Bigcoin
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Kênh nghiên cứu và hướng dẫn đầu tư crypto cho người mới.
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Over 400 million USD in dirty money has just been seized by the U.S. after 10 years of 'hiding'
Amidst the market's discussions about ETFs, the Fed, and institutional cash flow, the U.S. DOJ quietly finalized a rather noteworthy case: seizing over 400 million USD in assets related to Helix, a darknet mixing service that was once very popular.
Helix operated strongly from 2014 to 2017, processing over 300 million USD in crypto transactions, primarily serving darknet users wanting to 'clean' $BTC to cover their tracks.
The person behind it is Larry Dean Harmon, who pleaded guilty to money laundering in 2021 and by the end of 2024 was sentenced to 36 months in prison along with asset forfeiture. The notable part is that it took nearly a decade, but authorities ultimately traced and recovered this enormous asset.
Helix operated strongly from 2014 to 2017, processing over 300 million USD in crypto transactions, primarily serving darknet users wanting to 'clean' $BTC to cover their tracks.
The person behind it is Larry Dean Harmon, who pleaded guilty to money laundering in 2021 and by the end of 2024 was sentenced to 36 months in prison along with asset forfeiture. The notable part is that it took nearly a decade, but authorities ultimately traced and recovered this enormous asset.
Kazakhstan intends to establish a national crypto reserve fund
I quickly share an interesting piece of news related to Kazakhstan and crypto, showing you the story of 'the state entering crypto' happening in a very practical way.
The Central Bank of Kazakhstan, through its investment company (NIC), is planning to establish a national crypto reserve fund, with an initial scale of about 350 million USD. The source of assets will come not only from confiscated crypto but also from a combination of gold and foreign currencies, and will be allocated through 5 hedge funds for professional management. This shows that they see crypto as a strategic asset, not just something for 'quick gains'.
The Central Bank of Kazakhstan, through its investment company (NIC), is planning to establish a national crypto reserve fund, with an initial scale of about 350 million USD. The source of assets will come not only from confiscated crypto but also from a combination of gold and foreign currencies, and will be allocated through 5 hedge funds for professional management. This shows that they see crypto as a strategic asset, not just something for 'quick gains'.
Trump will announce the new Fed chair - The market fluctuates for this reason?
Trump has just confirmed he will announce the new Fed Chair within the next 24 hours, concluding a selection process that has lasted nearly 5 months.
Trump said: “Tomorrow morning I’ll announce the Fed chair.” This means the person replacing Jerome Powell is almost decided.
The final list includes 4 familiar names:
Kevin Warsh – former Fed Governor
Kevin Hassett – Director of the Council of Economic Advisers
Christopher Waller – current Fed Governor
Rick Rieder – CIO of fixed income at BlackRock
Trump said: “Tomorrow morning I’ll announce the Fed chair.” This means the person replacing Jerome Powell is almost decided.
The final list includes 4 familiar names:
Kevin Warsh – former Fed Governor
Kevin Hassett – Director of the Council of Economic Advisers
Christopher Waller – current Fed Governor
Rick Rieder – CIO of fixed income at BlackRock
BTC Hashrate Drops 40% - Many Miners Leave the Game
I want to share an additional perspective that lately many people have been paying less attention to, but it is very important in the current on-chain picture.
Charles Edwards (founder of Capriole Investments) just emphasized that the hashrate of Bitcoin has decreased by about 40% compared to the ATH peak. This is the largest miner capitulation since 2021, meaning many miners, especially those with high costs, are being forced to shut down or leave the game. When prices do not rise fast enough while electricity, operating, and borrowing costs remain high, miner 'capitulation' is hard to avoid.
Charles Edwards (founder of Capriole Investments) just emphasized that the hashrate of Bitcoin has decreased by about 40% compared to the ATH peak. This is the largest miner capitulation since 2021, meaning many miners, especially those with high costs, are being forced to shut down or leave the game. When prices do not rise fast enough while electricity, operating, and borrowing costs remain high, miner 'capitulation' is hard to avoid.
4 reasons why gold prices are rising sharply - Will they continue to rise?
Below are some of my studies on why Gold has continuously broken ATH recently.
