Ny龙卷风

If you had BTC in 2012, would you hold it until 2025?
According to reports, a dormant address containing 1,000 BTC (worth approximately 89,259,331 USD) was just activated after 13.1 years (worth 11,551 USD in 2012)

BTC 9250 short position minimum drop to 8800, ETH 3180 short position hit the third target 3070, isn't it exhilarating for the brothers who caught this short position?! I want to make it clear to everyone now: the small-scale retracement has basically completed! Although there are dual negative factors of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut + Japan's interest rate hike, the market has always been about 'buying expectations, selling facts'. Before the negative factors land, the rebound trend is already on the verge of happening!


🔥 BTC operation strategy: After the fluctuation and repair, look for a breakthrough, set points and don't chase highs!
Current market: After the spike, fluctuating back, typical of the 'repair phase after a retracement', the bulls have already started to gather strength around 88000;
Rebound pressure: First target 89800! This position must hold; after breaking through, the rebound strength will be full throttle, directly aiming for 91400-92500 (which is the starting point of the last round of retracement);
Retracement support: 88000 is the critical dividing line between strength and weakness, if it holds, continue to look for a rebound; if it unexpectedly breaks below, directly wait to bottom around 86200, this position is the lower edge of the recent fluctuation range, with very strong support;
Operation suggestion: Don't chase randomly before breaking 89800, if it retraces to 88000-87000, you can try a small position long; after breaking 89800, add positions, with targets directly at 91400-92500.
🔥 ETH operation strategy: Sideways accumulation ready to launch, breaking 3050 is the signal!
Current market: More stable than BTC, has been fluctuating sideways for a while, belongs to the 'accumulation phase', those who haven't entered can patiently wait for the signal;
Rebound pressure: 3050 is the key resistance level! After breaking through, it will directly open up the upward space, with upper targets at 3106-3150 (near the high point of the last retracement);
Retracement support: 2978-2920 is the core support range, as long as it doesn't break, the rebound trend won't change; even if it slightly breaks below 2920, there's no need to panic, as there is strong support around 2900;
Operation suggestion: During the sideways period, you can do small position high sell low buy (between 3000-3050), after breaking 3050, directly chase long, target 3106-3150; if it breaks below 2978, first wait and see, wait to set long positions around 2920.

FWDind's launch of BisonFi is an important initiative for enhancing institutional-level DeFi services in the Solana ecosystem, adding new native AMM strength to the ecosystem.
Attracting institutional funds, increasing demand and holdings of $SOL .
BisonFi focuses on institutional traders, supporting them to deploy customized trading strategies using their own funds. Moreover, leveraging Solana's high throughput and low transaction costs, it can also reduce trading latency and MEV risks. These advantages are highly attractive to traditional financial institutions and large crypto asset organizations. As more institutions settle into the Solana ecosystem through BisonFi, it is highly likely that they will also allocate SOL assets — on one hand, to pay for on-chain transaction fees, and on the other hand, possibly to be deposited into treasury or used for liquidity provision as part of asset allocation. This will directly increase the market demand for SOL and reduce its selling pressure, forming a positive outlook for SOL.


Core Background: FWDind's Core Position in the Solana Ecosystem
As the company holding the most SOL tokens, FWDind was formerly a NASDAQ-listed company known as Forward Industries. It completed a strategic transformation through $1.65 billion in private financing, focusing on Solana asset allocation.
Backed by top institutions like Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital, Multicoin Capital's managing partner Kyle Samani serves as its board chairman, providing support for strategic implementation.
Currently, it holds approximately $1.6 billion in SOL tokens and continues to expand its Solana treasury through a $4 billion stock issuance plan, making it one of the most influential institutional participants in the ecosystem.

The latest statement from Solana co-founder Toly has sparked heated discussions in the industry: "The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies will continue to rise, but the ultimate value will lean towards projects with revenue capabilities." In this long-term game, competition in the public chain track will become increasingly fierce, and Solana itself is proving this logic with strong price performance. Recently, the price of SOL has shown a sharp upward trend, steadily climbing after stabilizing at the support level of $128, breaking through key levels of $135 and $140, and currently adjusting around $140, just a step away from the resistance level of $145. From a technical perspective, the SOL/USD hourly chart has formed a clear upward trend line, with $143 becoming a strong short-term support, and the price continuously operating above the 100-hour simple moving average, indicating strong bullish momentum. TradingView data shows that the current price is above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward trend between $123 and $146, clearly consolidating the upward trend. However, caution is needed for the risk of a pullback: if $SOL further tests the $135 (50% Fibonacci retracement level) and $128 key support zone. The hourly MACD's acceleration is slowing, and the RSI remains above 50, also suggesting that the current uptrend may be easing, and we need to wait for a clear direction.

