This week's key data (2025.12.15-21) Overall expectation: Neutral to dovish, inflation stabilizing + Japan normalization, favorable for risk assets but volatility amplifies.
1. U.S. November CPI (Thursday 21:30) Expectation: YoY 3.0%, MoM +0.3%. Viewpoint: In line or slightly lower → strengthens soft landing, favorable for U.S. stocks/gold; exceeding expectations → stronger dollar, pressure on the stock market. Impact: Dollar and U.S. Treasury yields dominate volatility.
2. Japan interest rate decision (Friday early morning) Expectation: Rate hike by 25bp to 0.75% (probability nearly 100%). Viewpoint: Almost certain rate hike, yen appreciation + end of negative interest rate era. Impact: USD/JPY dips to 145, arbitrage trades unwound, bearish for high-risk assets (like $BTC , Nikkei short-term).
3. U.S. Michigan inflation expectations final value (Friday 23:00) Expectation: 1-year 4.1% (previous value retracted). Viewpoint: Confirmation of retraction → further favorable for bond market and growth stocks.
If all data meets expectations: Dollar slightly retraces, yen strengthens, risk assets rebound. Major risk: Japan's rate hike triggers global liquidity tightening, VIX easily spikes.
Operational advice: Short-term conservative, mainly trade USD/JPY short (target 145); can add positions in U.S. stocks/gold lightly after moderate CPI; this week, risk-averse position not less than 20%. High volatility, strict stop-loss.
$RAVE undoubtedly has been a significant issue that has emerged after such a long time. The high point is 240u, and those who have persisted should not give up.
Yesterday, the $RAVE/USD1 spot pair officially launched on ASTER, and the platform directly offered the highest ever 1.5x points bonus.
What's even more noteworthy is that Donald Trump Jr. shared the announcement of the collaboration between Aster and WLFI: launching the RAVE/USD1 pair, and more USD1 denominated trading pairs will gradually be added to the ecosystem.
He commented that this is real progressive promotion, liquidity is strengthening, coverage is expanding, and the influence of $USD1 is steadily rising.
Additionally, the environment for Binance's alpha phase has indeed changed.
Previously, dayone perp was too difficult to operate; everyone is now leaning more towards day2 and day3 perp. Project parties wanting to launch contracts must honestly follow the alpha path; they can no longer crash the market while launching contracts, that method is basically outdated.
The alpha has low thresholds and manageable fees; many projects have used it as a stable selling tool in the past month: launching alpha means crashing the market, coordinating with market making, easily cashing out in a month.
Now it is heard that the platform has raised margin requirements and stipulated that the project's FDV must remain above a certain level six months later to return the margin. This directly raises the cost and difficulty of quick cashing out, so recently, projects launching alpha are basically on the rise.
For those projects with solid narratives and promising potential, wanting to attract more funds in the market means they can no longer crash the market at will, which naturally strengthens the expectations for launching contracts later.
Therefore, when encountering strong narrative alpha projects, those who can obtain shares should try to take a long-term view, do not rush into short-term operations, think bigger, and there may be better returns.
Project Overview: RaveDAO is a completely self-funded Web3 music festival project with zero VC and zero private placement. It operates entirely based on ticket and sponsorship revenue from global electronic music events, which is a rare model that sustains projects through commercial income.
Total token supply: 1 billion Initial circulation: 230.3 million (23.03%) 30% community, 31% ecosystem, 20% team and co-builders, only 5% for early supporters, locked for one year, no VC unlocking pressure.
Core Value: 2024–2025: Cumulative revenue of 3 million USD+ 2025 single year: 3 million USD, 2026 forecast: 6 million USD Real income provides actual support for the token system, which is the biggest difference between RAVE and most purely token projects.
Official confirmation of an airdrop, mainly targeting: ✔ Genesis Membership NFT holders ✔ Those who participated in RaveDAO events in 2024–2025 Airdrops will be distributed in batches after TGE (must bind Base address in PLVR).
What's going on? Good days have come, today I gave 3 to eat, but you didn't share?
