懂币狗狗

$SOL The market says SOL is weak, so let's act on the weakness:
🔸Resistance at 131～135, don't fight it
🔸Support at 121～123, watch for signs of a stop in the decline
No guessing the top or bottom, earn 'certainty' with the rules. Can it reverse? Of course, but I prefer to confirm a little later rather than being cannon fodder too early. Do you prefer the excitement of 'bottom fishing' or the reliability of 'confirmation'?😄#solana

《OTC 江湖故事太多，真正的高端玩家反而越来越怂 🐢》

这几年，场外江湖的瓜吃得越多，你就会发现一个现象：
真正有钱、活得久的那批人，讲话越来越保守，动作越来越慢。

原因很简单：
收到涉案资金被司法冻结的案例，一堆
“高溢价收 U”背后踩雷的故事，一堆
线下面交出事的新闻，看一次后背发凉一次

于是你会看到很魔幻的一幕：
越是没多少钱的，越喜欢问“有没有内部通道”；
越是坐在富豪区的，越喜欢说“这块我得问问合规和律师”。

站在安全和合规的角度，
真正靠谱的思路一般都是三件事：
1️⃣ 尽量通过正规、有风控流程的平台进行资金流转
2️⃣ 不去碰“不明来源”“高回报”“超高溢价”的场外机会
3️⃣ 该问专业人士的时候就付费问，不在群里瞎听“老哥经验”

江湖故事可以当茶余饭后谈资，#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $ETH
但不要把别人写在判决书上的教训，当成自己的操作指南。

本文为风险提醒性质的内容，不构成任何交易路径建议。🚫
$BNB

90,000 USD BTC, is it high or low? It depends on which year you traveled from ⏳

Recently, more people have been asking in the background, "Can I still buy at 90,000?"
Every time I see this question, a timeline appears in my mind:

People from 2018: Seeing 90,000 might make them think, are they dreaming;

People from 2022, who faced a halving: Seeing 90,000 might be met with the first reaction of "finally a little relief";

Newcomers entering in 2025: They can only feel, "Wow, that's way too expensive, right?"

So the number 90,000 itself has no answer; it simply tells you one reality:
It depends on what price, what emotion, and what cycle you have come from.

The current situation is——

On a macro level, the Federal Reserve is slowly lowering interest rates, with a cautious pace;

Japan is continuing to raise interest rates, and the yen carry trade might take another hit; #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC

After a brutal outflow of ETF funds in November, there has been a slight inflow in December, but no one dares to say "confirmed safe."

In this environment, BTC is hovering around 90,000, it can be said to be high, or not outrageous either.
What really needs to be clarified is your role at this price level:
Are you an early holder who got on board long ago, a latecomer who bought high and got trapped, or a newcomer just ready to dip their toes with a paycheck?

The answer lies in your account, not in the price. 😅
The above is purely personal chatter and does not constitute investment advice
$ETH

《Yen Interest Rate Hike: Before Turning Off the Lights, Take a Look at Which Row You Stand In》

The Bank of Japan's meeting on December 18–19 has basically been regarded by the market as the 'interest rate hike confirmation conference.' Economists are almost unanimously betting: the interest rate will rise from 0.5% to 0.75%, which is the most significant increase in 30 years. It sounds like just an additional 0.25%, but for those who have leveraged funds relying on the 'low yen interest rate,' it is akin to a sudden price increase for gym membership, forcing them to consider skipping a couple of days of chest workouts.

Everyone still remembers the last round of interest rate hikes in 2024: Bitcoin once saw a double-digit drop in a single day, dragging various risk assets down with it. There are a few differences this time: expectations are already fully priced in, and the number of open contracts is lower than the peak, while exchanges are frantically educating people not to use excessive leverage. The problem is, there will always be someone who thinks they are the exception.

Therefore, my logic for watching the market recently is very simple: the interest rate itself is just a trigger; what truly determines who gets blown up is—who is using high leverage, who has not implemented risk control, and who treats yen carry as a perpetual motion machine. As for how to adjust positions, everyone's account is different, so one can only calculate for themselves. The only thing that can be certain is: on the eve of the storm, being able to see which row you stand in is far more important than predicting tomorrow's price fluctuations.
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 market analysis #日本加息 central bank #日元套利交易 $BTC
$ETH

At the end of the year, I can't finish it, at least let me not worry about stablecoins anymore.
Recently, my daily routine is: working during the day, trading late at night. Time is seriously insufficient, so my requirements for stablecoins are actually very simple—please don't treat them as "experimental products" anymore; I already have enough experimental reports to write.

