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林总实时带单

跟单『林总置顶聊天室』| 公众号:【林总2025】林总擅长中短合约,提前埋伏现货,勘测资金流动,研究Web3领域,七八年合约现货稳定在85%胜率之上
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Binance chat room opens the 【private chat】 feature, making it easier for everyone to communicate in the future without worrying about messages being lost! How to use: ① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance ② Click 【+】 in the upper right corner to add Lin ③ Enter Binance ID: 1182530896 ④ One-click search, add me immediately! After adding, you can privately chat about market trends in real time, never miss out on the market again! Want to make money, have ambition, have good horses and mentors, why worry about not making money? Keep up with Lin's rhythm, and take one step at a time!
Binance chat room opens the 【private chat】 feature, making it easier for everyone to communicate in the future without worrying about messages being lost!
How to use:
① Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
② Click 【+】 in the upper right corner to add Lin
③ Enter Binance ID: 1182530896
④ One-click search, add me immediately!
After adding, you can privately chat about market trends in real time, never miss out on the market again!
Want to make money, have ambition, have good horses and mentors, why worry about not making money? Keep up with Lin's rhythm, and take one step at a time!
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In the crypto world, ambition is the ignition switch of the printing machine, and action is the super engine for doubling wealth! Over the years, Mr. Lin has been in the circle, and there has never been the word “hesitation” in his dictionary — either go all in accurately for big gains, or decisively stay in cash and wait for the wind to come! Don’t be the hesitant party that only shouts “wait a bit longer.” When the feast of wealth begins, others will raise their glasses in celebration, and you won't even be able to grab the leftovers! Focus on Mr. Lin now and secure your seat for wealth! The next wealth train is about to sound its whistle and depart; we only take comrades who dare to charge, dare to act, and dare to execute, while the hesitant party will be directly advised to leave! The crypto world has never been a charity; it is a hunting ground for the strong! Follow the true veterans who have crossed through bulls and bears and made money through hard logic, avoid the scythes, and hit the rhythm just right; making money will feel as smooth as using cheats! Just go for it, and we’ll meet at the mountaintop! #加密市场观察
In the crypto world, ambition is the ignition switch of the printing machine, and action is the super engine for doubling wealth! Over the years, Mr. Lin has been in the circle, and there has never been the word “hesitation” in his dictionary — either go all in accurately for big gains, or decisively stay in cash and wait for the wind to come!
Don’t be the hesitant party that only shouts “wait a bit longer.” When the feast of wealth begins, others will raise their glasses in celebration, and you won't even be able to grab the leftovers! Focus on Mr. Lin now and secure your seat for wealth! The next wealth train is about to sound its whistle and depart; we only take comrades who dare to charge, dare to act, and dare to execute, while the hesitant party will be directly advised to leave!