Reason 1: The FED is stuck
Powell has shared that US public debt is unsustainable (38.5 trillion USD), while inflation remains high and interest rates cannot be lowered quickly. This creates a very uncomfortable state:
Keeping interest rates high for too long → stifling growth, risk of crisis
Cutting interest rates too early → inflation returns, public debt becomes even more uncontrollable
Reason 1: The FED is stuck
Powell has shared that US public debt is unsustainable (38.5 trillion USD), while inflation remains high and interest rates cannot be lowered quickly. This creates a very uncomfortable state:
Keeping interest rates high for too long → stifling growth, risk of crisis
Cutting interest rates too early → inflation returns, public debt becomes even more uncontrollable
Don't judge Bitcoin as 'weak' based on the current gold price!
I want to share more perspectives to alleviate the pessimistic mindset that is spreading strongly in the community lately, especially as gold prices continue to break ATH.
If we look back objectively, Bitcoin has increased by about 429% since the end of 2022. This number far exceeds most traditional assets: gold increased by about 177%, silver by about 350%, while QQQ (representing Big Tech in the U.S.) is only around 140%. This means that even though BTC is currently stagnating and causing many people to feel anxious, in terms of long-term performance, Bitcoin is still a clearly outperforming asset.
If we look back objectively, Bitcoin has increased by about 429% since the end of 2022. This number far exceeds most traditional assets: gold increased by about 177%, silver by about 350%, while QQQ (representing Big Tech in the U.S.) is only around 140%. This means that even though BTC is currently stagnating and causing many people to feel anxious, in terms of long-term performance, Bitcoin is still a clearly outperforming asset.
Gold prices are rising sharply while $BTC is in a deep downtrend? Is there a more positive scenario for BTC?
All will be shared in my live session at 9:00 PM tomorrow.
In the live session, I will analyze 3 key factors that strongly influence BTC prices, including:
- The impact of macroeconomic factors
- Insights from technical analysis
- Analysis of crowd psychology
The year 2026 is certainly going to be a challenging year, especially for investing, and especially for those who maintain an investment mindset solely based on short-term news; it will only lead to disaster for you.
Old thinking creates assets, but new thinking helps establish a solid financial position. If you also want to change your mindset and find a sustainable investment path, then join me in the live session tomorrow.
All will be shared in my live session at 9:00 PM tomorrow.
In the live session, I will analyze 3 key factors that strongly influence BTC prices, including:
- The impact of macroeconomic factors
- Insights from technical analysis
- Analysis of crowd psychology
The year 2026 is certainly going to be a challenging year, especially for investing, and especially for those who maintain an investment mindset solely based on short-term news; it will only lead to disaster for you.
Old thinking creates assets, but new thinking helps establish a solid financial position. If you also want to change your mindset and find a sustainable investment path, then join me in the live session tomorrow.
Bigcoin
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[Preview] CryptoTalk #5: View $BTC trong Q1/2026 sẽ như thế nào?
Jan 30 14:00 · 0 subscribed
Gold prices soar while crypto remains stuck due to the U.S. bill
The White House will hold a closed-door meeting on Monday, bringing together leaders of the traditional banking and crypto industries to discuss the crypto bill that is stuck in the Senate.
This shows that the U.S. is beginning to see crypto as an indispensable part of the financial system, but it also reflects the significant political pressure surrounding the upcoming legal framework. This could be a stepping stone for clearer laws, or conversely, a tightening if both sides cannot find common ground.
This shows that the U.S. is beginning to see crypto as an indispensable part of the financial system, but it also reflects the significant political pressure surrounding the upcoming legal framework. This could be a stepping stone for clearer laws, or conversely, a tightening if both sides cannot find common ground.
Tether quietly hoarding gold on a scale not unlike a 'mini central bank.'
I've noticed a rather interesting trend recently: Tether is quietly hoarding gold on a scale not unlike a 'mini central bank.'
In just Q4/2025, Tether purchased an additional approximately 27 tons of physical gold, equivalent to over $4 billion USD at current prices. For the entire year of 2025, the amount of gold accumulated by Tether is estimated to reach ~116 tons. This figure places Tether among the largest gold buyers in the world, even on par with or exceeding many small and medium-sized central banks. For a crypto company, this is an unusual move.
In just Q4/2025, Tether purchased an additional approximately 27 tons of physical gold, equivalent to over $4 billion USD at current prices. For the entire year of 2025, the amount of gold accumulated by Tether is estimated to reach ~116 tons. This figure places Tether among the largest gold buyers in the world, even on par with or exceeding many small and medium-sized central banks. For a crypto company, this is an unusual move.
