川哥日内波段交易

🔥🔥🔥Big things are coming!!!

Binance opens testing for group chat functionality; in the future, friends who want to find Brother Chuan can enter the group chat to communicate and learn together.
#美联储重启降息步伐 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察

🔥 New features are here! The Binance chat room has opened the 【private chat】 function～

Brothers, communication will be easier in the future, no more worrying about messages getting buried!

The usage method is super simple:

① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance

② Click the ➕ in the upper right corner to add Chuan Ge

③ Enter your Binance ID (for example, mine: tt887700)

④ One-click search, and you can add me for communication anytime!

Let's go, first add Chuan Ge, and you can directly chat about market trends in real-time later!

I've earned enough of what I should earn.

Starting today, I will no longer chase the next round of wealth; I will do one thing: share the experiences I've gained over the years surviving in the market with those who truly need it.

38 years old, from Guangdong, settled in Shenzhen.

Two houses, one for my family, one for myself.

Not relying on trends, but the result of 8 years of grinding in the crypto space.

Starting with 500,000,

now only 80,000 left.

Later, I used the most conservative and simplest methods to rebuild my position.

The toughest wave, in 4 months, increased my base position by 400 times,

with single-round profits exceeding 25,000,000.

Sounds legendary, but it's just the result of standing continuously in the market for 2880 days.

I only leave a few truly life-saving experiences:

First, a bull market is not about picking up coins, it's about concentrating firepower.

I only focus on one main line, only taking the main upward trend.

When a concept rises, I will break down the logic and find the leader,

not grabbing ten, just catching one right is enough for this round.

Second, coin selection logic: buy new, don't buy old.

Old coins may look cheap, but most are assets eliminated by cycles.

New narratives and new funds provide real opportunities.

Third, cycles are more important than technology.

Every four years is a hard rule.

At the end of a bull market, I will definitely liquidate.

When everyone around is talking about doubling,

that's not an opportunity, it's a risk signal.

The methods that can truly survive are quite simple:

Don’t chase hot topics, don’t gamble on emotions, don’t fantasize about getting rich.

The market rewards not the smartest people,

but those who discipline themselves, follow the right rhythm, and survive in cycles.

I didn’t get to where I am today by luck.

What I relied on: being decisive when to enter, and not being sentimental when to leave.

From now on, I will only share one thing:

How to take fewer detours in this market and keep the money.

The crypto space is not lacking in opportunities,

what is truly scarce is the people who are still standing after a few cycles.

If you are still exploring,

follow Chuan Ge,

not to get rich,

but to walk a bit steadier and live a bit longer.

3 minutes to explain: Why I treat trading as a 'probability game', rather than guessing ups and downs

In 2017, I entered the market with 5000U.

In the same round of market, some people lost their homes due to contract liquidation, while my account remained stable and consistently increased, with a maximum drawdown never exceeding 8%.

It's not that I am better at reading candlesticks,

but that from the very beginning, I treated trading as a long-term positive expected value probability system, rather than a prediction game.

I don't rely on insider information, don't gamble on luck, and don't trust divine indicators,

I only do one thing: ensure that every trade is mathematically favorable for me.

Below are the three core aspects of this system.

1. Locking in profits with compound interest: Survive first, then amplify profits

For each trade, simultaneously set stop-loss and take-profit.

When the account profit reaches 10% of the principal,

immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet,

the remaining part is used for rolling positions, only using profits to bear fluctuations.

In a favorable market: compound interest continues to amplify

In an unfavorable market: at most, give back part of the profits, the principal remains intact

Core logic: It's the profits that collapse, not the principal.

2. Misaligned position building: Not betting on direction, only capturing volatility

I use a multi-timeframe structure:

Daily chart determines direction

4-hour chart determines range

15-minute chart executes entries and exits

Allow structural hedging for the same cryptocurrency:

A position: follow the trend breakout

B position: counter-trend ambush in the range

Single trade risk ≤ 1.5% of principal,

Risk-reward ratio ≥ 5:1.

The essence is not to bet on direction,

but to capture the 'premium' from market sentiment fluctuations.

3. Stop-loss equals huge profits: Use small losses to exchange for qualifications in major trends

My long-term win rate is about 38%,

but the risk-reward ratio remains stable at 4.5–5:1.

