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Tonight at 7:30 PM, the US will drop the CPI inflation report. This is some crucial data right before next week's FOMC meeting with the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh.
Recent history: Last month, CPI spiked by 3.8%, exceeding forecasts and sending the market into a red frenzy.
Forecast for this month:
Overall CPI is expected to surge from 3.8% to 4.2%.
Core CPI is projected to tick up slightly from 2.8% to 2.9%.
Two scenarios could play out:
Scenario 1: If CPI comes in at 4.2% or higher: A hot inflation rate combined with last week's strong job reports could force the Fed to keep interest rates high for longer. There’s even talk of a rate hike. Currently, 98.2% of the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady next week, but the camp pushing for a rate increase this year is gaining traction, despite President Trump's continuous calls for cuts.
Scenario 2: If CPI comes in below 4.2%: The market breathes a sigh of relief, pressure eases, and risk assets like stocks or crypto get a chance to soar.
This piece is just a heads-up on financial movements, not investment advice. If you end up FOMOing or blowing your account after 7:30 PM tonight, the blame lies entirely with the Fed and your choices, not with the author of this article.
#USCPI #InflationData #FedRate #FinancialNews #CryptoMarket
Recent history: Last month, CPI spiked by 3.8%, exceeding forecasts and sending the market into a red frenzy.
Forecast for this month:
Overall CPI is expected to surge from 3.8% to 4.2%.
Core CPI is projected to tick up slightly from 2.8% to 2.9%.
Two scenarios could play out:
Scenario 1: If CPI comes in at 4.2% or higher: A hot inflation rate combined with last week's strong job reports could force the Fed to keep interest rates high for longer. There’s even talk of a rate hike. Currently, 98.2% of the market expects the Fed to hold rates steady next week, but the camp pushing for a rate increase this year is gaining traction, despite President Trump's continuous calls for cuts.
Scenario 2: If CPI comes in below 4.2%: The market breathes a sigh of relief, pressure eases, and risk assets like stocks or crypto get a chance to soar.
This piece is just a heads-up on financial movements, not investment advice. If you end up FOMOing or blowing your account after 7:30 PM tonight, the blame lies entirely with the Fed and your choices, not with the author of this article.
#USCPI #InflationData #FedRate #FinancialNews #CryptoMarket
Fed Shakeup: Warsh Takes the Helm 🚀
In a significant development, Warsh has been elected chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee. This move is expected to have a profound impact on the country's monetary policy, influencing interest rates and subsequently affecting the overall economy. As the new chair, Warsh will play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decisions on rate hikes or cuts, which in turn will impact the global financial markets. The news is being closely watched by investors, as it may lead to increased market volatility and potentially alter the trajectory of the US dollar and other currencies.
#Crypto #FedRate #USMarkets #FinancialNews
In a significant development, Warsh has been elected chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee. This move is expected to have a profound impact on the country's monetary policy, influencing interest rates and subsequently affecting the overall economy. As the new chair, Warsh will play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decisions on rate hikes or cuts, which in turn will impact the global financial markets. The news is being closely watched by investors, as it may lead to increased market volatility and potentially alter the trajectory of the US dollar and other currencies.
#Crypto #FedRate #USMarkets #FinancialNews
The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has skyrocketed to a pre-crisis 5.19% amid oil surging above $100 due to the Iran conflict, forcing markets to price in the risk of a new Fed rate hike instead of the expected four cuts. Meanwhile, the mortgage sector is gasping at 6.68%, with a potential breach of 7%, and the insane U.S. national debt of $39 trillion has finally tightened the debt spiral, requiring colossal servicing costs.
In the short term, this has already triggered a sharp sell-off in BTC below $77,000 due to the washout of margin longs worth $670 million, and in the medium term, high-interest rates will continue to systematically choke risk appetite, compelling investors to opt for risk-free fixed income over overheated stocks and crypto.
#Macroeconomics #KobeissiLetter #FedRate #BitcoinCrash
In the short term, this has already triggered a sharp sell-off in BTC below $77,000 due to the washout of margin longs worth $670 million, and in the medium term, high-interest rates will continue to systematically choke risk appetite, compelling investors to opt for risk-free fixed income over overheated stocks and crypto.
#Macroeconomics #KobeissiLetter #FedRate #BitcoinCrash
CPI at 4.2% — a 3-year high. The Fed's "mission accomplished" narrative just got a lot harder to sell. Higher inflation = higher rates for longer = pressure on risk assets including crypto. But here's the contrarian take: Bitcoin was literally built for this moment. Scarce. Decentralized. Uncensorable. Are you buying the fear or selling it? 👇
#USCPISurgesToThreeYearHighOf4.2% #Bitcoin #Inflation #FedRate #CryptoMacro
#USCPISurgesToThreeYearHighOf4.2% #Bitcoin #Inflation #FedRate #CryptoMacro
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, a move most markets were already expecting.
In what could be Jerome Powell’s final FOMC meeting as Chairman, the Fed is choosing to stay cautious.
They’re continuing to watch inflation and overall economic data closely before deciding their next move.
For now, it’s a pause — not a pivot — as uncertainty around the economy still lingers.
#FedRatesUnchanged #fed #FedRateCut #fedrate
In what could be Jerome Powell’s final FOMC meeting as Chairman, the Fed is choosing to stay cautious.
They’re continuing to watch inflation and overall economic data closely before deciding their next move.
For now, it’s a pause — not a pivot — as uncertainty around the economy still lingers.
#FedRatesUnchanged #fed #FedRateCut #fedrate
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