The Weakening Japanese Yen - Will FED Intervention Cause the Market to Rebound?
Arthur Hayes has just shared an insight that is hitting very sensitively on a point of the global financial system that many people tend to overlook: Japan.
The weakening of the yen alongside the rising yield of Japanese government bonds (JGB) is not a normal fluctuation, but a sign of structural stress. The BOJ is stuck between two difficult choices: maintaining an accommodative policy will continue to devalue the yen, while allowing yields to rise freely will put significant pressure on the domestic financial system. When Japan encounters issues, it is no longer just an internal matter, as JGBs and the yen are at the center of global capital flows.
The weakening of the yen alongside the rising yield of Japanese government bonds (JGB) is not a normal fluctuation, but a sign of structural stress. The BOJ is stuck between two difficult choices: maintaining an accommodative policy will continue to devalue the yen, while allowing yields to rise freely will put significant pressure on the domestic financial system. When Japan encounters issues, it is no longer just an internal matter, as JGBs and the yen are at the center of global capital flows.
Gold surpasses 5100$ - BTC cannot break 90000$: The cause turns out to be on the FED's side?
There are several very important events that I have researched which are painting a macro picture explaining quite clearly the stage at which the market is standing.
1. The U.S. economy is in the final stage of the cycle
Ray Dalio (the legendary American investor) has shared: America is at the end of a great cycle. The pressure comes not only from a ballooning public debt but also from polarized politics, wealth inequality, and a shifting international order. When debt becomes unsustainable, the government's familiar choices boil down to two paths: printing money or accepting higher inflation.
1. The U.S. economy is in the final stage of the cycle
Ray Dalio (the legendary American investor) has shared: America is at the end of a great cycle. The pressure comes not only from a ballooning public debt but also from polarized politics, wealth inequality, and a shifting international order. When debt becomes unsustainable, the government's familiar choices boil down to two paths: printing money or accepting higher inflation.
Top potential investment niches for VCs in 2025
Looking at this crypto VC landscape for 2025, I see a very clear point that large sums of money are no longer 'gambling on narratives', but are looking for financial infrastructure that can truly operate.
Top 1: Finance/Banking and Prediction Markets
When institutional capital starts to move on-chain, they are not concerned with memecoins or short-term trends, but are focused on sectors that can directly replace or complement the traditional financial system.
Top 1: Finance/Banking and Prediction Markets
When institutional capital starts to move on-chain, they are not concerned with memecoins or short-term trends, but are focused on sectors that can directly replace or complement the traditional financial system.
What did CZ say at the Davos Economic Forum 2026?
Now sharing with you a bit of highlighted information that I compiled from CZ at the Davos forum, where influential figures like Trump and Elon Musk gather. It may sound disjointed, but when put together, it is very 'CZ style' – pragmatic and directly addressing the structure of the system.
In my opinion, the most notable point is how CZ views payments. He acknowledges that the payments sector is facing many issues, but the way forward is not for crypto to 'smash' TradFi, but for both sides to be forced to integrate with each other. Crypto cannot naturally replace the entire traditional payment system, but it will serve as a new layer of infrastructure to make payments faster, cheaper, and more flexible. This perspective is quite different from the narrative 'crypto will kill banks' that many often hear.
In my opinion, the most notable point is how CZ views payments. He acknowledges that the payments sector is facing many issues, but the way forward is not for crypto to 'smash' TradFi, but for both sides to be forced to integrate with each other. Crypto cannot naturally replace the entire traditional payment system, but it will serve as a new layer of infrastructure to make payments faster, cheaper, and more flexible. This perspective is quite different from the narrative 'crypto will kill banks' that many often hear.
The probability of Rick Rieder (CIO of BlackRock) being nominated by Trump as Chairman of the FED on Polymarket unexpectedly surged to 55%.
This figure is far exceeding former FED Governor Kevin Warsh (29%) and current FED Governor Christopher Waller (8%).
And notably, Rick Rieder once said "Bitcoin should be part of our 'ideal portfolio'."
This figure is far exceeding former FED Governor Kevin Warsh (29%) and current FED Governor Christopher Waller (8%).
And notably, Rick Rieder once said "Bitcoin should be part of our 'ideal portfolio'."
