叶南佳

Let me talk about the upcoming trends of $BTC and $ETH . I personally believe that there will continue to be a decline, so pay attention to the support level at 88750!
From the market structure, Bitcoin and Ethereum are still in a downward channel. Although there has been a short-term rebound and correction, the trend has not reversed. The overall rhythm remains — rebound means short, waiting for a drop.
Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating below the middle line of the downward channel, with multiple days of rebounds hitting resistance near 104200. After testing 99000 yesterday, a double bottom rebound formed, but after attacking 104000, it quickly fell back, and the rebound remains weak.
The short-term range is expected to fluctuate between 98500 and 104200. If it fails to break through and stay above 104200, the rhythm will still be to short on rebounds.
If it breaks below 97600, it will open up space below, possibly testing 92700, or even filling the gap between 88700 and 89000.

Reference range:
Short position idea: 102500–103000 area
Target range: 100600–99300
If it breaks below 92700, it will be a signal for a phase transition to bearish. If it can hold this range and gain strong support near 88K for a rebound, then there is still hope for challenging a new high of 130000!

Ethereum's trend is linked with Bitcoin, with a slightly faster rhythm. After testing the pressure above 3450 yesterday, it fell back, continuing a weak structure today. The short-term rebound is low in volume, indicating limited capital support.

Reference range:

Short position idea: 3450–3470 area
Target range: 3260–3180

If it breaks below 3160, it will open up space below, with further support to pay attention to the 2870 area.

The overall rhythm maintains a bearish outlook, focusing on laying out short positions around the pressure zone, confirming on the right side before following up.

Currently, the market is still in a phase of downward movement. If BTC can hold above 92700 and show a strong reversal structure, there is still a chance to challenge the high of 130000 again; however, if it effectively breaks below 92700, it means the market may officially enter a 'bear market', so pay attention to the support at 88750.

Summary:
A rebound does not mean a trend reversal; support not breaking is the bottom. Rules may be broken, but the market rhythm does not lie.
#隐私币生态普涨 #美国ADP数据超预期

Opportunities and risks coexist, rational layout, timing determines returns. In the second half of 2025, we will embark on a new journey together!
Chat Room ID: l79z7uty
#加密市场回调

The direction is right, and the results will never be poor.

Yesterday, $ETH suggested a long position in the range of 3260–3300, with a clear structure and rhythm. The market moved from 3295 all the way up to 3428, fully realizing the short-term bullish momentum.

Currently, the position profit has reached +46,344 USDT, with a return rate exceeding 4126%+ ——
Trading with the trend is that straightforward.

The market never speaks, but it tells you with its movements:
Understanding the structure and executing properly leads to profits naturally.
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金
$BTC
$ZEC

Federal Reserve Decision Night: Focus on 4180, this is the key

Tonight's focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision, with the market's expectation of a 25bp cut nearly unanimous. Before the results are announced, gold is still fluctuating within a structural range, and 4180 remains a strong support level that has been validated multiple times; if it holds steady, this will be the watershed for market sentiment.

On the upside, watch for 4220 (previous high pressure) and 4250 (structural strong pressure), whether it breaks through will determine the subsequent rhythm.

If a typical "good news realization" occurs, gold may show a trend of initially rising and then falling; if the wording is more conservative, it may even touch the 4120—4100 area in the short term.

If the meeting content is neutral, a continuation of a small range fluctuation of 20–30 dollars should not be ruled out, waiting for guidance for the next stage.

Tonight's general direction depends on the attitude given by the Federal Reserve.

$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金

$ETH Strong return, bull momentum regains dominance

ETH surged strongly tonight from the 3090 level to 3397, with a noticeable increase in strength compared to BTC, entering a high-level consolidation after a short-term surge.
After a quick rise in 15 minutes, the pullback stabilized at the moving average, characteristic of a strong market consolidation; the 4-hour chart has regained the middle Bollinger band, and the MACD momentum continues to expand, indicating a clear restoration of the bullish structure; the daily chart has also shown a second stabilization, continuing the rebound trend. Overall, ETH still maintains a strong oscillation upward, with pullbacks being the main rhythm, and the focus is on buying on dips.

