财经山石哥

血泪控叙！本人误信“币圈大师”老托尼，被骗360万，落得家破人亡。他在境外社群伪装成“操盘大神”，承诺资金由他个人保管、保本兜底，年收益高达80%。我被高额回报诱惑，投入全部身家。

结果所谓投资全是骗局：他胡乱指导交易导致重仓亏损，又以“锁仓增值”为由拒绝提现。不到三个月，他便拉黑失联，我的资金血本无归。

央行等13部门早已明确，虚拟货币交易炒作属非法金融活动，所有“保本高收益”承诺都是诈骗。我已整理全部证据，坚决举报，誓将诈骗犯绳之以法。望所有投资者以我为戒，切勿相信天上掉馅饼的谎言！#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

美联储最新会议核心信息如下：

1. 降息决定：宣布降息25个基点，利率区间降至3.50%-3.75%。此为年内第三次降息，但内部投票出现分歧（9:3）。
2. 未来路径保守：根据最新点阵图，官员对2026年底利率预测中值为3.4%。这意味着2026年主流预期仅降息一次，步伐慢于部分市场预期。
3. 重启国债购买：将于12月12日起购买约400亿美元短期国债。美联储明确强调此举并非量化宽松，而是为缓解隔夜市场流动性紧张的技术性操作。
4. 市场反应：决议后美股上涨。但由于未来降息可能放缓，且购债属短期流动性管理，反弹持续性有待观察。#美联储降息 #加密市场观察

Tonight, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is about to take place, and many friends are concerned: Will there be a rate cut this time? After the rate cut, can the cryptocurrency market welcome good news?
In fact, everyone can clarify one thing first——the current market is already in a rate-cutting cycle; this is not a short-term benefit brought by a single rate cut. The continuous rate cuts that follow will provide ongoing positive support to the market. When the rate-cutting cycle officially comes to an end, the overall rhythm of our market is likely to adjust accordingly.~
Moreover, there is a different point this time compared to before: this is the first rate cut after the end of balance sheet reduction! Stopping balance sheet reduction means no longer withdrawing liquidity from the market, and now with the added rate cut, if tonight's meeting can also announce balance sheet expansion (equivalent to injecting funds into the market), that would be a great benefit for the market!~
The meaning remains unchanged #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议

The "dovish-hawkish" pattern you observed is accurate. The current market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in December, so the marginal impact of Powell's speech has indeed weakened.

This weakening primarily stems from two levels: first, the unprecedented split between the "dovish council" and the "hawkish regional Fed" has diluted the market's attention to a single signal from the chairman; second, with the chairman's succession approaching in 2026, the market has begun to bundle future policy paths with the tendencies of popular successors (such as Harker).

Therefore, the market's focus has shifted from a single rate cut to more long-term signals: the "dot plot" from this decision predicting the number of rate cuts in 2026, and how Powell balances current actions with policy independence under future political pressure. #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察

【#Our embassy responds to the coercion of Lan Zhanfei to transfer funds#】#South African local police investigate the Lan Zhanfei case#On December 10th, early morning, the China-Africa Economic and Trade Association of South Africa issued a statement titled 'Emergency phone assistance from compatriots in the early morning, security company responds quickly to ensure safety.' The article stated: The Zhongbao Huaan (Cape Town) security company received a call for help from someone claiming to be Lan Zhanfei, stating that they were coerced by criminals to transfer a total of 1,088,000 RMB. The company's security personnel took the victim to report to the police and then reported to the Chinese Consulate General in Cape Town, and made a record of the incident. The Chinese Embassy in South Africa and the Consulate General in Cape Town take this very seriously and have requested local police to solve this serious case of home robbery that severely infringes on the personal and property safety of Chinese citizens as soon as possible. #Embassy responds to the coercion of Lan Zhanfei to transfer funds#

On the afternoon of December 10th, staff from the Chinese Embassy in South Africa told a reporter from Beiqing that this incident is indeed true, and local police are making every effort to solve the case, and the embassy will continue to follow up. #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析

The December Federal Reserve meeting you are concerned about has shifted its core focus from "whether to cut rates" to "decision-making divergence." Although the market generally expects a third consecutive rate cut, the intense clash between hawks and doves within has made this meeting the most challenging for consensus during Powell's tenure.

• Fundamental contradiction: Inflation resilience and employment risks. Although inflation has fallen from its highs, the September CPI year-on-year is 3%, and core PCE remains at 2.8%, both exceeding the 2% target. Meanwhile, signs of a slowing job market are evident, with some officials worried that excessive tightening could impact the economy.

• Meeting highlights: Rare dissenting votes and future signals. It is expected that the FOMC vote may see multiple dissenting votes, which is very rare in recent Federal Reserve meetings. Therefore, what is more critical than a 25 basis point rate cut is the degree of voting divergence, which may weaken policy signals and raise market concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence.

• Future path: Divergence may continue. Powell's term will end in May 2026, and popular successor Hassett is inclined toward low interest rates. However, the complex power structure of the Federal Reserve means that policy shifts will not happen overnight, and deep conflicts surrounding interest rates may persist. The wording of this meeting's statement and the latest economic forecasts will reveal how the Federal Reserve seeks to find the next balance between combating inflation and stabilizing employment. #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #美联储重启降息步伐 #

Whether you believe it or not, I am confident that Bitcoin will break the $100,000 barrier within 24 hours, and Ethereum will also soar, surpassing $3,800. Market momentum has already emerged, and Bitcoin's recent breakthrough of $94,000 has triggered a widespread rebound, building strength for the assault on this key psychological price level. Meanwhile, Ethereum's price is steadily moving towards its target. All of this indicates that the key price level is about to be broken in one go. #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

At 3 a.m. Beijing time on December 11, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and the market generally expects another rate cut. However, there are significant divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding the rate cut, which may trigger fluctuations in global markets.