The crypto world has never been a charity; it is a hunting ground for the strong! Follow the true veterans who have crossed through bulls and bears and made money through hard logic, avoid the scythes, and hit the rhythm just right; making money will feel as smooth as using cheats!
Just go for it, and we’ll meet at the mountaintop! #加密市场观察
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刷到自己一个喜欢的博主蓝战非被绑的新闻,突然想起前几年出国游玩的经历 —— 当地土著大多友善淳朴,买卖也实在,完全没遇到网传的 “坑人” 情况。 结果临走前栽在了一家福建人开的餐馆里🤣 菜价虚高就算了,分量还缺斤短两,理论时老板还一副 “反正你是游客” 的敷衍态度。 现在终于懂了当时导游反复叮嘱的:“在国外遇到主动搭话的同胞,别轻易掏心掏肺,甚至尽量少攀谈”。以前觉得这话太极端,现在见过太多类似的糟心事,才明白这不是排外,是过来人的血泪忠告。 不是说同胞不可信,而是出门在外,人性的贪婪和算计不会因为同一种语言就消失。这个世界从来不是处处和平,我们只是幸运地生在安稳的中国,国人坑害国人,那可真是一点都不手软啊,所谓老乡见老乡,背后捅一刀,简直太对了。 给所有在国外打拼、游玩的兄弟提个醒:害人之心不可有,但防人之心真的不能无!无论对方是谁,多留个心眼,才能护好自己的安全和钱包。$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹
刷到自己一个喜欢的博主蓝战非被绑的新闻,突然想起前几年出国游玩的经历 —— 当地土著大多友善淳朴,买卖也实在,完全没遇到网传的 “坑人” 情况。
结果临走前栽在了一家福建人开的餐馆里🤣 菜价虚高就算了,分量还缺斤短两,理论时老板还一副 “反正你是游客” 的敷衍态度。
现在终于懂了当时导游反复叮嘱的:“在国外遇到主动搭话的同胞,别轻易掏心掏肺,甚至尽量少攀谈”。以前觉得这话太极端,现在见过太多类似的糟心事,才明白这不是排外,是过来人的血泪忠告。
不是说同胞不可信,而是出门在外,人性的贪婪和算计不会因为同一种语言就消失。这个世界从来不是处处和平,我们只是幸运地生在安稳的中国,国人坑害国人,那可真是一点都不手软啊,所谓老乡见老乡,背后捅一刀,简直太对了。
给所有在国外打拼、游玩的兄弟提个醒:害人之心不可有,但防人之心真的不能无!无论对方是谁,多留个心眼,才能护好自己的安全和钱包。$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹
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The Underlying Game of the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Meeting: Why is Powell Reluctant to Provide a 'Clear Answer'? The core logic of this week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting is fundamentally a game between 'policy balancing' and 'market expectation divergence,' hiding two layers of key competition behind it: For Powell, the current core demand is 'to control expectations rather than send signals.' If he clearly releases a signal for interest rate cuts, it may seem to give the market a 'response,' but it could trigger excessive optimism about subsequent easing—especially as there are still divergences within the Federal Reserve regarding the stickiness of inflation and the resilience of the economy. Prematurely setting the tone could constrain policy flexibility. Therefore, he prefers to maintain 'ambiguity,' neither completely denying the possibility of rate cuts nor providing a clear timeline, essentially using 'cautious balance' to avoid market expectations becoming unmoored. For the market, what is most desired is 'a clear policy path.' Interestingly, the current market has already seen 'dual anchor points': on one hand, Powell, as the current chair, still holds short-term weight, directly influencing immediate capital reactions; on the other hand, core officials referred to by the market as 'shadow chairs' (such as Bullard, Williams, etc.) have previously released signals leaning towards easing, becoming important references for the market's long-term expectations. If at this meeting Powell continues with 'ambiguous statements' and does not provide clear guidance on interest rate cuts, the market's 'expectation gap' is likely to trigger short-term volatility—after all, capital is eager to follow the 'shadow chairs' easing expectations while also wary of ignoring the current chair's policy steadfastness, and this contradiction will exacerbate the long and short game. Ultimately, the underlying logic of all this is the Federal Reserve's dilemma between 'anti-inflation' and 'stabilizing the economy,' as well as the inevitable conflict between the market's 'demand for certainty' and the policy's 'need for flexibility.' $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐
The Underlying Game of the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Meeting: Why is Powell Reluctant to Provide a 'Clear Answer'?

The core logic of this week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting is fundamentally a game between 'policy balancing' and 'market expectation divergence,' hiding two layers of key competition behind it:

For Powell, the current core demand is 'to control expectations rather than send signals.' If he clearly releases a signal for interest rate cuts, it may seem to give the market a 'response,' but it could trigger excessive optimism about subsequent easing—especially as there are still divergences within the Federal Reserve regarding the stickiness of inflation and the resilience of the economy. Prematurely setting the tone could constrain policy flexibility. Therefore, he prefers to maintain 'ambiguity,' neither completely denying the possibility of rate cuts nor providing a clear timeline, essentially using 'cautious balance' to avoid market expectations becoming unmoored.