#圣诞行情 Hasett, if he takes charge of the Federal Reserve, will the crypto industry welcome a favorable policy wind?
#美联储降息预期升温 The suspense surrounding the Federal Reserve Chairman candidates is gradually rising, with Kevin Hasett's potential appointment becoming the most watched variable in the crypto space. Will this candidate, who is deeply connected to the crypto industry, become the industry's 'savior'?
As a shareholder and consultant of Coinbase with holdings exceeding a million dollars, Hasett's crypto-friendly stance is no longer a secret. More importantly, the White House Digital Asset Working Group that he led had outlined the government's crypto policy framework; if he takes the helm of the Federal Reserve, it is expected to push for a reshuffle of internal anti-crypto forces. As Custodia Bank CEO Caitlin Long stated, 'The Federal Reserve is set for significant changes.'
For the crypto market, the most direct benefit may come from interest rate cuts. Hasett, as an aggressive 'dove,' advocates for rapid and substantial rate cuts, and a low-interest-rate environment has always favored the performance of risk assets. Bitwise strategist Juan Leon bluntly stated that this impact is 'very favorable.' In addition, while the Federal Reserve does not directly regulate crypto assets, it controls the rules of banking services—loosening restrictions in areas such as custody, loans, and payment channels will open up critical service channels for crypto companies. Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl also acknowledges its 'marginally favorable' effect.
However, uncertainties remain. Hasett is only one of five candidates, and the final nomination is expected to be announced before #圣诞节 . However, it is undeniable that the market has begun to price in this policy dividend in advance. If he successfully takes office, the crypto industry may say goodbye to the dual pressure of regulatory ambiguity and tightening funds, ushering in a new development cycle.

24 hours of explosive growth firmly stabilizing at the $3000 mark, the Fusaka upgrade ignites the "exclusive bull market"!​
Who would have thought, $ETH has unexpectedly surged from a low position to lead the rise.

This wave of explosive growth hides four "king bomb-level" benefits, each pushing the price towards new highs!​
🔥 Fusaka upgrade: The "nuclear level" engine of ETH has been ignited! The market's expectations for the upcoming Fusaka upgrade are completely heightened! It’s important to note that the upgrade will directly optimize Layer2 performance and activate the potential for ecological explosion. Historically, before major upgrades of Ethereum, the average price increase exceeded 40%—now the market is just getting started, and the potential for further price increases is unimaginable!​
🔥 Altcoin linkage + BTC short squeeze, a double boost! $SOL , $BNB and other mainstream altcoins have collectively surged, forming strong support, and the crypto market is flourishing; even more intense, massive shorts above $93000 for BTC have been squeezed out, forcing buying pressure to flood in, with funds nowhere to go, turning directly into ETH, this "potential stock", doubling the buying power!​
🔥 ETF funds have seen a net inflow for 5 consecutive days, with $58.5 million aggressively accumulating! The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has seen inflows for 5 trading days in a row, accumulating a staggering $58.5 million. Institutions are voting with real money, indicating their confidence in the crypto market, especially in ETH, is completely overflowing—massive incremental funds are still queuing to enter, making it difficult for ETH not to rise!​

Musk stands on stage + institutions collectively optimistic: Musk stated that "the debt crisis is beneficial for Bitcoin," claiming the dollar is "hopeless"; Grayscale predicts Bitcoin will hit an all-time high in 2026, Tom Lee emphasized that "increased liquidity will inevitably drive up risk assets," and big names and institutions rarely share a bullish outlook! Bitcoin $BTC surged 7% in 24 hours, returning to 93,660 dollars, Ethereum $ETH skyrocketed 10% breaking through 3,070 dollars

The Federal Reserve's probability of a rate cut in December has soared, with a significant rise in $BTC


