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On October 2nd, at a low position of 0.25, I entered the market with $COAI , and now it's harvest time! If you followed along, you have grasped this opportunity.
Why choose COAI?
1. COAI closely follows the development of AI technology, with huge future potential, meeting long-term market demand.
2. The enthusiasm for AI projects continues to heat up, and COAI is expected to become the industry's focus in the future.
Entering the market with fans in the vicinity of 0.25, accumulating at the bottom for some time, the daily line has already increased in volume and the current price is on a strong upward momentum, the opportunity is still in front of you. Fans have been notified to reduce their holdings by a portion, with the remaining aiming for a cost loss target of 1.8.
For those who haven't entered the market yet, you can continue to look for a position to enter during the pullback!
Market volatility is still present, it's recommended to reasonably control your positions to avoid chasing prices.
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Data Analysis: Signs of Employment Slowdown Emerging
As of the week ending November 29, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. slightly increased to 224,000, higher than expected, indicating a slight cooling in the labor market.
Data Significance
Initial claims data is the most forward-looking indicator of employment, quickly reflecting changes in hiring and layoffs. An increase means greater employment pressure, and interest rate expectations may tilt further towards easing.
Market Impact
The U.S. dollar is under pressure, and U.S. Treasury yields are volatile.
Tech stocks, gold, and crypto assets benefit from rate cut expectations, with buying interest increasing.
Some funds have already positioned themselves in anticipation of the "weak employment → weak dollar → easing" logic.
Potential Trends
If subsequent data continues to weaken, the market will strengthen its bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, and risk assets are likely to maintain their strength; however, if employment only fluctuates in the short term, the market may still see volatility.
Strategy Recommendations
Focus on interest rate-sensitive assets such as tech stocks / BTC / ETH / gold.
Maintain position discipline and avoid chasing highs.
Use data continuity to judge trends and avoid aggressive trading based on a single data point. $RECALL $SXP $SAPIEN #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐
Focuses on on-chain data tracing and privacy rights management, belonging to the "Data Rights + Privacy Computing" track. The long-term logic is clear, but the implementation pace is relatively slow.
2. Capital and Chips
The concentration of chips is relatively high; it is easy to trend when strong and highly volatile when weak. Monitoring net capital inflow and unlocking rhythm is key.
3. Emotion and Cycle
RECALL is an asset with strong emotional beta, suitable for breakthroughs and reversals, but not for long-term holding. Strict risk control is necessary during weak markets.
4. Technical Rhythm Three points to consider:
Whether the trend structure maintains a bullish stance
Whether the breakout is accompanied by volume
Whether the pullback support is effective
Suitable for a rhythm of "volume-following, low-volume defense."
5. Risk Points
Unlocking pressure, long implementation cycles, and high correlation with the overall market necessitate light position management for highly volatile assets.
6. Trading Strategy
Do not chase emotional peaks, wait for pullback support; follow breakouts with volume and strict stop losses; position discipline is always a priority.
Hassett or the next Chair of the Federal Reserve: Markets priced in early, risks and opportunities coexist
Key Points
Economist Hassett has become a popular candidate for the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, and his obvious dovish stance suggests a more aggressive rate cut path, raising concerns in the market about the independence of the Federal Reserve.
Market Impact
After the announcement, interest rate-sensitive tech stocks and the crypto market strengthened; the dollar index came under pressure, U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, and long-end bonds showed signs of selling pressure. In the prediction market, the probability of Hassett taking office briefly exceeded 80%.
Policy Proposals
Hassett advocates for a rate cut of 1-1.5% over the next year, has a higher tolerance for inflation, and tends to restart QE, emphasizing economic growth over price stability. He has long held a friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies, believing that Bitcoin will "rewrite the financial system."
Core Driving Factors
Due to his policy stance aligning with Trump’s, the market worries that his appointment may undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve, making monetary policy more serve political intentions.
Trading Strategies and Risks
Focus on tech stocks, growth assets, and cryptocurrencies that benefit from low-interest rates, with the dollar showing temporary weakness.
The biggest risk is that the nomination has not yet been confirmed, and his policies may encounter resistance within the Federal Reserve.
Disputes over policy independence could trigger volatility at any time, and risk management must be prioritized. $RECALL $SXP $SAPIEN #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Later at 21:15, the ADP non-farm employment change will be announced on November.
In the absence of core non-farm and CPI data before the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision, this data is almost the only employment signal the market can reference.
Currently, the market has a strong expectation for a rate cut in December,
and the performance of the ADP will directly affect the strength of this expectation.
Regardless of whether the result is strong or weak,
the cryptocurrency market, gold, and other risk and safe-haven assets may experience short-term fluctuations.
In terms of operation, remain calm, use light positions to respond, and avoid chasing highs and lows around the data release.
Last night's downward pressure was a typical liquidity wash, with continued bearish sentiment concentrated in key areas. Capital completed the absorption below and then repaired upwards with positive news. Such structures are not uncommon in the cryptocurrency market.
Two key developments in the early morning:
US banks allowing wealth advisors to allocate up to 4% BTC for clients;
Vanguard opening trading for BlackRock BTC spot ETF.
These two points directly address a core issue: the entrance for traditional institutions continues to be opened.
Looking back at the large on-chain liquidity and concentrated positioning actions in October and November, the early release of positive news aligns with the usual rhythm of institutions.
If calculated according to conventional allocation ratios, even if only 0.25% of funds flow into BTC over the next two years, the potential increment is close to 70 billion USD, forming a substantial push for the medium to long-term trend.
On the macro front:
The Fed chair candidate leans moderate, generally viewed as a positive for risk assets;
But geopolitical variables still present uncertainties
The US-Venezuela relationship is unstable;
Russia-Europe tensions are rising;
These factors may cause short-term disruptions.
Strategy preference:
Before the trend structure is broken, maintain the holding strategy and do not follow short-term emotional fluctuations.
In addition to BTC, consider moderate allocations to stable assets like gold to enhance the portfolio's resilience.
Risk warning:
Market volatility has normalized, please participate within your own risk tolerance. The above is for market reference and does not constitute investment advice.
#GIGGLE Take profit is in place, secure the gains.
The long positions I guided my brothers to follow this time were executed cleanly and decisively. Once the target is reached, don't linger, take some profit first.
Market sentiment is still fluctuating, and profits should never be delayed. It's most practical to get the money in your pocket first.
I will continue to monitor the market, and if there are new trends, I'll lead everyone again.
The structure has broken through key support, the rebound strength is insufficient, and the trading volume continues to diminish. The bullish momentum is lagging, and the signs of the main force selling at high levels are very obvious.
From the market rhythm perspective, RLS is currently in a weak range after a trend reversal, and the rebound is mostly providing a better entry point for bears. The sentiment is also cooling down, with continuous capital outflow, and the pressure above the coin price is getting heavier.
In simple terms:
The trend has turned bearish, the volume is insufficient, and capital is withdrawing; this is a typical bearish environment.
As long as the rebound does not break through the previous pressure zone, my thinking remains:
Positioning short at highs, continue to follow the trend downwards as the structure breaks.