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📢【Tonight's FOMC Meeting: My Views on the Crypto Market】

Tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision (likely a 25bp cut), but what the market is really focused on is not whether there will be a cut, but whether the subsequent rate cut expectations will be lowered.

There are a few points that I think must be noted👇

🔍1) The stimulus from rate cuts is limited, and the speech is key
• The rate cut has basically been priced in by the market
• If Powell leans hawkish, for example, hinting that "there is no guarantee of further cuts in the future," that could become a short-term bearish signal
• So the market may not react with "a direct surge after the cut," but more like "first rise then drop or directionally confirm repeatedly"

📊2) The short-term may see a "stop sweep market"

This situation is very common:
• A wave of buying occurs instantly after the decision, sweeping up the stop losses above
• Then it reverses and drops down
• The true direction often appears after the speech ends, not at the moment of the decision

🧠3) Suggested operational logic
• Do not go all-in betting on the meeting results
• Avoid new positions before the decision
• After the decision, look at the 15m K and speech sentiment before entering the market
• Wait for the market to give signals, do not act as a prophet

💬Overall View

The rate cut itself is somewhat favorable, but if the speech leans hawkish, the market's short-term sentiment will converge, and there is also considerable downside potential.
Tonight, no directional predictions will be made, only reactions.
#ETH #ETH走势分析 #美联储会议