For the market, what is most desired is 'a clear policy path.' Interestingly, the current market has already seen 'dual anchor points': on one hand, Powell, as the current chair, still holds short-term weight, directly influencing immediate capital reactions; on the other hand, core officials referred to by the market as 'shadow chairs' (such as Bullard, Williams, etc.) have previously released signals leaning towards easing, becoming important references for the market's long-term expectations.

If at this meeting Powell continues with 'ambiguous statements' and does not provide clear guidance on interest rate cuts, the market's 'expectation gap' is likely to trigger short-term volatility—after all, capital is eager to follow the 'shadow chairs' easing expectations while also wary of ignoring the current chair's policy steadfastness, and this contradiction will exacerbate the long and short game. Ultimately, the underlying logic of all this is the Federal Reserve's dilemma between 'anti-inflation' and 'stabilizing the economy,' as well as the inevitable conflict between the market's 'demand for certainty' and the policy's 'need for flexibility.' $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐
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美元指数短期震荡待指引,美联储政策及人事变量成关键周三亚洲时段,美元指数在99.20附近窄幅震荡,投资者在美联储政策决议公布前普遍持观望态度。当前市场核心变量聚焦于美国近期就业数据表现及美联储即将释放的政策信号,二者将共同主导美元短线走势与中期方向。 强劲就业短线撑美元,宽松大背景下影响有限 美国劳工部(US Department of Labor)最新发布的JOLTS报告显示,10月职位空缺增至766万,显著高于市场预期的720万,进一步印证美国劳动力市场仍具备较强韧性。通常而言,强劲的就业数据会削弱市场对美联储降息的预期,进而短线提振美元指数。数据公布后,市场对12月美联储降息25个基点的概率从接近90%回落至87.4%。 “就业数据的韧性提升了美联储维持谨慎立场的可能性。”纽约某大型金融机构外汇策略师表示。不过,在美联储已明确步入宽松周期的大背景下,单一数据对美元长期趋势的影响力仍较为有限。 美联储会议核心:降息基调重于动作本身 市场普遍预期美联储(Federal Reserve)将在本次会议中实施25个基点的降息,而真正决定美元后续方向的,是政策声明及新闻发布会上释放的基调。不少分析人士指出,美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)可能会强调未来宽松空间有限,进而构成“鹰派降息”。 前美联储货币事务主管比尔·英格利希(Bill English)表示:“最可能的情形是如期降息,但政策声明及发布会将暗示未来降息节奏会放缓。”若美联储释放偏谨慎的政策信号,美元有望获得阶段性支撑;反之,若维持偏鸽派表述,美元则可能继续承压。 潜在主席更替添变数,中期美元存偏弱风险 市场同时关注美国政府近期释放的人事信号,凯文·哈西特(Kevin Hassett)被视为接替鲍威尔担任美联储主席的热门人选。分析人士普遍认为,哈西特倾向于更为宽松的货币政策立场,若其未来执掌美联储,可能会加快降息节奏。这意味着,尽管美元凭借强劲就业数据获得短线支撑,但中期走势反而面临偏弱的潜在风险。 核心驱动力在未来路径,技术面呈偏弱震荡格局 美元指数的真正驱动力在于未来政策路径,而非当前点位。当前美元指数虽处于低位,但后续方向的核心决定因素包括:美联储未来是否延续宽松政策、降息节奏如何调整,以及潜在主席更替后货币政策是否更趋鸽派。在这些核心变量明朗之前,美元指数大概率将继续维持区间震荡。 技术面来看,美元指数日线结构仍处于“弱反弹后的区间整理”格局,整体呈现偏弱震荡特征。美元指数(DXY)在连续跌破短期均线后虽有小幅反抽,但始终未能站稳关键均线之上,显示上方卖压依旧强劲。近期K线多次在布林带中轨附近遇阻,反映反弹力度不足;MACD动能柱持续在零轴下方震荡,表明行情缺乏持续上行动能。支撑方面,底部关键支撑集中在前期低位98.80—99.00区间,一旦该区间失守,美元指数可能打开进一步下探空间。$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