Previously, some algorithmic stablecoin stories were told in a fantastic way, but once extreme market conditions hit, they directly turned into textbook-level disasters. Later, while reviewing materials, I noticed that @USDD - Decentralized USD is taking a different path: it now emphasizes decentralization + over-collateralization, with collateral assets like TRX, USDT, etc., locked on-chain, and the data dashboard allows real-time viewing of collateral ratios, rather than completely relying on some institution to issue a "no problem" certificate.

For someone like me who doesn't have enough time, this kind of "self-checking at any time" model at least alleviates the psychological burden of worrying about sudden crashes every day. USDD 2.0 has also expanded to a multi-chain ecosystem, transforming itself into a stable and user-friendly "on-chain dollar unit," making it convenient for us to try DeFi in small amounts across different chains, experience lending or liquidity pools, without constantly being exposed to high-volatility assets.

What I fear most during finals week is suddenly having an extra make-up exam, rather than stablecoins suddenly dropping by 20%. So now I plan to put a small portion of my funds in this over-collateralization model of USDD, treating it as a "buffer zone for preventing heart attacks." What do you think is more important for beginners: short-term windfall profits or long-term survival until the next bull market? #USDD以稳见信

Should we buy the dip 😆 or not optimistic? What do you think #luna #lunc

🤣 The former "project boss" is about to be sentenced, and the coin price is having a celebration banquet first?

Do Kwon will attend the final sentencing hearing on December 11. Before the verdict is announced, $LUNA / $LUNC has already held a "market release conference," doubling in three days, resembling fireworks lit ahead of time; whether the noise is loud or not is beside the point, it's certainly frightening.🌐

The logic behind this wave of market movement is roughly:
"Old stories are coming to an end, a new chapter is about to begin," combined with the continuous destruction of $LUNC supply and a surge in trading volume, the market immediately imagines a scenario of "scarcity + rebound," and speculative funds flood in, FOMO written all over their faces.🔼

The problem is—those who jumped into the pit in 2022 know the score:
The damage from the collapse hasn’t automatically cleared;
Trust doesn’t just recover immediately with a sentencing;
Now it’s more about emotional fluctuations, not a fundamental renewal.

Simply put: this is more like a "highly spicy hot pot"; those who can handle spicy food can consider taking a bite, while those who are afraid of stimulation shouldn't complain about the restaurant being too harsh while crying (for humorous exchange only, not constituting any investment advice.)

#LUNA Has the bull market arrived???

The market is very exciting, but you need to think about 'who is on the opposite side' 😏⚠️

These past few days, looking at the K-line of LUNC / LUNA, it's really easy to get carried away:
One big bullish candle, you think 'it's going to take off';
Two big bullish candles, you start to fantasize 'is it going back to its peak years';
Then a big bearish candle, directly pulls you out of your dream.

You must always remember one thing:
Behind every explosive K-line you see,
there is definitely a group of people who have already ambushed and are unloading at high positions.

🤔 A few self-check questions:
If you rush in now, are you the 'first mover' or the 'last one'?
Do you know when to sell? Or do you just say 'wait a little longer'?
Are you using profits to gamble, or are you using living expenses to bet?

👉 Simple 'explosion-proof warehouse rules':
1️⃣ Use spare money: only use money that you can afford to lose to play with these high-volatility assets.
2️⃣ Think about selling points first, then buy: write down 'under what circumstances must sell' before placing an order, such as breaking a certain price or retracing beyond a certain amount.
3️⃣ Treat Terra as an 'experience points cultivation game':
If you win, review 'what you did well';
If you lose, review 'where you were greedy/lucky'.

💬 You can ask yourself in the comments section:
If you make money this time, would you be willing to earn a little less for a position where you can sleep well?

Welcome to "This Week's Major Heart Check on the Market":
① FOMC Voting: Is it a united dovish stance or a family group chat argument?
② Powell's Post-Meeting Speech: Gentle dove or sharp-tongued?
③ Interest Rate Dot Plot: Are we going down the stairs or just stalling?
Against the backdrop of weakening employment, interest rate cut expectations have risen to over 87%, and both the stock market and crypto world are anxiously waiting for results.
Tip:
Don't go all in before the meeting, look for direction after; mainstream coins are the main players, while Puppies are the "green tea emotion tickets"; it's fine to play, but falling in love is a mistake.

After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the market atmosphere is equivalent to a 'buy one get one free' promotion: everyone feels that not taking a little risk is doing a disservice to themselves. Cryptocurrencies, being high-volatility assets, naturally become an outlet for emotions. But don't mistake fireworks for signal flares.
* Buy mainstream assets in batches during big drops, focus on daily charts and avoid refreshing 1-minute K charts too often;
* Treat altcoins as small bets for 'gaming'; if you win, it's a surprise, and if you lose, it's tuition;
* Set proper stop losses and take profits, or the market will 'force you to graduate.'

