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#美股预测 $BTC Combining the pre-market conditions and core market drivers on December 4th, it is highly likely that U.S. stocks will continue to show strong fluctuations during the opening that evening, but sector differentiation may persist, with specific analyses as follows:
1. Rate cut expectations provide support: In November, U.S. ADP employment unexpectedly decreased by 32,000, pushing the Federal Reserve's rate cut probability for December up to 89%. The low interest rate expectation still boosts the financial and cyclical sectors, which is the core logic supporting the overall trend of U.S. stocks. This logic had previously driven the Dow Jones to rise more than 400 points on Wednesday.
2. Pre-market indicators give positive signals: Around 6 PM Beijing time on December 4th, pre-market data showed that Dow futures rose 0.06%. Although S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures slightly declined by 0.01% and 0.06%, the fluctuations were minimal. At the same time, there were many bright spots among individual stocks and sectors, with the robotics concept stock Nauticus Robotics rising over 31% in pre-market trading, and automation software company UiPath rising over 9% due to better-than-expected Q3 performance. Chinese concept stocks Xiaopeng and NIO rose over 3.8% and 3.3% respectively, and these hot stocks may drive market sentiment after the opening.
3. Sector differentiation issues still exist: There are also pressure points. On one hand, although rumors regarding Microsoft’s AI sales quotas have been debunked, the previous decline may still lead to continued valuation pressure on tech giants. On the other hand, Meta faces new anti-trust investigations from the EU, which may affect its stock performance and subsequently drag down the Nasdaq index. In addition, some previously skyrocketed small-cap stocks and thematic stocks may face short-term profit-taking pressure, which will suppress the overall gains of the market.
1. Rate cut expectations provide support: In November, U.S. ADP employment unexpectedly decreased by 32,000, pushing the Federal Reserve's rate cut probability for December up to 89%. The low interest rate expectation still boosts the financial and cyclical sectors, which is the core logic supporting the overall trend of U.S. stocks. This logic had previously driven the Dow Jones to rise more than 400 points on Wednesday.
2. Pre-market indicators give positive signals: Around 6 PM Beijing time on December 4th, pre-market data showed that Dow futures rose 0.06%. Although S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures slightly declined by 0.01% and 0.06%, the fluctuations were minimal. At the same time, there were many bright spots among individual stocks and sectors, with the robotics concept stock Nauticus Robotics rising over 31% in pre-market trading, and automation software company UiPath rising over 9% due to better-than-expected Q3 performance. Chinese concept stocks Xiaopeng and NIO rose over 3.8% and 3.3% respectively, and these hot stocks may drive market sentiment after the opening.
3. Sector differentiation issues still exist: There are also pressure points. On one hand, although rumors regarding Microsoft’s AI sales quotas have been debunked, the previous decline may still lead to continued valuation pressure on tech giants. On the other hand, Meta faces new anti-trust investigations from the EU, which may affect its stock performance and subsequently drag down the Nasdaq index. In addition, some previously skyrocketed small-cap stocks and thematic stocks may face short-term profit-taking pressure, which will suppress the overall gains of the market.
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#美股预测 $BTC Combining the pre-market dynamics of December 3 and various influencing factors, the US stock market is likely to continue its trend of slight upward movement with fluctuations. However, sector differentiation will still exist, and caution is needed regarding short-term volatility caused by key data. The specific analysis is as follows:
1. Pre-market futures provide positive signals: As of around 8 PM on December 3, the three major US stock index futures rose collectively, with Dow futures up 0.23%, S&P 500 index futures up 0.20%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.18%, laying a relatively optimistic foundation for the US stock market opening that evening. At the same time, some individual stocks performed well in pre-market trading, such as Micron Technology, which rose over 11% pre-market, and Chinese concept stocks in the semiconductor sector, such as UMC and ASE, also saw increases of more than 2%.