Wall Street bigwigs collectively 'flip their faces' - too stimulating! Bank of America just tore up the previous report on 'pausing rate cuts' and directly changed its prediction that there will definitely be a 25 basis point cut in December. It also mentioned that there will be further cuts in June and July 2026, ultimately bringing the rate down to 3.00%—3.25%! Now Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are all on board for the rate cuts, while only a few like Morgan Stanley and Standard Chartered are still holding firm. Who can stop this trend?
Even more explosive is the selection of the Federal Reserve Chairman! On December 2, Eastern Time, Trump directly stated that a new chairman will be announced in early 2026, and subtly pointed to Kevin Hassett, the director of the White House National Economic Council! The 'Federal Reserve's mouthpiece' Nick Timiraos has confirmed that Trump has long favored selecting him. This person is a pure 'dove,' exactly matching Trump's call for rate cuts, loyal and credible in the market. He has previously worked as an economist at the Federal Reserve, and this setup is tailor-made for rate cuts!
The market has gone wild! Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indexes surged collectively, with the Dow Jones up 0.39%, the Nasdaq up 0.59%, and the S&P 500 up 0.25%. Intel surged over 8%, and tech giants like Apple and TSMC are all rising! Cryptocurrencies have gone even crazier, with Bitcoin surging over 6%, heading straight for $91834, and Ethereum rising over 7%. This wave of earnings is absolutely legendary! Meanwhile, the dollar is being frantically sold off, and long-term interest rates are dropping in line with rumors about Hassett. Now we just have to wait for the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 9-10. This wave of rate cuts is definitely something to see through to the end!

$ZEC Is there still an opportunity for privacy coins?
Currently, privacy coins are in a dual dilemma of 'regulatory headwinds + technological uncertainty', with liquidity constraints and security risks compounding, resulting in extremely high investment risks.
ZEC is currently priced at 328 USD. The technical indicators show a bullish engulfing pattern and a bullish reversal signal from the short-term moving average breakout, with MACD short-term cycles also showing rebound momentum, but the EMA indicator suggests that the medium to long-term trend remains bearish. Some analysts maintain a bearish outlook, providing specific operational points: buy points at 330 USD and 340 USD to add long positions, with a stop loss at 320 USD and a target of 360 USD.
Different institutions have significantly divergent views on the price predictions for December and year-end.
CryptoPredictions forecasts that in December, ZEC could reach a maximum price of 360.674 USD, a minimum of 245.258 USD, with an expected closing price at the end of the month of 290.149 USD, and the final price for the year could reach 288.539 USD.
CoinCheckup, on the other hand, has given a more optimistic forecast, believing that the minimum price for ZEC in December could be 445.50 USD, an average price of 452.84 USD, and a maximum of 468.54 USD.

$XRP Recent online activities have indeed shown explosive growth, as XRPScan data indicates a single-day payment volume increased by 30%, with daily transaction volume exceeding 1.05 million, an increase of about 200,000 compared to the previous day; there were also over 40,000 structured XRP AccountSet operations, a scale of account set transactions far exceeding the usual range of 20,000 to 40,000. Analysts believe that these transactions are mostly institutions testing the system before adding actual liquidity, which is a controlled and organized behavior, not a random fluctuation. This also reflects that the underlying XRP network is being widely focused on by institutions, preparing for subsequent application expansion.


Technical pattern: Long-term bullish signals are clear, with key price levels acting as a watershed for rises and falls: this breakthrough further strengthens the long-term ascending triangle pattern of XRP. The current market views the range of $2.19 - $2.24 as a conversion support zone after the breakout. If this range can be firmly maintained, there is a high probability of an upward push towards $2.35, with further targets looking towards $2.88. Meanwhile, Fibonacci extension levels indicate that medium-term resistance also includes $2.85 and $5.85. However, risks also exist; if the support level of $2.19 is broken, it may test the $2 mark again, or even the low of $1.87.

On December 2, the total net inflow of Solana's spot ETF reached 45.77 million USD, with Bitwise's BSOL recording a daily net inflow of 29.45 million USD, bringing its historical total net inflow to 574 million USD. Previously, on November 29, there was a small setback with a daily net outflow of 8.2 million USD from the Solana ETF, mainly due to 21Shares redeeming 34 million USD in TSOL, but institutions like Bitwise, Grayscale, and Fidelity were still continuously absorbing funds at that time. As of December 3, the total net asset value of Solana's spot ETF reached 930 million USD, with a historical cumulative net inflow of 651 million USD. This ongoing capital inflow validates the institutions' confidence in SOL's mid-term trend.


$SOL broke through the previous key position of 136 USD, impacting 142 USD, which is highly likely to open a steady upward channel.

Top 10 cryptocurrencies, $XRP , with high price volatility, clearly driven by policies and legal news.
It is not a stablecoin but is often used for trading against USDT/USDC and other pairs.

In late November, XRP briefly broke through $2.20, with the trading range reaching $2.20 - $2.22, and at that time, the 21Shares XRP spot ETF was approved for trading, bringing expectations of institutional capital inflow to the market.
However, the price later fell back to $1.99 and is currently in a period of consolidation before attempting to break $1.99 again. Additionally, if it breaks through $2.20, while the next resistance levels are $2.25 and $2.60, $2.20 serves as a key intermediate point; if it can hold above this level, it will effectively reverse the short-term downward trend and lay the foundation for a push to higher price levels.

After Kazuo Ueda's public statement on December 1, the possibility increased further. This statement also quickly impacted the Japanese financial market, while various factors are paving the way for this interest rate hike. The specific situation is as follows:
Expectations for an interest rate hike have surged: Two weeks ago, the market estimated the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising rates in December at only 30%. However, on December 1, Kazuo Ueda clearly stated that he would consider the pros and cons of raising rates at the monetary policy meeting in December and make the correct decision. Following this, the interest rate futures market indicated that traders expect the likelihood of a rate hike at the meeting on December 19 to be around 76%, and the possibility of a rate hike in January next year is even close to 90%. Moreover, important meetings between Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Kazuo Ueda have eliminated political opposition to rate hikes from the new government. An increasing number of board members within the central bank also believe the conditions for a rate hike are ripe, which has cleared away many obstacles for the December rate hike.
$BTC

$BNB Current trends are too exhausting! It's like being on a spring, bouncing up and down several times. Should I get in or avoid it? Long-term believers: the current fluctuations are negligible. BNB's fundamentals remain unchanged — Binance's leading position is solid, BSC chain's TVL stays in the top three, and the burn mechanism continues to advance. Hold firmly and wait for the peak of the bull market.

Short-term traders: Currently, it's advisable to look for a short position; if it breaks 831 dollars, you can go long, but be sure to use a small stop-loss. Make a profit on the difference and run; do not get attached to the battle;
Medium-term traders: Accumulate in batches, target price set at 900 dollars, ignore short-term fluctuations in between, set a stop-loss and hold with peace of mind;

Dogecoin is likely to continue falling, with ultimate support at $0.1240.
$DOGE is likely to continue to decline! If it cannot break through the key resistance at $0.1465, the downtrend will be hard to stop:


First support: $0.1370 (near the previous low), there may be a brief support in the short term;
Second support: $0.1350, once broken, the risk will further escalate;
Ultimate support: $0.1330, this is the last "lifeline" in the short term! If this support is lost, it may directly slide to $0.1250 in the short term, or even drop to $0.1240, with a very severe decline.

Technical indicators: Bearish frenzy, bulls have no strength to resist
Current technical indicators completely show a "bearish dominance" pattern:
Hourly MACD: has long been in the bearish zone and continues to gain strength, with no signs of stopping the decline;
Hourly RSI: directly breaks below the 50 level, and bulls have lost even the strength to resist.
Summary of key points
Major support levels: $0.1350, $0.1250 (ultimate target $0.1240);
Major resistance levels: $0.1420, $0.1465.

$SOL
Current price $126, 24-hour drop - 5.33%. Overall, bulls have not effectively stabilized, and the bearish trend continues; operations should be handled with caution!​
From the key points of the trend, the resistance level focuses on $130, which is the core line of the current bull-bear game. Before SOL can recover and stabilize above $130, every time the price approaches this area, it is advisable to gradually position for a bearish view, as bearish pressure remains significant. ​
On the support side, the short-term bullish defense line is located in the $120-123 range; the current price is close to the support zone, and attention should be paid to the defensive strength in this area. If the bears break through the $120-123 support strongly, subsequent downward space will open up, with a target towards the previous low point in the $113-114 range.

$BNB Current price $827, the daily bearish trend remains strong, and operations should be wary of downward risks!​


From the trend perspective, the resistance level is concentrated in the $850 - $860 range, which is the core watershed of the current bull-bear game. Before BNB can effectively recover and stabilize in this range, every approach to this area presents a gradual opportunity for bearish positioning, and bearish pressure is significant. ​
On the downside support side, the short-term bullish defense line is in the $810 - $820 range; the current price is close to the support zone, and the defensive situation should be closely monitored. If the bears strongly break through this support area, subsequent downward space will further open, with a target towards the previous low point in the $760 - $770 range. ​
Operational tip: The current market is still dominated by bears, and one should not blindly catch the bottom. Focus closely on the breakthrough of the $850 - $860 resistance and the defensive status of the $810 - $820 support, and follow the trend for a more prudent approach!

The opportunity has arrived

This morning, the cryptocurrency market plummeted. Is there an opportunity?
$SOL shows signs of resistance to decline, and now there’s more good news — the Solana ecosystem PIPPIN meme coin has suddenly surged by 61%!


It’s rumored in the circle that the “whale wallet” is consolidating and firmly not selling to drive up prices. This is not just a frenzy; it also indicates that the funding sentiment on the Solana chain has not cooled down, and large holders are still actively seeking opportunities, injecting confidence into the future trend of SOL.
Previously analyzed, SOL has support from ecological enthusiasm on the news front, and the technical aspect is near a key position and oversold, making a rebound likely to target 128, and stabilizing at 133 (not the endpoint). The main force may first shake out retail investors to force them to exchange chips; don’t chase the rise. Retail operation: hold above 124, reduce positions if it breaks 120; if you want to get in, wait for a pullback to 124 to stabilize and try with a light position, stop loss at 120. 133 needs to be observed for volume; if it doesn’t continue to expand, it may be a short-term high point. A real surge requires multiple rounds of consolidation, be patient with the bottom position, this wave may be a buildup for the next surge, not just a simple rebound.

$BTC Early morning sudden plunge, the market is in chaos, nearly 180,000 people suffered liquidation. This sharp decline was triggered by three major factors:
First, false rumors stirred the situation, with the market circulating that Powell would announce his resignation at an emergency meeting tonight. Although mainstream media has not confirmed this and it is likely false, combined with news that Trump has confirmed the next chairman of the Federal Reserve and is inclined towards aggressive rate cuts, market risk aversion surged, becoming the catalyst for the decline.
Second, interest rate cut expectations plummeted. Previously, a rate cut in December was almost certain, but now due to delayed employment data and cautious statements from Federal Reserve officials, the probability of a rate cut has greatly decreased, leading to a withdrawal of funds from liquidity-dependent cryptocurrencies.
Third, leveraged liquidations triggered negative feedback, with Bitcoin and others breaking key price levels triggering programmatic stop-losses, forming a downward cycle, while institutional funds were absent, and Bitcoin $ETH inflows were weak, lacking buying power leading to uncontrollable declines.

BNB's performance this year can be described as "the strongest in the entire market."

As Binance's ecosystem continues to attract large amounts of capital, $BNB not only broke through the key psychological point of 1000 USD but also surged to a historical high of 1375 USD. Even more remarkably, it maintained a stable position above the high for 35 days, showing an incredible strength.
However, behind this strength, there are hidden risks — on-chain demand has quietly begun to cool down.


Recently, BNB once fell back from its high by 25%, dropping to 857 USD. This decline is not merely a correction of emotions but a reflection of the real cooling of on-chain activities. From earlier, the number of active users, trading frequency, and use cases of BNB Chain have all been gradually decreasing. It is important to know that on-chain demand = the core valuation anchor of BNB.

The data is there:

On October 8, BNB Chain's daily trading volume once surged to 31.3 million transactions, while the price of BNB was around 1334 USD.

But when BNB fell below 1000 USD on November 4, the daily trading volume was only 21.4 million transactions.

Now it's even worse — only 15.1 million transactions, a direct halving.

The network utilization rate dropped sharply from 51% to 19%, and the ecosystem's momentum has clearly fizzled out.
#DEX 's data is even more striking. On October 8, the trading volume on the on-chain DEX reached as high as 6.31 billion USD, but now it has only 1.29 billion USD left — in just a few weeks, 5 billion USD evaporated, indicating that capital is indeed leaving, rather than waiting to buy low.

#稳定币 's behavior is even more conclusive. Generally speaking, an increase in on-chain stablecoin balances signifies that funds are "watching on-chain", ready to enter at any time. However, the supply of stablecoins on BNB Chain has fallen along with the price, sliding from 13.27 billion USD down, losing nearly 100 million USD over the past few weeks. This means: funds did not wait for signals and chose to exit directly.

Of course, a skinny camel is still bigger than a horse —
Even though on-chain activity has significantly decreased, BNB Chain remains the third largest ecosystem in the industry, with its position temporarily secure.

This year's strongest BNB is starting to face pressure in the short term;

Data tells us that the vitality of the ecosystem is draining;

Whether the price can stabilize depends on whether on-chain demand can be reignited in the next phase.