Support: 3260 / 3180
Resistance: 3390 / 3480

Operation suggestions

Steady buying: 3260–3300
Target: 3380, 3450

Chasing: Lightly buy after effectively breaking 3395
Target: 3460

This strong surge in ETH has boosted market sentiment, and the bullish structure is currently intact. As long as it does not drop below the middle band, the probability of a continued rebound is higher. In terms of operation, maintain a focus on buying on dips and treating it with a consolidation mindset, avoiding blind shorts.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC
$ZEC

$BTC Strong rebound enters a period of consolidation

BTC today surged strongly from 89868 to 94555, and after profit-taking at high levels, it entered a narrow range of fluctuations. Although momentum on the 15-minute level has retreated somewhat, the moving averages still maintain a bullish arrangement, and the short term is characterized by high-level consolidation after a rapid surge; the 4-hour chart has re-established itself above the middle Bollinger band, with a clear improvement in the bullish structure, and MACD momentum continues to expand, with the trend shifting from weak rebound to a slightly strong oscillation upward; the daily chart shows a second stabilization pattern, with two consecutive days of positive closes, enhancing the confirmation of the bottom.

Overall, BTC is still in the continuation phase of the rebound; a short-term pullback presents an opportunity, with a more prudent approach to participating on dips rather than chasing at high levels.
Support: 91800, 90500
Resistance: 94000, 95500

Operational Advice

Cautious Long: 91800–92500 adding positions gradually
Target: 93800, 94800

Aggressive Long: Lightly chase after breaking 94550
Target: 95500

BTC has emerged from previous low ranges, and the trend is entering a slightly strong rhythm. Currently, treating the structure as surge—consolidation—surge again is more reasonable; short-term fluctuations are digesting momentum, not indicating a weakening.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC

If the direction is right, everything is that simple.
$ETH This order's profit is directly +40,000 oil.
Follow the trend, and the results will naturally come.

No guessing, no gambling, just work according to the structure.
The market always rewards execution.
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹
$BTC
$ZEC

Yesterday saw another strong surge, everything is as expected.
The drop was quickly followed by a rise, and the bullish structure remains solid.

Tonight there is a Federal Reserve decision, and the overall direction continues to look bullish;
but we must also be wary of a rapid drop after good news is realized— the trend is strong, but we cannot lose our risk awareness.

Today's strategy: 4195-4175 support for longs.
Targets are 4230, 4240, 4255.
Previous resistance has turned into support, the structure remains unchanged, and the trend is still bullish.

The 4220 resistance level, which was repeatedly emphasized yesterday, allowed for profitable exits for long positions. By following the rhythm, the results will naturally be good.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

The rhythm is nailed down tightly.
Today, both long and short positions came back and steadily secured profits: +2230, +1730, +1242 … the results speak for themselves.

The market doesn't require guessing; let the structure speak;
Trading doesn't rely on luck; victory comes from rhythm.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

The fluctuation has not broken, and the market is waiting for a trigger point

Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated repeatedly within the range of 4218–4176, ultimately closing at 4190, and the overall structure remains weakly consolidated. Geopolitical events in the Middle East and Asia, the Russian side's upcoming restrictions on gold bar exports, and the Federal Reserve's candidates suggesting a bias towards interest rate cuts have not provided a clear direction for the market; gold remains in a 'waiting for a breakthrough' stage in the short term.

From the chart perspective: the daily line has closed negatively for two consecutive days, but it has not undermined the structural foundation of the previous bullish trend; the small-scale fluctuation range is narrowing, and the choice of direction is approaching; silver is still consolidating at a high level, providing certain support signals for gold; both bullish and bearish news coexist, with funds tending to wait for clearer guidance from the Federal Reserve.

The market has not weakened to the point of trend reversal, nor has it strengthened enough to confirm a breakout; it is a typical consolidation fluctuation situation. Before a breakout occurs, chasing highs and lows is not a good choice.
Resistance: 4220, 4250
Support: 4160, 4100 (strong mid-line support)

As long as 4160 is not lost, the bullish trend structure still exists.