$CYS $BTX $US
鹿柒柒
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Binance alpha is all shouting to resign, but yesterday there was a surge of 50,000 troops. Is it because today there might be two airdrops, making things slightly better?
$NIGHT 200,000 shares of Sunshine, Midnight is a privacy sidechain project in the Cardano ecosystem, with no traditional venture capital financing, developed with support from Input Output (IOG) internal funds.
The total token supply is fixed at 24 billion, not yet in circulation, and will open for redemption on December 10, 2025, using a 360-day installment unlocking mechanism.
$WET HumidiFi is the largest AMM DEX in the ecosystem based on $SOL . 1. HumidiFi leaderboard and community whitelist: 2 million, allocation 4%, cost 0.05 2. JUP staking: 1.5 million, allocation 3%, cost 0.05 3. Public sale: 2.07 million, allocation 3%, cost 0.069 raising a total of 5.57 million, average cost 0.055, no VC round. The OK spot has been announced.
Hope for December's alpha, let’s get a few big gains! Don’t let down the small retail investors who have been sticking it out.
Binance alpha is all shouting to resign, but yesterday there was a surge of 50,000 troops. Is it because today there might be two airdrops, making things slightly better?
$NIGHT 200,000 shares of Sunshine, Midnight is a privacy sidechain project in the Cardano ecosystem, with no traditional venture capital financing, developed with support from Input Output (IOG) internal funds.
The total token supply is fixed at 24 billion, not yet in circulation, and will open for redemption on December 10, 2025, using a 360-day installment unlocking mechanism.
$WET HumidiFi is the largest AMM DEX in the ecosystem based on $SOL . 1. HumidiFi leaderboard and community whitelist: 2 million, allocation 4%, cost 0.05 2. JUP staking: 1.5 million, allocation 3%, cost 0.05 3. Public sale: 2.07 million, allocation 3%, cost 0.069 raising a total of 5.57 million, average cost 0.055, no VC round. The OK spot has been announced.
Hope for December's alpha, let’s get a few big gains! Don’t let down the small retail investors who have been sticking it out.
Falcon Finance (FF) is a new generation financial protocol that makes DeFi as simple as using a mobile banking app. The biggest problem in Web3 right now is: products are too difficult to use, transaction fees are opaque, and operations are cumbersome. What FF aims to do is to directly put ordinary users on the fast track to Web3, allowing you to complete lending, earning, and cross-chain operations with just one click.
I personally think FF has three prominent advantages:
1️⃣ Cheaper Gas fees, with good cross-chain routing that saves a lot of money in real experience.
2️⃣ Automated earning strategies, no need to research a bunch of pools, just follow the strategies and you’re done.
3️⃣ The interface and interactions are very smooth, really unlike traditional DeFi projects that are just piling on features, making it suitable for newcomers.
Overall, the direction of reducing the operational threshold for Web3, like $FF , is a necessary track; as long as the user base continues to grow, there is a long-term opportunity to become a traffic entrance on the chain.
These past few days have been filled with fraud, French kissing, and pants being taken off? An endless stream of gossip, there can't be a bigger story than this!
Now let's take a look at the market, and talk about $KITE
Recently, a project in the AI + blockchain sector has been quite popular. Its main selling point is allowing AI to perform on-chain tasks. In simple terms, it means that future AI robots and AI services can have their own wallets, make payments, run tasks, and collaborate with other AIs, bringing the machine economy onto the blockchain.
The role of the KITE token is mainly to pay for gas, purchase AI services, governance, and node incentives. This is the kind of token that will be genuinely used within the ecosystem, not just an air concept.
If you are already optimistic about the AI proxy + Web3 sector, then KITE can be considered a small position with long-term potential, around 5–10% is reasonable. In the short term, the volatility will be intense, so it is advised not to FOMO; wait for the emotions to settle and the patterns to stabilize before looking for opportunities.
1. UTF-8 support extended to the spot API The documentation clearly states:
Parameter symbol and symbols can now support Unicode values encoded in UTF-8.