The U.S. government is at risk of shutting down and its impact on the crypto market
The likelihood of the U.S. government shutting down this week is at a record high, and looking broader, the story is not just about short-term politics.
Let me add a little more to give you a clearer picture of the U.S. government shutdown and why the market always reacts quite sensitively to this event.
Essentially, a shutdown occurs when Congress fails to pass a budget, causing many federal agencies to halt operations. Employees go without pay, public services are disrupted, and important economic data is delayed in publication. It may seem like just an administrative issue, but its repercussions lie in trust.
Let me add a little more to give you a clearer picture of the U.S. government shutdown and why the market always reacts quite sensitively to this event.
Essentially, a shutdown occurs when Congress fails to pass a budget, causing many federal agencies to halt operations. Employees go without pay, public services are disrupted, and important economic data is delayed in publication. It may seem like just an administrative issue, but its repercussions lie in trust.
The tribulation of $BTC - The true bottom may still not have appeared
This year has been stormy for BTC, as the recent winter storm 'Fernan' in the US has caused many Bitcoin mines to temporarily halt operations.
In which Foundry USA (the largest mining pool in the US) has seen a reduction of about 60% in hashrate in just a few days. It is estimated that nearly 200 EH/s went offline, causing the Bitcoin block creation rate to slow down to an average of about 12 minutes/block instead of the usual 10 minutes.
The main reason is widespread power outages and miners actively reducing electricity consumption to avoid putting pressure on the power grid, as more than 1 million people in the US were affected by the outages.
In which Foundry USA (the largest mining pool in the US) has seen a reduction of about 60% in hashrate in just a few days. It is estimated that nearly 200 EH/s went offline, causing the Bitcoin block creation rate to slow down to an average of about 12 minutes/block instead of the usual 10 minutes.
The main reason is widespread power outages and miners actively reducing electricity consumption to avoid putting pressure on the power grid, as more than 1 million people in the US were affected by the outages.
The S&P 500 chart is extremely poor, and BTC cannot avoid a similar scenario
Currently, the S&P 500 (an index representing the US stock market) is showing a rather negative pattern in the short term.
On a larger timeframe, the S&P 500 is still in a long-term uptrend (the red trend line). However, in the short term, the price has not maintained a strong upward momentum, instead moving sideways at high levels, which is a common sign of a distribution phase, meaning that large institutions are gradually selling to retail investors.
On a larger timeframe, the S&P 500 is still in a long-term uptrend (the red trend line). However, in the short term, the price has not maintained a strong upward momentum, instead moving sideways at high levels, which is a common sign of a distribution phase, meaning that large institutions are gradually selling to retail investors.
Grayscale enters the BNB ETF race with a new filing submitted to the SEC for the code “GBNB”
Grayscale has just taken a new step by filing for the launch of an ETF tracking BNB with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This is a signal that BNB is gradually coming into the ‘sights’ of institutional capital in the U.S. market.
Grayscale enters the BNB ETF race with a new filing submitted to the SEC for the code “GBNB”
According to the registration documents, the product named Grayscale BNB ETF will directly hold BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain. Grayscale describes BNB as a digital asset built on an open-source cryptographic protocol, operating on the BNB Smart Chain, and serving as the underlying asset for the fund's shares.
Grayscale enters the BNB ETF race with a new filing submitted to the SEC for the code “GBNB”
According to the registration documents, the product named Grayscale BNB ETF will directly hold BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain. Grayscale describes BNB as a digital asset built on an open-source cryptographic protocol, operating on the BNB Smart Chain, and serving as the underlying asset for the fund's shares.
$BTC: The market at this stage is not a time for excitement
At the present time, I still hold the view that BTC has not entered a clear reversal phase, although many are feeling quite optimistic as the price continuously retests the high area.
The reality is that BTC has not had a true reclaim of the Weekly 50 EMA – a critically important milestone in every cycle. Instances where the price touches the EMA and is then rejected, as just happened, are often not signs of strength, but rather, they are frequently a psychological trap to draw more people into the market $BTC
The reality is that BTC has not had a true reclaim of the Weekly 50 EMA – a critically important milestone in every cycle. Instances where the price touches the EMA and is then rejected, as just happened, are often not signs of strength, but rather, they are frequently a psychological trap to draw more people into the market $BTC
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