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地板空Z

Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
5.2 Years
左侧激进派选手喜欢追涨杀跌,常挂树上或者被埋 知错就改 改了再犯
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Portfolio
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Btc: Within a month or so, if it goes up to 100,000, it will drop, if it goes down to 75,000, it will rise, If it reaches 95,500 in the next couple of days and still pulls back, it will be pretty much the same as the last two times, it won't go up. For the long term, if it first reaches 75,000, buy at the bottom, if it first reaches 110,000, short it, If you don't have any positions and want to go long, 92,000 may be the first entry, if there is another pullback, look to add another position around 91,300. 92,000-91,300 long target at 95,500
Btc: Within a month or so, if it goes up to 100,000, it will drop, if it goes down to 75,000, it will rise,
If it reaches 95,500 in the next couple of days and still pulls back, it will be pretty much the same as the last two times, it won't go up.
For the long term, if it first reaches 75,000, buy at the bottom, if it first reaches 110,000, short it,
If you don't have any positions and want to go long, 92,000 may be the first entry, if there is another pullback, look to add another position around 91,300.
92,000-91,300 long target at 95,500
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During the day, watch for a pullback near the 3250 support level, go long. On Thursday morning, the interest rate cut will be announced; look to short near the high points of 3400-3350 on the second attempt. The subsequent plot is purely speculative, and any resemblance to actual events is purely coincidental. After the interest rate cut expectations are exhausted, the main task for the remaining days in December, including January, will be to focus on the decline, while rebounds can be an optional side task.
During the day, watch for a pullback near the 3250 support level, go long. On Thursday morning, the interest rate cut will be announced; look to short near the high points of 3400-3350 on the second attempt. The subsequent plot is purely speculative, and any resemblance to actual events is purely coincidental. After the interest rate cut expectations are exhausted, the main task for the remaining days in December, including January, will be to focus on the decline, while rebounds can be an optional side task.
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Bearish
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Overview: The past two days have been a roller coaster. Before Thursday's interest rate decision, the market has basically been fluctuating, so don't chase today. If it goes up to 9, it's a sell; conversely, if it goes down to 9, it's a buy. Just take a short position and get out. The interest rate decision may not lead to significant market movement, so let's just watch. Ethereum is currently fluctuating between 2700-3250; a valid breakout is needed to indicate a reversal. Bitcoin is fluctuating between 83000-94000, and altcoins should also be traded short-term. If there are sudden spikes, it's hard to sustain significant market trends; basically, it will end in a few days. BTC: Buy around 87300 ETH: Buy around 3000, stop loss 2965 Keep some money for the New Year, don't keep losing!
Overview: The past two days have been a roller coaster. Before Thursday's interest rate decision, the market has basically been fluctuating, so don't chase today. If it goes up to 9, it's a sell; conversely, if it goes down to 9, it's a buy. Just take a short position and get out. The interest rate decision may not lead to significant market movement, so let's just watch. Ethereum is currently fluctuating between 2700-3250; a valid breakout is needed to indicate a reversal. Bitcoin is fluctuating between 83000-94000, and altcoins should also be traded short-term. If there are sudden spikes, it's hard to sustain significant market trends; basically, it will end in a few days.
BTC: Buy around 87300
ETH: Buy around 3000, stop loss 2965
Keep some money for the New Year, don't keep losing!
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Bullish
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If the early 8-day line closes above 3070, continue to be bullish. If the movement is indecisive with frequent reversals, if ETH dips to between 3050 and 3070, enter long positions with a stop loss at 3030. Both high shorts and low longs have started to show a consolidation structure. This demonstrates the institutions' lack of confidence in the market outlook and a cautious attitude towards the expectation of reaching 3500.
If the early 8-day line closes above 3070, continue to be bullish.
If the movement is indecisive with frequent reversals, if ETH dips to between 3050 and 3070, enter long positions with a stop loss at 3030.
Both high shorts and low longs have started to show a consolidation structure.
This demonstrates the institutions' lack of confidence in the market outlook and a cautious attitude towards the expectation of reaching 3500.
S
ZECUSDT
Closed
PNL
+95.10%
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Bullish
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Sol seems very strong and doesn't break down, while the actual weak ones can't rise. Next time, I'll buy BTC.
Sol seems very strong and doesn't break down, while the actual weak ones can't rise. Next time, I'll buy BTC.
B
SOLUSDC
Closed
PNL
+329.16%
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这针插得漂亮狗庄,不把多头干止损不往上拉盘问候他全家 维持周五观点不变, 降息几率接近90% 这波拉升就是降息前的冲锋, 周一大概率破前高 谨慎做空 想空的等一等周二周三#ETH走势分析
这针插得漂亮狗庄,不把多头干止损不往上拉盘问候他全家
维持周五观点不变, 降息几率接近90% 这波拉升就是降息前的冲锋, 周一大概率破前高 谨慎做空 想空的等一等周二周三#ETH走势分析
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Look at the oscillation repair over the weekend for two days. The ETH daily line support is 2970. Try to take the rebound, target resistance at 3230. As long as this resistance is broken again, the market will continue to rise to 3460. If it can reach this range, you can build short positions in batches. BTC looks at 94000
Look at the oscillation repair over the weekend for two days. The ETH daily line support is 2970. Try to take the rebound, target resistance at 3230. As long as this resistance is broken again, the market will continue to rise to 3460. If it can reach this range, you can build short positions in batches.
BTC looks at 94000
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The impact of Japan's interest rate hike on BTC and global capital markets' disasterOn August 5th last year, Japan raised its interest rate by only 0.15%. BTC has fallen for two consecutive weeks, totaling 12%. If there is another interest rate hike on December 19th, guess whether the decline will exceed 20%. Recently, the U price has been declining. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike will trigger yen arbitrage transactions to close, leading to a tightening of global liquidity and prompting global capital markets to sell BTC for USD. Reshaping capital flows and affecting trade patterns will have a profound impact on global capital markets, especially significantly impacting emerging markets reliant on foreign investment and global high-risk assets. Stock market risk aversion liquidation. 1. The restructuring of global capital flow patterns.