2. Favorable factors provide support: On the previous trading day, the three major US indexes had already closed higher amidst fluctuations, and both technology stocks and the cryptocurrency market saw a synchronized rebound, with Bitcoin breaking through the $90,000 mark, indicating an increase in market risk appetite. Trump hinted at the dovish inclination of Hassett, who may be the next Federal Reserve chairman, leading the market to bet that the Federal Reserve will accelerate easing measures in 2026, and the expectations for interest rate cuts support US stock valuations. The semiconductor and technology sectors showed strong performance, with individual stocks like Intel leading the gains, and the semiconductor ETF rose over 1% in pre-market trading, driving technology stocks broadly higher and becoming an important force in pulling the index up.
3. Potential risks may suppress gains: During the previous rise of the three major indexes, the volume did not effectively expand, and the rebound of the Dow lacked sufficient funding support. Overall market activity is insufficient to drive the index to rise significantly. That evening, the US November ADP employment data and services PMI data will be announced. If the employment data is too strong, it may exacerbate the divergence regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, or if the services PMI data exceeds expectations, it could raise concerns about economic overheating, both of which may lead to a short-term correction in the US stock market. The energy and biotechnology sectors have seen significant capital outflows recently, and Chinese concept stocks have not kept pace with the previous rebound, indicating that sector differentiation may restrict the overall upward momentum of the market.
1. Pre-market futures provide positive signals: As of around 8 PM on December 3, the three major US stock index futures rose collectively, with Dow futures up 0.23%, S&P 500 index futures up 0.20%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.18%, laying a relatively optimistic foundation for the US stock market opening that evening. At the same time, some individual stocks performed well in pre-market trading, such as Micron Technology, which rose over 11% pre-market, and Chinese concept stocks in the semiconductor sector, such as UMC and ASE, also saw increases of more than 2%.
2. Favorable factors provide support: On the previous trading day, the three major US indexes had already closed higher amidst fluctuations, and both technology stocks and the cryptocurrency market saw a synchronized rebound, with Bitcoin breaking through the $90,000 mark, indicating an increase in market risk appetite. Trump hinted at the dovish inclination of Hassett, who may be the next Federal Reserve chairman, leading the market to bet that the Federal Reserve will accelerate easing measures in 2026, and the expectations for interest rate cuts support US stock valuations. The semiconductor and technology sectors showed strong performance, with individual stocks like Intel leading the gains, and the semiconductor ETF rose over 1% in pre-market trading, driving technology stocks broadly higher and becoming an important force in pulling the index up.
3. Potential risks may suppress gains: During the previous rise of the three major indexes, the volume did not effectively expand, and the rebound of the Dow lacked sufficient funding support. Overall market activity is insufficient to drive the index to rise significantly. That evening, the US November ADP employment data and services PMI data will be announced. If the employment data is too strong, it may exacerbate the divergence regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, or if the services PMI data exceeds expectations, it could raise concerns about economic overheating, both of which may lead to a short-term correction in the US stock market. The energy and biotechnology sectors have seen significant capital outflows recently, and Chinese concept stocks have not kept pace with the previous rebound, indicating that sector differentiation may restrict the overall upward momentum of the market.
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#美股预测 Beijing time on the evening of December 2, there are many positive signals supporting the opening of the US stock market, which is likely to welcome a warming trend. However, there is also some uncertainty brought about by technical pressures, which can be seen from the following two aspects:
1. Support factors for a good opening: The futures of the three major US stock indices have collectively risen before the market opens, with the Dow futures up 0.10%, S&P 500 futures up 0.24%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.33%. At the same time, major European stock indices are also rising synchronously, creating a positive external atmosphere for the US stock market opening. In addition, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December have reached 87.4%, and Tom Lee, known as the "Wall Street Oracle," predicts that the S&P 500 index may rise by 5% or even 10% in December. This optimistic expectation, along with bright data on online consumption during the holiday shopping season, is expected to drive the US stock market to strengthen after the opening. In terms of individual stocks, MongoDB surged nearly 23% before the market opened, which may also boost the enthusiasm of related sectors.
