平南会发财
2 Following
19 Followers
18 Liked
1 Shared
All
Quotes
Translate
彭博分析师：BTC年底可能低于8.4万美元，“圣诞老人行情”可能不会出现
据CoinDesk报道，FxPro高级市场分析师Alex Kuptsikevich表示，自11月21日以来，BTC呈现出局部高点和低点逐步上升的趋势，但若要确认反弹为资本化增长的开始，总市值需突破3.32万亿美元。目前全球加密货币总市值约为3.16万亿美元，较本周初上涨2.5%，但仍低于此前的3.21万亿美元高点。
据CoinGlass数据显示，杠杆作用是BTC价格下跌的主要原因。过去24小时内有3.76亿美元的多头头寸被强制平仓，是空头清算量的近三倍。尽管美联储于周三宣布再次降息，但未来两年内降息次数可能减少的预期使市场支持有限。
QCP Capital预计年底前BTC交易区间将在84000至100000美元之间波动，而Bloomberg分析师Mike McGlone则警告新“圣诞老人行情”可能不会出现，BTC年底可能低于84000美元。目前市场关注BTC能否守住90000-91000美元支撑区，若失守可能测试当前区间底部，若企稳则可能再次挑战94000美元阻力位。$BTC
$ETH
据CoinDesk报道，FxPro高级市场分析师Alex Kuptsikevich表示，自11月21日以来，BTC呈现出局部高点和低点逐步上升的趋势，但若要确认反弹为资本化增长的开始，总市值需突破3.32万亿美元。目前全球加密货币总市值约为3.16万亿美元，较本周初上涨2.5%，但仍低于此前的3.21万亿美元高点。
据CoinGlass数据显示，杠杆作用是BTC价格下跌的主要原因。过去24小时内有3.76亿美元的多头头寸被强制平仓，是空头清算量的近三倍。尽管美联储于周三宣布再次降息，但未来两年内降息次数可能减少的预期使市场支持有限。
QCP Capital预计年底前BTC交易区间将在84000至100000美元之间波动，而Bloomberg分析师Mike McGlone则警告新“圣诞老人行情”可能不会出现，BTC年底可能低于84000美元。目前市场关注BTC能否守住90000-91000美元支撑区，若失守可能测试当前区间底部，若企稳则可能再次挑战94000美元阻力位。$BTC
$ETH
See original
Standard Chartered Bank significantly lowers Bitcoin forecast: Target reduced to $100,000 by the end of 2025, long-term target postponed to 2030
Breaking news! Standard Chartered Bank released a significant adjustment to its Bitcoin price forecast in a report on Tuesday. The bank has halved its Bitcoin price target for the end of 2025 from $200,000 to $100,000, while postponing the long-term target of $500,000 from 2028 to 2030.
Reason for the downgrade: Reevaluation of demand expectations
Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick pointed out that this downgrade is primarily based on a reevaluation of demand expectations. Key factors include:
1. Aggressive corporate purchases have come to an end
Aggressive corporate purchases by entities such as MicroStrategy have "ended." Data shows that global publicly listed companies bought a total of 195,000 Bitcoins in the third quarter of 2025, but the pace of purchases by companies like MicroStrategy has noticeably slowed down.
2. Institutional adoption of ETFs slower than expected
The inflow of institutional funds through ETFs has significantly slowed, with a net inflow of only 50,000 BTC this quarter, the lowest level since the listing. This represents a significant gap from Standard Chartered's previous expectations of sustained strong inflows.
Future driving factors: Reliance solely on ETF purchases
Kendrick emphasized that future Bitcoin price increases will "be driven solely by ETF purchases." This means that the inflow of funds through ETFs will become the main force supporting the price, while the impact of direct corporate purchases and retail participation will significantly weaken.
Market background: Correction from historical highs
Bitcoin hit an all-time high of approximately $126,000 in October 2025 but has recently experienced a significant correction, temporarily falling below the $90,000 mark, a nearly 30% drop from the peak. Standard Chartered had previously forecast that Bitcoin could briefly fall below $100,000 but believes this might be the last time it dips below this psychological level.
Long-term outlook remains optimistic
Despite the short-term forecast downgrade, Standard Chartered still maintains a long-term target of $500,000, only postponing the realization time from 2028 to 2030. This indicates that the bank still has confidence in the long-term value of Bitcoin, but believes the pace of increase will be more moderate than previously expected.
#渣打银行 #BTC $ETH $$BTC #etf #机构投资
Breaking news! Standard Chartered Bank released a significant adjustment to its Bitcoin price forecast in a report on Tuesday. The bank has halved its Bitcoin price target for the end of 2025 from $200,000 to $100,000, while postponing the long-term target of $500,000 from 2028 to 2030.
Reason for the downgrade: Reevaluation of demand expectations
Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick pointed out that this downgrade is primarily based on a reevaluation of demand expectations. Key factors include:
1. Aggressive corporate purchases have come to an end
Aggressive corporate purchases by entities such as MicroStrategy have "ended." Data shows that global publicly listed companies bought a total of 195,000 Bitcoins in the third quarter of 2025, but the pace of purchases by companies like MicroStrategy has noticeably slowed down.