美元指数短期震荡待指引,美联储政策及人事变量成关键

周三亚洲时段,美元指数在99.20附近窄幅震荡,投资者在美联储政策决议公布前普遍持观望态度。当前市场核心变量聚焦于美国近期就业数据表现及美联储即将释放的政策信号,二者将共同主导美元短线走势与中期方向。
强劲就业短线撑美元,宽松大背景下影响有限 美国劳工部(US Department of Labor)最新发布的JOLTS报告显示,10月职位空缺增至766万,显著高于市场预期的720万,进一步印证美国劳动力市场仍具备较强韧性。通常而言,强劲的就业数据会削弱市场对美联储降息的预期,进而短线提振美元指数。数据公布后,市场对12月美联储降息25个基点的概率从接近90%回落至87.4%。
“就业数据的韧性提升了美联储维持谨慎立场的可能性。”纽约某大型金融机构外汇策略师表示。不过,在美联储已明确步入宽松周期的大背景下,单一数据对美元长期趋势的影响力仍较为有限。
美联储会议核心:降息基调重于动作本身 市场普遍预期美联储(Federal Reserve)将在本次会议中实施25个基点的降息,而真正决定美元后续方向的,是政策声明及新闻发布会上释放的基调。不少分析人士指出,美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)可能会强调未来宽松空间有限,进而构成“鹰派降息”。
前美联储货币事务主管比尔·英格利希(Bill English)表示:“最可能的情形是如期降息,但政策声明及发布会将暗示未来降息节奏会放缓。”若美联储释放偏谨慎的政策信号,美元有望获得阶段性支撑;反之,若维持偏鸽派表述,美元则可能继续承压。
潜在主席更替添变数,中期美元存偏弱风险 市场同时关注美国政府近期释放的人事信号,凯文·哈西特(Kevin Hassett)被视为接替鲍威尔担任美联储主席的热门人选。分析人士普遍认为,哈西特倾向于更为宽松的货币政策立场,若其未来执掌美联储,可能会加快降息节奏。这意味着,尽管美元凭借强劲就业数据获得短线支撑,但中期走势反而面临偏弱的潜在风险。
核心驱动力在未来路径,技术面呈偏弱震荡格局 美元指数的真正驱动力在于未来政策路径,而非当前点位。当前美元指数虽处于低位,但后续方向的核心决定因素包括:美联储未来是否延续宽松政策、降息节奏如何调整,以及潜在主席更替后货币政策是否更趋鸽派。在这些核心变量明朗之前,美元指数大概率将继续维持区间震荡。
技术面来看,美元指数日线结构仍处于“弱反弹后的区间整理”格局,整体呈现偏弱震荡特征。美元指数(DXY)在连续跌破短期均线后虽有小幅反抽,但始终未能站稳关键均线之上,显示上方卖压依旧强劲。近期K线多次在布林带中轨附近遇阻,反映反弹力度不足;MACD动能柱持续在零轴下方震荡,表明行情缺乏持续上行动能。支撑方面,底部关键支撑集中在前期低位98.80—99.00区间,一旦该区间失守,美元指数可能打开进一步下探空间。$BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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Just brought a new brother on board, and we started earning right away. Sometimes making money relies not only on opportunity but also on strategy. Follow @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b to avoid getting lost; the team still has spots available, so hurry up and get on board to make money! $ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
Just brought a new brother on board, and we started earning right away.
Sometimes making money relies not only on opportunity but also on strategy.
Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost; the team still has spots available, so hurry up and get on board to make money!
$ETH #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
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When posting earlier, Mr. Lin mentioned the FHE coin, which will start to drop after breaking its high point, so find a good entry point to short it. I just took a fan brother to find a good entry point to short it, and we made a nice profit, very satisfying! Today's profit target is to exceed 10,000, and the brother said if he wins, he wants to take a vacation, fulfilling his wish! Follow the team at @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b , there’s still a spot available, if you want to make money, hurry to the chat room to meet Mr. Lin, he will guide you to earn steadily. $FHE #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
When posting earlier, Mr. Lin mentioned the FHE coin, which will start to drop after breaking its high point, so find a good entry point to short it.
I just took a fan brother to find a good entry point to short it, and we made a nice profit, very satisfying!
Today's profit target is to exceed 10,000, and the brother said if he wins, he wants to take a vacation, fulfilling his wish!
Follow the team at @林总实时带单 , there’s still a spot available, if you want to make money, hurry to the chat room to meet Mr. Lin, he will guide you to earn steadily. $FHE #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: Global Markets 'Jump the Gun' on Pricing! Is Dollar Hegemony Under Challenge?The global market is entering the final sprint phase ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 9-10, with the market increasingly convinced that the Fed is preparing to shift to an easing policy. Federal Reserve observers increasingly believe that the interest rates at their most restrictive level in over 20 years are no longer suitable for an economy that is losing momentum in multiple areas. Positions in the stock, bond, and currency markets reflect the belief that data now more strongly supports the need to recalibrate policy. The U.S. labor market is cooling down. The labor market—long the reason the Fed has maintained high interest rates—is showing more apparent signs of cooling. Although the overall non-farm payroll data remains positive, underlying indicators suggest that demand for workers is weakening.

Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: Global Markets 'Jump the Gun' on Pricing! Is Dollar Hegemony Under Challenge?

The global market is entering the final sprint phase ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 9-10, with the market increasingly convinced that the Fed is preparing to shift to an easing policy.
Federal Reserve observers increasingly believe that the interest rates at their most restrictive level in over 20 years are no longer suitable for an economy that is losing momentum in multiple areas. Positions in the stock, bond, and currency markets reflect the belief that data now more strongly supports the need to recalibrate policy.
The U.S. labor market is cooling down.
The labor market—long the reason the Fed has maintained high interest rates—is showing more apparent signs of cooling. Although the overall non-farm payroll data remains positive, underlying indicators suggest that demand for workers is weakening.
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, gold maintains slight fluctuationsThe price of gold (XAU/USD) has remained weak in the Asian early session this Tuesday, fluctuating around $4195 per ounce. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this week's meeting, but more importantly, whether the monetary policy statement and dot plot will release hawkish signals. If the Federal Reserve hints that the pace of future rate cuts will be limited, it could drive the dollar to rebound temporarily, thereby putting pressure on gold priced in dollars. Market data shows that investor bets on this rate cut have significantly increased. According to the latest tool monitoring, the probability of a rate cut has quickly risen from 66% last month to the current 90%, indicating a high expectation for an easing path in the market. However, if the Federal Reserve emphasizes economic resilience or inflation stickiness while cutting rates, resulting in what is known as a 'hawkish rate cut', the short-term trend for gold may still remain weak.

Ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, gold maintains slight fluctuations