Even if most trades hit stop-loss,

as long as I capture a few trends,

the overall account still shows stable positive growth.

Stop-loss is not failure,

but the cost of entering the next opportunity.

Risk control discipline (determines whether you can stay in the market long-term)

Divide funds into 10 parts, using at most 1 part for a single trade

At the same time, hold no more than 3 parts

If you lose 2 trades in a row, forcibly stop trading

For every doubling of the account, withdraw 20% into low-volatility assets

In summary:

I do not pursue perfection in every trade,

I only guarantee: In a long enough sample, I will definitely win.

This upgrades trading,

from emotional speculation to probability engineering.

$RIVER in the crypto world, from 1500U to 15000U, it’s not about the miraculous trades, but rather three survival rules.

$PIPPIN three months ago, a fan approached me, with only 1500U left in their account.

I didn’t give indicators, just provided a funding structure that could help them survive.

$AIA in one sentence:

Don’t think about doubling your money yet, first ensure you don’t get knocked out by the market.

Rule one: Split your account, don’t put your life on a single bet.

1500U, directly cut into three parts:

Short-term account 500U: At most two trades a day, if stop-loss is triggered, exit immediately, only accumulate small profits.

Trend account 500U: Only trade during weekly uptrends, play dead if not in a trend.

Emergency funds 500U: For extreme market conditions, ensure you’re always at the table.

In the crypto world, liquidation isn’t losing money, it’s exiting the game.

Rule two: Liquidation = amputation, full account = decapitation.

The market isn’t an ATM, it’s a meat grinder.

High leverage, heavy positions, fundamentally betting your life on volatility.

My principle is just one sentence:

Only take the safest segment within the trend, take small profits at other times.

Rule three: Entering has conditions, exiting must be ruthless.

Moving averages not in bullish alignment → Don’t open a position.

Volume breakout + closing confirmation → First entry.

Floating profit 30% → Take half out.

Remaining position → 10% trailing stop-loss.

Let profits run, lock in risks.

Before entering, first write your "life and death agreement."

Loss of 5% → Unconditional stop-loss.

Profit of 10% → Move stop-loss to break-even.

The rest → Leave it to the market.

From 1000 to 10000,

It’s not about miraculous operations,

But about one sentence:

Make fewer fatal mistakes.

There are market movements every day,

But the capital isn’t an infinite revival coin.

In the crypto market,

Wealth doesn’t belong to the fastest runner,

But to: those who can survive to the end.
#美联储维持利率不变 #美国伊朗对峙 #美国政府停摆

$BULLA I have seen too many people die in this market.

Not once, but repeatedly.

I have also seen a very few people manage to survive through several rounds of bull and bear markets.

They are not smarter,

but have a nearly cruel control over their emotions.

$ZORA A senior once used a capital of 50,000 to roll step by step to over 15 million during a complete bull and bear market.

He once said something that I always remember:

99% of people lose money, not because of a lack of skills,

but because they lose to their own emotions.

When you can control your emotions, the market will start working for you.

$CYS What he left behind is not a secret formula, but four counterintuitive simple rules.

Later, this set of rules

truly helped someone who had lost over a million,

recover the losses within six months, and even earn enough for a house and a car.

It’s not luck, it’s discipline.

1️⃣ Don’t live off the thrill of small wins, just guard against one big loss.

Most people:

Run after earning a little,

But stubbornly hold onto losses.

The result is:

Small wins,

Big losses.

Truly stable individuals only do one thing:

Use a very small cost to experiment,

To capture trends that can go far.

If wrong, walk away immediately;

If right, let the profits run on their own.

2️⃣ Only pick up slow money from mainstream coins that have fallen deeply.

Don’t chase new coins, don’t chase hot topics, don’t chase emotions.

Only do:

Mainstream coins that have fallen deeply, been abandoned by the market,

And are just starting to slowly strengthen.

First, use 10% to build a base position,

Don’t guess the bottom, don’t go all in.

Not to make quick money,

But to live longer.

3️⃣ After confirming a trend, buy certainty at a higher price.

Don’t chase the lowest point,

Only buy in the direction that has already been proven correct.

Trends clearly moving upwards,

Every normal pullback,

Is an opportunity to increase positions by 20%-30%.

What you buy is not the price,

But certainty.

