Binance chat room opens the 【private chat】 feature, making it easier for everyone to communicate in the future without worrying about messages being lost! How to use: ① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance ② Click 【+】 in the upper right corner to add Lin ③ Enter Binance ID: 1182530896 ④ One-click search, add me immediately! After adding, you can privately chat about market trends in real time, never miss out on the market again! Want to make money, have ambition, have good horses and mentors, why worry about not making money? Keep up with Lin's rhythm, and take one step at a time!
In the crypto world, ambition is the ignition switch of the printing machine, and action is the super engine for doubling wealth! Over the years, Mr. Lin has been in the circle, and there has never been the word “hesitation” in his dictionary — either go all in accurately for big gains, or decisively stay in cash and wait for the wind to come! Don’t be the hesitant party that only shouts “wait a bit longer.” When the feast of wealth begins, others will raise their glasses in celebration, and you won't even be able to grab the leftovers! Focus on Mr. Lin now and secure your seat for wealth! The next wealth train is about to sound its whistle and depart; we only take comrades who dare to charge, dare to act, and dare to execute, while the hesitant party will be directly advised to leave!
The crypto world has never been a charity; it is a hunting ground for the strong! Follow the true veterans who have crossed through bulls and bears and made money through hard logic, avoid the scythes, and hit the rhythm just right; making money will feel as smooth as using cheats! Just go for it, and we’ll meet at the mountaintop! #加密市场观察
The Underlying Game of the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Meeting: Why is Powell Reluctant to Provide a 'Clear Answer'?
The core logic of this week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting is fundamentally a game between 'policy balancing' and 'market expectation divergence,' hiding two layers of key competition behind it:
For Powell, the current core demand is 'to control expectations rather than send signals.' If he clearly releases a signal for interest rate cuts, it may seem to give the market a 'response,' but it could trigger excessive optimism about subsequent easing—especially as there are still divergences within the Federal Reserve regarding the stickiness of inflation and the resilience of the economy. Prematurely setting the tone could constrain policy flexibility. Therefore, he prefers to maintain 'ambiguity,' neither completely denying the possibility of rate cuts nor providing a clear timeline, essentially using 'cautious balance' to avoid market expectations becoming unmoored.
For the market, what is most desired is 'a clear policy path.' Interestingly, the current market has already seen 'dual anchor points': on one hand, Powell, as the current chair, still holds short-term weight, directly influencing immediate capital reactions; on the other hand, core officials referred to by the market as 'shadow chairs' (such as Bullard, Williams, etc.) have previously released signals leaning towards easing, becoming important references for the market's long-term expectations.
If at this meeting Powell continues with 'ambiguous statements' and does not provide clear guidance on interest rate cuts, the market's 'expectation gap' is likely to trigger short-term volatility—after all, capital is eager to follow the 'shadow chairs' easing expectations while also wary of ignoring the current chair's policy steadfastness, and this contradiction will exacerbate the long and short game. Ultimately, the underlying logic of all this is the Federal Reserve's dilemma between 'anti-inflation' and 'stabilizing the economy,' as well as the inevitable conflict between the market's 'demand for certainty' and the policy's 'need for flexibility.' $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐
Yesterday, I brought my brothers along, seizing the market with a quick operation to help them realize their wishes. Thank you for the encounter and trust, no more words! Follow @林总实时带单 , there is still a spot in the team, get on the bus directly $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察
Just brought a new brother on board, and we started earning right away. Sometimes making money relies not only on opportunity but also on strategy. Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost; the team still has spots available, so hurry up and get on board to make money! $ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
When posting earlier, Mr. Lin mentioned the FHE coin, which will start to drop after breaking its high point, so find a good entry point to short it. I just took a fan brother to find a good entry point to short it, and we made a nice profit, very satisfying! Today's profit target is to exceed 10,000, and the brother said if he wins, he wants to take a vacation, fulfilling his wish! Follow the team at @林总实时带单 , there’s still a spot available, if you want to make money, hurry to the chat room to meet Mr. Lin, he will guide you to earn steadily. $FHE #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
This coin $FHE , wait for it to break through the previous high point, and then you can directly find a good position to short it. Follow @林总实时带单 to wait for Mr. Lin's instructions, you can also profit! #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: Global Markets 'Jump the Gun' on Pricing! Is Dollar Hegemony Under Challenge?