The impact of Japan's interest rate hike on BTC and global capital markets' disaster

On August 5th last year, Japan raised its interest rate by only 0.15%.
BTC has fallen for two consecutive weeks, totaling 12%.
If there is another interest rate hike on December 19th, guess whether the decline will exceed 20%. Recently, the U price has been declining.
The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike will trigger yen arbitrage transactions to close, leading to a tightening of global liquidity and prompting global capital markets to sell BTC for USD.

Reshaping capital flows and affecting trade patterns will have a profound impact on global capital markets, especially significantly impacting emerging markets reliant on foreign investment and global high-risk assets. Stock market risk aversion liquidation.

1. The restructuring of global capital flow patterns.
See original
Today's Focus: 1: Pay attention to the low point around 90800 from early yesterday morning. If there is a rebound today and it can hold above the previous low, it will form a double bottom, then the bulls can continue to play their tune and dance! If the previous low cannot be defended, then the bulls will be in a bit of danger. 2: Regarding the decline of U, the CMB exchange rate for USD is in a downward trend. Additionally, during the transition between bull and bear markets, both institutions and individuals in the market are profiting and selling U, which has been getting stronger. This means that supply and demand have changed; in other words, if you find U more expensive, it indicates a better market environment—a bull market. Everyone will hoard U, and once the market ends, everyone will naturally sell off. When selling exceeds buying, it will naturally decline! 3: The interest rate hike on December 19th is crucial. The survival of the entire risk market hinges on that day! During the day, do not consider long positions in a fluctuating downward trend; let's see what happens tonight.
Today's Focus:

1: Pay attention to the low point around 90800 from early yesterday morning. If there is a rebound today and it can hold above the previous low, it will form a double bottom, then the bulls can continue to play their tune and dance! If the previous low cannot be defended, then the bulls will be in a bit of danger.

2: Regarding the decline of U, the CMB exchange rate for USD is in a downward trend. Additionally, during the transition between bull and bear markets, both institutions and individuals in the market are profiting and selling U, which has been getting stronger. This means that supply and demand have changed; in other words, if you find U more expensive, it indicates a better market environment—a bull market. Everyone will hoard U, and once the market ends, everyone will naturally sell off. When selling exceeds buying, it will naturally decline!

3: The interest rate hike on December 19th is crucial. The survival of the entire risk market hinges on that day!
During the day, do not consider long positions in a fluctuating downward trend; let's see what happens tonight.
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Bullish
See original
Sol was weak today, how much ETH shouldn't be done, it hasn't moved yet. 1. BlackRock CEO calls Bitcoin a "fear asset," holding 780,000 BTC. 2. Market expects a 94% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December. 3. JPMorgan states that Bitcoin could reach $170,000 if it performs like gold. 4. Zhao Changpeng showcased gold bars during the debate, claiming Bitcoin verification is simpler. 5. Schwab and Citibank will offer Bitcoin mortgages in early 2026. 6. Russia's state-owned bank suggests allocating 7% of assets to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Sol was weak today, how much ETH shouldn't be done, it hasn't moved yet.
1. BlackRock CEO calls Bitcoin a "fear asset," holding 780,000 BTC.
2. Market expects a 94% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December.
3. JPMorgan states that Bitcoin could reach $170,000 if it performs like gold.
4. Zhao Changpeng showcased gold bars during the debate, claiming Bitcoin verification is simpler.
5. Schwab and Citibank will offer Bitcoin mortgages in early 2026.
6. Russia's state-owned bank suggests allocating 7% of assets to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+341.69%
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Bullish
See original
btc9w unbroken still looking for a new high near 9.1w, eth3080 nearby go long, conservatively can at 9w 3030
btc9w unbroken still looking for a new high near 9.1w, eth3080 nearby go long, conservatively can at 9w 3030
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Bullish
See original
btc resistance looks at 94600, pay attention to 92550 at the 4-hour level. If it closes below this, it indicates a pullback is needed, for example, if it closes at 8 PM. eth resistance looks at 3280, 3310. Pay attention to 3150 at the 4-hour level; if it closes below this, it will not come back up and will need to pull back. If btc stabilizes at 94100 today, the expectation for 96000 later is not a problem.
btc resistance looks at 94600, pay attention to 92550 at the 4-hour level. If it closes below this, it indicates a pullback is needed, for example, if it closes at 8 PM.
eth resistance looks at 3280, 3310. Pay attention to 3150 at the 4-hour level; if it closes below this, it will not come back up and will need to pull back.

