财经阿黎

🔥 A new starting point, a new opportunity for a turnaround

$ETH Brothers, in the end, everyone comes to the cryptocurrency world for one goal — to make life a little better.

$SOL I have experienced losses, being trapped, acting impulsively, and feeling hopeless — I have been through it all.

$BTC True growth is learning to be calm, steady, and rational in operations from repeated mistakes.

Now the market is coming in waves, and opportunities are right in front of us.

The market won't wait for anyone; the only thing we can do is to become more rhythmic and more planned.

I have always believed:

Not everyone can get rich quickly, but everyone can, through discipline and execution,

gradually make the capital curve rise again.

There is only one month left in this year,

I hope all the brothers who are still persevering can finish steadily,

returning home with profits and smiles for the New Year.

#美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

🔥 The latest features are here! The Binance chat room has opened the 【private chat】 function～

$SOL Brothers, communication will be more convenient in the future, no need to worry about messages getting buried!

$ETH The usage method is super simple:

① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance

② Click ➕ in the top right corner to add Uncle Di

③ Enter your Binance ID (for example, mine: xcc877)

④ One-click search, you can add me and communicate anytime!

Let's go, add Uncle Di first, and you can chat about market trends directly in real time later!

#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测

$BTC 如何在币圈活下来？一句话：先学会不死，才有资格谈赚钱。

$ETH 刚进圈的新人，脑子里装的都是“暴富”两个字。

$SOL 追热点、冲新币、玩MEME、赌情绪拉盘。

可只要熬过几个月，你就会发现——

真正能活下来的，最后都回到大饼（BTC）身边。

🔥1. 大饼不是信仰，是底线

很多人嫌比特币太稳、不刺激，

更喜欢去碰山寨和高倍合约。

但币圈最真实的规律是：刺激的尽头，就是归零。

山寨能腰斩十次，项目方会跑路，插针能清空账户。

唯有比特币，始终在那里。

它不是暴富工具，而是你不被市场淘汰的安全带。

💥2. 新人最容易死在一个字：急

看别人暴涨就追，跌一点就割，行情一抖就上头。

但币圈最公平的东西，叫“时间”。

你定投大饼三年，比赌一百次短线更容易看到结果。

比特币的收益，不是运气，而是耐心的复利。

👍3. 想赚快钱？先问自己是不是“筹码”

不是你在玩市场，而是市场在玩你。

情绪需要燃料，项目需要接盘，而新人正是那份“流动性”。

逻辑不清、风控不懂、仓位失控，

以为在博弈，其实在被收割。

真正赚到钱的人，握的从不是暴涨山寨，

而是底层核心资产。

🚀4. 能活下来的玩家，都懂一个原则：先活着

暴富故事每天都有，但活着的人越来越少。

先学会不亏，再去谈赚钱；

先抱紧大饼，再考虑世界。

当你走过一个完整周期，你就会明白——

所谓“信仰”，不是盲信，而是被熊市教育后的理性。

送给每个新人一句话：

别急着成为高手，先学会不出局。

在币圈，活下来的人，才有资格赚到周期的钱。

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察

$COMMON I went from 500 to 80 million, relying not on talent, but on a set of 'foolish methods'.

Many people see that I trade steadily and with precise timing now, thinking I am a naturally gifted player,

$STBL able to seize market opportunities as they arise, casually making profits with just a couple of trades.

But the truth is—I was once someone who questioned life after being educated by the market.

$TAKE Chasing news, chasing hot trends, chasing skyrocketing prices; I have stepped into every pitfall.

I was able to grow from 500 to 80 million not through intelligence, but through five 'foolish rules':

① Do less.
While others can make over ten trades in one night, I make at most 1-2 trades a day.

The more you trade, the more chaotic your emotions become. Trading is not a race against speed, but a race for stability.

② Focus only on the mainstream.
While others rush to invest in trending coins, I only look at BTC and ETH.

I don't gamble on obscure assets, nor do I seek quick riches; I only choose assets that can survive in the long run.

③ Mechanical execution.
Entry points, take profits, and stop losses are all determined in advance.

I only act when the price hits the target, and I execute accordingly.

The more you act like a robot, the easier it is to make money.

④ Never go all in.
Only use 1/5 to 1/3 of my position each time.

This rule has saved my life countless times.

⑤ Set take profits and stop losses properly, and do not change them.
Once set, do not move them; refuse emotional interference.

Being swayed by emotions is the root cause of loss for 99% of people.

Why can 'foolish methods' win?

Because smart people love to predict and gamble on the future too much,

ultimately, it is they themselves who are killed by their emotions.

Those who can survive are always the stable, slow, and disciplined ones.

I have also experienced drawdowns, falling from tens of thousands to just over ten thousand;

But I did not change my rules, increase my stakes, or act chaotically.

I climbed back up trade by trade, year after year.

Can you learn it? Of course.

The premise is—

You must withstand the itch to act when others are making money,

stay calm when others are shouting trades,

and adhere to the rules you set for yourself.

The market always rewards execution, not intelligence.

The path I take is neither thrilling nor mythical,

but it can sustain you, bring you profits, and help you go far.

If you also want to walk a steady path,

I can take you along, steadily reaching the shore. @财经阿黎

#美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

🔥 The deeper the loss, the harder it is to turn around — this is the cruelest truth of the market.

$SOL Buffett once said something I always remember:

"The first rule is, never lose money; the second rule is, remember the first rule."

$PIPPIN Many people think about doubling their money every day, but they overlook that true experts only adhere to one discipline — never let the account go to zero.

$AIOT Why? Because math doesn't lie.

Look at these cold, hard numbers:

Lose 10%, you need to earn 11% to break even;

Lose 30%, you need to earn 43%;

Lose 50%, you have to double;

Lose 70%, you must pull up to 233%.

This is why most people can never escape.

When the account is down by half, it's already "half a foot in the ICU";

When it's down by seventy percent, it's like "waiting for the notification letter."

Small losses can be made up, big losses are hard to recover.

Whether you can survive depends on whether you are willing to stop the loss.

There are many methods to stop losses, and I commonly use four of them,

with the last one being the simplest, most practical, and easiest to stick to.

The key is not which method is the strongest, but which method you can consistently execute.

Please remember this phrase —

You may be wrong a hundred times, but you cannot let one mistake knock you out of the game.

Traders who do not stop losses will eventually be liquidated by the market.

May you walk more steadily and brightly in the waves of the market.

#美股2026预测 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

These past few days, I've been keeping an eye on a particular coin in the Alpha sector, and today's star is—$Mubarakah 🚀🚀🚀.

At noon, it was just a nobody on the fringes of the list, but suddenly there was a surge in volume in the afternoon, and I knew immediately that an opportunity had arrived. I decisively led my friends in at 0.0007, easily breaking through the first target of 0.001, and just shy of the second target of 0.0015—I wasn't greedy, I cashed in the profits immediately, securing my gains!

Many people have asked me: why did it and $PERRY suddenly surge in tandem?

The logic is actually quite simple: A while ago, TGT surged tenfold, reaching a high starting with "2," but then plummeted back to its original level within days. Immediately afterwards, exchanges issued "altcoin delisting lists," clearing out a batch at once.

Those altcoins that have recently experienced sudden surges will be delisted if they don't surge; a surge allows for one last round of profit-taking.

This isn't good news; it's the final "harvest show."

Retail investors are always the ones who pay the price. No matter how strong the price surge seems, it's just the big players' last-ditch feast.

That's why I led this group—quick in, even faster out.

The market isn't about who runs the slowest, but about who can take profits first.

Brothers, remember: the market isn't lacking in opportunities, it's lacking in timing.

Don't fantasize that the big players will leave you any profits—if you want to profit, follow the right rhythm, follow the right people. 🔥

#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析

$BTC Take profit, take profit~~~😍😍😍

Have the friends followed this wave of real-time orders? This wave is a real-time layout operation. Those who followed this wave, aren't they guaranteed to profit???

Stable friends can reduce their positions by half, and continue to watch the second target level, ensuring to secure profits.

Today's market trend is very strong, indicating that the market has begun to operate on interest rate cut expectations. Before this Thursday, try to pull back and go long, as the interest rate cut is imminent and outside funds are beginning to flow in.

Immediately layout the next order, those who want to follow, quickly call Ali.

