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天下第一懒人

High-Frequency Trader
4.9 Years
活着比什么的重要,宁可少赚也不能梭哈
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想滚仓,但好像一天都不给机会,挂的3250就没涨到过
想滚仓,但好像一天都不给机会,挂的3250就没涨到过
大头-悟道中
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The live room has been saying these past two days:

3300 to 3150 is the vacuum zone for the dealer's pull-up

Two recommended rolling points for shorting ETH are 3293 and 3198

✨I hope you listened, and I hope you acted.

💪💪💪
#ETH走势分析
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$ZEC Dog Zhuang is mobilizing KOLs to shout long, and we can see many English ID robot accounts continuously shouting in the community. This is a sign of unloading, so be careful and do not go long at this position.
$ZEC Dog Zhuang is mobilizing KOLs to shout long, and we can see many English ID robot accounts continuously shouting in the community. This is a sign of unloading, so be careful and do not go long at this position.
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看K线有用的话,人人都能赚钱
看K线有用的话,人人都能赚钱
无为者
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Brother, I do not rule out the possibility you mentioned, but based on the MACD line from the 3rd, the possibility of an upward trend is much higher than that of a downward trend.
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新人?走势都烂成这样了,这个月看到83000好吧。
新人?走势都烂成这样了,这个月看到83000好吧。
无为者
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Brothers, sisters, family, don't panic, the market has stabilized, Bitcoin $BTC , Ethereum $ETH , the 3-day MACD line still trending upward after crossing golden, it hasn't been completely broken. You can moderately increase your position on dips. This should be the last opportunity of the year, if operated properly, there will be year-end bonuses.

{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
$
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什么软件这是
什么软件这是
AKA TheOracle
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$ZEC The alarm went off! Although the dealer is still marked as “bullish,” their strength can no longer keep up, and they are secretly preparing to offload.
This indicates that the market is nearing a turning point, so do not chase the ups any longer!
Run fast, don't look back, wait for it to drop.
{future}(ZECUSDT)
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昨晚全仓3420空的,止损就在3450,运气好吃了一波大肉,还好我坚信琴姐的判断没问题
昨晚全仓3420空的,止损就在3450,运气好吃了一波大肉,还好我坚信琴姐的判断没问题
分析师舒琴
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The market maker has harvested! ETH big waterfall, will it continue to fall? Let's discuss the trend after the interest rate cut.
Let's get to the conclusion first: it's not done falling yet! The market's rise and fall logic over the past month is very clear: it rises ahead of the interest rate cut, then on the day of the rate cut, it starts to plummet as the benefits are fully realized, and it won't just drop for one day; it will at least fall for 1-2 weeks.
So the operating logic for the next two weeks is to short at highs, or just hold onto the low-leverage long positions entered last night. The small support levels are around 3130 and 2940, but the final pullback is likely to reach the previous low around 2700.
In the short term, the drop has been a bit excessive, falling directly from 3450 to 3170, which is nearly a 10% drop, so chasing shorts isn't very worthwhile. It might be better to wait for a rebound to around 3250 before shorting.
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正常人都能看出来接下来这个月都是跌的,19号日本加息,然后又到圣诞节,这个月跌回7字头都正常。
正常人都能看出来接下来这个月都是跌的,19号日本加息,然后又到圣诞节,这个月跌回7字头都正常。
落子易
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This year's fourth interest rate cut, and it will also be my last time going long. After the 10th, I will no longer go long and will start going short.
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这内幕哥是纯赌吧,我感觉跌到3200完全是大概率的事,他不补保证金就等着爆仓吧
这内幕哥是纯赌吧,我感觉跌到3200完全是大概率的事,他不补保证金就等着爆仓吧
小李子韭菜日记
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$BTC market did not give the air force another opportunity to get on the bus
Pay attention to 9-88000 below
Insider added close to 400 million in ETH long positions
Magic Toxic Doll has already been trapped 🤡#美联储FOMC会议
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What is the next sentence after good news is exhausted? 😅 Moreover, the previous rate cuts have already revealed the tricks to you, today is completely a money-giving market
What is the next sentence after good news is exhausted? 😅 Moreover, the previous rate cuts have already revealed the tricks to you, today is completely a money-giving market
年月周时分秒
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Bullish
Just do as I say, and you will reduce this interest #美联储重启降息步伐 . Various benefits have come out, and this market is like it has taken a laxative 🤡
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现在呢,谁是韭菜😅琴说的3400-3450大阻力,有没有说错,我3420空单,今晚吃肉了
现在呢,谁是韭菜😅琴说的3400-3450大阻力,有没有说错,我3420空单,今晚吃肉了
k线-老中医
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Bullish
Pulling it like this leaves fans empty? $ETH
Cutting leeks ah
{future}(ETHUSDT)
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没机会了 你忘记日本要加息了吗
没机会了 你忘记日本要加息了吗
肥猫
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2025-12-11 Daily

I'm getting ready to sleep, and the market hasn't exceeded expectations, with a surprising 50bp cut. However, no matter what, a rate cut is always a positive sign. If we calculate the time, the bulls still have about 3 to 4 days.

If you are going long and betting on a rebound, you can enter around 920 (the closer to 915, the better; the closer, the smaller the stop-loss, and if it gets hit, it won't hurt as much), with a stop-loss placed below 915, for example, 912 to 913.

The place where you go long on Bitcoin is also the place to go with Ethereum, Solana, and BNB. Similarly, if Bitcoin hits the stop-loss, the other coins should also follow suit and hit their stop-loss.