If btc stabilizes at 94100 today, the expectation for 96000 later is not a problem.
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🐶Zhuang is playing this game again, BTC is moving sideways while the institutions are collectively pushing ETH up. Playing ETH like this can only yield a short position with a profit of $20, then close half, stop loss at $20. 3250 is likely to break through, be cautious with shorting ETH or avoid shorting to avoid major mistakes.
🐶Zhuang is playing this game again, BTC is moving sideways while the institutions are collectively pushing ETH up. Playing ETH like this can only yield a short position with a profit of $20, then close half, stop loss at $20. 3250 is likely to break through, be cautious with shorting ETH or avoid shorting to avoid major mistakes.
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Bullish
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Today, no matter what, I have to make more money like No. 1. Even if I go to the floor, I still want to leave it empty. The recent market conditions are good, aren't they? It's not good either, it goes straight up and down, and the big players don't give retail investors a chance to get in. This morning, I wanted to wait for a long position at 2960 or 2970 for ETH. But it went up to 2986, and the squid will definitely lose, sigh. Currently, BTC has already broken through a small resistance around 93,000 and has stabilized. The most ideal position to short is still around 97,000 to 98,000. There is still a week until the interest rate cut, so we can observe. If it reaches that point, I will definitely short. If it doesn't, it's okay; I can short with a long position 1-2 days before the interest rate cut at the current price. By then, the positive news in the crypto circle will have been fully released, and it may pull back by 10% or even more.
Today, no matter what, I have to make more money like No. 1. Even if I go to the floor, I still want to leave it empty. The recent market conditions are good, aren't they? It's not good either, it goes straight up and down, and the big players don't give retail investors a chance to get in.
This morning, I wanted to wait for a long position at 2960 or 2970 for ETH.
But it went up to 2986, and the squid will definitely lose, sigh.
Currently, BTC has already broken through a small resistance around 93,000 and has stabilized. The most ideal position to short is still around 97,000 to 98,000. There is still a week until the interest rate cut, so we can observe. If it reaches that point, I will definitely short. If it doesn't, it's okay; I can short with a long position 1-2 days before the interest rate cut at the current price. By then, the positive news in the crypto circle will have been fully released, and it may pull back by 10% or even more.
Translate
今日以太坊升级,这波上涨强势基本没有回踩多单btc上看95500 eth 上看,3155和3200 下方支撑2990回踩不破强势上涨趋势不变
今日以太坊升级,这波上涨强势基本没有回踩多单btc上看95500 eth 上看,3155和3200 下方支撑2990回踩不破强势上涨趋势不变
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Bullish
See original
Whether the cryptocurrency market is rising or not is unreliable in one sentence, Btc: Short at highs, shorting is the preferred option, the entire market is in a downtrend, the probability of a pullback is much greater than that of a rise, so as long as the risk-reward ratio is reasonable, making money by shorting is viable. December will definitely have ups and downs, the rebound high in December will be around 97500-98000, and once liquidity returns, it may rebound even higher to 103000, The pullback at the beginning of December is complete, today around 90000 it is suggested to go long, if it slowly pushes up, it may test 93000 again. Eth: Go long around 2980, stop loss at 2960, optimistic about the future, the probability of returning to 3200 is very high, mainly still linked to btc. Today's suggestion is to look for new highs to go short after low buying.
Whether the cryptocurrency market is rising or not is unreliable in one sentence,
Btc: Short at highs, shorting is the preferred option, the entire market is in a downtrend, the probability of a pullback is much greater than that of a rise, so as long as the risk-reward ratio is reasonable, making money by shorting is viable. December will definitely have ups and downs, the rebound high in December will be around 97500-98000, and once liquidity returns, it may rebound even higher to 103000,
The pullback at the beginning of December is complete, today around 90000 it is suggested to go long, if it slowly pushes up, it may test 93000 again.
Eth: Go long around 2980, stop loss at 2960, optimistic about the future, the probability of returning to 3200 is very high, mainly still linked to btc.
Today's suggestion is to look for new highs to go short after low buying.
See original
Ethereum looks down to 2750 to 2700, Bitcoin looks around 84500
Ethereum looks down to 2750 to 2700, Bitcoin looks around 84500
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Bullish
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2830 is a buying point for going long. Based on experience, a downward trend is a real decline, while a steep drop has a rebound. If the four-hour chart does not break, meaning the closing line at 12 o'clock is above 2830, it can confirm going long.
2830 is a buying point for going long. Based on experience, a downward trend is a real decline, while a steep drop has a rebound.

If the four-hour chart does not break, meaning the closing line at 12 o'clock is above 2830, it can confirm going long.
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短线 黑三兵看跌形态 下看2950是否有 做多形态再入
短线 黑三兵看跌形态 下看2950是否有 做多形态再入
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