4️⃣ With every wave of increase, first take the money back into your pocket.

With every decent rise,

Enforce three things:

✔ Take back the principal

✔ Lock in half of the profits

✔ The rest, let it run at zero cost

Not to sell at the highest,

But to ensure:

What has gone into your wallet is what counts as profit.

I don’t sell dreams, I don’t talk about myths of getting rich.

I only believe in one sentence:

In this market,

Living long is more important than earning fast.

Those who can understand this logic,

Are inherently not many.

Those who want to survive will naturally understand.
#美国政府停摆 #美联储维持利率不变

$RIVER continues to short, said yesterday to rebound and short it, Brother Chuan has already taken fans back and forth to eat waves several times. Those who haven't followed yet should hurry up, there is a user @川哥日内波段交易
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判

$SOL Yesterday, I entered a long position with fans, and I have already taken profits. The current market is primarily about buying on pullbacks; don't think about shorting. The intraday layout is ongoing, and there is a number in the chat room: @川哥日内波段交易
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #山寨季将至？

$MYX Many people ask me: How exactly do you trade?

$BULLA In fact, this question itself is not quite right.

What has allowed me to make money in the long term has never been a single "miraculous trade,"

but rather a set of methods that avoid major mistakes as much as possible.

$B This method is not stimulating, nor does it show off skills,

but it has one advantage: longevity.

Out of the 35 accounts I have managed,

25 returned to the starting point at least within 30 days,

and one grew from 1000U to 15,000 in less than 10 days.

But I must clarify first:

Not everyone is suitable for trading cryptocurrencies.

Especially when you cannot distinguish —

are you trading or gambling?

You may have encountered:

prices drop as soon as you buy, prices rise as soon as you sell,

liquidation happens, and the market immediately takes off.

This is not the market targeting you,

but rather an issue with your method of participation.

Most people who lose money are not unmotivated,

but rather too eager, too frequent, and too trusting of their feelings.

They are more willing to bet on:

high leverage, heavy positions, a quick turnaround;

yet they are unwilling to accept:

slower, lighter, steadier.

The result is only one:

the account gets smaller, and the mindset becomes more chaotic.

I never rely on luck to turn my accounts,

I only do one thing: control the pace.

Those who truly understand the pace,

do not need to trade every day,

nor do they chase every market wave.

Trading is not complicated,

the complexity lies within people.

Many people find this method "too foolish,"

but it is precisely this foolish method

that has kept me in the market all along.

I cannot claim to teach you how to get rich,

but I am very sure:

not acting recklessly is itself the most important strategy.

Remember this:

Market relies on judgment,

Returns rely on pace,

Turnarounds rely on discipline.

The path has always been there,

it only depends on whether you are willing to take the right step once.

$MYX There are many flashy trading methods in the market, but those that can truly make money in the long run are often 'stupid' to the extreme.

$BULLA I know an old senior who, in his early years, ran a small convenience store. He had no education, no background, and didn't understand high-frequency or quantitative trading. Later, after getting involved in the cryptocurrency world, he did one thing: he compressed complex market conditions into the simplest, repeatable rules.

$B He used this method for many years, and his account grew step by step to eight digits. The core consists of only four steps.

First step: Only look at daily charts, do not touch smaller time frames.

Open the daily chart and do not be disturbed by the fluctuations of 5 minutes or 15 minutes.

There is only one filtering condition: MACD shows a golden cross, and it's best when above the zero line.

This kind of golden cross essentially indicates that the medium-term trend is starting to strengthen, with a success rate far higher than emotional surges.

Second step: Only recognize one line.

Still at the daily level, only look at one — the daily moving average.

The rule is very simple:

If the price is above the daily moving average, only consider holding.

If it drops below the daily moving average, exit immediately.

Do not guess the top, do not bottom fish, just go with the trend.

Third step: Buy and sell in batches.

When the price of the currency re-establishes itself above the daily moving average, and the trading volume also increases accordingly, enter directly.

Do not play around with positions; get it right in one go.

Selling is executed in three stages:

If the overall increase exceeds 40%, sell 1/3.

If the overall increase exceeds 80%, then sell another 1/3.

For the remaining position, once it drops below the daily moving average, clear it all out.

The sole purpose of doing this is:

To earn from the trend while ensuring profits are safely pocketed.

