Date: December 18, 2025
Hello Traders!
While all eyes are on Bitcoin's $87k range and today's incoming macro data, I'm digging into the mid-caps. Many of you asked for my take on two very opposite assets: the legacy privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) and the high-stakes redemption play Terra (LUNA).
Here is my analysis for today.
🛡️ Zcash (ZEC): The Long Game
ZEC is frustrating because it ignores hype. It’s a fundamental play on privacy infrastructure.
The Catalyst: The shift from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). It's under the radar but will fix tokenomics by stopping miner dumps.
The Chart (Daily): It's in a massive, low-volume accumulation floor. Sellers are exhausted.
My Levels (USDT):
Buy Zone: $20.00 - $22.50. I like accumulating here for the long term.
Must Break: $28.50. We need a daily close above this to start a real trend.
Neutral-Bullish (Long Term). This is not for scalping. It's for patient capital betting the floor holds for the PoS narrative.
Terra (LUNA): The Momentum
Note: This is Terra 2.0 (LUNA), not Classic.
LUNA trades purely on community sentiment and speculation. It’s "high-beta"—it pumps harder and dumps much harder than BTC.
The Narrative: It's all about the "redemption arc." The fundamentals are weak compared to major L1s. It's a trader's coin, highly susceptible to volatility.
The Chart (4H): It rejected off a high and is bleeding. Momentum is bearish right now.
My Levels (USDT):
Critical Support: $0.35 - $0.38. If BTC wobbles, LUNA visits this fast. A break below $0.35 is ugly.
Resistance: $0.48 - $0.52. Rallies die here.
Bearish-Neutral (Short Term). It's risky to long in the middle. I’d only look for a quick scalp bounce off $0.35 with tight stops. Otherwise, stay away.
Conclusion
We are entering low-liquidity holiday hours.
Want to sleep easy? ZEC at support is a reasonable, low-leverage stack.
Want action? Watch LUNA, but treat it like a casino table. Don't bet the farm.
(Disclaimer: DYOR - Do Your Own Research. NFA - Not Financial Advice. Altcoins are risky.)