This update is for the SPOT testnet, not for contracts. Previously (October 2025), Binance only upgraded the futures API to UTF-8, allowing for Chinese character trading pair names 68bbq. Now the testnet shows that the spot API also begins to support it. 2. Update timeline The documentation shows that these changes will be deployed to the testnet on December 1, 2025, which means the production environment may follow afterwards.
$GUA Suddenly increased by 30,000 troops yesterday just to grab this 80u big fur?
After dropping 5 points, it was increased again! 😡 Weren't you all fired? #币安Alpha
鹿柒柒
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#币安alpha Should we still hold on?
By November 25th, Qiqi has received a total of 5 airdrops amounting to 223u, with an investment of 16+2. In the last few days, we should be able to claim one more.
The average wear and tear is about 4.5u, but having been squeezed twice, it's roughly calculated to be 25u. After a month, there’s basically no profit left. Many people are complaining, and there are also many who don't want to persist any longer!
But I want to say, in such a low market situation recently, the project side is not foolish, and there can't be any big issues.
What we need to do is to control our costs as much as possible, maintain low survival, after all, in a situation where it's difficult to make money, this is the project that will cause you the slowest losses.
After the studio's account ban incident, there has been another wave of resignations, persisting gives small investors a chance.
By November 25th, Qiqi has received a total of 5 airdrops amounting to 223u, with an investment of 16+2. In the last few days, we should be able to claim one more.
The average wear and tear is about 4.5u, but having been squeezed twice, it's roughly calculated to be 25u. After a month, there’s basically no profit left. Many people are complaining, and there are also many who don't want to persist any longer!
But I want to say, in such a low market situation recently, the project side is not foolish, and there can't be any big issues.
What we need to do is to control our costs as much as possible, maintain low survival, after all, in a situation where it's difficult to make money, this is the project that will cause you the slowest losses.
After the studio's account ban incident, there has been another wave of resignations, persisting gives small investors a chance.
Recently #币安alpha , besides the banned users, more and more are resigning, mainly due to high scores and fewer airdrops. It feels like Alpha is also about to cool down.
But in such situations, we must persevere. After all, market sentiment is not good, and low guarantees should not be interrupted. This is, after all, the slowest project in terms of losses. 🤣
On November 24, 2025, Binance will launch Alpha $SSS Estimated time for $SSS: 18:00 No contract
Project Overview: Sparkle is an AI-driven Web3 entertainment platform developed by Prompt Inc., hailed as the "world's first AI Disneyland," focusing on building a cross-platform ecosystem.
Total token supply: 1 billion Initial circulation: 9% Distribution: Community 50%, Ecosystem 27.8%, Team/Advisors 10%, Investors 7.2%, Liquidity 5% Uses: Platform trading, staking, governance, advanced features; 1% transaction fee buyback and burn for deflation.
Funding undisclosed, but received pre-seed investment from Folius Ventures and incubation support from Binance MVB project. On-chain data overview: Total holding addresses: 12 (distribution status before launch) Concentration: Highly concentrated, the top 3 hold about 79.72% of the tokens Largest holder: 50% of the tokens (500 million SSS) 👉 Conclusion: Although the specific funding amount is not disclosed, the project has received support from well-known institutions and official incubation from Binance, which raises concerns about the risk of token dumping due to high concentration. It is recommended to DYOR and keep an eye on the latest news.
The recent market conditions have been particularly difficult to navigate, leading to a mindset of watching more and acting less! The goal is to not lose, which is considered a gain. In this context, let's understand: What exactly is the Lorenzo Protocol? $BANK In simple terms, the Lorenzo Protocol is a liquid staking solution designed specifically for Bitcoin, built on the BTC shared security mechanism of the Babylon Chain, essentially serving as a second-layer expansion in the Bitcoin ecosystem.
When you stake BTC, you receive a tokenized proof, which not only preserves liquidity but also allows you to continue earning additional yields in more PoS projects, achieving the effect of 'one coin earning multiple returns.' For long-term BTC holders, this model can significantly enhance asset efficiency, while also providing deeper liquidity for DeFi.
Overall, the Lorenzo Protocol aims to make BTC more efficient, more flexible, and truly integrate into the DeFi world.