Trading Suggestions

Bulls should pay attention to the 4160–4100 structural support zone; if maintained, it will provide opportunities for medium-term bulls, with a target focus on 4250+.

Bears should watch the short pressure zone near 4220; it can be shorted until a breakout occurs.

Summary

Gold is weak in the short term, but the structure is not broken; the news is slightly bullish but has not formed a driving force; silver is consolidating at a high level, providing implicit support for gold prices; the real explosive point of the market still requires a breakout from the range.

In the absence of direction, prioritize rhythm in trading, then direction.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

The direction was given in advance, and the rhythm was also mentioned in advance.
BTC rebounded and then fell back smoothly.
The movement is very decisive, without any hesitation.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#加密市场观察 #比特币VS代币化黄金

Evening 4220 pressure confirmation is effective, and there is still room for a decline below.

Gold has repeatedly tested 4216–4220 during the day without success, and the selling pressure above remains significant. The hourly chart shows a large bearish candle that completely engulfs the previous two bullish candles, indicating a renewed weakness in the short-term structure. This suggests that during the expectation phase before interest rate cuts, gold still struggles to break free from the high pressure rhythm.

Although 4180 below is a short-term support level, given the diminishing momentum, the support strength is limited. Once the US market sees a significant volume breakdown, the market is likely to further decline to the 4150–4160 region to seek genuine buying interest.

The overall logic remains unchanged: before the trend reverses, short positions remain the main focus.

Trading Suggestions

Short near 4220
Stop Loss: 4230
Target: 4180
If broken, look towards 4150–4160

$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

Trading is not just a slogan; it's about tangible results!

This week’s gold market is, to be honest, not very friendly: large fluctuations, many false breakouts, and extremely chaotic emotions.
But in such a market, the importance of a trading system becomes even more apparent.

📊 This week’s account summary:
Steady and solid, achieving a profit of 193,986.07.

It’s not about going all in, nor is it about betting on direction.
Every entry and exit is based on structure, rhythm, and risk control.
When the market gives opportunities — take profits;
When the market is volatile — manage positions;
When the market weakens — decisively reverse.

Many people often ask me a question:
“Teacher, can we still trade gold now? Can we still make money?”

My answer has always been simple:
👉 There are always opportunities in the market, but not everyone can seize them.
What you lack is not luck, but method.

🌟 Stability does not mean slowness;
Precision is the core of making money.
The numbers from this week are the best proof.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

🇺🇸December US interest rate cut + 🇯🇵Japan interest rate hike double impact

Is gold standing at the starting point of a new trend?

The focus of the financial market in December is undoubtedly: US interest rate cut, Japan interest rate hike. These two seemingly independent events are actually shaping the next important trend in gold together.

Firstly, the official start of the US interest rate cut cycle means the end of the dollar's strong cycle, with real interest rates declining significantly lowering the cost of holding gold, which benefits gold naturally. Historically, every interest rate cut cycle has brought about a mid-term rise in gold, with investors switching their risk preferences and liquidity becoming abundant again, which is the biggest support for gold prices.

On the other hand, although the Japanese central bank's interest rate hike is small in magnitude, its symbolic significance is very strong — major global central banks are shifting from tightening to policy rebalancing. The rise in Japanese bond yields will attract some capital from the dollar to the yen, putting pressure on the dollar index and dispersing liquidity, which also positively impacts gold. At the same time, the repatriation of Japanese funds and the unlocking of carry trades will increase the demand for global safe-haven assets, making gold the natural first choice.

When the US interest rate cut + Japan interest rate hike occur simultaneously, the market will face a common result:
👉 Global liquidity warming + Dollar weakening → Precious metals welcome trend-level support

Short-term volatility will still exist, but in terms of mid-term structure, the bullish foundation for gold is more solid than at any time in the past. If the market experiences a pullback next, it looks more like an opportunity to position for the next trend rather than a risk point.