2. Potential downward pressure: From a technical perspective, the three major US stock indices show signs of stagnation in a short period. The Dow's stock price continues to operate below the mid-track with weak upward momentum, and the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices also face issues of insufficient trading volume and difficulties in breaking through resistance levels. Meanwhile, the growth of holiday shopping data relies on price increases rather than sales volume, which hides concerns such as economic divergence. If market sentiment turns cautious after the opening, these factors may lead to difficulties for the US stock market in maintaining high levels and may even result in volatility and corrections. $BTC
#加密市场观察
1. Support factors for a good opening: The futures of the three major US stock indices have collectively risen before the market opens, with the Dow futures up 0.10%, S&P 500 futures up 0.24%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.33%. At the same time, major European stock indices are also rising synchronously, creating a positive external atmosphere for the US stock market opening. In addition, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December have reached 87.4%, and Tom Lee, known as the "Wall Street Oracle," predicts that the S&P 500 index may rise by 5% or even 10% in December. This optimistic expectation, along with bright data on online consumption during the holiday shopping season, is expected to drive the US stock market to strengthen after the opening. In terms of individual stocks, MongoDB surged nearly 23% before the market opened, which may also boost the enthusiasm of related sectors.
2. Potential downward pressure: From a technical perspective, the three major US stock indices show signs of stagnation in a short period. The Dow's stock price continues to operate below the mid-track with weak upward momentum, and the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices also face issues of insufficient trading volume and difficulties in breaking through resistance levels. Meanwhile, the growth of holiday shopping data relies on price increases rather than sales volume, which hides concerns such as economic divergence. If market sentiment turns cautious after the opening, these factors may lead to difficulties for the US stock market in maintaining high levels and may even result in volatility and corrections. $BTC
#加密市场观察
$BTC
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@Binance BiBi tom li是谁
There are 1–2 core market makers in the crypto space, and the losses are piling up fast.
Tom Lee said very straightforwardly ten hours ago,
so the liquidity in the crypto space is poor right now, not just because retail investors are out of money,
but more importantly, the balance sheets of the market makers are facing huge losses.
Once market makers can't hold on themselves,
the most direct consequence is: fewer orders, distorted quotes,
and the real sharks are thinking about how to guide the selling of BTC to wash the market again.
Of course, this won't change the super cycle of ETH brought by Wall Street.
As for when liquidity will recover?
According to Tom Lee:
it will take about 6–8 weeks,
at least until after Thanksgiving (November 27),
before the market has a chance to really become active again.
I think Tom Lee must have learned some internal news,
so let’s guess which market makers are facing huge losses?
Tom Lee said very straightforwardly ten hours ago,
so the liquidity in the crypto space is poor right now, not just because retail investors are out of money,
but more importantly, the balance sheets of the market makers are facing huge losses.
Once market makers can't hold on themselves,
the most direct consequence is: fewer orders, distorted quotes,
and the real sharks are thinking about how to guide the selling of BTC to wash the market again.
Of course, this won't change the super cycle of ETH brought by Wall Street.
As for when liquidity will recover?
According to Tom Lee:
it will take about 6–8 weeks,
at least until after Thanksgiving (November 27),
before the market has a chance to really become active again.
I think Tom Lee must have learned some internal news,
so let’s guess which market makers are facing huge losses?
Translate
照片中这是你妈？
Relying on BNB to send my parents "pocket money" for 3 years, this trick really doesn't require gambling
My mom once frowned while holding her retirement savings book: "An annual interest rate of 2% can't even keep up with the rising price of pork!" In mid-2022, I didn't just talk; I posted my BNB dollar-cost averaging plan on the fridge — automatically deducting 500U on the 15th of each month. Now, 36 months later, 12,000 U has grown to 47,000 U. Now she shops at the market without focusing on unit prices and secretly saves for her grandson's extracurricular classes.
BNB is not a lottery; it’s a "goose" that lays golden eggs. The key is how to feed it:
First, feed it regularly without being picky about the price — buy 500U on the 1st and 15th of each month, regardless if the unit price is 200 or 600, just like buying groceries on schedule. The four-year backtest shows an annualized return of 18% for systematic investment, which is much more stable than guessing prices;
Second, add more when it drops significantly. Buy 1 share when it falls below 400U, 2 shares at 300U, and 3 shares at 200U. My mom laughs, saying it's "cheaper than half price at the supermarket";
Third, follow the moving averages to determine the quantity. Watch the daily EMA100 and EMA200; double the investment near EMA100 and exhaust half a year's bullets when touching EMA200 — BNB has only touched EMA200 7 times since 2018, averaging over 80% growth in the following six months.
A reminder for the impatient: Don't check prices every day; the more you look, the messier the operations become; don’t borrow money for dollar-cost averaging, as leverage can break the "goose feed"; don’t stop halfway; you are closest to a bull market when the bear market is at its darkest.
I've compiled a "Goose Feeding Guide"; if you want stable appreciation, just ask me anytime, and let’s fatten the "golden goose" together in the next market.
Many people are trapped in a loop; it’s not about not working hard, but about lacking a guide. Only by following the right people can you walk out of the darkness.
@最强操盘司令
#加密市场回调
#美联储降息
#巨鲸动向
My mom once frowned while holding her retirement savings book: "An annual interest rate of 2% can't even keep up with the rising price of pork!" In mid-2022, I didn't just talk; I posted my BNB dollar-cost averaging plan on the fridge — automatically deducting 500U on the 15th of each month. Now, 36 months later, 12,000 U has grown to 47,000 U. Now she shops at the market without focusing on unit prices and secretly saves for her grandson's extracurricular classes.
BNB is not a lottery; it’s a "goose" that lays golden eggs. The key is how to feed it:
First, feed it regularly without being picky about the price — buy 500U on the 1st and 15th of each month, regardless if the unit price is 200 or 600, just like buying groceries on schedule. The four-year backtest shows an annualized return of 18% for systematic investment, which is much more stable than guessing prices;
Second, add more when it drops significantly. Buy 1 share when it falls below 400U, 2 shares at 300U, and 3 shares at 200U. My mom laughs, saying it's "cheaper than half price at the supermarket";
Third, follow the moving averages to determine the quantity. Watch the daily EMA100 and EMA200; double the investment near EMA100 and exhaust half a year's bullets when touching EMA200 — BNB has only touched EMA200 7 times since 2018, averaging over 80% growth in the following six months.
A reminder for the impatient: Don't check prices every day; the more you look, the messier the operations become; don’t borrow money for dollar-cost averaging, as leverage can break the "goose feed"; don’t stop halfway; you are closest to a bull market when the bear market is at its darkest.
I've compiled a "Goose Feeding Guide"; if you want stable appreciation, just ask me anytime, and let’s fatten the "golden goose" together in the next market.
Many people are trapped in a loop; it’s not about not working hard, but about lacking a guide. Only by following the right people can you walk out of the darkness.
@最强操盘司令
#加密市场回调
#美联储降息
#巨鲸动向
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为什么国内不允许搞虚拟货币?
为什么国内不允许搞虚拟货币?
老共要你干的事你可以考虑要不要去干，因为可能是需要牺牲你来顾全大局;但老共不让你干的事你最好不要碰，因为老共要顾全大局，而你就是大局之一。
为什么国内不允许搞虚拟货币?
老共要你干的事你可以考虑要不要去干，因为可能是需要牺牲你来顾全大局;但老共不让你干的事你最好不要碰，因为老共要顾全大局，而你就是大局之一。
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Should young people really lie flat? $BTC
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#Infini遭攻击 #币安也遭攻击了吗
Binance account login from a different location, has Binance also been attacked?
Binance account login from a different location, has Binance also been attacked?
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New Year's Day, bought #usual and #ena for 0.9
I only know that both projects are related to stablecoins, and I don't understand anything else.
In 2025, I wish we can all make our dreams come true!
#2025有哪些关键叙事？
#usual #ENA
I only know that both projects are related to stablecoins, and I don't understand anything else.
In 2025, I wish we can all make our dreams come true!
#2025有哪些关键叙事？
#usual #ENA
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