Recently, core inflation has met expectations and the labor market has cooled, providing a basis for a rate cut. Investors should pay close attention to the dot plot indicating the interest rate path for next year, as well as Powell's remarks at the press conference—if he releases a dovish signal, it may boost risk assets; if his attitude is cautious, the market may need to beware of a correction.

A rate cut may temporarily suppress the dollar and support U.S. stocks, especially technology stocks, while U.S. Treasury yields may fall. Investors should be cautious of the "buy the expectation, sell the news" market behavior in gold. Additionally, the direction of the Bank of Japan and U.S. political factors may also bring uncertainty.

For investors, there is no need to be overly anxious or blindly chase after gains; it is advisable to wait for clarity after the decision is made. Long-term, one can still focus on structural opportunities in gold and new energy sectors. #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察

According to financial news, Barclays Bank has released its latest forecast, believing that the Federal Reserve will announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this week's interest rate meeting, reducing the rate range to 3.5%-3.75%. At the same time, the post-meeting statement may show a hawkish tendency, suggesting a pause in rate cuts in January next year. The bank maintains its previous expectations, forecasting additional 25 basis point cuts in March and June next year. Furthermore, the new economic forecast summary is expected to show limited changes in the overall economic outlook, while the dot plot may reflect one rate cut each in 2026 and 2027, each by 25 basis points. The long-term median interest rate forecast is expected to remain unchanged at 3%. #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储重启降息步伐

The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 3.6% in its meeting on December 9. The market's earlier hopes for further rate cuts were dashed by forecasts of inflation rising in the second half of 2025. Since February of this year, the bank has cumulatively cut rates by 75 basis points, and the majority view is that its easing cycle has ended. Some analyses suggest that if inflationary pressures persist, a rate hike may be forced in February next year. This shift in rate expectations could help alleviate the recent pressure from rapidly rising house prices. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

In the game of chess, every step requires thought. Calmly calculating and cautiously weighing options, once the fingertips leave the piece, there is no turning back. Whether winning or losing, the pieces that have fallen are already a settled matter. A true chess player does not hesitate over the past but continues to move forward with the pieces at hand. This is 'no regrets in placing a piece'—choosing rationally and moving forward with composure. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #加密市场观察

Intra-day, Su Zhe has repeatedly reminded everyone to focus on long positions. The take-profit points for Bitcoin and the market's posture have also been reached. I believe the friends on the top must have enjoyed it! 🥩

Sometimes, the market is just that simple. When you see the opportunity, you should go for it. Price fluctuations can happen in an instant, so don't always think about waiting for a pullback or further increases before entering the market. The best position might be missed when you are only thinking about it!

Step by step, I dissuaded many friends from trading during the day. You don't need to thank me; you should thank yourselves for choosing to trust me. #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #

The total supply of USDT has surpassed 191 billion, with a market value of 185.6 billion USD, reaching a new high. This indicates strong global demand for the cryptocurrency dollar, as stablecoins are becoming the core liquidity engine of the crypto market, also providing a clear signal for future market expansion of risk assets. #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #

The market trend from last night to this morning has shown a key change: after dropping from 94 to 88, it rebounded to 91 but quickly fell back to 89 this morning, forming an inverted V shape.

If we view 94-88 as a correction, then last night's rally should initiate a new driving wave, but the trend only completed two sub-waves before halting and turning downwards.
If we view 94-88 as the start of a downward wave, then 88-91 is merely a correction, and a new round of decline may follow.

This will determine whether the market goes directly down or rebounds before going down again. Extreme caution is required for observation. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察

It's just a simple prediction, didn't expect the returns to be considerable #比特币VS代币化黄金 #BTC

ETH current price 3038, short-term fluctuations are slightly strong. Key support 3023, resistance 3068. KDJ golden cross upwards, MACD bearishness weakening, rebound momentum strengthening. It is recommended to buy on dips at 3010-2970 with a light position, target 3065-3090. For reference only, specific operations are subject to real market conditions. #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

Elon Musk and Jensen Huang have referred to Bitcoin as an "energy currency"—this perhaps reflects the shortage of energy, especially electricity, in the United States.

The United States does not lack energy resources. Its coal reserves are not scarce, and natural gas and oil are also in ample supply.

The fundamental reason for the electricity shortage lies in the outdated and backward power supply infrastructure. A prominent issue is that when trying to build a new high-voltage transmission line, it often takes a decade of debate before actual construction can begin; by the time it starts, even the president may have changed twice.

Therefore, the key to the slow upgrade of the power grid is not a lack of resources, but the lengthy and inefficient project approval processes. This ultimately leads to the power supply network struggling to meet modern demands, making the reality of electricity consumption behind the "energy currency" particularly glaring in the United States. #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

BTC is currently reported above 93000, having broken through the EMA120 moving average on the 4-hour level, showing a trend of fluctuating upward. The current key resistance is near 95000, which is not only the starting point of the previous sharp decline but also a concentration of significant short-term selling pressure. If it can effectively break through and stabilize, it is expected to challenge new highs before the end of the year.

In terms of funds, the ETH spot ETF saw a net inflow of 140 million USD in a single day, indicating a focus on funding, but the Bitcoin spot ETF experienced a slight net outflow, and the overall market sentiment remains cautious (Fear and Greed Index 27).

In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a high selling and low buying strategy between the support zone of 91000-92000 and the resistance zone of 94000-95000, with a key focus on the breakout situation at the 95000 level. #ETH走势分析 #比特币VS代币化黄金