Fourth step: Discipline is more important than judgment.

This is the most crucial step.

If a sudden situation arises the day after buying, and the price directly drops below the daily moving average, sell everything regardless of profit or loss.

Do not comfort yourself with 'it might be a false breakout,' nor fantasize 'let's wait a bit for a rebound.'

Even though the probability of such a situation happening is low, you must execute according to the rules.

It doesn't matter if you sell wrong; wait for it to re-establish above the daily moving average, and then buy back.

This method is not stimulating, nor does it yield explosive profits, but it excels in three points:

It's understandable, it's doable, and it can sustain long-term survival.

In the cryptocurrency world, being able to survive continuously is itself the greatest advantage.

$MYX The familiar feeling has returned?

Ready to find the right moment to do it!!! There is a user in the chat room @川哥日内波段交易
#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #SOL上涨潜力

$RIVER First secure your profits, wait for a rebound to continue entering the market. Those who missed out shouldn't be discouraged, the next order will continue. There is a person in the chat room with @川哥日内波段交易
#加密市场观察 #美联储降息

$BTC the same old story: we are now at the critical pressure zone for the second impact.

I have not changed my judgment from before—

this position allows for at most three effective breakout opportunities.

The first failure can be understood as a test;

the second failure indicates that there is real selling pressure above;

if the third time still cannot hold, then it is not 'oscillation', but rather a need to go down and reallocate funds.

Many brothers privately asked me one question:

If we consider the worst-case scenario, where will the bottom be for BTC in this round of correction?

I provided a range answer yesterday:

Around 8, it can basically be viewed as a short-term low.

But I didn't elaborate on the logic yesterday; today I will clarify the underlying reasons.

Why is the range 7.8–8?

In one sentence:

This is the average cost range for current miners.

Historically, BTC has indeed fallen below miners' costs,

but if you look at the data, you will find two commonalities:

The time below is extremely short

rarely exceeding 1–2 weeks.

The reason is not complicated.

Miners are not emotional players; they are 'cash flow players'.

The logic of miners is very simple:

Electricity costs are real money

Equipment depreciation happens daily

Hashrate = Cost

If prices stay below mining costs for a long time, the more they mine, the more they lose.

What happens then?

Some miners shut down

Hashrate declines

Network security costs rise

And the reason miners can still grit their teeth and persist is,

there is only one premise:

They believe the value of the network will ultimately cover short-term losses.

So—

Prices can briefly fall below miners' costs, but they cannot run long-term under the cost line.

This is not an emotional judgment; it is determined by economic structure.

Therefore, I have only three short-term conclusions about the current market:

1️⃣ This is the second test of the pressure zone; it is still a key point.

2️⃣ If it fails three times, we must accept the reality of needing to switch down to a lower range for accumulation.

3️⃣ The range of 7.8–8 is structurally a very strong defensive position for the short term.

As for the larger cycles and bull-bear transitions,

drawing conclusions now would be a bit like playing a seer.

Where the market goes, we will make judgments accordingly,

let's first finish watching this pressure test before discussing the subsequent story.

Short-term look at structure,

Medium-term look at cost,

Long-term look at value.

$BEAT I mentioned to everyone last week that this coin has no rebound strength anymore, and what follows is a continuous downward trend. It has already dropped below 1. Now it has reached the support level, and those who still hold positions can take profits first. This wave has already rolled the fans' positions to 4000u, and we are continuously laying out during the day. The next order will be announced in the chat room @川哥日内波段交易 #加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作

$RIVER continues to short this demon coin, it's been pulling for a few days, it will eventually drop back. Now shorting to catch a wave, it definitely won't rise much anymore, high position sideways eating funding fees, annoying the bears. On the 20th, it will be unlocked, then we will see if it's a mule or a horse. Continuously laying out during the day, there is a person in the chat room @川哥日内波段交易
#加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判 #美联储回购协议计划

$ETH Last night, the U.S. stock market fluctuated a bit, which is quite normal. When it dropped to 3017, many friends panicked. Holding on means welcoming the dawn of victory. Yesterday, I advised fans to take profits at 3100, exiting precisely at the right time. For the next order, we continue. In the chat room, there is a user @川哥日内波段交易
#加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美SEC代币化股票交易计划

$HOLO At three o'clock in the morning, I received a voice message:

"Brother Chuan, I opened a long position with 20x leverage on my entire 10,000 USDT, and after a 5% pullback, the money was gone."