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

🔥This Wednesday's three major focuses will determine the direction of the volatile market

There are three core variables in this week's market, all of which are key nodes affecting global risk assets:

1. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voting results
Whether Powell can push through this rate cut with minimal opposition will directly affect market confidence.

2. Powell's post-meeting speech and term issues
If he continues to stay, the Fed's policy tone will remain coherent; after three consecutive rate cuts, the probability of a subsequent slowdown will significantly increase.

3. Fed officials' predictions for future interest rate paths
Whether to accelerate rate cuts or slow down the pace will trigger severe market fluctuations, affecting not only the US dollar index but also gold, the stock market, and crypto assets.

This meeting is the last interest rate decision of the year, and the current market expects the probability of a rate cut to be as high as 87.4%, mainly due to the ongoing weakness in the US labor market and slowing economic growth.

However, it is particularly important to note that the post-meeting speech is the key point. If Powell releases a more cautious signal, it may once again trigger short-term violent fluctuations.

At this stage, do not blindly bet on uncertain events; prudent individuals should adopt a wait-and-see approach, waiting for the market to confirm the direction.

@财经阿黎 will continue to follow the Fed's dynamics and lay out positions in advance. The follow-up will bring #ETH走势分析 , please pay attention.

$TAKE $FHE
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

#以太 Afternoon Market Analysis and Thoughts!!!

$ETH Current price 3130, intraday increase +2.1%. Strong rebound from the low of 2903 last night, consecutive bullish candles broke through several moving averages, firmly standing above MA20 and the middle band of Bollinger Bands, entering the attacking repair phase in the short term.

Technical Analysis: Bollinger Bands opening, upper band 3158, middle band 3066. If it breaks through 3150 with volume and remains stable, there is hope to push up to 3200–3230; if it encounters resistance, pay attention to the support at 3100–3080. MACD red bars extend, bullish momentum dominates, still leaning strong in the short term.

Trading Suggestions:

Long position: Enter at 3090–3110, target 3150–3180, stop loss 3070;

Short position: Enter at 3155–3170, target 3110–3080, stop loss 3190.

ETH rebound structure is stable, holding above 3100 continues to look bullish, breaking through 3150 will open up space above, focusing on low long positions in the short term, with defensive shorts as a supplement.

#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国非农数据超预期

🌞Good morning, brothers.

The market indeed needs to wait for Monday to gain momentum. Although some bearish news was already digested last night, the overall trend remains within expectations, first pulling back and then rebounding, with the smaller time frame rhythm completely aligning with structural forecasts.

After a whole day of sideways movement last night, there was a downward manipulation at 10 PM to shake off some floating capital. After continuous fluctuations, the probability of a direct surge is low, and currently, the hourly level has broken through the previous fluctuation range, entering a repair phase in the short term. Next, we need to pay close attention to whether the pullback can provide a new buying point.

If the price can continue to rise and effectively break through the 4-hour EMA moving average, then consider chasing long positions in the direction of the trend; if the pullback does not break key support, then maintain the strategy of buying low.

Support below is at 90250, 89500, and resistance above is at 92500, 93500.

The overall rhythm still tends to be oscillation repair, focusing on "buying low and selling high, with light positions" while waiting for a breakout to confirm direction.

Currently, the price around 90900 for #大饼 is suitable for a light long position, with a stop at 89500, and a short-term target at 92100, with a breakout target at 9350.

Ali has already brought fans into the market, and those who want to follow can call me in the chat room.

#特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场观察 #美国初请失业金人数

#以太 Market Analysis and Trading Ideas!!!

$ETH Current price 3030, intraday decline -0.21%. In the afternoon, it continued to narrow consolidation, with prices hovering around 3030, a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, as the market awaits new driving signals.

BOLL Indicator: Upper Band 3085 / Middle Band 3039 / Lower Band 3019. The Bollinger Bands have clearly contracted, entering a low volatility phase. If it breaks out with volume above 3045–3060, a rebound will restart; if it falls below 3015–3000, the downside risk will increase.

MACD Indicator: DIF -2.73, DEA -3.34, the red bars shorten, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum, and it may maintain a range-bound consolidation in the short term.

Trading Suggestions: Long Position: Enter at 2995–3015, target 3060–3080, stop loss at 2975;

Short Position: Enter at 3065–3085, target 3030–3000, stop loss at 3105.

ETH is in a low-level converging oscillation, with weak rebound strength. If it stabilizes at 3000, it will still see range-bound oscillation; if it breaks down, watch for support at 2970. In the short term, it is advisable to trade lightly, selling high and buying low, waiting for confirmation of the breakout direction.

$SOL $XRP
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #SOL上涨潜力

$XNY Many people think that trading cryptocurrencies requires learning countless indicators, but the 50 million I earned relies instead on a method that is 'stupidly simple'.

How simple is it?

—— Just 4 steps, mechanically executed, with nearly 99.99% success over eight years.

$CVC Back then, I was deeply in debt, and the cryptocurrency world helped me turn things around.

It’s not about gambling; it’s about a set of rules that are 'the simpler, the more effective'.

Today, I’m going to share this complete method with you.

Follow these steps, and at least you won’t incur random losses.

Step One: Only look at daily charts, ignore the noise

Open the daily chart and focus on one signal:

👉 MACD Golden Cross (preferably occurring above the 0 axis)

Highest win rate, cleanest trend.

Don’t be tortured by the fluctuations of 5 minutes or 15 minutes,

The daily chart is the only lifeline for ordinary people.

Step Two: Only recognize one moving average — the daily moving average

The rule is simple:

Don’t touch below the line, hold above the line.

This line determines whether you are following the trend or going against it.

Step Three: Add positions and sell, mechanical execution

When the price breaks through the daily moving average and the volume breaks through the daily average volume → directly go all in

If the increase exceeds 40% → reduce by 1/3

If the increase exceeds 80% → reduce again by 1/3

If it falls below the daily moving average → liquidate all positions

No emotions, no fantasies,

Only rules.

Step Four (most crucial): Sell when it breaks, don’t fantasize that 'it will come back'

Since the buying criterion is the daily moving average,

Once it breaks below the next day —

No reasoning, sell everything immediately.

Don’t be afraid of missing out; the probability of this structure breaking is extremely low.

If it truly needs to stand back above the daily moving average, you can buy back then.

It’s not about 'guessing the direction',

It’s about discipline —

Minimizing losses and maximizing the trend.

I know this method sounds silly,

But it’s this system that

Took me from debt to an eight-figure income.

Not relying on miraculous operations, not relying on insider information,

It’s about discipline, time, and patience.

There are still spots available in the team.

For those who want to learn the method, want to turn their situation around, and want to make stable profits,

Get on board. Let’s do it together.👉 @财经阿黎

#美国初请失业金人数 #特朗普加密新政 #加密市场观察

🔥Beginner's First Lesson: Start with 1000U, first learn not to lose money.

$SOL Many people just entering the market think about getting rich overnight.

$XRP But you must understand - the first goal is not to make money, but to survive.

① Capital Segmentation: Survival is more important than getting rich.

Assuming you have 1000U,

first divide it into 10 parts, and use only 100U each time.

Keep leverage within 20X, don't be greedy.

Newcomers have too high leverage; a slight market shake can lead to panic.

Keep the remaining 900U in a financial account, don't touch it.

If you really lose this 100U, don't add to your position!

First, stop and review, take half a day to rest.

There are opportunities every day; there is always a chance.

Life is more important than opportunity.

Once you adjust your mindset, divide the remaining 900U into 10 parts,

continue to invest 90U each time -

the only goal is: steadily earn it back.

For example, if you made 300U this time, use 100U to continue rolling,

immediately withdraw the remaining 200U.

This is called holding steady and guarding well.

② Position and Risk Control Discipline (memorize it)

Each loss ≤ Total Capital 2%

Consecutive losses of 3 trades → Rest for a day

Single loss reaches 6% → Liquidate to stop loss

If profitable → First secure the principal, then lock in profits

Margin profit exceeds 200% → Withdraw half, reinvest half

Remember: Full positions are the hell for retail investors.

If you open 10x leverage, just a 10% wrong direction will blow up.

BTC fluctuating 20% in a year is very normal,

once you blow up, all profits are in vain.

Truly skilled traders only have a 60% win rate,

but they can earn steadily -

because they understand position, stop loss, and exit.

③ Mindset Management: Emotions are the biggest enemy

Unstable emotions, restless mindset, consecutive losses → Immediately stop

Do not operate against the trend, do not chase highs

Reduce position size, patiently wait for signals

The market always has opportunities, but a good mindset is not common.

④ Newcomer Advice: Contracts are the sharpest knife in the cryptocurrency world

They can make you money, but can also wipe out your principal in one stroke.

Playing with contracts is not wrong, but you must understand:

Rhythm, position, stop loss.

Newcomer suggestions:

Small positions to test the waters, use only 30-50U each time

Leverage ≤ 20X

If you lose 20-30U, stop loss

Set profit-taking at pullback (close position at 30% pullback)

Withdraw a portion of profits, do not leave it in the market

The market is always full of opportunities,

what's lacking is you being alive to play through the next wave of the market.

#加密ETF十月决战 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

💥The fans I brought, from 50,000 to 30 million—what I relied on was 'extremely simple'.

$BTC There are too many people around me trading cryptocurrencies.

Some study a dozen indicators and watch dozens of candlestick patterns;

$BNB Some mix in dozens of groups, rushing in and out as soon as news comes.

But in the end, most people become more chaotic the busier they are, and lose more the more they learn.

$XRP However, one fan I guided was just the opposite.

He is not smart, not aggressive, does not stay up late watching the market,

but he has genuinely—turned 50,000 into 30 million.

No insider information, no shortcuts, and not a gift.

He simply made "complex things extremely simple."

His growth resembles a stable profit curve:

One day he told me something that I still can't forget:

"I finally understand that the speed of making money and the number of operations are inversely proportional."

He only looks at one pattern—"N shape."

A vertical rise → A diagonal pullback → A vertical breakthrough.

Enter when the pattern is confirmed, cut losses when it breaks.

No averaging down, no all-in, no leverage.

Stop loss at 2%, take profit at 10%, executed to the penny.

Some laugh at him for being too rigid,

"If you don't watch hot stocks or wait for news, how can you make money?"

But the fact is—

Those who chase hot stocks every day mostly can't even preserve their capital.

On his computer, there is only a 20-day moving average.

Every morning at 9:50,

he opens the 4-hour candlestick chart to scan.

If there are signals, he places orders with stop losses; if not, he shuts down the computer.

It takes five minutes.

The rest of the time—drinking coffee, walking the dog, spending time with family.

He is not anxious, does not bet on direction

What impresses me more is his sense of rhythm.

After earning 1.5 million, he first withdraws his capital;

When he reaches 8 million, he takes out half to buy funds and do fixed deposits;

The rest continues to compound and roll over.

The market crashes? He smiles and says:

"Let it drop, I have locked in my profits early."

He always remembers the three iron rules I taught him:

1️⃣ Do not chase prices, only enter after confirming the pattern;

2️⃣ Do not hold losing positions, exit immediately when it breaks;

3️⃣ Do not linger in battle, withdraw when you’ve made enough.

There is no 'holy grail' in the cryptocurrency world,

But there is a 'sieve'—

It can filter out those who are impetuous, lucky, and impulsive.

Those who remain are the true gems.

The next one illuminated by the market,

Perhaps it will be—you, who is still quietly holding on.@财经阿黎

#美SEC推动加密创新监管

🚀🚀 From 50,000 to 50,000,000 — Sounds like a myth, but my cousin really did it.

$PIPPIN Graduated in the year he entered the cryptocurrency circle and never went back to work.

He goes wherever he wants, stays in hotels without looking at the price.

$ZEC Many people ask me: How did he do it?

I can responsibly say —

$1000LUNC Financial freedom, relying on only two methods.

1. Three times tenfold, reaching ten million

It sounds like a cliché, but math doesn't lie.

10,000 → 100,000 → 1,000,000 → 10,000,000,

As long as you catch three tenfold coins, your life will be completely rewritten.

This is not mysticism, it's logic.

10,000,000 = 3 times tenfold.

What you need to do is not to trade every day, but to wait for those three opportunities.

How to find tenfold coins? Look for three signals:

1️⃣ Sharp drop followed by consolidation — Main force accumulating

2️⃣ Breakthrough with volume surpassing previous highs — Speculators take off

3️⃣ Maximum community divergence — Eruption is imminent

Don't think about getting rich every day,

Hitting those three opportunities is enough for you to eat for years.

2. Roll out the first 1,000,000 by "rolling positions"

Small capital, wanting to take off, relies on rolling positions.

But 90% of people fail because of two words — impatience.

Rolling positions is not gambling, it's "waiting."

Wait for a sharp drop → wait for consolidation → wait for a volume breakthrough.

Entering the market should be like sniping, not charging.

Assuming you have 50,000,

Only use 10% of your funds to open a position (5,000), stop loss at 2% (lose 1,000).

If wrong, it's not fatal; if right, roll once.

In a favorable market, roll a second and third time.

50,000 → 200,000 → 500,000 → 1,000,000,

This is the "art of rolling positions."

Real experts never gamble with their lives; they predict.

Many people fantasize about "earning 10% daily, compounding 100 times monthly,"

But the truth is — real 100 times is built up.

Two tenfolds, three fives, four threes,

You will reach a place that others can't in their lifetime.

In the cryptocurrency circle, the hardest part is not the technique, it's waiting.

If you can wait for those three tenfold coins and hold steady to roll a few times,

You can earn money that others can't earn in their lifetime.

Getting rich is not about staring at the market every day and chaotically chasing trends,

But about knowing how to endure —

Enduring boredom, enduring temptation, enduring those few days when it's not your turn.

The real experts in cryptocurrency,

Are not the ones who make money every day,

But those who win as soon as the market comes in.

#BNBChain生态代币普涨

😍For newcomers in the cryptocurrency world, I have three sentences to say. Each one could save your life.

$ETH ① The crypto world is not a quick way to get rich; it is a game of high volatility.

What you earn is never "money that always rises," but rather money from emotional cycles.

$BNB When it rises, it rises sharply; when it falls, it makes even less sense.

So the first lesson—learn to survive:

$SOL Always leave room in your position.

Don't go all in, don't gamble.

Don't stake your future life on a single judgment.

If you can survive, you've already outlasted half of the people.

② Always prioritize mainstream options, stay away from projects you don't understand.

The most common pitfall for beginners is:

"× times the divine coin," "friend recommendation," "group signals."

Remember this:

If you don't understand it, don't touch it; that's the best risk control.

Mainstream grows slowly, but steadily; bubbles grow quickly, but can go to zero.

For newcomers, stability is always more valuable than excitement.

③ Making money relies on the market, losing money relies on operations.

Most people don't lose to the market, but to themselves.

You've probably experienced:

Chasing after a small rise, cutting losses only after a drop, opening contracts impulsively due to emotions.

If you want to survive long in the crypto world, remember three things:

Go with the trend, don’t guess tops and bottoms.

Invest in batches, don’t go all in.

Emotional stability is more important than technical skills.

The crypto world is not about who can rush the fastest,

but about who can stay the steadiest.

#美联储降息预期升温 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

💥She is the most mysterious and steady fan I have ever brought along—a 50-year-old sister from Northeast China.

$PIPPIN in May 2024, she quietly joined the group without saying a word and first sent a picture:

With a capital of 100,000 USDT, she turned it into 38 million in 9 years.

$LUNA2 At that moment, I understood—

True experts never rely on shouting; they let results speak for themselves.

$ACE Later, I learned that Sister Wang entered the market in 2015,

not touching contracts, not gambling on small coins, not chasing insider news.

While others compete in speed, she competes in patience.

I shamelessly wanted to ask for some secrets,

but she only sent 6 sentences of “down-to-earth wisdom,”

all extracted from candlestick charts.

I suggest you stick it on the edge of your screen, read it once before watching the market, it might save half your life.

① Rapid rise and slow fall = Main force buying

After a big bullish candle, if it falls slowly but with low volume, the main force is accumulating.

Don’t rush to run away, just give them a lift.

② Rapid fall and weak rebound = Get out quickly

If the rebound after a big bearish candle can't even reach halfway,

three days without returning to the 20-day line?

Don’t hesitate, get off directly.

The market never rewards those who help others “carry luggage.”

③ High volume is not a top; low volume is deadly

When retail investors shout that a high volume indicates a top, the main force often hasn't finished selling.

The real top is when the volume is low, silent, and no one cares.

At that moment, it's time to exit in batches.

④ The bottom needs to be voted on three times to count

The first rebound is a false move;

The second time probing the bottom is a test;

The third time—if there is continuous volume for three weeks without making a new low, then breaking the neckline,

that is the true signal for takeoff.

⑤ Patterns are emotions; volume is the heartbeat

Low volume and falling = Weak heartbeat

High volume and rapid drop = Heartbeat stops

Moderate volume = Recovery of health

The 60-day average volume line is like a “blood pressure monitor”; once it breaks, caution is necessary.

⑥ The highest realm: Being in cash

Being in cash without getting anxious, watching others get rich without envy.

Sister Wang walks every day, collects rent, and withdraws 20% from the market each month for investment,

trading only two or three times a month.

When someone asked her about her win rate, she calmly replied:

“I don’t look at the win rate; I only check if the rent has been received.”

There is always a market trend every year,

the hardest part is not knowing how to buy or sell,

but—knowing how to wait.

A bull market relies on entry,

but those who survive to the end rely on patience.

Are you ready to be that ‘person who can wait’?
#ETH走势分析

🔥December's two key meetings may reshape the global capital landscape

This month, there are two major events directly related to the direction of global liquidity:

① December 9–10 Federal Reserve meeting
The market generally expects — interest rate cuts are basically confirmed. This will affect dollar liquidity and global risk appetite.

② December 19–20 Bank of Japan meeting
The outside world generally believes — an interest rate hike has become a consensus. This may mark the end of Japan's decades-long era of zero and negative interest rates.

Most people focus on the dollar's interest rate cut but overlook the far-reaching impact of the yen's interest rate hike.

If Japan officially raises interest rates, it means global capital may flow back to Japan;

More importantly, the large-scale yen borrowing formed in the low-interest environment over the past ten years will face pressure to return and repay.

Its potential impact should not be underestimated: gold may face a risk of plummeting; US stocks and the Nikkei may see corrections in high-range areas; global assets may trigger a phase of selling.

December may become a turning point in global financial trends.

Changes in capital flows will directly determine the next phase of the dollar, gold, and cryptocurrency markets, which deserves high attention.

$1000LUNC $PIPPIN
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

$PIPPIN This highly controlled currency experienced a series of negative retracements on the hourly chart yesterday. I wonder how many brothers thought it was going to 'crash' into a waterfall. As a result, the market fell last night, and PIPPIN started to act up, directly pulling out a 'Heavenly Dragon Big V'.

Currently, at this position of PIPPIN (0.231), both bulls and bears are quite awkward. The MACD on the 4-hour level has a golden cross upwards, with expectations of continued volume increase. If it fails to break through the previous high resistance of 0.24 on a second attempt, it is likely to pull back again.

A suggestion from Ah Li: The funding rate for PIPPIN settles once an hour. Wait until the settlement to see the direction clearly. Only consider entering when the direction is clear. For highly controlled currencies like this, it can be strong enough to layout when many people are pushing it, allowing for significant gains, but do not blindly enter chasing orders.

Ah Li will also pay close attention to this currency and will take advantage of suitable opportunities. If you want to follow along, you can message in the chatroom.

$1000LUNC $LUNA2
#美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

$ETH 3000 threshold battle: break downwards, stabilize for a counterattack!

#以太 current price 3030, is fiercely contesting around the 3000 threshold. Previously, the rhythm of taking profits above 3200 and buying low at 2750 has perfectly closed the loop.

The daily line has broken below EMA15 (3036), with the upper EMA30 and the golden ratio 0.5 forming dual pressure, MACD bearish volume increasing, Bollinger Bands tightening, and the midline support at 2976 is crucial — if lost, the downward space will open up.

The 4H cycle shows that the bears have a slight advantage, with MACD death cross volume increasing, and EMA support located near 3000. Support area: 2970–2950; pressure area: 3170–3200.

Operational thinking: the cautious can continue to use the strategy of “guarding support and watching for a rebound,” with key support focusing on the 2970–2950 range; if it breaks down, follow the trend with light positions, if it stabilizes, then try a small position for a rebound layout.

The current market has entered the decisive phase, with the 3000 threshold being the short-term dividing line, breaking downwards means going south, stabilizing means recovery. Patiently wait for signals, and do not chase orders emotionally.

#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