The global market is entering the final sprint phase ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 9-10, with the market increasingly convinced that the Fed is preparing to shift to an easing policy. Federal Reserve observers increasingly believe that the interest rates at their most restrictive level in over 20 years are no longer suitable for an economy that is losing momentum in multiple areas. Positions in the stock, bond, and currency markets reflect the belief that data now more strongly supports the need to recalibrate policy. The U.S. labor market is cooling down. The labor market—long the reason the Fed has maintained high interest rates—is showing more apparent signs of cooling. Although the overall non-farm payroll data remains positive, underlying indicators suggest that demand for workers is weakening.
Ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, gold maintains slight fluctuations
The price of gold (XAU/USD) has remained weak in the Asian early session this Tuesday, fluctuating around $4195 per ounce. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this week's meeting, but more importantly, whether the monetary policy statement and dot plot will release hawkish signals. If the Federal Reserve hints that the pace of future rate cuts will be limited, it could drive the dollar to rebound temporarily, thereby putting pressure on gold priced in dollars. Market data shows that investor bets on this rate cut have significantly increased. According to the latest tool monitoring, the probability of a rate cut has quickly risen from 66% last month to the current 90%, indicating a high expectation for an easing path in the market. However, if the Federal Reserve emphasizes economic resilience or inflation stickiness while cutting rates, resulting in what is known as a 'hawkish rate cut', the short-term trend for gold may still remain weak.
A fan brother, who earlier went to trade on his own and lost, has not only turned his situation around since then, but is also making thousands of dollars in profit every day. He followed my advice twice today and won both times. People like this truly deserve to get rich; the brothers from Guangdong are really generous, every time they win, they directly transfer the money over for spending. This is also one of the few old fans I have brought along, and I am very happy to receive genuine praise from my fans, mainly because we can win together! Follow @林总实时带单 to not get lost, if you feel exhausted, just come find Mr. Lin, he will help you turn your situation around and make money! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Countdown to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting: The dollar's weakness is hard to change, how will the crypto market seize the benefits of rate cuts?
The dollar index is expected to maintain weakness in the short term, primarily driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with technical indicators also showing a bearish pattern. Key driving factors: Interest rate cut expectations dominate the trend The market's bets on the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December continue to heat up, with the probability of a rate cut rising from 71% a week ago to 90%. According to CME data, the current probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has reached 87.2%, directly suppressing the strength of the dollar. U.S. economic data shows a 'mildly weak' characteristic, with employment momentum cooling. In November, private sector jobs decreased by 32,000, manufacturing activity is weak, and inflation has fallen to a level acceptable to the Federal Reserve, providing support for easing policies.
This week’s super bull market schedule! The Federal Reserve's heavy catalysts, and the crypto market is filled with bullish signals!
Monday: Quantitative funds entering the market, liquidity in the market is building up in advance;
Tuesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's significant speech, policy direction will soon become clear;
Wednesday: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized! A liquidity easing big package is coming;
Thursday: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet data will be released, further verifying the extent of easing;
Friday: The new Federal Reserve Chairman candidate will be officially announced, long-term policy expectations will be set;
Global attention is focused on the Federal Reserve! Every node hides market opportunities, the triple easing signals (interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion + personnel decisions) resonate, and cryptocurrencies as high-elasticity assets will directly benefit from the release of liquidity~
Mr. Lin reminds: Grasp the policy window period, strictly adhere to position discipline, and follow the trend to engage in certain market conditions!
