descending staircase" pattern, hold on to those long positions. The big target for this wave is 2410.

3/ The exchange rate seems to be climbing the stairs too, hoping it can catch up and touch 2500+, I'm thinking of going short~

$BTC There are actually aliens 0.o

Last week's insight, 79300 is a critical level to watch. This move has finally opened up some space.

--- For short-term trades, keep an eye on the 81600 level. This is a Fibonacci + resistance confluence zone.

--- The trend lines seem to have lost their effectiveness. Focus on the support at 79300; a break below this won't look good.

--- 84500 remains a key support-resistance flip zone.

The on-chain dogs are going wild, what a time to be alive!

$ETH

$ETH all done.

The exchange rate broke support and created a lower low. It's not looking good...

1/ As expected, we saw a bounce at 2270, but it's already swallowed up the gains.

2/ Not trading at 2270 anymore, it's too weak. If you have a long position here, you can hold and gamble.

3/ The only left-side opportunity is at 2175.

$BTC This on-chain market is flying with everyone and their dog! 😭

Yesterday's analysis highlighted the key support at 79300, which triggered a rebound wave, hitting around 80500.

--- We need to break below 79300 to open up the downside.

--- 80500 acts as a strong resistance line. If we flip that, we can expect new highs.

Just finished drafting this and the webpage popped up a captcha, then auto-refreshed... Can someone fix Binance?

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❗❗What to watch over the next 24 hours to a week❗❗

First, tonight at 20:30 (Singapore time), we have the U.S. April non-farm payrolls #非农 . If job additions significantly exceed around 62,000 and wages are hot, the market will further trade on "higher rates for longer," which is bearish for long-duration assets and crypto; if the data is clearly weak, the market will try to bet on the Fed pivoting sooner, but we still need to see how wages and upcoming CPI align.

Second, the U.S. April CPI on May 12. The BLS schedule shows that CPI will be released on May 12. For the market, non-farm payrolls determine if "growth is starting to slow down," while CPI determines if the Fed can breathe easy. If both are weak, equities, bonds, and gold are likely to benefit; if employment is stable and inflation sticky, the pressure will shift back to bonds and overvalued assets.

Third, whether the situation in the Middle East truly cools down. Recently, the most volatile asset has been crude oil, and #原油 is currently a "variable in the middle" for all assets. As long as oil prices stay around 100 dollars, the entire asset pricing won't be easy.

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⭐ Today's #日报 , the key takeaway is not a specific price level, but these three statements:

1/ The stock market hasn't turned bearish yet, but has moved from a "broad rally" into a "high-level selection" phase. The AI narrative is not dead; in fact, it remains strong, just with higher crowding.

2/ Bond yields are now the most critical central variable. If the long end continues to rise, gold, $BTC , and U.S. equities will be forced to reprice.

3/ Crude oil is currently the biggest macro disruptor. If oil prices don't pull back, the Fed will struggle to pivot dovishly, and the market will find it hard to re-enter a "blind risk-on" mode.

Today's observation order 👉: First, watch non-farm payrolls, then U.S. Treasury yields, next oil prices, and finally decide whether U.S. equities/ gold/ BTC will become the next relative strong players.

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Summary⭐

The core trading logic today can be boiled down to one statement:

The market is simultaneously trading on "strong AI profits," "oil prices raising inflation," and "the Fed finding it harder to pivot dovishly" regarding these three issues.

$ETH Let's have a quick chat.

Is Ethereum really set for a rally? From the candlestick chart, it looks like there's only one shot left.

1/ In the second chart, the exchange rate has hit a phase support. Whether we can bounce back and strengthen depends on this move~

2/ The current support is still quite far off. Waiting at 2175/2270.

$BTC still holds a dominant position.

Seems weak but not really.

--- The stage support is at 80500. Even though the price isn't making higher highs anymore, the stage support hasn't been broken, so we shouldn't take a strong bearish view on the pullback for now.

--- Based on the trend line drawn from the left side of the chart, the price is at 79300. This is a support confluence level, so keep a close eye on it.

--- As long as the price stays above 80500, we can maintain our bullish outlook for a potential breakout.

My expectation for $ETH has always been to hit around 2500, catching a nice wave of a补涨行情. Before that, I've been too lazy to mess with any short-term trades. ~

Now, let's talk about $XAU .

1/ Incredible! Every time gold approaches 4500, going long has been quite profitable.

2/ The support and resistance flip point at 4660 has been reclaimed, and honestly, there's not much resistance above. So, ideally, touching 4850 shouldn't be too hard.

3/ The only minor resistance worth noting seems to be at 4740. If we break past that, there’s really nothing more to say.

$BTC I've been wrecked at the peak =.=

Yesterday's view, I reduced my short to target 82500. Ended up hitting my stop loss right before it dropped...

--- The only clear support in this range is around 80500. If it doesn't break this level, I can't consider a pullback.

--- Price is currently above 80500, and I think the resistance is quite far, which is why I reduced my short position. Let's keep an eye on 84500; if it hits, I’ll add back to my position.

--- The divide for strength in this evening's spike is at 81600.

After paying these fees for so many days, it finally tanked 🥹

$CL

So who can explain the current bullish trend in the market?

$BTC #NASDAQ #美股

$ETH I'm actually hoping for Ethereum to pump.

Compared to Bitcoin's strong performance, the altcoins are just wild, and Ethereum seems a bit more stable.

1/ Ethereum is still in a retracement phase (who knows how long this will last 😕) with short-term resistance at 2410 and daily resistance around 2500.

2/ You can hold your long positions along the trend line with Ethereum right now.

3/ If the market weakens, we need to break below 2270.

$BTC Short squeeze alert!

Neither long nor short, the price has entered the observation zone.

--- Continue holding the short position, but I currently have no plans to add more. I will consider taking profits above 82500.

--- For right-side shorts, we need to wait for the price to break below 80400.

--- Overall, the trend is still upward, but without any pullbacks, there's no clear structure, making it a bit tricky to go long.

The shorts are massively stacked, and a shakeout is inevitable. Whether it's a quick shake or a slow one, it’s still a shakeout.~

Don't be scared, go bold with your shorts!

$BTC

Just stumbled upon the fact that the futures price at $BTC left a daily candlestick gap near the current price. (Futures gaps typically create phase pressure)

From a technical perspective, around the current price of 80000, there are three strong resistance levels: daily EMA, daily support-resistance flip zone, and the futures gap.

So, all things considered, I think that short position I took last night was a good entry. The stop-loss shouldn't exceed 84500 by much!