2. Institutional adoption of ETFs slower than expected
The inflow of institutional funds through ETFs has significantly slowed, with a net inflow of only 50,000 BTC this quarter, the lowest level since the listing. This represents a significant gap from Standard Chartered's previous expectations of sustained strong inflows.
Future driving factors: Reliance solely on ETF purchases
Kendrick emphasized that future Bitcoin price increases will "be driven solely by ETF purchases." This means that the inflow of funds through ETFs will become the main force supporting the price, while the impact of direct corporate purchases and retail participation will significantly weaken.
Market background: Correction from historical highs
Bitcoin hit an all-time high of approximately $126,000 in October 2025 but has recently experienced a significant correction, temporarily falling below the $90,000 mark, a nearly 30% drop from the peak. Standard Chartered had previously forecast that Bitcoin could briefly fall below $100,000 but believes this might be the last time it dips below this psychological level.
Long-term outlook remains optimistic
Despite the short-term forecast downgrade, Standard Chartered still maintains a long-term target of $500,000, only postponing the realization time from 2028 to 2030. This indicates that the bank still has confidence in the long-term value of Bitcoin, but believes the pace of increase will be more moderate than previously expected.
#渣打银行 #BTC $ETH $$BTC #etf #机构投资
See original
FOMC Meeting Outlook: After Interest Rate Cuts, Where Does BTC Head?
$BTC
On December 11, Beijing time (Thursday) at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the decision from the December FOMC meeting, followed by a press conference by Powell at 3:30 AM. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, with a probability of 87%-96.9%, lowering the federal funds rate from the current range of 4.0%-4.25% to 3.75%-4.0%.
1. Rate Cut Expectations Fully Priced, Focus on Forward Guidance
The current market has nearly fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in December, so the direct impact of the cut itself on BTC prices may be limited. What is more crucial is Powell's statements at the press conference and the dot plot guidance for future interest rate paths. If the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance, suggesting continued rate cuts in 2026, it may push BTC to break through the current consolidation range; conversely, if a hawkish signal is released, it may trigger a pullback.
2. Historical Performance Shows Increased Volatility Post-FOMC Meeting
Historically, Bitcoin prices tend to exhibit significant volatility during FOMC meetings. In the last 7 meetings, BTC prices rose in 5 instances, with the increases after the last three meetings exceeding 10%. However, it should be noted that the rate cut in December 2024 did not lead to a continued rise in BTC, instead retracting after peaking at $108,000.
3. Improved Liquidity Environment Benefits Risk Assets
Rate cuts will improve the global liquidity environment, and a weaker dollar typically benefits risk assets like Bitcoin. Low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, potentially stimulating speculative capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, the Federal Reserve may announce a resumption of balance sheet expansion starting January 2026, further increasing market liquidity.
4. Short-Term Volatility Risks Cannot Be Ignored
Despite strong expectations for rate cuts, there are significant internal disagreements within the Fed, with some hawkish members explicitly opposing a rate cut in December. If the meeting results are less dovish than expected, or if Powell signals a hawkish stance at the press conference, it could trigger severe market volatility. Furthermore, the current market sentiment index is in the "fear" range (21), indicating that investor sentiment remains cautious.
$BTC
On December 11, Beijing time (Thursday) at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce the decision from the December FOMC meeting, followed by a press conference by Powell at 3:30 AM. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, with a probability of 87%-96.9%, lowering the federal funds rate from the current range of 4.0%-4.25% to 3.75%-4.0%.
1. Rate Cut Expectations Fully Priced, Focus on Forward Guidance
The current market has nearly fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in December, so the direct impact of the cut itself on BTC prices may be limited. What is more crucial is Powell's statements at the press conference and the dot plot guidance for future interest rate paths. If the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance, suggesting continued rate cuts in 2026, it may push BTC to break through the current consolidation range; conversely, if a hawkish signal is released, it may trigger a pullback.
2. Historical Performance Shows Increased Volatility Post-FOMC Meeting
Historically, Bitcoin prices tend to exhibit significant volatility during FOMC meetings. In the last 7 meetings, BTC prices rose in 5 instances, with the increases after the last three meetings exceeding 10%. However, it should be noted that the rate cut in December 2024 did not lead to a continued rise in BTC, instead retracting after peaking at $108,000.
3. Improved Liquidity Environment Benefits Risk Assets
Rate cuts will improve the global liquidity environment, and a weaker dollar typically benefits risk assets like Bitcoin. Low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, potentially stimulating speculative capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market. Additionally, the Federal Reserve may announce a resumption of balance sheet expansion starting January 2026, further increasing market liquidity.
4. Short-Term Volatility Risks Cannot Be Ignored
Despite strong expectations for rate cuts, there are significant internal disagreements within the Fed, with some hawkish members explicitly opposing a rate cut in December. If the meeting results are less dovish than expected, or if Powell signals a hawkish stance at the press conference, it could trigger severe market volatility. Furthermore, the current market sentiment index is in the "fear" range (21), indicating that investor sentiment remains cautious.
