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#加密市场观察

The evening market rose to around 92200, then fell back to around 89600. The daily line shifted from bullish to bearish with an upper shadow bearish candlestick. Pay attention to 89200 and around 87500. The four-hour structure showed a contraction touching the upper track and fell back to form a solid bearish candlestick, with attention below around 88200. The hourly structure showed an increase with five consecutive bearish candlesticks.

Tuesday early morning:

The market is around 90500-91000, targeting around 89000-88500. Protect at 91500.

The market is around 3120-3140, targeting around 3065-3045. Protect at 3170.

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US stock market opened, Dow Jones fell 0.06%, S&P 500 rose 0.09%, Nasdaq rose 0.32%. Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD.O) rose 5.6%, Paramount made a $30 per share acquisition offer. Rivian (RIVN.O) fell 2.5%, Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 1.7%, Morgan Stanley downgraded the ratings of the two companies.

12.8 Evening Market:
The daytime market generally maintains a trend of gradual increase, rising in a wedge shape to around 89800 and stabilizing above 92000. The daily increment shows a positive trend, with resistance around 94500 and support around 89500. The 4-hour structure shows three consecutive positive increments reaching the upper boundary, while the hourly structure continues to rise with consecutive positive increments.

Monday Evening:

Market around 91700-91400, target around 93700-94000. Protect against 90700.

Market around 3140-3120, target around 3200-3220. Protect against 3080.

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It's not terrible to be wrong; what's terrifying is knowing you're wrong yet blindly sticking to a path, harboring the hope that luck will save you. Timely adjustments in mindset, focusing on lower volatility, are crucial to recovering losses and reaching goals.

Every beautiful future you anticipate must rely on a diligent and solid present. ​

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The morning market continues the rebound from the bottom reached in the early morning, rising to around 89800 and then increasing to around 91700, before falling back and fluctuating around 91000. The daily chart shows a contraction in volume turning into an increase, presenting two consecutive bullish candles, while the four-hour bullish volume gradually approaches the upper boundary. Pay attention to the resistance around 92000 above, with a decrease in volume in the hourly structure. The adjustment strategy for the day is mainly focused on lower buying, so buy during pullbacks.

Monday afternoon:

The market is around 90600-90300, with a target of around 92000-92300. Protect against 89500.

The market is around 3100-3080, with a target of around 3160-3180. Protect against 3050.

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The market fell to around 87700 after reaching about 89500 on Saturday evening, then rebounded to around 91700 in the early morning, and later fell back to around 88900. The daily structure shows a small volume bullish candle, while the 4-hour structure shows an increase in volume with a lower shadow bearish candle, gradually forming a downward breakout. The hourly structure shows a decrease in volume and is running downwards. The morning strategy focuses on the main trend with a secondary emphasis.

Monday morning:

The market is around 90300-90800, targeting around 89300-88800.

The market is around 3060-3085, targeting around 2990-2965.

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Evening precision targeting for stop Ying.

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The weekend market maintains a narrow range of fluctuations and adjustments, with a fluctuation range of 90200-88900. The weekly K-line shows an increase in volume, with resistance at 94000 and support at 84000. The turning point is at 84000, and the daily structure shows a decrease in volume, gradually forming four consecutive bearish candles, with a downward trend. In the four-hour chart, a decrease in volume divergence forms three consecutive bearish candles, while the hourly structure shows an increase in volume, with the overall mindset still leaning towards bearish.

Weekend evening:

The market is around 89500-89800, targeting 88000-87700. Avoid 90500.

The market is around 3050-3075, targeting 2990-2965. Avoid 3100.

After the market dipped to around 88000 in the early morning, it rebounded to around 89000 for a consolidation adjustment. The daily structure shows a decrease in volume with two consecutive bearish candles, gradually moving downwards, with the four-hour structure increasing in volume running near the lower bound. The hourly structure shows a small range of fluctuations with increased volume. The daytime strategy remains to hold high shorts.

Saturday daytime:

Market around 89500-89800, looking towards 88500-88300.

Market around 3045-3065, target 2980-2960.

The early morning market reached 93200 with a decline in the increase, touching around 90900, then rebounded to around 92700. In the morning, it maintained a range of 92000-92700 with fluctuations. The daily K-line currently shows a bearish increase, with pressure from above. Pay attention to support around 90000 below and resistance around 95500 above. The 4-hour bearish increase touched the middle track. The hourly line shows a wedge-shaped decline.

Friday daytime:

The market is around 92600-93000, with a target of around 91500-91000.

The market is around 3190-3220, with a target of around 3130-3100.

The market overall maintains oscillation within a range. Not losing is gaining, small gains are also gains. It's not always as you wish. What we can do is effectively execute all plans, strictly control risks, and move forward steadily.