The price of gold (XAU/USD) has remained weak in the Asian early session this Tuesday, fluctuating around $4195 per ounce. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this week's meeting, but more importantly, whether the monetary policy statement and dot plot will release hawkish signals.
If the Federal Reserve hints that the pace of future rate cuts will be limited, it could drive the dollar to rebound temporarily, thereby putting pressure on gold priced in dollars. Market data shows that investor bets on this rate cut have significantly increased.
According to the latest tool monitoring, the probability of a rate cut has quickly risen from 66% last month to the current 90%, indicating a high expectation for an easing path in the market. However, if the Federal Reserve emphasizes economic resilience or inflation stickiness while cutting rates, resulting in what is known as a 'hawkish rate cut', the short-term trend for gold may still remain weak.
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A fan brother, who earlier went to trade on his own and lost, has not only turned his situation around since then, but is also making thousands of dollars in profit every day. He followed my advice twice today and won both times. People like this truly deserve to get rich; the brothers from Guangdong are really generous, every time they win, they directly transfer the money over for spending. This is also one of the few old fans I have brought along, and I am very happy to receive genuine praise from my fans, mainly because we can win together! Follow @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b to not get lost, if you feel exhausted, just come find Mr. Lin, he will help you turn your situation around and make money! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
A fan brother, who earlier went to trade on his own and lost, has not only turned his situation around since then, but is also making thousands of dollars in profit every day. He followed my advice twice today and won both times. People like this truly deserve to get rich; the brothers from Guangdong are really generous, every time they win, they directly transfer the money over for spending.
This is also one of the few old fans I have brought along, and I am very happy to receive genuine praise from my fans, mainly because we can win together!
Follow @林总实时带单 to not get lost, if you feel exhausted, just come find Mr. Lin, he will help you turn your situation around and make money! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Countdown to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting: The dollar's weakness is hard to change, how will the crypto market seize the benefits of rate cuts?The dollar index is expected to maintain weakness in the short term, primarily driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with technical indicators also showing a bearish pattern. Key driving factors: Interest rate cut expectations dominate the trend The market's bets on the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December continue to heat up, with the probability of a rate cut rising from 71% a week ago to 90%. According to CME data, the current probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has reached 87.2%, directly suppressing the strength of the dollar. U.S. economic data shows a 'mildly weak' characteristic, with employment momentum cooling. In November, private sector jobs decreased by 32,000, manufacturing activity is weak, and inflation has fallen to a level acceptable to the Federal Reserve, providing support for easing policies.

Countdown to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting: The dollar's weakness is hard to change, how will the crypto market seize the benefits of rate cuts?

The dollar index is expected to maintain weakness in the short term, primarily driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with technical indicators also showing a bearish pattern.
Key driving factors: Interest rate cut expectations dominate the trend
The market's bets on the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December continue to heat up, with the probability of a rate cut rising from 71% a week ago to 90%. According to CME data, the current probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has reached 87.2%, directly suppressing the strength of the dollar.
U.S. economic data shows a 'mildly weak' characteristic, with employment momentum cooling. In November, private sector jobs decreased by 32,000, manufacturing activity is weak, and inflation has fallen to a level acceptable to the Federal Reserve, providing support for easing policies.
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This week’s super bull market schedule! The Federal Reserve's heavy catalysts, and the crypto market is filled with bullish signals! Monday: Quantitative funds entering the market, liquidity in the market is building up in advance; Tuesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's significant speech, policy direction will soon become clear; Wednesday: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized! A liquidity easing big package is coming; Thursday: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet data will be released, further verifying the extent of easing; Friday: The new Federal Reserve Chairman candidate will be officially announced, long-term policy expectations will be set; Global attention is focused on the Federal Reserve! Every node hides market opportunities, the triple easing signals (interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion + personnel decisions) resonate, and cryptocurrencies as high-elasticity assets will directly benefit from the release of liquidity~ Mr. Lin reminds: Grasp the policy window period, strictly adhere to position discipline, and follow the trend to engage in certain market conditions! Follow @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b to avoid getting lost, for more information! $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
This week’s super bull market schedule! The Federal Reserve's heavy catalysts, and the crypto market is filled with bullish signals!

Monday: Quantitative funds entering the market, liquidity in the market is building up in advance;

Tuesday: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's significant speech, policy direction will soon become clear;

Wednesday: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is finalized! A liquidity easing big package is coming;

Thursday: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet data will be released, further verifying the extent of easing;

Friday: The new Federal Reserve Chairman candidate will be officially announced, long-term policy expectations will be set;

Global attention is focused on the Federal Reserve! Every node hides market opportunities, the triple easing signals (interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion + personnel decisions) resonate, and cryptocurrencies as high-elasticity assets will directly benefit from the release of liquidity~

Mr. Lin reminds: Grasp the policy window period, strictly adhere to position discipline, and follow the trend to engage in certain market conditions!

Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost, for more information!
$BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
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November Core Economic Data Review and Future Outlook In the manufacturing sector, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November in the United States recorded 48.2, which not only fell short of the market expectation of 49 but also declined further from last month's value of 48.7. It has been below the 50 mark for nine consecutive months, highlighting the ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector and insufficient recovery momentum. In contrast, the services sector performed relatively strongly, forming a sharp contrast. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November reached 52.6, exceeding the expected value of 52.1, and rose from last month's 52.4, achieving six consecutive months above the threshold, with two consecutive months of month-on-month improvement, showcasing the support of the services sector for the economy. The job market shows signs of divergence. The ADP employment number in November unexpectedly decreased by 32,000, far below the expected increase of 10,000, and a significant drop from last month's addition of 47,000, reflecting a slowdown in labor demand in certain sectors and showing signs of weakness in the labor market. However, for the week ending November 29, initial claims for unemployment benefits recorded 191,000, lower than the expected 220,000 and the previous value of 218,000, indicating that unemployment figures remain relatively low, and the resilience of the job market has not completely faded. Regarding interest rate expectations, according to CME FedWatch Tool data, as of December 5, the market expects a 13% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate level in December, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 87%. Looking ahead to January next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate drops to 9%, with a 25 basis point rate cut probability of 64.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut reaching 27%, indicating a growing expectation in the market for the Federal Reserve to start a rate-cutting cycle. Looking ahead, next week will see the December Federal Reserve meeting, and the core PCE price index to be announced on Friday, as a key inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to provide crucial reference for policy decisions, further clarifying the direction of the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
November Core Economic Data Review and Future Outlook

In the manufacturing sector, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for November in the United States recorded 48.2, which not only fell short of the market expectation of 49 but also declined further from last month's value of 48.7. It has been below the 50 mark for nine consecutive months, highlighting the ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector and insufficient recovery momentum.
In contrast, the services sector performed relatively strongly, forming a sharp contrast. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November reached 52.6, exceeding the expected value of 52.1, and rose from last month's 52.4, achieving six consecutive months above the threshold, with two consecutive months of month-on-month improvement, showcasing the support of the services sector for the economy.

The job market shows signs of divergence. The ADP employment number in November unexpectedly decreased by 32,000, far below the expected increase of 10,000, and a significant drop from last month's addition of 47,000, reflecting a slowdown in labor demand in certain sectors and showing signs of weakness in the labor market. However, for the week ending November 29, initial claims for unemployment benefits recorded 191,000, lower than the expected 220,000 and the previous value of 218,000, indicating that unemployment figures remain relatively low, and the resilience of the job market has not completely faded.

Regarding interest rate expectations, according to CME FedWatch Tool data, as of December 5, the market expects a 13% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate level in December, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 87%. Looking ahead to January next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate drops to 9%, with a 25 basis point rate cut probability of 64.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut reaching 27%, indicating a growing expectation in the market for the Federal Reserve to start a rate-cutting cycle.
Looking ahead, next week will see the December Federal Reserve meeting, and the core PCE price index to be announced on Friday, as a key inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to provide crucial reference for policy decisions, further clarifying the direction of the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. $BTC $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
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$BEAT Why did I short this coin last night? There hasn't been much volume in this rising range, and it can basically be determined that this is a baiting behavior. Additionally, opening a short position at this point should include a stop loss above the previous high; being conservative and taking small risks for large rewards is my style. The reason I chose to close my position at 1.7 (as seen in the picture below) is that the 1.7 level is a strong short-term support, not having dipped for three consecutive times. There is still room for speculation in this range, so those shorting should be cautious; before a trend is established, it’s better to observe more and act less, waiting for further instructions from Lin. You can pay attention to @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b for detailed buying points. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
$BEAT Why did I short this coin last night? There hasn't been much volume in this rising range, and it can basically be determined that this is a baiting behavior. Additionally, opening a short position at this point should include a stop loss above the previous high; being conservative and taking small risks for large rewards is my style.

The reason I chose to close my position at 1.7 (as seen in the picture below) is that the 1.7 level is a strong short-term support, not having dipped for three consecutive times. There is still room for speculation in this range, so those shorting should be cautious; before a trend is established, it’s better to observe more and act less, waiting for further instructions from Lin.
You can pay attention to @林总实时带单 for detailed buying points. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
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$ZEC Quick battle, just took my fan brothers for the first round, directly taking this piece of meat. If I hadn't moved fast, I would have probably been trapped inside; the rebound was really quick. Last time I was scammed, this time I'm picking up my confidence to take you for a ride again, the fans are already feasting, are you not getting on board?$ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
$ZEC Quick battle, just took my fan brothers for the first round, directly taking this piece of meat.
If I hadn't moved fast, I would have probably been trapped inside; the rebound was really quick.
Last time I was scammed, this time I'm picking up my confidence to take you for a ride again, the fans are already feasting, are you not getting on board?$ZEC #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
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Hassett's 'Cautious Rate Cuts' Statement: Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Signals in the Crypto MarketWhite House advisor Kevin Hassett's recent statement that the Federal Reserve should 'cautiously begin to cut interest rates' quickly triggered a chain reaction in the crypto market. As a popular candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair, his remarks not only convey a moderate shift in monetary policy but also stir the nerves of this highly sensitive asset market through two paths: liquidity expectations and adjustments in risk appetite. From the perspective of core influencing mechanisms, Hassett's 'cautious' tone balances market expectations for liquidity easing with concerns about economic risks. Historical experience shows that cuts in the Federal Reserve's interest rates often enhance the relative appeal of crypto assets by lowering risk-free rates and weakening the purchasing power of the dollar—during the aggressive rate cuts in 2020 amid the pandemic, the crypto bull market was directly sparked, with Bitcoin's price soaring from $5,000 to $69,000. However, this statement of 'cautious rate cuts' has shattered the market's fantasy of aggressive easing, preventing a blind rush of funds into risk assets and alleviating the panic over the continuation of tightening policies, resulting in a crypto market characterized by 'rational fluctuations under moderate favorable conditions.' As of December 5, Bitcoin's price remains around $90,000, with a slight decline of 17.79% in 24-hour trading volume, reflecting the game between investor expectations and wait-and-see attitudes.

Hassett's 'Cautious Rate Cuts' Statement: Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Signals in the Crypto Market

White House advisor Kevin Hassett's recent statement that the Federal Reserve should 'cautiously begin to cut interest rates' quickly triggered a chain reaction in the crypto market. As a popular candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair, his remarks not only convey a moderate shift in monetary policy but also stir the nerves of this highly sensitive asset market through two paths: liquidity expectations and adjustments in risk appetite.
From the perspective of core influencing mechanisms, Hassett's 'cautious' tone balances market expectations for liquidity easing with concerns about economic risks. Historical experience shows that cuts in the Federal Reserve's interest rates often enhance the relative appeal of crypto assets by lowering risk-free rates and weakening the purchasing power of the dollar—during the aggressive rate cuts in 2020 amid the pandemic, the crypto bull market was directly sparked, with Bitcoin's price soaring from $5,000 to $69,000. However, this statement of 'cautious rate cuts' has shattered the market's fantasy of aggressive easing, preventing a blind rush of funds into risk assets and alleviating the panic over the continuation of tightening policies, resulting in a crypto market characterized by 'rational fluctuations under moderate favorable conditions.' As of December 5, Bitcoin's price remains around $90,000, with a slight decline of 17.79% in 24-hour trading volume, reflecting the game between investor expectations and wait-and-see attitudes.
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$PIPPIN Last night this妖币 began to rise, I held on to it, and the whole night I was sleeping uneasily, afraid of being blown up by a drop. Fortunately, I caught this wave of fluctuations and made a bit of profit, putting it into my own pocket to feel at ease. Follow @Square-Creator-e0b2199cfcc5b to avoid getting lost, contact me directly! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
$PIPPIN Last night this妖币 began to rise, I held on to it, and the whole night I was sleeping uneasily, afraid of being blown up by a drop. Fortunately, I caught this wave of fluctuations and made a bit of profit, putting it into my own pocket to feel at ease.
Follow @林总实时带单 to avoid getting lost, contact me directly! #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
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