$PIPPIN When dealing with demon coins, you have to treat them specially! Grab the tail and take advantage of the fact that it hasn't broken through the early high yet, find the right position and short directly. It's another day of taking advantage of fans to eat meat; running away right after eating is the wise choice. This fan brother came to me at a loss, and now not only has he turned it around, but he has also started saving for his festive expenses to go home for the New Year! Follow @林总实时带单 to enter the chat room, seize the opportunity to eat some meat together! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
November Core Economic Data Review and Future Outlook
In the manufacturing sector, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November in the United States recorded 48.2, which not only fell short of the market expectation of 49 but also declined further from last month's value of 48.7. It has been below the 50 mark for nine consecutive months, highlighting the ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector and insufficient recovery momentum. In contrast, the services sector performed relatively strongly, forming a sharp contrast. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November reached 52.6, exceeding the expected value of 52.1, and rose from last month's 52.4, achieving six consecutive months above the threshold, with two consecutive months of month-on-month improvement, showcasing the support of the services sector for the economy.
The job market shows signs of divergence. The ADP employment number in November unexpectedly decreased by 32,000, far below the expected increase of 10,000, and a significant drop from last month's addition of 47,000, reflecting a slowdown in labor demand in certain sectors and showing signs of weakness in the labor market. However, for the week ending November 29, initial claims for unemployment benefits recorded 191,000, lower than the expected 220,000 and the previous value of 218,000, indicating that unemployment figures remain relatively low, and the resilience of the job market has not completely faded.
Regarding interest rate expectations, according to CME FedWatch Tool data, as of December 5, the market expects a 13% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate level in December, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 87%. Looking ahead to January next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate drops to 9%, with a 25 basis point rate cut probability of 64.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut reaching 27%, indicating a growing expectation in the market for the Federal Reserve to start a rate-cutting cycle. Looking ahead, next week will see the December Federal Reserve meeting, and the core PCE price index to be announced on Friday, as a key inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to provide crucial reference for policy decisions, further clarifying the direction of the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
$BEAT Why did I short this coin last night? There hasn't been much volume in this rising range, and it can basically be determined that this is a baiting behavior. Additionally, opening a short position at this point should include a stop loss above the previous high; being conservative and taking small risks for large rewards is my style.
The reason I chose to close my position at 1.7 (as seen in the picture below) is that the 1.7 level is a strong short-term support, not having dipped for three consecutive times. There is still room for speculation in this range, so those shorting should be cautious; before a trend is established, it’s better to observe more and act less, waiting for further instructions from Lin. You can pay attention to @林总实时带单 for detailed buying points. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
$ZEC Quick battle, just took my fan brothers for the first round, directly taking this piece of meat. If I hadn't moved fast, I would have probably been trapped inside; the rebound was really quick. Last time I was scammed, this time I'm picking up my confidence to take you for a ride again, the fans are already feasting, are you not getting on board?$ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Hassett's 'Cautious Rate Cuts' Statement: Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Signals in the Crypto Market
White House advisor Kevin Hassett's recent statement that the Federal Reserve should 'cautiously begin to cut interest rates' quickly triggered a chain reaction in the crypto market. As a popular candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair, his remarks not only convey a moderate shift in monetary policy but also stir the nerves of this highly sensitive asset market through two paths: liquidity expectations and adjustments in risk appetite. From the perspective of core influencing mechanisms, Hassett's 'cautious' tone balances market expectations for liquidity easing with concerns about economic risks. Historical experience shows that cuts in the Federal Reserve's interest rates often enhance the relative appeal of crypto assets by lowering risk-free rates and weakening the purchasing power of the dollar—during the aggressive rate cuts in 2020 amid the pandemic, the crypto bull market was directly sparked, with Bitcoin's price soaring from $5,000 to $69,000. However, this statement of 'cautious rate cuts' has shattered the market's fantasy of aggressive easing, preventing a blind rush of funds into risk assets and alleviating the panic over the continuation of tightening policies, resulting in a crypto market characterized by 'rational fluctuations under moderate favorable conditions.' As of December 5, Bitcoin's price remains around $90,000, with a slight decline of 17.79% in 24-hour trading volume, reflecting the game between investor expectations and wait-and-see attitudes.
$PIPPIN Last night this妖币 began to rise, I held on to it, and the whole night I was sleeping uneasily, afraid of being blown up by a drop. Fortunately, I caught this wave of fluctuations and made a bit of profit, putting it into my own pocket to feel at ease. Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost, contact me directly! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