[Bogo Talks Trading] ETH Evening Strategy on December 13, 2025: System Defines Direction, Open Position with Stop Loss
1. Market Logic Overnight U.S. stocks plummeted due to adjustments in AI industry expectations (represented by the postponement of Oracle's data center), raising concerns about the economic outlook. The current macro environment faces two core pressures: Yen interest rate hike expectations: The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to announce an interest rate hike on December 19, and may continue to release hawkish signals, promoting yen repatriation and contracting global market liquidity. High U.S. Treasury yields: The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen to 4.196%, reflecting strong market risk aversion, with institutional liquidity tightening significantly towards the end of the year, leading to a noticeable decline in market trading activity.
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AI bubble triggers panic, US stock market opens with a sharp decline, can Bitcoin hold at $90,000???
Due to concerns over the AI sector bubble, the US stock market has recently undergone significant corrections, leading to a simultaneous drop in BTC, with the price briefly falling below the $92,000 mark. The market is highly focused on whether it can maintain the $90,000 level. Meanwhile, tightening global liquidity (such as expectations of tightening from the Bank of Japan) has exacerbated the sell-off in risk assets, causing increased short-term volatility in BTC.
In terms of market sentiment, ETF fund performance has been mixed. This week, the US Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $287 million, but the latest single-day figure only recorded a net inflow of $49.16 million for BlackRock's IBIT, while other ETFs are adopting a more cautious approach. Market sentiment leans towards wait-and-see, with some investors expressing a desire to preserve capital or reduce positions, and discussions on social media have intensified, resulting in a decline in the fear and greed index!!! #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议 #ETH走势分析 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 $SOL $XRP $BNB
The market is fluctuating but showing strength against the trend, $BEAT volume and price rise logic analysis
In the past week, against the backdrop of market fluctuations and adjustments, $BEAT has maintained extremely high trading enthusiasm, becoming the focus of the market. Although prices have fluctuated narrowly around the 2U range, the core highlight lies in the steady increase in trading volume and the daily growth in buy ratio, demonstrating a healthy volume-price relationship.
Although there is short-term market correction pressure, the movement of funds has given a clear signal: the main funds have not withdrawn; instead, they are gradually accumulating shares amid the fluctuating market. This judgment is perfectly corroborated by on-chain data, with multiple core indicators jointly supporting the valuation resilience of $BEAT:
- Cash Flow Support: Since the launch of the AI Payment function, it has accumulated revenue of over 148,900+ $BEAT, with revenue directly flowing into the destruction mechanism, establishing a positive cycle of "revenue-deflation";
- Deflation Strengthening: Periodic destruction continues to advance, and a recent single destruction has significantly reduced the total circulating amount, while the regular destruction of 125K $BEAT weekly further tightens supply;
- Mechanism Advantage: The single coin model combined with a low circulation ratio of only 13.9% greatly reduces price-pushing resistance, providing a foundation for volume-driven market trends.
Unlike most IP projects that rely on sentimental speculation logic, Audiera builds its core competitiveness with "real cash flow + practical use cases" — functions such as AI music creation and NFT minting have already accumulated over 1 million weekly active users, allowing BEAT to break away from pure speculative attributes and become a key driving factor for continued participation from traders. Current trading depth is still continuously improving, and combined with the signals of main fund accumulation, the subsequent trend of BEAT is worthy of close attention.
$BEAT Recently, the market has been extremely active, oscillating between 1.8 and 2.4. Each time it dips, the volume decreases to support the market, and when it rises, the volume spikes immediately, showing a strong accumulation pattern! Last night's rapid surge was even more intense, shooting from 1.92 to 2.35 in just a few minutes, with buyers acting aggressively, and the buying pressure never ceased, showing overwhelming confidence in funds. Why is it so solid? Just three words: real deal! AI Payment has only been online for about ten days, already contributing over 148,000+ $BEAT in actual income, with the first batch of 125,000 tokens directly burned. The entire chain is transparent and verifiable, allowing traders to confidently invest heavily. A well-established music IP + 600 million historical users + 5 million active users on-chain, this traffic base is undeniable, who wouldn’t be envious? From a short-term perspective, as long as the volume doesn’t shrink, the market will remain stable, ready to take off again at any moment. $BEAT #beat Just go for it! {alpha}(560xcf3232b85b43bca90e51d38cc06cc8bb8c8a3e36)
$BNB #加密市场反弹 #日本加息 Will the Bank of Japan take action to raise interest rates next week? Countdown to a major storm in the crypto world! 🔥
On December 19, the global market is closely watching Japan! The probability of a rate hike has soared to over 80%, with a possible increase of 25 or 50 basis points. The key signal is: Japanese officials say that rates will only stop after exceeding 0.75% — this is no joke! Once interest rates are raised, the largest "yen carry trade" in history may collapse. Simply put, global institutions used to borrow yen at almost zero cost and then frantically buy high-yield assets like Bitcoin and US stocks. Now, the cost of borrowing money is set to soar; will they collectively withdraw? Look at the data: When Japan raised interest rates in July, Bitcoin plummeted 23% in a single day, with over $20 billion in liquidations across the network. Although expectations have been partially priced in this time, there are still nearly $1 billion in crypto leverage positions at great risk, especially for coins like ETH and SOL, which have extremely high leverage. Once a chain liquidation occurs, the scenario is unthinkable... But don't panic! This time is different from July: the market has partially priced in the situation, overall leverage is decreasing, and the Federal Reserve may cut rates next year as a hedge. In terms of actions: quickly reduce high leverage, set proper stop-loss orders for spot trading, save some ammo, and wait for panic selling to finish before gradually buying the dip!
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$BEAT recently the market looks so tough (strong breakthrough), what is the underlying confidence? The answer is on-chain: real cash flow income. 💰 Since December 1, Audiera officially launched the AI Payment function (providing paid AI music generation services), this project is no longer just a story: 1️⃣ Real income (verifiable on-chain): As of now, AI Payment has generated over 148,900+ $BEAT in real income. 👉 Income address verification: https://bscscan.com/address/0x919e397834c349bD890a552BA035dcDefc4cdE42 2️⃣ Real flywheel (economic model): The project has effectively implemented the flywheel of "users pay $BEAT → generate income → enter weekly burn." This means: the larger the business scale → the higher the income → the more burn → the more scarce $BEAT. 3️⃣ Real burn (continuous deflation): The first batch of 125,000 $BEAT has been sent to the black hole, and a fixed burn announcement is ongoing every week. 🔥 Burn record verification: https://bscscan.com/token/0xcf3232b85b43bca90e51d38cc06cc8bb8c8a3e36?a=0x000000000000000000000000000000000000dead While other projects are still selling coins to survive, Audiera is one of the few that already has real product income and has written that income into the token model as an established IP. As the AI Payment business grows, the deflationary effect has just begun. This is the confidence that traders are willing to hold long-term. 🚀 $BEAT #beat