See original
Stay steady, we can win
交易员赵财神
--
I can't take it anymore, brothers. Damn it, this kind of deceit this morning is really shameless, ruining the reputation of me, a bearish commentator. The short positions from a few days ago were fine, and today it just crashed! I'm getting ready to go to Macau and recover some losses, brothers, wish me good luck! If SOL rebounds a bit, I'll close my position and won't play with it anymore.
See original
Happy Weekend
交易员张张子
--
Good evening, brothers. Today is Saturday, and the fluctuations aren't significant. Bitcoin and Ethereum are both fluctuating just over 1 point. If there's no market activity, it's best to take a good rest. If you must trade, you can continue to refer to the daytime levels!
Today seems to be Halloween, a traditional Western holiday also known as Ghost Festival. For us, as long as there's a ghost in our hearts, we celebrate every day.
It's the weekend, and if there's no market activity, it's best to take a good rest. Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend!
Today seems to be Halloween, a traditional Western holiday also known as Ghost Festival. For us, as long as there's a ghost in our hearts, we celebrate every day.
It's the weekend, and if there's no market activity, it's best to take a good rest. Wishing everyone a pleasant weekend!
See original
Just do it.
交易员赵财神
--
2025.10.31.BTC.ETH.SOL.BNB.Daily Market Analysis
BTC
Good morning, brothers. The voting has finally ended after a few days. The result isn't important; what matters is the process. I saw brothers voting for me every morning and rallying support for me. I am truly touched and feel the brotherhood's cohesion once again. Thank you, brothers. I haven't given out red envelopes during this period, so today I'll make it up to you, representing a thank you from Xiao Zhao.
Did anyone get in on the long positions after the spike last night? The support points have all been reached, and there's a profit of over three thousand points if you got in. Currently, the rebound looks decent, and for today, let's first look at the resistance around 111000. Only after this pressure is fully broken and stabilized can the market continue to rebound. After all, today's daily line is still bearish. Today is the last day of the month; if the rebound goes well, there should be another surge at the beginning of next month. The trading strategy is still mainly to go short, and for intraday short positions, you could try the pressure in the 111000-112000 range, with a stop loss at 113000. If this surge doesn't stabilize at 111000, the next wave of decline will need to look at the 106000-103500 range, so long positions can only be considered in this range.
ETH
Auntie's rebound of over one hundred price levels is still acceptable, brothers. For today, the rebound resistance is first looked at 3880-3920. If this range can stabilize, there will be further rebounds at the beginning of the month, with another chance to surge again around 4100-4200. For intraday short positions, you could try around 3920 with a stop loss at 3950. If this rebound cannot stabilize at 3920, the second wave of decline will need to look at 3500-3400.
SOL
The rebound resistance for SOL remains at 192. If this pressure is not broken, the bullish strength of the market is not strong. The lower support continues to look at 180.175. If it breaks through 192, the rebound will be stronger, with resistance continuing at 200.205. Near the 192 rebound, you could try a small position short, with a stop loss at 195.
BNB
The daily pressure for BNB is at 1111. If this pressure is not broken, the bullish strength of the market is not strong. The lower support continues to look at 1040.1020. If it breaks through 1111, the rebound will be stronger, with resistance continuing at 1147.1180. Near the 1111 rebound, you could try a small position short, with a stop loss at 1130.
Every day, I bring you the latest market analysis and precise spike points for reference only. Please manage your positions well. (Exclusive fee discount code: BTC45678) #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #solana
See original
Submitted
交易员赵财神
--
Brothers, it's time, let's go! The early bird catches the worm, the early worm gets eaten by the bird. I got up at eight to campaign, and you guys are still cuddling with your main wife and side wife, sleeping soundly. What do you have to compare with me? Brothers, just vote for me and it's done! 😂
See original
Happy Weekend
交易员张张子
--
Good evening, brothers. There really hasn't been much market activity this weekend; the Bitcoin is almost flat like a straight line. In this kind of market, I wouldn't worry about not opening the exchange for a whole day, I have no desire to trade at all.
Only BNB has performed relatively well today compared to a few other coins, rebounding significantly, but it's still just a small-level rebound.
This rebound has allowed me to recover a bit of the BNB spot that I didn't sell out during my 996 work hours. Now I can't continue the market analysis outside, anyway, the market fluctuations aren't that big, you can refer to the points from noon, and if there's no market activity, let's just take a good rest, brothers!
Not much more to say, let's go for a red envelope wave 🧧
Only BNB has performed relatively well today compared to a few other coins, rebounding significantly, but it's still just a small-level rebound.
This rebound has allowed me to recover a bit of the BNB spot that I didn't sell out during my 996 work hours. Now I can't continue the market analysis outside, anyway, the market fluctuations aren't that big, you can refer to the points from noon, and if there's no market activity, let's just take a good rest, brothers!
Not much more to say, let's go for a red envelope wave 🧧
Login to explore more contents