$RIVER I looked at his trading records:

All in + high leverage + no stop loss.

$1000PEPE Many people have been making a mistake:

The root cause of liquidation is not leverage, but having too heavy a position.

1. Why does going all in lead to the fastest losses?

Taking 1000 USDT as an example:

If you invest 900 USDT with 10x leverage, a 5% reversal will wipe you out.

If you invest 100 USDT with 10x leverage, you need a 50% reversal to get liquidated.

What determines life and death is never the multiplier,

but how much principal you put on this trade.

My friend's problem is only one:

95% of the funds, betting everything at once.

2. My three iron rules for not getting liquidated in six months with all-in trading

First rule: Single trade ≤ Total funds 20%

For a 10,000 USDT account, the maximum for a single trade is 2,000 USDT.

Stop loss at 10%, only losing 200 USDT, you can still survive.

Second rule: Single loss ≤ Total funds 3%

Set stop losses in advance; if you're wrong, just exit,

Repeated mistakes are not fatal.

Third rule: Don't open positions in choppy markets; don't increase your position when in profit

Only trade trend breakouts,

No emotional trades,

No increasing position trades.

3. Going all in is not gambling; it’s a buffer

The meaning of going all in,

is to leave margin for error in your account,

provided you have light positions + risk control.

Some people followed these three rules,

and in 3 months, turned 5,000 USDT into 80,000 USDT.

He said it very practically:

"I used to think going all in was about fighting desperately, but later I understood, it’s about surviving longer."

In the crypto circle, in the end,

it's not about who makes money fast,

but who is still in the game.

Bet less on direction, control positions more,

slow down, and you’ll actually get there faster.

The market is always there,

opportunities are only left for those who are alive.

$RIVER The cryptocurrency world is essentially an emotional harvesting machine.

$IP Some people turn 100,000 into tens of millions, while others watch the market every day and end up losing more and more; the difference has never been in the news or luck.

$A2Z I know an elder from Zhejiang who entered the market with 100,000, and now his assets are worth over 30 million.

He enlightened me with a single phrase:

The cryptocurrency world is full of a mob; as long as you can control your emotions, this place is an ATM.

To survive in the cryptocurrency world, it's not about courage, but about calmness and patience.

The following principles are what I learned from him in practice; they are simple but truly effective.

1️⃣ Don't rush into the market; slow is fast.

Don't think about getting rich as soon as you enter. Test the waters first, then increase your position; never go all in at once.

If you can survive, opportunities will naturally wait for you.

2️⃣ Sideways trading is not a bad market, it's a money-giving market.

Slowly accumulate during low sideways trading and gradually sell during high sideways trading.

Understand support and resistance; fluctuations can actually be more stable.

3️⃣ The greater the volatility, the more calm you need to be.

Don't be greedy during a surge, and don't panic during a plunge.

Sell at highs, buy at rapid drops, wait during sideways trading; if you kill your emotions, you win.

4️⃣ Buying and selling must go against human nature.

When others are greedy, you should be fearful; when others are fearful, you should be stable.

Buy on bearish candles, sell on bullish candles; don’t chase the highs and cut the lows.

5️⃣ Risk management comes first; staying alive is the most important.

Don't go all in; enter in batches, acknowledge your losses, and take profits when you win.

The cryptocurrency world is not lacking in opportunities; what’s lacking is the people who can continue to sit at the table.

These principles may seem simple, but they are backed by blood and tears.

Learn to be calm, learn to wait, and opportunities are always there.

$ETH Increases position, target remains 3100, making the first deal of the year!!!

$ETH Multiple positions re-entering, target looking above 3100. From the daily chart, there are already significant signs of stabilization and bottoming out, with on-chain funds continuing to flow in. The current market is just a repeated washout scenario, 3000 has already stabilized, establish a foundational position while leaving room for additional purchases. Those who are following can hold patiently; if there are any changes, I will notify fans at the first moment. Continuous layout is ongoing throughout the day, there is a user in the chat room with @川哥日内波段交易
#加密市场观察 #比特币与黄金战争 #Strategy增持比特币