I do not recommend chasing shorts at the current price, as it is easy to get caught in a pullback.

Opening a short on Bitcoin should be considered only above 930, and for Ethereum, only above 3380 (or 3400).

The daily close for Bitcoin doesn't look good, but the pattern isn't broken. Before the 15th, the bulls still have a chance.
See original
Is the probability of a short-term rise high?
Is the probability of a short-term rise high?
加密门徒
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BTC ETH market analysis, in-depth interpretation of Powell's latest speech
1. Policy outcome realization
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the shoe has dropped.
2. Dot plot signals: huge divergence in the long term
The 2026 dot plot shows significant divergence, with the median only expecting 1-2 rate cuts.
However, it should be noted that with the change of the Federal Reserve Chairman next year, there are significant uncertainties in the policy path, making the current dot plot of limited reference value.
3. Key clarification on "easing" (key point)
This month, the Federal Reserve actually released about $40 billion in liquidity to the market.
Powell clearly explained at the press conference: "Purchasing government bonds is solely for reserve management."
This is not equivalent to traditional QE-style easing, but essentially belongs to: a relatively loose bottom-supporting liquidity operation.
4. Core meaning of Powell's speech (two sentences summary)
(1) Everything will be determined by subsequent economic data.
(2) Leave a “well-functioning” economic environment for the next Federal Reserve Chairman to avoid policy loss of control.
5. Market judgment (personal opinion)
In the short term, the market may pull back for a few days, which is a normal digestion process of emotions and expectations; however, after the 16th, the market is expected to gradually return to a normal rhythm.
Last month's major crash was the result of multiple negative events concentrated together, and under the current policy and liquidity background, the probability of reoccurrence in the short term is extremely low.
#美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
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太惨了,真就是差一点点,再坚持几分钟就好了
太惨了,真就是差一点点,再坚持几分钟就好了
大头-悟道中
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Today it rained, I cooked some noodles to eat, crying while eating, tears falling into the bowl, without turning on the light.
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今晚三点之后你会删帖吗
今晚三点之后你会删帖吗
k线-老中医
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Bullish
Pulling it like this leaves fans empty? $ETH
Cutting leeks ah
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Translate
价格源自共识,当大家都认为是利空要暴跌的时候,他就会暴跌,你赌庄家逆趋势拉盘上去爆空单,那庄家哪有这么蠢,而且现在比特币也跟美股MSTR的走势,只要降息落地美股那边暴跌了,你想单独在币圈拉盘拉起来,那基本纯送钱行为。
价格源自共识,当大家都认为是利空要暴跌的时候,他就会暴跌,你赌庄家逆趋势拉盘上去爆空单,那庄家哪有这么蠢,而且现在比特币也跟美股MSTR的走势,只要降息落地美股那边暴跌了,你想单独在币圈拉盘拉起来,那基本纯送钱行为。
BIT居士
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The consensus in the market is now: the Fed's interest rate cuts will turn into bad news, and Japan's rate hikes will withdraw liquidity. The combination of these two will lead to a significant drop. Will it really be like this?

We are all gambling now; the probability of a decline and an increase after tonight is basically the same. I hold Bitcoin in spot and do not care about short-term gains or losses. But I want to validate my thoughts at this moment:

The market often teaches most people how to behave. When the retail investors generally believe that the Fed's interest rate cuts will turn into bad news and that Japan's interest rate hikes will lead to Bitcoin entering a bear market and accelerating the decline, everyone is placing short orders at high levels. From the perspective of human nature and the 80/20 rule, I view this market situation: even if these news events lead to a decline, the market needs to first eliminate the shorts before turning to a downward trend. As for how high it will rise, it will rise until people dare not short anymore or quickly drop after hitting a peak. In the short term, the target is to blow up the short positions opened around 9.3, 9.4W, approximately between 9.98~10.2W dollars.
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Can this really stabilize arbitrage profits? I calculated that the profit is about 1U per hour, 24U per day, and 720U per month. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $SOL $BTC
Can this really stabilize arbitrage profits? I calculated that the profit is about 1U per hour, 24U per day, and 720U per month. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $SOL $BTC
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This kind of market is still easier to engage in grid arbitrage, as both going long and short can easily lead to losses.
This kind of market is still easier to engage in grid arbitrage, as both going long and short can easily lead to losses.
See original
Do you want to bet on a rebound at this position?
Do you want to bet on a rebound at this position?
凯文Bit
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Bearish
$ETH

I have said long ago to short at high positions. You didn't listen, and now that it has dropped, are you regretting it? Go ahead and keep shorting at high positions.

If you like Kevin, give him a follow.
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Caught up, caught up, short on rallies
Caught up, caught up, short on rallies
分析师舒琴
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【Warning】The main force is about to take action! The last chance to escape for Bitcoin, all three indicators have turned red, first to 80,000, then to 60,000?
The USDT exchange rate has collapsed! A 2% drop against RMB, what exactly happened? Will the Federal Reserve continue to cut interest rates from January to March? The answer is here~
Where to buy Bitcoin at the bottom? ETH operation point analysis. $BTC $ETH $WLFI
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Run quickly, this is good news, a rise of 94000 should have no resistance, I declare the air force retreat.
Run quickly, this is good news, a rise of 94000 should have no resistance, I declare the air force retreat.
大禹-论币0
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News is everywhere, being pulled back and forth, be careful of another V defense $BTC
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