$LUNC 《I've seen too many dead cats, and this time the smell is about the same》
Old leeks say to you from the heart:
This wave of LUNC and LUNA taking off, I feel like that taste from 2017 has come back.
One soared by 70%, another surged by 38%, as if shouting at you from the screen: Bro, do you remember the you back then?

What was the trigger?
The market is spreading rumors that SBF might be pardoned, and the emotions are ignited directly:
The main force doesn't need to say a word, just seeing the green light in retail investors’ eyes means it can take off.
What do we call this? — Classic dead cat bounce + emotional overlay.

A couple of old sayings for operation:
For those who got on the bus: Please remember, you came to make money, not to accompany it in reclaiming its glory;
For those who didn't get on: Don’t use your own principal to pay for someone else's nostalgia.

The crypto world is not short of stories, just short of people alive to hear the stories.
This wave of LUNC / LUNA, are you planning to "believe one more time," or "quietly watch others attend class"? See you in the comments.
#LUNA #加密市场观察

Working for a year is not as good as Perp DEX rising?\nThe hard-working employee struggles for a year with a 5% salary increase,\nThe Perp DEX sector has quietly risen several times over the year,\nI suddenly understand why everyone just wants to look at K lines after work—at least this thing occasionally respects fantasies.\n\nHYPE went from a few dollars to several tens of dollars, my paycheck went from three digits to four digits, the feeling is completely different levels.\n\nASTER is even more extreme, it jumped ten times, then had a roller coaster ride, by the time I finish distributing year-end bonuses and prepare to buy at the bottom, it has already flown away from the bottom, leaving behind a lonely needle.\nThe question arises:\nIf you had to choose:\nA. Your boss gives you a 10% raise\nB. Takes you on the next wave of Perp DEX leaders\nWhich one would you choose?👔💰

When institutions say "now is the bottom," you are still hesitating whether to open an account.
Tom Lee shouted at the conference:
BTC will hit 250,000 in a few months;
ETH is expected to return to 12,000;
In 2025, the wave of asset tokenization will elevate the utility value of Ethereum to another level.
The most critical statement is:
👉 "BitMine will continue to buy ETH this week because we firmly believe we are at the bottom."
Institutions: buying while talking.
Retail investors: watching while hesitating.
The market has always been like this— it won't wait for everyone to understand before giving you a "perfect entry point."
The question is not whether Tom Lee is right or wrong, but:
✅ Do you have your own strategy and plan.
#Web3 #BTC #ETH #投资思考

$ETH #Today's market is a bit magical
Did the Federal Reserve cut interest rates? Did the Bank of Japan raise interest rates? Did Powell resign? Did Trump select a new Federal Reserve chairman? That's right, these messages don't seem to be my focus. The real focus is: Big Brother Ma Ji is increasing his ETH long positions, and the market has been affected, right!
However, don't celebrate too early; ETH's intraday pattern still has downward space. Looking at the four-hour chart, the downward trend isn't completely finished yet. Unless the resistance at 2850-2900 is broken, I still remain bearish.
Fortunately, our long position exited early; otherwise, last night it would have turned into "chasing highs and killing lows," going straight back to before liberation!

In the past, I also chased the wild ups and downs, and as a result, my account curve looked like an ECG. Now I've learned my lesson 😂
For me, the correct Web3 mindset is simple:
Treat this as a side hustle, not a gambling table.
When the market is good, do some low-risk arbitrage,
When the market is bad, research projects, and gradually buy quality assets with the profits earned,
I only require that the overall account can maintain an annualized return of around 10% in the long term,
After a few years, slowly roll out a passive income close to a salary.
Not exciting, but very real.
Do you prefer a nice screenshot, or a good cash flow on your account? 📈
#加密市场观察 $BNB

#ETH巨鲸增持 On-chain data shows that whales have quietly moved a large amount of ETH, their wallets have grown fatter, but the K line has thinned out first. A typical scenario: prices scare retail investors, and chips are picked up by big players. Short-term fluctuations serve as a filter for those who cannot hold, and the chips that can be shaken out were never meant for a bull market #加密市场观察 $ETH

【A Letter to Newbie Friends】
If you are:
Just entering the circle, wanting to buy everything you see
Not understanding various terms and feeling embarrassed to ask
Thinking about making money while being afraid of getting scammed
Then this account is prepared for you.
I will share here:
1️⃣ The most basic concepts (coins, chains, exchanges, wallets, etc.)
2️⃣ The most common pitfalls (fake markets, tips, scams)
3️⃣ The most practical tips (positioning, stop-loss, batch trading, bookkeeping)
You can think of me as:
👉 An older brother who entered the circle a few years earlier, has stepped on many pits,
And is now willing to help you out.
If you have any questions in the future,
Just ask directly in the comment area,
Don’t be afraid of "basic" questions —
All experts started from zero
$BTC