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The evening market rose to around 93600 before falling back to around 91800 and then rebounding to around 93200. The overall range remains subdued, with the moving averages slightly shifting downwards. The daily increase presents a doji star structure, while the four-hour period shows a decrease in volume, with an upward trend. The hourly structure shows a decrease in volume followed by a rebound. Some pullbacks are within the normal range, and the overall trend is upward, with a low volume prevailing at midnight.

Friday early morning:

The market is around 92500-92000, with a target of around 94000-94500.

The market is around 3175-3155, with a target of around 3250-3270.

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Daily News Briefing of the US Stock Market (2025-12-04)
Important News:
1. US officials say Trump is considering withdrawing from the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement next year, not ruling out the possibility of breaking the three-country bundle.
2. Reports say that due to soaring component costs, PC manufacturers are considering significant price increases next year.
3. OpenAI plans to compete with SpaceX and has explored deals with the rocket company.
4. OpenAI will acquire the AI model training tool startup Neptune.
5. The number of layoffs by US Challenger companies in November fell by 53% month-on-month to 71,321, still 24% higher than the same period last year.
6. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending November 29 recorded 191,000, the lowest since the week of September 24, 2022.
Stock News:
1. Microsoft (MSFT.O) stated that the company has not lowered its sales quotas or targets for its sales personnel.
2. Chevron (CVX.N) announced a capital expenditure budget of $18 billion to $19 billion for 2026, at the lower end of its previous guidance range.
3. The EU is planning to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms (META.O) regarding the introduction of AI features within WhatsApp.
4. Preliminary data shows that Tesla's (TSLA.O) new car sales in the UK in November were 3,784 units, down 19.2% year-on-year.
5. Paramount Global has raised the breakup fee for its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD.O) to $5 billion, more than doubling the previous $2.1 billion figure.
6. Micron Technology (MU.O) will exit the consumer memory business amid a global memory supply shortage.
7. Snowflake (SNOW.N) reported a 29% year-on-year revenue growth in the third fiscal quarter.
8. Anthropic reached a $200 million agreement with Snowflake to collaborate on AI agents.
9. The EU is investigating whether Meta Platforms (META.O) unfairly excludes other AI service providers in its WhatsApp chat application.
10. Palantir (PLTR.N) is collaborating with Nvidia (NVDA.O) to develop a software platform to accelerate AI data center construction.
11. Intel (INTC.O) has halted its network division spin-off plan.
12. Apple's (AAPL.O) user interface design leader Alan Dye officially announced he will join Meta on December 31 as the Chief Design Officer of Reality Labs.
13. Nvidia (NVDA.O) CEO Jensen Huang: I am incredibly excited about the robots being developed by Elon Musk.

During the day, the market rose to around 94000 after moving up to around 92600, then fell back to around 92700, maintaining a range-bound fluctuation overall. Currently, the daily structure shows an increasing volume of consecutive positive candles, with resistance around 96500 to watch. The 4-hour bullish trend is experiencing reduced volume fluctuations, and the overall trend remains bullish. The strategy is to follow the trend and buy on dips.

Thursday evening:

The market is around 93000-92500, aiming for 94500-95000.

The market is around 3175-3155 for buying, targeting around 3250-3270.

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Morning trend trading, 1300 points + over 40 points

Mediocre people only talk the talk, while excellent people understand the importance of taking action. Opportunities will only be given to those who are prepared. Every ordinary change can potentially change the ordinary. ​

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Midnight market continues with fluctuations increasing to around 91700, rising to around 93400, and then falling to around 92300. After that, fluctuations exert force again to reach 94100. Currently, the daily fluctuations have recorded two consecutive bullish candles, with attention on around 96200. The hourly structure shows fluctuations crossing below. The four-hour bullish trend shows a volume divergence presenting two consecutive bullish candles. The strategy follows the fluctuations as the main focus.

Thursday morning:

Market around 92600-92100 fluctuations, target around 94000-94500. Support at 91500.

Market around 3170-3150 fluctuations, target around 3240-3260. Support at 3120.

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The evening market competition can be said to be quite intense, with the market rapidly falling back to around 91600 from near 93300, then rebounding to around 93600. The 4-hour market gradually shows a decrease in volume, presenting a bearish trend, while the daily market still faces pressure from the increased volume above, overall maintaining a high market outlook, with opportunities to buy on the highs.

Early morning market:

Market around 93000-93500, target around 91500-91000. Watch out for 94000.

Market around 3115-3135, target around 3045-3025. Watch out for 3165.

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U.S. stock market three major indices opened lower
On December 3, the U.S. stock market opened lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.05%, the S&P 500 index down 0.23%, and the Nasdaq down 0.4%. Microsoft (MSFT.O) fell 2.8% due to weak customer response and revised its AI software sales targets. Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) rose over 7% as the company will acquire Celestial AI for up to $5.5 billion.