The end-of-year market is often a period for funds to position in advance, and gold is in a window where fundamentals, policies, and macro expectations are completely resonating. Those who are steady will choose to focus on the trend amidst the noise, rather than every shake of the K-line.
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金

$BTC After a dip, it enters a key oscillation zone

BTC first dipped to 87688 and then quickly rebounded, peaking at 91722, showing a trend of bottoming out and recovering + minor level correction.
At the 4-hour level, the price has re-established itself near the moving average, but is still pressed below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a weak continuation of the trend; although the MACD has turned towards recovery, the volume is weak, belonging to a weak rebound structure. From a 15-minute perspective, after a sharp rise, it entered a consolidation and pullback phase, with signs of cooling momentum, mainly driven by technical rebounds from short covering. The daily chart is still operating in a low oscillation zone, the trend has not deteriorated but there are also no reversal signals; currently, it remains mainly within a range oscillation, with a rhythm of weak and stable.

Overall, BTC faces significant pressure entering the 90000–92000 area, with support at 88500–89000; in the short term, treat it with a range oscillation mindset.
Pressure: 91700, 93000
Support: 89000, 87600

Operational Suggestions

Short on rebound: 91500–92200 scale-in short
Target: 90000 → 89000

Long on pullback: 88500–89200 light position long
Target: 90500
#美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金
$ETH
$ZEC

Gold rebound pressure is obvious, and the support below is effective

Today's rhythm of gold is very clear: the upper pressure is moving down, and the lower support is being confirmed, with a weak short-term oscillation. In conjunction with the 4H structure, 1H rhythm, and Fibo range, three key areas will be the focus tonight:

🔺Upper pressure area (two phases)

① 4206–4208 area: short-term resistance zone
This is the position that has been pressed multiple times in recent rebounds, and short-term funds are clearly cautious in this range.

② 4232–4236 area: strong pressure zone
This is the strongest pressure band structurally, a position that is “easily obstructed when approached.”
It also overlaps with previous highs + Fibo extension + supply area.

🟢Lower support area: 4170–4166 (key buying zone)

Repeated tests have shown reactions, indicating that the support below remains solid.
As long as this level is not broken, the structure will still maintain an oscillation range.

📌Structure summary

4H: High points moving down → Weak rebound strength

1H: RSI weakness → Short-term rhythm is bearish

Key intervals are clear → Mainly oscillating within the range

Short-term direction: weak first, then stable

Currently, it resembles a 4230—4170 range oscillation structure, waiting for new breakout signals.

Tonight’s observation focus:

👉 4206–4208: Weak resistance
👉 4232–4236: Strong resistance
👉 4170–4166: Key support area

Observe the structure around these three intervals. The direction is clear and the rhythm is distinct.
#黄金 #黄金下跌

Golden evening key battle zone: 4200 holds, bulls still have a chance!

Gold 4H continues the oscillation and pullback rhythm, currently the price is competing around the 4190–4200 line. After the middle track of the Bollinger Bands faced pressure, a slight correction occurred, but the bullish trend has not been broken. The upper range of 4250-4270 remains an important resistance, while the lower 4190 continues to serve as key support.

US trading strategy: mainly long on pullbacks, short as a supplement.

Pullback long position: gradually buy at 4200–4190
Stop loss: 4175
Target: 4235 / 4250

Breakout follow long: follow up after breaking above 4250
Target: 4270–4300

Short-term high short: short on 4245–4250 resistance
Stop loss: 4260
Target: 4220 - 4205

Overall direction: the trend remains bullish, with a focus on the support situation at 4190–4200 during US trading.
#黄金 #黄金跳水

The evening gold strength continues.

The expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut + the rise in global risk aversion + the central bank's continuous gold purchases keep the gold price in a structure that is 'easy to rise and hard to fall.' After a large bullish move last Friday, it continues to rise steadily this week, currently breaking through 4200 again, with the trend clearly biased towards strength.

Evening view: Go long in the trend.
The afternoon pullback to 4215 has become short-term support, and the structure has not been broken.

Gold: 4215 Long
Defense: 4200
Target: 4265–4275

In a trending market, there's no need for complexity; just follow is enough.
#黄金

It's tiring to work, but it's not tiring to make money.
Follow my rhythm.
Take fewer detours and gain more returns; that is the meaning.

Take your time, but make sure you're going in the right direction.
The year-end market is still here, and as long as I am here, your returns will be too.

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC