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History Repeats in Bitcoin What Every Cycle Teaches About Surviving the Crash
History doesn’t change in Bitcoin. The numbers just get bigger.
In 2017, Bitcoin peaked near $21,000 and then fell more than 80%. In 2021, it topped around $69,000 and dropped roughly 77%. In the most recent cycle, after reaching around $126,000, price has already corrected more than 70%.
Each time feels different. Each time the narrative is new. Each time people say, “This cycle is not like the others.” And yet, when you zoom out, the structure looks painfully familiar.
Parabolic rise.
Euphoria.
Overconfidence.
Then a brutal reset.
The percentages remain consistent. The emotional pain remains consistent. Only the dollar amounts expand.
This is not coincidence. It is structural behavior.
Bitcoin is a fixed-supply asset trading in a liquidity-driven global system. When liquidity expands and optimism spreads, capital flows in aggressively. Demand accelerates faster than supply can respond. Price overshoots.
But when liquidity tightens, leverage unwinds, and sentiment shifts, the same reflexive loop works in reverse. Forced selling replaces FOMO. Risk appetite contracts. And the decline feels endless.
Understanding this pattern is the first educational step.
Volatility is not a flaw in Bitcoin. It is a feature of an emerging, scarce, high-beta asset.
But education begins where emotion ends.
Most people do not lose money because Bitcoin crashes. They lose money because they behave incorrectly inside the crash.
Let’s talk about what you should learn from every major drawdown.
First, drawdowns of 70–80% are historically normal for Bitcoin. That doesn’t make them easy. It makes them expected.
If you enter a volatile asset without preparing mentally and financially for extreme corrections, you are not investing you are gambling on a straight line.
Second, peaks are built on emotion.
At cycle tops, narratives dominate logic. Price targets stretch infinitely higher. Risk management disappears. People borrow against unrealized gains. Leverage increases. Exposure concentrates.
That’s when vulnerability quietly builds.
By the time the crash begins, most participants are overexposed.
If you want to survive downturns, preparation must happen before the downturn.
Here are practical, educational steps that matter.
Reduce leverage early.
Leverage turns normal corrections into account-ending events. If you cannot survive a 50% move against you, your position is too large.
Use position sizing.
Never allocate more capital to a volatile asset than you can psychologically tolerate losing 70% of. If a drawdown would destroy your stability, your exposure is misaligned.
Separate long-term conviction from short-term trading.
Your core investment thesis should not be managed with the same emotions as a short-term trade.
Build liquidity reserves.
Cash or stable assets give you optionality during downturns. Optionality reduces panic.
Avoid emotional averaging down.
Buying every dip without analysis is not discipline — it is hope disguised as strategy.
Study liquidity conditions.
Bitcoin moves in cycles that correlate with macro liquidity. Understanding rate cycles, monetary policy, and global risk appetite helps you contextualize volatility.
One of the biggest psychological traps during downturns is believing “this time it’s over.”
Every crash feels existential.
In 2018, people believed Bitcoin was finished.
In 2022, they believed institutions were done.
In every cycle, fear narratives dominate the bottom.
The human brain struggles to process extreme volatility. Loss aversion makes drawdowns feel larger than they are historically.
That is why studying past cycles is powerful. Historical perspective reduces emotional distortion.
However, here’s an important nuance:
Past cycles repeating does not guarantee identical future outcomes.
Markets evolve. Participants change. Regulation shifts. Institutional involvement increases.
Blind faith is dangerous.
Education means balancing historical pattern recognition with present structural analysis.
When markets go bad, ask rational questions instead of reacting emotionally.
Is this a liquidity contraction or structural collapse?
Has the network fundamentally weakened?
Has adoption reversed?
Or is this another cyclical deleveraging phase?
Learn to differentiate between price volatility and existential risk.
Price can fall 70% without the underlying system failing.
Another key lesson is capital preservation.
In bull markets, people focus on maximizing gains. In bear markets, survival becomes the priority.
Survival strategies include:
Reducing correlated exposure.Diversifying across asset classes.Lowering risk per trade.Protecting mental health by reducing screen time.Re-evaluating financial goals realistically.
Many participants underestimate the psychological strain of downturns. Stress leads to impulsive decisions. Impulsive decisions lead to permanent losses.
Mental capital is as important as financial capital.
The chart showing repeated 70–80% drawdowns is not a warning against Bitcoin. It is a warning against emotional overexposure.
Each cycle rewards those who survive it.
But survival is engineered through discipline.
One of the most powerful habits you can build is pre-commitment. Before entering any position, define:
What is my thesis?
What invalidates it?
What percentage drawdown can I tolerate?
What would cause me to reduce exposure?
Write it down. When volatility strikes, you follow your plan instead of your fear.
Another important educational insight is that markets transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient — but only when patience is backed by risk control.
Holding blindly without understanding risk is not patience. It is passivity.
Strategic patience means:
Sizing correctly.
Managing exposure.
Adapting to new data.
Avoiding emotional extremes.
Every cycle magnifies the numbers.
21K once felt unimaginable.
69K felt historic.
126K felt inevitable.
Each time, the crash felt terminal.
And yet, the structure repeats.
The real lesson of this chart is not that Bitcoin crashes. It is that cycles amplify human behavior.
Euphoria creates overconfidence.
Overconfidence creates fragility.
Fragility creates collapse.
Collapse resets structure.
If you learn to recognize this pattern, you stop reacting to volatility as chaos and start seeing it as rhythm.
The question is not whether downturns will happen again.
They will.
The real question is whether you will be prepared financially, emotionally, and strategically when they do.
History doesn’t change.
But your behavior inside history determines whether you grow with it or get wiped out by it.
In 2017, Bitcoin peaked near $21,000 and then fell more than 80%. In 2021, it topped around $69,000 and dropped roughly 77%. In the most recent cycle, after reaching around $126,000, price has already corrected more than 70%.
Each time feels different. Each time the narrative is new. Each time people say, “This cycle is not like the others.” And yet, when you zoom out, the structure looks painfully familiar.
Parabolic rise.
Euphoria.
Overconfidence.
Then a brutal reset.
The percentages remain consistent. The emotional pain remains consistent. Only the dollar amounts expand.
This is not coincidence. It is structural behavior.
Bitcoin is a fixed-supply asset trading in a liquidity-driven global system. When liquidity expands and optimism spreads, capital flows in aggressively. Demand accelerates faster than supply can respond. Price overshoots.
But when liquidity tightens, leverage unwinds, and sentiment shifts, the same reflexive loop works in reverse. Forced selling replaces FOMO. Risk appetite contracts. And the decline feels endless.
Understanding this pattern is the first educational step.
Volatility is not a flaw in Bitcoin. It is a feature of an emerging, scarce, high-beta asset.
But education begins where emotion ends.
Most people do not lose money because Bitcoin crashes. They lose money because they behave incorrectly inside the crash.
Let’s talk about what you should learn from every major drawdown.
First, drawdowns of 70–80% are historically normal for Bitcoin. That doesn’t make them easy. It makes them expected.
If you enter a volatile asset without preparing mentally and financially for extreme corrections, you are not investing you are gambling on a straight line.
Second, peaks are built on emotion.
At cycle tops, narratives dominate logic. Price targets stretch infinitely higher. Risk management disappears. People borrow against unrealized gains. Leverage increases. Exposure concentrates.
That’s when vulnerability quietly builds.
By the time the crash begins, most participants are overexposed.
If you want to survive downturns, preparation must happen before the downturn.
Here are practical, educational steps that matter.
Reduce leverage early.
Leverage turns normal corrections into account-ending events. If you cannot survive a 50% move against you, your position is too large.
Use position sizing.
Never allocate more capital to a volatile asset than you can psychologically tolerate losing 70% of. If a drawdown would destroy your stability, your exposure is misaligned.
Separate long-term conviction from short-term trading.
Your core investment thesis should not be managed with the same emotions as a short-term trade.
Build liquidity reserves.
Cash or stable assets give you optionality during downturns. Optionality reduces panic.
Avoid emotional averaging down.
Buying every dip without analysis is not discipline — it is hope disguised as strategy.
Study liquidity conditions.
Bitcoin moves in cycles that correlate with macro liquidity. Understanding rate cycles, monetary policy, and global risk appetite helps you contextualize volatility.
One of the biggest psychological traps during downturns is believing “this time it’s over.”
Every crash feels existential.
In 2018, people believed Bitcoin was finished.
In 2022, they believed institutions were done.
In every cycle, fear narratives dominate the bottom.
The human brain struggles to process extreme volatility. Loss aversion makes drawdowns feel larger than they are historically.
That is why studying past cycles is powerful. Historical perspective reduces emotional distortion.
However, here’s an important nuance:
Past cycles repeating does not guarantee identical future outcomes.
Markets evolve. Participants change. Regulation shifts. Institutional involvement increases.
Blind faith is dangerous.
Education means balancing historical pattern recognition with present structural analysis.
When markets go bad, ask rational questions instead of reacting emotionally.
Is this a liquidity contraction or structural collapse?
Has the network fundamentally weakened?
Has adoption reversed?
Or is this another cyclical deleveraging phase?
Learn to differentiate between price volatility and existential risk.
Price can fall 70% without the underlying system failing.
Another key lesson is capital preservation.
In bull markets, people focus on maximizing gains. In bear markets, survival becomes the priority.
Survival strategies include:
Reducing correlated exposure.Diversifying across asset classes.Lowering risk per trade.Protecting mental health by reducing screen time.Re-evaluating financial goals realistically.
Many participants underestimate the psychological strain of downturns. Stress leads to impulsive decisions. Impulsive decisions lead to permanent losses.
Mental capital is as important as financial capital.
The chart showing repeated 70–80% drawdowns is not a warning against Bitcoin. It is a warning against emotional overexposure.
Each cycle rewards those who survive it.
But survival is engineered through discipline.
One of the most powerful habits you can build is pre-commitment. Before entering any position, define:
What is my thesis?
What invalidates it?
What percentage drawdown can I tolerate?
What would cause me to reduce exposure?
Write it down. When volatility strikes, you follow your plan instead of your fear.
Another important educational insight is that markets transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient — but only when patience is backed by risk control.
Holding blindly without understanding risk is not patience. It is passivity.
Strategic patience means:
Sizing correctly.
Managing exposure.
Adapting to new data.
Avoiding emotional extremes.
Every cycle magnifies the numbers.
21K once felt unimaginable.
69K felt historic.
126K felt inevitable.
Each time, the crash felt terminal.
And yet, the structure repeats.
The real lesson of this chart is not that Bitcoin crashes. It is that cycles amplify human behavior.
Euphoria creates overconfidence.
Overconfidence creates fragility.
Fragility creates collapse.
Collapse resets structure.
If you learn to recognize this pattern, you stop reacting to volatility as chaos and start seeing it as rhythm.
The question is not whether downturns will happen again.
They will.
The real question is whether you will be prepared financially, emotionally, and strategically when they do.
History doesn’t change.
But your behavior inside history determines whether you grow with it or get wiped out by it.
I Lost $136,000 in a Single Hack. It Forced Me to Build a System That Can’t Be Broken Twice.
In crypto, losses do not come with warnings. There is no fraud department, no reversal button, no customer support that can restore what is gone. When I lost $136,000 in a single exploit, it was not because I was careless. It was because I underestimated how sophisticated the threat landscape had become.
That loss forced me to redesign everything. What emerged was not just better storage, but a layered security architecture built around one principle: assume compromise is always possible.
Here is the system.
1. Understand the New Threat Model
Crypto attacks in 2025 are no longer simple phishing emails. AI-generated scams, malicious smart contracts, wallet drainers embedded in fake social posts, and cloned decentralized applications are everywhere. If you interact on-chain, you are a potential target. Security begins with paranoia, not convenience.
2. Treat Your Seed Phrase as Absolute Authority
Your seed phrase is your wallet. Whoever controls it controls everything. It should never be photographed, typed into cloud storage, saved in password managers, or stored digitally in any form. The only acceptable formats are physical, preferably metal backups resistant to fire and water. Multiple copies stored in separate secure locations reduce single-point failure risk.
3. Separate Storage by Function
The biggest mistake I made was using one wallet for everything. Now the structure is strict. A cold wallet stores long-term holdings and never connects to risky applications. A hot wallet handles routine transactions. A burner wallet interacts with experimental dApps, mints, and unknown contracts. Exposure is compartmentalized. If the burner is compromised, the core remains untouched. This rule alone prevented another five-figure loss later.
4. Hardware Is Mandatory, Not Optional
Browser wallets alone are insufficient for meaningful capital. Hardware wallets such as Ledger, Trezor, Keystone, or air-gapped devices dramatically reduce remote attack surfaces. Cold storage is not about convenience. It is about eliminating entire categories of risk.
5. Assume Every Link Is Malicious
Fake websites can perfectly replicate legitimate platforms. Search engine ads and social media links are frequently weaponized. Access important platforms through bookmarked URLs only. Verify domains carefully before signing any transaction.
6. Control Smart Contract Permissions
Every token approval grants spending rights. Many users forget that these permissions persist indefinitely. Regularly auditing and revoking unused approvals reduces exposure dramatically. Security is not a one-time setup. It is maintenance.
7. Strengthen Account-Level Protection
Text message two-factor authentication is vulnerable to SIM swap attacks. Authentication apps or hardware security keys provide stronger protection. Every exchange account, email, and connected service must meet the same standard.
8. Remove Counterparty Dependency
Funds left on exchanges are not under your control. Platform freezes, insolvency, or breaches can block access instantly. Self-custody is not ideology. It is risk management.
9. Build Redundancy and Recovery Plans
Backups must survive theft, fire, and natural disasters. The three-two-one principle applies well: multiple backups, stored in different physical locations, with at least one offsite. Additionally, plan inheritance structures so assets are accessible to trusted parties if something happens to you.
10. Conduct Routine Security Audits
Once a month, review wallet history, revoke unnecessary permissions, verify backup integrity, and reassess exposure. Complacency is the silent vulnerability that eventually costs the most.
The hardest lesson I learned is that in crypto, one mistake is enough. Years of caution can be erased by a single signature on a malicious contract.
There is no safety net. No recovery desk. No forgiveness from the blockchain.
Security is not a product you buy. It is a system you design and a mindset you maintain.
In crypto, you are not just the investor. You are the bank, the vault, and the security team.
That loss forced me to redesign everything. What emerged was not just better storage, but a layered security architecture built around one principle: assume compromise is always possible.
Here is the system.
1. Understand the New Threat Model
Crypto attacks in 2025 are no longer simple phishing emails. AI-generated scams, malicious smart contracts, wallet drainers embedded in fake social posts, and cloned decentralized applications are everywhere. If you interact on-chain, you are a potential target. Security begins with paranoia, not convenience.
2. Treat Your Seed Phrase as Absolute Authority
Your seed phrase is your wallet. Whoever controls it controls everything. It should never be photographed, typed into cloud storage, saved in password managers, or stored digitally in any form. The only acceptable formats are physical, preferably metal backups resistant to fire and water. Multiple copies stored in separate secure locations reduce single-point failure risk.
3. Separate Storage by Function
The biggest mistake I made was using one wallet for everything. Now the structure is strict. A cold wallet stores long-term holdings and never connects to risky applications. A hot wallet handles routine transactions. A burner wallet interacts with experimental dApps, mints, and unknown contracts. Exposure is compartmentalized. If the burner is compromised, the core remains untouched. This rule alone prevented another five-figure loss later.
4. Hardware Is Mandatory, Not Optional
Browser wallets alone are insufficient for meaningful capital. Hardware wallets such as Ledger, Trezor, Keystone, or air-gapped devices dramatically reduce remote attack surfaces. Cold storage is not about convenience. It is about eliminating entire categories of risk.
5. Assume Every Link Is Malicious
Fake websites can perfectly replicate legitimate platforms. Search engine ads and social media links are frequently weaponized. Access important platforms through bookmarked URLs only. Verify domains carefully before signing any transaction.
6. Control Smart Contract Permissions
Every token approval grants spending rights. Many users forget that these permissions persist indefinitely. Regularly auditing and revoking unused approvals reduces exposure dramatically. Security is not a one-time setup. It is maintenance.
7. Strengthen Account-Level Protection
Text message two-factor authentication is vulnerable to SIM swap attacks. Authentication apps or hardware security keys provide stronger protection. Every exchange account, email, and connected service must meet the same standard.
8. Remove Counterparty Dependency
Funds left on exchanges are not under your control. Platform freezes, insolvency, or breaches can block access instantly. Self-custody is not ideology. It is risk management.
9. Build Redundancy and Recovery Plans
Backups must survive theft, fire, and natural disasters. The three-two-one principle applies well: multiple backups, stored in different physical locations, with at least one offsite. Additionally, plan inheritance structures so assets are accessible to trusted parties if something happens to you.
10. Conduct Routine Security Audits
Once a month, review wallet history, revoke unnecessary permissions, verify backup integrity, and reassess exposure. Complacency is the silent vulnerability that eventually costs the most.
The hardest lesson I learned is that in crypto, one mistake is enough. Years of caution can be erased by a single signature on a malicious contract.
There is no safety net. No recovery desk. No forgiveness from the blockchain.
Security is not a product you buy. It is a system you design and a mindset you maintain.
In crypto, you are not just the investor. You are the bank, the vault, and the security team.
Fear and Greed Index Explained For Binance Users
Okay so you've probably seen people talking about the "Fear and Greed Index" and wondered what the that even means. Let me break it down for you in simple terms.
Basically, it's a number from 0 to 100 that tells you how people are feeling about crypto right now. That's it. Sounds simple, but it's actually pretty powerful when you know how to use it.
Here's how it works:
🔥0-24 = Extreme Fear
Everyone's panicking. People are selling everything. Your timeline is full of "crypto is dead" posts. This is when most people are too scared to buy.
🔥25-49 = Fear
Still scary out there but not full panic mode. People are nervous, checking their portfolios less because it hurts to look.
🔥50 = Neutral
Nobody really cares. Market's boring. No one's talking about crypto. This is actually pretty rare.
🔥51-74 = Greed
Things are pumping. People are getting excited. Your uncle who said crypto was a scam is now asking you how to buy Bitcoin.
🔥75-100 = Extreme Greed
Everyone thinks they're a genius. Moon boys everywhere. People are taking out loans to buy crypto. Your barber is giving you #altcoins tips 😂
Here is How they calculate it:
The most popular one is Alternative.me and they look at stuff like:
Volatility (25% of the index) - how much the market is swinging
Market momentum and volume (25%) - how much buying and selling is happening
Social media (15%) - what people are posting about crypto
Surveys (15%) - what investors say they're doing
Bitcoin dominance (10%) - Bitcoin's share vs all other cryptos
Google Trends (10%) - what people are searching for
Then they combine it all into one number that updates daily and here is Why this actually matters
The crypto market is SUPER emotional. Like way more than stocks or anything else. And emotions make people do dumb things with their money.
When the index shows Extreme Greed (like 80-90), that's usually when the market is about to top out. Why? Because everyone's already bought. There's no one left to pump it higher. That's when smart money starts selling to all the new people FOMOing in.
When it shows Extreme Fear (like 10-20), that's usually near the bottom. Everyone's already sold. People are terrified. And that's exactly when smart money is buying everything at a discount.
Real example:
Remember when Bitcoin hit around $69k in November 2021? The Fear and Greed Index was showing Extreme Greed - like in the 80s and 90s. Everyone thought $100k was coming next week. Then it dumped all the way down to around $15-16k by late 2022.
During that crash? The index was showing Extreme Fear for months. Like down in the teens and 20s. Everyone was saying crypto was done, it was over. But that was literally the best time to buy because Bitcoin eventually recovered.
Trade Here ⏬⏬
Basically, it's a number from 0 to 100 that tells you how people are feeling about crypto right now. That's it. Sounds simple, but it's actually pretty powerful when you know how to use it.
Here's how it works:
🔥0-24 = Extreme Fear
Everyone's panicking. People are selling everything. Your timeline is full of "crypto is dead" posts. This is when most people are too scared to buy.
🔥25-49 = Fear
Still scary out there but not full panic mode. People are nervous, checking their portfolios less because it hurts to look.
🔥50 = Neutral
Nobody really cares. Market's boring. No one's talking about crypto. This is actually pretty rare.
🔥51-74 = Greed
Things are pumping. People are getting excited. Your uncle who said crypto was a scam is now asking you how to buy Bitcoin.
🔥75-100 = Extreme Greed
Everyone thinks they're a genius. Moon boys everywhere. People are taking out loans to buy crypto. Your barber is giving you #altcoins tips 😂
Here is How they calculate it:
The most popular one is Alternative.me and they look at stuff like:
Volatility (25% of the index) - how much the market is swinging
Market momentum and volume (25%) - how much buying and selling is happening
Social media (15%) - what people are posting about crypto
Surveys (15%) - what investors say they're doing
Bitcoin dominance (10%) - Bitcoin's share vs all other cryptos
Google Trends (10%) - what people are searching for
Then they combine it all into one number that updates daily and here is Why this actually matters
The crypto market is SUPER emotional. Like way more than stocks or anything else. And emotions make people do dumb things with their money.
When the index shows Extreme Greed (like 80-90), that's usually when the market is about to top out. Why? Because everyone's already bought. There's no one left to pump it higher. That's when smart money starts selling to all the new people FOMOing in.
When it shows Extreme Fear (like 10-20), that's usually near the bottom. Everyone's already sold. People are terrified. And that's exactly when smart money is buying everything at a discount.
Real example:
Remember when Bitcoin hit around $69k in November 2021? The Fear and Greed Index was showing Extreme Greed - like in the 80s and 90s. Everyone thought $100k was coming next week. Then it dumped all the way down to around $15-16k by late 2022.
During that crash? The index was showing Extreme Fear for months. Like down in the teens and 20s. Everyone was saying crypto was done, it was over. But that was literally the best time to buy because Bitcoin eventually recovered.
Trade Here ⏬⏬
No wonder the Epstein files rarely involve the Chinese side; after an in-person meeting, the Chinese diplomat made a sharp comment!
In the recently declassified "Epstein files," I wonder if everyone has noticed that amidst so much content and explosive material, there is very little involving the Chinese side. With the latest email exposure, the truth is gradually coming to light. The key clue is hidden in a private email sent by Epstein during his lifetime.
It is disclosed that he was invited to attend a closed-door meeting of the Trilateral Commission. At that time, Epstein attended as a "financial advisor." He brought along a blonde assistant from California who was fluent in English, French, and Chinese. During the meeting, Epstein sat near several Chinese diplomats. These Chinese representatives initially had a friendly demeanor, smiling and seemingly having no guard against this Wall Street insider. However, when they conversed privately in dialect, they reminded each other to "beware of that 'Jew dog' Epstein." Of course, the Chinese side thought that there were no Americans around who could understand. Little did they know that the seemingly decorative blonde assistant could accurately understand Chinese dialects and later relayed this remark to Epstein.
Epstein was caught between laughter and tears and later wrote this experience as a memoir to send to friends. Although this episode was minor, it was highly symbolic. It revealed a fact: while the Chinese representatives maintained polite interaction in public, their internal judgment of Epstein was very sharp and precise. This also explains why in the following years, whether in public diplomatic files, media reports, or in Epstein's own itinerary records, it is nearly impossible to find substantial exchanges between him and the Chinese side.
Epstein claimed that his interactions with Chinese diplomats were once very pleasant, but he did not expect that the Chinese side privately held such an evaluation of him. It must be said that when it comes to judging people, the Chinese side is still relatively clear-headed and on point.
In the recently declassified "Epstein files," I wonder if everyone has noticed that amidst so much content and explosive material, there is very little involving the Chinese side. With the latest email exposure, the truth is gradually coming to light. The key clue is hidden in a private email sent by Epstein during his lifetime.
It is disclosed that he was invited to attend a closed-door meeting of the Trilateral Commission. At that time, Epstein attended as a "financial advisor." He brought along a blonde assistant from California who was fluent in English, French, and Chinese. During the meeting, Epstein sat near several Chinese diplomats. These Chinese representatives initially had a friendly demeanor, smiling and seemingly having no guard against this Wall Street insider. However, when they conversed privately in dialect, they reminded each other to "beware of that 'Jew dog' Epstein." Of course, the Chinese side thought that there were no Americans around who could understand. Little did they know that the seemingly decorative blonde assistant could accurately understand Chinese dialects and later relayed this remark to Epstein.
Epstein was caught between laughter and tears and later wrote this experience as a memoir to send to friends. Although this episode was minor, it was highly symbolic. It revealed a fact: while the Chinese representatives maintained polite interaction in public, their internal judgment of Epstein was very sharp and precise. This also explains why in the following years, whether in public diplomatic files, media reports, or in Epstein's own itinerary records, it is nearly impossible to find substantial exchanges between him and the Chinese side.
Epstein claimed that his interactions with Chinese diplomats were once very pleasant, but he did not expect that the Chinese side privately held such an evaluation of him. It must be said that when it comes to judging people, the Chinese side is still relatively clear-headed and on point.
Brothers, recently the policy from the eight departments has come out, and it seems that the entry and exit of funds in the cryptocurrency market has become more difficult. My own Alipay merchant account has also been affected.
First, the withdrawal and spending functions were completely restricted, and my appeals were directly rejected. The risk control period won't end until mid-March, but this might also be due to my online gambling transactions.
Now the risk control measures of banks and payment platforms are at their maximum, and you must find reliable merchants for fund entry and exit.
If you want to be safer, make small and multiple withdrawals, avoid dealing with illegal money, and do not trade with people of unclear backgrounds. It is a strict crackdown period, and stability is the priority; do not make reckless moves that will cause yourself trouble.
Creator task PlasmaXPL has only one day left; once the risk control is lifted, come back and enjoy. #plasma @Plasma $XPL
First, the withdrawal and spending functions were completely restricted, and my appeals were directly rejected. The risk control period won't end until mid-March, but this might also be due to my online gambling transactions.
Now the risk control measures of banks and payment platforms are at their maximum, and you must find reliable merchants for fund entry and exit.
If you want to be safer, make small and multiple withdrawals, avoid dealing with illegal money, and do not trade with people of unclear backgrounds. It is a strict crackdown period, and stability is the priority; do not make reckless moves that will cause yourself trouble.
Creator task PlasmaXPL has only one day left; once the risk control is lifted, come back and enjoy. #plasma @Plasma $XPL
Ethereum Price Prediction 2026: From $2,000 Dips to $7,500+ Targets , What's Realistic?
Hey, fellow crypto traveler, it's February 2026, and Ethereum is sitting uncomfortably around $1,940–$2,100 right now, dipping below that psychological $2,000 level again. If you're like me, you've probably stared at your portfolio, sighed, and wondered: "Is this the bottom, or are we heading to $1,500 pain town?" I've been there multiple cycles, actually and let me tell you, these moments feel brutal, but they're often the setups for the biggest rewards.
This daily chart screams "capitulation" — ETH sliding hard toward $2,000 support with red candles everywhere. Classic bearish pressure, but supports like this have held before.The short-term vibe is rough: liquidations, macro headwinds, some ETF outflows, and yes, a lot of holders underwater. But zoom out, and something quietly bullish is happening full-scale accumulation by long-term holders and whales. On-chain data shows accumulating addresses loading up aggressively while price bleeds. That's not panic selling; that's conviction buying at "discount" levels. I've seen this pattern before the 2021 run smart money doesn't chase highs; they stack during fear .
Look at this accumulation address realized price chart—price dipping below the average cost basis for these patient holders, yet inflows continue. This is textbook "smart money loading the truck" behavior.
Now, the big question: Where does ETH go by the end of 2026?Bull Case – $7,000–$9,000+ (My Personal Favorite Scenario)
Institutions like Standard Chartered are still calling 2026 "the year of Ethereum." They recently pegged $7,500 as a realistic end-of-year target (down from wilder earlier calls, but still massive upside from here roughly 280–300%). Why? Scaling upgrades (post-Pectra effects kicking in), real-world assets exploding on-chain, stablecoin dominance on Ethereum rails, and ETH finally acting like productive money with staking yields. Tom Lee from Fundstrat has thrown out $7K–$9K early 2026 vibes too. If ETF inflows flip positive again, macro softens, and we get that ETH/BTC ratio rebound... yeah, I can absolutely see us ripping past $7,500. I'm leaning bullish here Ethereum's fundamentals are too strong to stay suppressed forever.
This long-term monthly chart from InvestingHaven shows the historical pattern clearly pointing to a "target area" well above current levels $5,000+ feels conservative in a full bull leg.
Base/Realistic Case – $4,000–$6,000.
Most balanced forecasts land here. Changelly around ~$4,700 average, some others pushing $5,500–$6,800 if momentum returns. This feels right to me enough upside to reward patience (100–200% from $2K), but not ignoring risks like L2 fee dilution or prolonged sideways chop. Ethereum needs catalysts (regulatory clarity on staking/ETFs, RWA milestones), but the network activity and whale behavior support a solid recovery.
Bar projections like this one visualize the moderate-to-bullish path minimums in the low $4K range, averages climbing steadily, maxes teasing higher if adoption accelerates.
Bear Case – Sub-$3,000 or Flat
If macro stays ugly, competition eats more share, or we get another nasty deleveraging event, we could test $1,760–$1,000 in the worst scenarios. I don't love this outcome Ethereum's moat (DeFi TVL, developer mindshare, institutional preference) feels stronger than everbut crypto loves to humble us.
My Take: This Dip Feels Like Opportunity, Not the End.
Honestly? Sub-$2,000 ETH in 2026 looks like a generational entry to me. Whales are stacking, fundamentals are improving quietly, and the narrative around "productive crypto" + real adoption is gaining steam. Volatility will be wild expect more pain before gain but if you're in for the long haul, these levels could age like fine wine. Always do your own research, never invest more than you can afford to lose, and maybe keep some dry powder for if we wick lower. But personally? I'm optimistic. 2026 could be Ethereum's year to shine again.What do you thinkloading up or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts below!
This daily chart screams "capitulation" — ETH sliding hard toward $2,000 support with red candles everywhere. Classic bearish pressure, but supports like this have held before.The short-term vibe is rough: liquidations, macro headwinds, some ETF outflows, and yes, a lot of holders underwater. But zoom out, and something quietly bullish is happening full-scale accumulation by long-term holders and whales. On-chain data shows accumulating addresses loading up aggressively while price bleeds. That's not panic selling; that's conviction buying at "discount" levels. I've seen this pattern before the 2021 run smart money doesn't chase highs; they stack during fear .
Look at this accumulation address realized price chart—price dipping below the average cost basis for these patient holders, yet inflows continue. This is textbook "smart money loading the truck" behavior.
Now, the big question: Where does ETH go by the end of 2026?Bull Case – $7,000–$9,000+ (My Personal Favorite Scenario)
Institutions like Standard Chartered are still calling 2026 "the year of Ethereum." They recently pegged $7,500 as a realistic end-of-year target (down from wilder earlier calls, but still massive upside from here roughly 280–300%). Why? Scaling upgrades (post-Pectra effects kicking in), real-world assets exploding on-chain, stablecoin dominance on Ethereum rails, and ETH finally acting like productive money with staking yields. Tom Lee from Fundstrat has thrown out $7K–$9K early 2026 vibes too. If ETF inflows flip positive again, macro softens, and we get that ETH/BTC ratio rebound... yeah, I can absolutely see us ripping past $7,500. I'm leaning bullish here Ethereum's fundamentals are too strong to stay suppressed forever.
This long-term monthly chart from InvestingHaven shows the historical pattern clearly pointing to a "target area" well above current levels $5,000+ feels conservative in a full bull leg.
Base/Realistic Case – $4,000–$6,000.
Most balanced forecasts land here. Changelly around ~$4,700 average, some others pushing $5,500–$6,800 if momentum returns. This feels right to me enough upside to reward patience (100–200% from $2K), but not ignoring risks like L2 fee dilution or prolonged sideways chop. Ethereum needs catalysts (regulatory clarity on staking/ETFs, RWA milestones), but the network activity and whale behavior support a solid recovery.
Bar projections like this one visualize the moderate-to-bullish path minimums in the low $4K range, averages climbing steadily, maxes teasing higher if adoption accelerates.
Bear Case – Sub-$3,000 or Flat
If macro stays ugly, competition eats more share, or we get another nasty deleveraging event, we could test $1,760–$1,000 in the worst scenarios. I don't love this outcome Ethereum's moat (DeFi TVL, developer mindshare, institutional preference) feels stronger than everbut crypto loves to humble us.
My Take: This Dip Feels Like Opportunity, Not the End.
Honestly? Sub-$2,000 ETH in 2026 looks like a generational entry to me. Whales are stacking, fundamentals are improving quietly, and the narrative around "productive crypto" + real adoption is gaining steam. Volatility will be wild expect more pain before gain but if you're in for the long haul, these levels could age like fine wine. Always do your own research, never invest more than you can afford to lose, and maybe keep some dry powder for if we wick lower. But personally? I'm optimistic. 2026 could be Ethereum's year to shine again.What do you thinkloading up or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts below!
Binance Wallet U Carnival Event has started
It is recommended that beginners directly take the low-cost option which offers good value
⏰ Round 1: February 12, 8:00 AM - February 19, 8:00 AM
1⃣ Event A (Low-cost): Directly exchange 100 USD in the wallet, and all owners of $U will share a prize pool of 100,000 U
Three options to qualify:
🔥 Hold 100 U tokens in Binance Wallet
🔥 Purchase at least 100 U to U Lista or Venus Pool
🔥 Borrow at least 100 U from Binance Wallet Web3 Loan Venus
2⃣ Event B: Deposit at least 100 U in Venus U activity pool to share 350,000 U (currently around 44% annualized)
3⃣ Event C: Deposit at least 100 U in Lista U activity pool to share 350,000 U (annualized 38%)
The earlier you deposit, the higher the APY.
It is recommended that beginners directly take the low-cost option which offers good value
⏰ Round 1: February 12, 8:00 AM - February 19, 8:00 AM
1⃣ Event A (Low-cost): Directly exchange 100 USD in the wallet, and all owners of $U will share a prize pool of 100,000 U
Three options to qualify:
🔥 Hold 100 U tokens in Binance Wallet
🔥 Purchase at least 100 U to U Lista or Venus Pool
🔥 Borrow at least 100 U from Binance Wallet Web3 Loan Venus
2⃣ Event B: Deposit at least 100 U in Venus U activity pool to share 350,000 U (currently around 44% annualized)
3⃣ Event C: Deposit at least 100 U in Lista U activity pool to share 350,000 U (annualized 38%)
The earlier you deposit, the higher the APY.
Many people find it hard to understand the difference between this time's cryptocurrency ban released by the Rabbit Nation and previous ones, thinking it is just a habitual operation that happens every few years. That couldn’t be more wrong! The root of everything goes back to the cryptocurrency circle since Trump was elected. If five years ago the key figure in the further popularization of digital currency was Musk, then in the past two years the key figure is undoubtedly Trump. But let’s not forget, the former is just a wealthy businessman, while the latter is the president, the top political leader of the United States. In other words, the cryptocurrency circle has become highly politicized while riding on his coattails. If previously it was only related to money, it is no longer that simple; it has upgraded to being related to ideology and national competition. As a result, the walls will only grow taller and denser, and the new sprouts from the eastern powers will not be able to continuously emerge (no one doubts their execution capabilities in this regard, right?), and if OTC is cut off, what other channels are left? Moreover, the state of relations between the United States and other countries will also affect the development of the cryptocurrency circle in those nations. And no one would think that Trump’s goodwill towards the cryptocurrency circle means he is truly a benefactor, right? His motives are almost written on his face, which will only make the governments of those countries suffering from geopolitical conflicts and tariff disputes increasingly wary of digital currencies. The recent attempts by Europe to promote digital currencies are for this reason.
The benefits that Bitcoin received from Trump have already been completely reversed; capital is more honest than politics, and this is the best proof.
The benefits that Bitcoin received from Trump have already been completely reversed; capital is more honest than politics, and this is the best proof.
Manila night market, a mother who supports three children by selling grilled skewers.
She showed me her phone—the $500 her son wired from Dubai, after passing through three banks, only $440 arrived. $60, just like that, disappeared. She smiled and said it was fine, she's used to it.
I didn’t smile. This isn’t a service charge; this is a toll fee.
Plasma made me realize one thing: SWIFT isn’t outdated technology; it’s deliberately complicated. Complexity allows for countless invisible transfer stations, each one taking a cut. Plasma’s route is a straight line—no transfer stations, no correspondent banks, no anxiety waiting three to five business days.
Data doesn’t lie: the global remittance market extracts hundreds of billions of dollars in fees each year, most of it from the poorest people. The World Bank calculated that the average remittance cost in Sub-Saharan Africa is close to 8%. What does 8% mean? It means they have to work an extra half month just to bridge this financial gap.
But the problem has never been the lack of better routes. The problem is that the old route has supported too many people.
Plasma didn’t plan to negotiate with the giants; it directly paved a new road. 0 Gas, sub-second, address to address. No bank account needed, no passport required, not even literacy. With a mobile phone, you can receive the money sent from across the ocean.
You see, the most attractive aspect of technology has never been showmanship.
It’s that mother in Manila, who next time she receives a remittance, won’t have to look at the notification that is $60 short and squeeze out the words “it’s fine.”
@Plasma #plasma $XPL
She showed me her phone—the $500 her son wired from Dubai, after passing through three banks, only $440 arrived. $60, just like that, disappeared. She smiled and said it was fine, she's used to it.
I didn’t smile. This isn’t a service charge; this is a toll fee.
Plasma made me realize one thing: SWIFT isn’t outdated technology; it’s deliberately complicated. Complexity allows for countless invisible transfer stations, each one taking a cut. Plasma’s route is a straight line—no transfer stations, no correspondent banks, no anxiety waiting three to five business days.
Data doesn’t lie: the global remittance market extracts hundreds of billions of dollars in fees each year, most of it from the poorest people. The World Bank calculated that the average remittance cost in Sub-Saharan Africa is close to 8%. What does 8% mean? It means they have to work an extra half month just to bridge this financial gap.
But the problem has never been the lack of better routes. The problem is that the old route has supported too many people.
Plasma didn’t plan to negotiate with the giants; it directly paved a new road. 0 Gas, sub-second, address to address. No bank account needed, no passport required, not even literacy. With a mobile phone, you can receive the money sent from across the ocean.
You see, the most attractive aspect of technology has never been showmanship.
It’s that mother in Manila, who next time she receives a remittance, won’t have to look at the notification that is $60 short and squeeze out the words “it’s fine.”
@Plasma #plasma $XPL
$BTC NEGATIVE FUNDING FLASHING: Is the Short Squeeze Setup Brewing? 🚨
Funding just printed around -0.006 — meaning shorts are actively paying longs while Bitcoin hovers near $68K. That’s not neutral positioning. That’s conviction.
When funding stays negative for days, it signals traders are leaning heavily bearish in perpetual futures. They’re paying a premium to bet on downside. And historically? Crowded trades don’t unwind gently.
We already flushed toward $60K and bounced, yet funding remained negative. That tells you derivatives desks still aren’t buying the rebound. But here’s the twist — extended negative funding during sideways consolidation has often appeared during bottoming phases, not breakdown accelerations.
Macro isn’t collapsing. Liquidity hasn’t evaporated. Price is well off highs. Positioning is defensive.
That’s the kind of setup where upside moves inflict maximum pain.
Does it mean instant reversal? No. Bases take time. But when shorts are paying and price stops cascading lower — you watch closely.
Liquidity shifts → crowded trades unwind → BTC reprices fast.
Patience > panic.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Derivatives #wendy
Funding just printed around -0.006 — meaning shorts are actively paying longs while Bitcoin hovers near $68K. That’s not neutral positioning. That’s conviction.
When funding stays negative for days, it signals traders are leaning heavily bearish in perpetual futures. They’re paying a premium to bet on downside. And historically? Crowded trades don’t unwind gently.
We already flushed toward $60K and bounced, yet funding remained negative. That tells you derivatives desks still aren’t buying the rebound. But here’s the twist — extended negative funding during sideways consolidation has often appeared during bottoming phases, not breakdown accelerations.
Macro isn’t collapsing. Liquidity hasn’t evaporated. Price is well off highs. Positioning is defensive.
That’s the kind of setup where upside moves inflict maximum pain.
Does it mean instant reversal? No. Bases take time. But when shorts are paying and price stops cascading lower — you watch closely.
Liquidity shifts → crowded trades unwind → BTC reprices fast.
Patience > panic.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Derivatives #wendy
BTCUSDT
Perp
20X
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+810.00%
$ZEC took a long time and finally got out of the predicament. It's already 250, and 250 hasn't quickly opened more short positions.
B
ZECUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+26,058.36USDT
$我踏马来了 This could explode at any time these days. Buckle up.
B
我踏马来了USDT
Perp
Partially Closed
PNL
-7,018.43USDT
Talk about the characteristics at the bottom of $BTC
The bear market bottom does not require excessive speculation, as the trading volume at the bottom will be very low. Most people either give up or completely lose hope and sell out. The candlestick chart forms a flat bottom for about a few weeks or even months, with trading volume being very small, far below any stage during the entire bear market process. Referring to the bottom of the bear market in 2022, Bitcoin dropped to 15,000, and 90% of the market participants dared not buy the dip. That was the real bottom. Currently, many people are still averaging down in BTC, so it is highly likely that we have not yet reached the bottom.
Only those who enter the market at this time, when no one is paying attention, are truly wise and understand how to buy the dip.
Do not overcomplicate Bitcoin, nor should you simplify it too much.
The bear market bottom does not require excessive speculation, as the trading volume at the bottom will be very low. Most people either give up or completely lose hope and sell out. The candlestick chart forms a flat bottom for about a few weeks or even months, with trading volume being very small, far below any stage during the entire bear market process. Referring to the bottom of the bear market in 2022, Bitcoin dropped to 15,000, and 90% of the market participants dared not buy the dip. That was the real bottom. Currently, many people are still averaging down in BTC, so it is highly likely that we have not yet reached the bottom.
Only those who enter the market at this time, when no one is paying attention, are truly wise and understand how to buy the dip.
Do not overcomplicate Bitcoin, nor should you simplify it too much.
The Binance Wallet U's investment has started.
Big players have begun, depositing first for higher interest. This extra yield seems to be given after a month, and currently, there is over 60% annualized return.
$USD1 Is it painful that everyone is selling?
This investment's annualized return indeed doesn't seem as attractive as U's, the first phase activity is 7 days.
Those with funds have already deposited, everyone can take a look, now $U is probably at a premium, right?
@Plasma #Plasma $XPL
Big players have begun, depositing first for higher interest. This extra yield seems to be given after a month, and currently, there is over 60% annualized return.
$USD1 Is it painful that everyone is selling?
This investment's annualized return indeed doesn't seem as attractive as U's, the first phase activity is 7 days.
Those with funds have already deposited, everyone can take a look, now $U is probably at a premium, right?
@Plasma #Plasma $XPL
Ripple CEO on XRP as the ‘North Star,’ CLARITY Act and Trillion-Dollar Crypto Company
XRP Community Day: Ripple CEO on XRP as the ‘North Star,’ CLARITY Act and Trillion-Dollar Crypto Company
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse used XRP Community Day to position XRP as the central focus of Ripple’s business strategy. Speaking in X spaces, he said XRP and RLUSD remain at the “heartbeat” of Ripple’s work across payments, lending, and custody on the XRPL. His remarks also touched on the CLARITY Act timeline.
Garlinghouse Praises XRP and RLUSD XRP Community Day
Live on X Spaces, Garlinghouse told the XRP community that XRP is the “North Star” for Ripple and drives its broader direction. He said Ripple Payments, Ripple Prime, and Ripple Treasury aim to expand XRP utility, trust, and liquidity.
He explained that Ripple Payments is tied to XRPL activity, including decentralized exchange use cases with permissioned domains. Meanwhile, he said Ripple Prime supports XRP use for collateral and lending, while Ripple Treasury enables payments involving XRP and RLUSD within treasury management systems.
Garlinghouse added that Ripple sees itself as a financial infrastructure platform, not a crypto-first firm. He also said Ripple wants to be “the most regulated and compliant” company in the sector while continuing to push institutional adoption.
He also referenced Ripple’s partnership with Aviva Investors, which he described as one of the world’s largest asset management firms. Garlinghouse said Aviva Investors is tokenizing on the XRP Ledger, and he tied the move to Ripple’s focus on institutional adoption.
Ripple’s $50B Valuation Adds Context to Trillion-Dollar View
Garlinghouse’s XRP Community Day comments came as a separate report placed Ripple among the world’s top IPO candidates. According to CBInsights datacited in the report, Ripple Labs is valued at over $50 billion, ranking ninth globally among potential IPO firms.
The report also noted Ripple’s valuation reflects enterprise value, not XRP’s market capitalization. It compared Ripple’s position to companies such as SpaceX, OpenAI, Stripe, and ByteDance, while stating that Ripple trails SHEIN.
As speculation about a public listing continues, Ripple President Monica Long has addressed IPO discussions. However, the report said Ripple remains solvent and has no near-term listing plan, with the company focusing more on acquisitions. Garlinghouse said he expects a trillion-dollar crypto company to emerge and added there could be more than one.
Garlinghouse Predicts CLARITY Act Progress as Talks Continue
Ripple CEO also addressed the CLARITY Act during his XRP Community Day remarks, saying he expects the bill to regain momentum soon. He said there is a “75%” chance that by the end of April, it will be “very close to getting signed.”
His remarks followed comments from Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty, who said discussions at the White House were productive. Alderoty wrote on X that a compromise appears likely, while bipartisan support remains behind crypto market structure legislation.
White House advisor Patrick Witt also commented after the meeting, thanking participants from both the crypto and banking industries. Witt added, “We are going to get this done.”$XRP
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse used XRP Community Day to position XRP as the central focus of Ripple’s business strategy. Speaking in X spaces, he said XRP and RLUSD remain at the “heartbeat” of Ripple’s work across payments, lending, and custody on the XRPL. His remarks also touched on the CLARITY Act timeline.
Garlinghouse Praises XRP and RLUSD XRP Community Day
Live on X Spaces, Garlinghouse told the XRP community that XRP is the “North Star” for Ripple and drives its broader direction. He said Ripple Payments, Ripple Prime, and Ripple Treasury aim to expand XRP utility, trust, and liquidity.
He explained that Ripple Payments is tied to XRPL activity, including decentralized exchange use cases with permissioned domains. Meanwhile, he said Ripple Prime supports XRP use for collateral and lending, while Ripple Treasury enables payments involving XRP and RLUSD within treasury management systems.
Garlinghouse added that Ripple sees itself as a financial infrastructure platform, not a crypto-first firm. He also said Ripple wants to be “the most regulated and compliant” company in the sector while continuing to push institutional adoption.
He also referenced Ripple’s partnership with Aviva Investors, which he described as one of the world’s largest asset management firms. Garlinghouse said Aviva Investors is tokenizing on the XRP Ledger, and he tied the move to Ripple’s focus on institutional adoption.
Ripple’s $50B Valuation Adds Context to Trillion-Dollar View
Garlinghouse’s XRP Community Day comments came as a separate report placed Ripple among the world’s top IPO candidates. According to CBInsights datacited in the report, Ripple Labs is valued at over $50 billion, ranking ninth globally among potential IPO firms.
The report also noted Ripple’s valuation reflects enterprise value, not XRP’s market capitalization. It compared Ripple’s position to companies such as SpaceX, OpenAI, Stripe, and ByteDance, while stating that Ripple trails SHEIN.
As speculation about a public listing continues, Ripple President Monica Long has addressed IPO discussions. However, the report said Ripple remains solvent and has no near-term listing plan, with the company focusing more on acquisitions. Garlinghouse said he expects a trillion-dollar crypto company to emerge and added there could be more than one.
Garlinghouse Predicts CLARITY Act Progress as Talks Continue
Ripple CEO also addressed the CLARITY Act during his XRP Community Day remarks, saying he expects the bill to regain momentum soon. He said there is a “75%” chance that by the end of April, it will be “very close to getting signed.”
His remarks followed comments from Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty, who said discussions at the White House were productive. Alderoty wrote on X that a compromise appears likely, while bipartisan support remains behind crypto market structure legislation.
White House advisor Patrick Witt also commented after the meeting, thanking participants from both the crypto and banking industries. Witt added, “We are going to get this done.”$XRP
“Okay… One More Time.” -- $ETH Longs, Probably😡. You can almost hear the sigh before the click.
#ETH hasn’t exactly been kind lately, and for a lot of longs it’s felt like déjà vu on repeat. This trader knows it too. About 10 hours ago, he went long on ETH and got burned $531K gone.
He didn’t stop...now Four hours ago, he leaned back in. Same asset, bigger conviction. He opened a 25x long on 9,365.68 ETH, with an average entry around $1,967. Liquidation sitting down at $1,735, close enough to feel uncomfortable but not close enough to panic… yet.
Right now, it’s wobbling. A floating loss of about $20.8K, basically noise compared to what he already ate earlier.
here is the address, if you’re watching this trader:
0xC6F509EE79fAeeB8B746A35893f062ec8c7486eE
#ETH hasn’t exactly been kind lately, and for a lot of longs it’s felt like déjà vu on repeat. This trader knows it too. About 10 hours ago, he went long on ETH and got burned $531K gone.
He didn’t stop...now Four hours ago, he leaned back in. Same asset, bigger conviction. He opened a 25x long on 9,365.68 ETH, with an average entry around $1,967. Liquidation sitting down at $1,735, close enough to feel uncomfortable but not close enough to panic… yet.
Right now, it’s wobbling. A floating loss of about $20.8K, basically noise compared to what he already ate earlier.
here is the address, if you’re watching this trader:
0xC6F509EE79fAeeB8B746A35893f062ec8c7486eE
This coin $FIL , I have been keeping an eye on it recently.
Today when I saw it drop by 4%, I knew these people would start to panic again. I
looked at the data, and the RSI for FIL has already crossed 60, and the MACD has turned positive. These technical indicators are actually telling us one thing, the short-term rebound has already started.
Grayscale is still holding FIL, what does this indicate? Institutions are still optimistic about its AI narrative. The fundamentals of decentralized storage have not deteriorated.
Short-term trading strategy
If the price breaks through the key resistance level of 0.90, go long, with the target set at 0.92.
If the price falls below the recent support level of 0.86, go short, aiming for a downward target price of 0.80.
Today when I saw it drop by 4%, I knew these people would start to panic again. I
looked at the data, and the RSI for FIL has already crossed 60, and the MACD has turned positive. These technical indicators are actually telling us one thing, the short-term rebound has already started.
Grayscale is still holding FIL, what does this indicate? Institutions are still optimistic about its AI narrative. The fundamentals of decentralized storage have not deteriorated.
Short-term trading strategy
If the price breaks through the key resistance level of 0.90, go long, with the target set at 0.92.
If the price falls below the recent support level of 0.86, go short, aiming for a downward target price of 0.80.
🚨💥PUTIN WARNS: AMERICA’S DOLLAR STRATEGY IS KILLING ITSELF 🇷🇺🇺🇸
$ZRO $BERA $PIPPIN
Russian President Putin slammed the U.S., saying that using the dollar as a tool to pressure other countries is America’s biggest strategic mistake. According to him, this aggressive financial weapon is backfiring, slowly destroying confidence in the dollar and weakening its global dominance.
Putin explained that sanctions and economic pressure might hurt other nations, but in the long run, the U.S. is undermining its own economy. He warned that continued overreliance on the dollar as a geopolitical tool could trigger major shifts in global finance, as countries look for alternatives like gold, digital assets, and non-dollar trade.
Analysts say this is a rare and bold warning from Moscow, highlighting rising tensions and the possibility of a new financial order if the U.S. doesn’t rethink its strategy. ⚡💵🌍
$ZRO $BERA $PIPPIN
Russian President Putin slammed the U.S., saying that using the dollar as a tool to pressure other countries is America’s biggest strategic mistake. According to him, this aggressive financial weapon is backfiring, slowly destroying confidence in the dollar and weakening its global dominance.
Putin explained that sanctions and economic pressure might hurt other nations, but in the long run, the U.S. is undermining its own economy. He warned that continued overreliance on the dollar as a geopolitical tool could trigger major shifts in global finance, as countries look for alternatives like gold, digital assets, and non-dollar trade.
Analysts say this is a rare and bold warning from Moscow, highlighting rising tensions and the possibility of a new financial order if the U.S. doesn’t rethink its strategy. ⚡💵🌍
Bitcoin Correction Cycle: When Does the Bottom Form?
If you zoom out and study previous cycles, a clear structure emerges. Each major bear phase has historically lasted roughly a year, often delivering deep drawdowns — early cycles saw declines approaching 80%.
As #Bitcoin $BTC has grown in market cap and maturity, volatility has gradually compressed. The upside is no longer exponential like the early years, and the downside, while still painful, has become relatively less extreme in percentage terms.
But “less extreme” does not mean safe.
A 50–60% correction remains completely normal within Bitcoin’s macro rhythm. If price revisits the $50,000 region, that would represent roughly a 60% drawdown from the cycle high — severe, but historically consistent.
In that type of scenario, the focus shouldn’t be on perfectly catching the bottom. It should be on positioning intelligently. Scaling in gradually across high-probability zones tends to outperform emotional all-in attempts at calling the exact turning point.
Right now, both time and magnitude suggest the correction may not be fully mature. Major cycle bottoms typically require not just price damage, but duration — months of exhaustion, disbelief, and structural reset.
Markets rarely bottom in a single violent move. They bottom when participants grow tired.
Could the bottom form this year? Absolutely.
But the more important question isn’t the exact price level — it’s preparation. When the opportunity finally becomes obvious in hindsight, will you still have capital? Will you still have clarity? Will you still have discipline?
Cycles don’t reward prediction.
They reward patience.
#BTC
As #Bitcoin $BTC has grown in market cap and maturity, volatility has gradually compressed. The upside is no longer exponential like the early years, and the downside, while still painful, has become relatively less extreme in percentage terms.
But “less extreme” does not mean safe.
A 50–60% correction remains completely normal within Bitcoin’s macro rhythm. If price revisits the $50,000 region, that would represent roughly a 60% drawdown from the cycle high — severe, but historically consistent.
In that type of scenario, the focus shouldn’t be on perfectly catching the bottom. It should be on positioning intelligently. Scaling in gradually across high-probability zones tends to outperform emotional all-in attempts at calling the exact turning point.
Right now, both time and magnitude suggest the correction may not be fully mature. Major cycle bottoms typically require not just price damage, but duration — months of exhaustion, disbelief, and structural reset.
Markets rarely bottom in a single violent move. They bottom when participants grow tired.
Could the bottom form this year? Absolutely.
But the more important question isn’t the exact price level — it’s preparation. When the opportunity finally becomes obvious in hindsight, will you still have capital? Will you still have clarity? Will you still have discipline?
Cycles don’t reward prediction.
They reward patience.
#BTC
$APT The project has been issuing tokens for four years, with an increase of 196 million tokens, a circulation of 780 million tokens, and a total supply of 1.196 billion tokens. The project team can no longer uphold the claims they made. Large investors should stop buying; SBF is the largest investor. APT may only recover after FTX's bankruptcy restructuring, and the chances are too slim. My confidence in the project is dwindling...