200u起家日记

#200u起家日记
12.15 Day 45
Funds 300u Initial funds 350u

Longing is like a wind

I broke up today, and the trades were made haphazardly
Although everyone has to say goodbye in the end
I still want to place my hopes on trading
But the results are all wrong answers, thinking about it still levels out
Allow myself to be briefly sad today
Continue to work hard in the future, keep it up!

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
12.14 Day 44
Funds 280u Beginning of the month 350u

Today I was stuck shorting grass. I'll take another look tomorrow.
I checked the market, and the overall market hasn't fluctuated over the weekend, so I'm unclear about the situation.
It's hard to operate every day; I'll go have some light stir-fry.
I'll wait until tomorrow morning at 7 a.m. to see if it drops.

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
12.13 Day 43
Capital 310u This month's capital 350u

Yesterday I shorted AAVE and FART, let's review.

1. It's a pity to short AAVE, I shorted at the highest point of 205.5. The three tops and four-hour top divergence was one day apart. In my trading system, after reviewing this situation a thousand times, it has a 70% win rate, but unfortunately, I didn't hold on and only made 10u. If I had held on, I could have made 100u when it plummeted to 190 at the open.
I earn 10u every day and feel dizzy 😫.
In the past two days, I missed two opportunities to make 100u.
When losing money, I just grab it tightly, it's exhausting.

The reason I didn't hold on is that I traded during the day, and there was no movement for a whole day. However, I thought it would plummet at night. One part of my mind said it would collapse at 10:30 PM, while another part said to quickly close the position since there had been no movement for a day. There was no synergy, and in the end, an hour before the open, I closed the position like a novice.

So I have to trade at night, as during the day if there is no movement for half a day, I start to doubt holding onto it. Sure enough, it plummeted as soon as the market opened 📉.

So I analyze that my win rate is high at night for this reason. During the day, there are fluctuations and even stop losses, plus false signals. I chose the highest point of 205 to short, but it's not the optimal short position.

If I had shorted at 203 at 10:30 PM, it would have plummeted to 190 in an hour. Holding the position would not only have no pressure but also could yield significant profits. If I had been wrong, I could have lost quickly, and I would accept that. Moreover, I am aware that the US stock market opens at 10:30 PM with significant volatility, but because I held the position for a whole day with no movement, I was still afraid and closed it. So I realized this and will take note of it next time. It’s not necessary to choose the highest point to short; selecting a time node where there is rapid decline is better.

2. FART also shorted on the four-hour top divergence, but unfortunately, the decline was not smooth. There is nothing I can do; it couldn't drop, which is not my problem.
If it can't drop, I will first close the position. In the future, if it hits the resistance level, I can continue to short.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
12.12 Day 42
Capital 270u Beginning of month capital 350u

Last night at 11:30 PM, I shorted fart after a double top and made three points. By midnight, I thought for a long time and felt that this place would rise. I wanted to earn a bit more, but after thinking back and forth, I couldn't figure it out and ended up falling asleep.

The next day was a classic situation:
Sleeping without closing the position, all the profits turned into losses.
Earned 20u turned into a loss of 20u.

This morning I went long on fart, and this time I learned my lesson. When it went up, I quickly closed the position to avoid it turning into a loss later.

Now at 4 PM, I'm continuing to short fart. There's a four-hour top divergence double top pressure. I wonder if I can successfully short this time.

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
12.11 Day 41
Funds 280u Principal 350u at the beginning of this month

Yesterday I made a fart, it kept hovering around 0.36, I knew it was going to rise, so I quickly increased my position to 50u, because at three o'clock there were Federal Reserve data, I just kept watching the market until three o'clock, and then saw the downward spike at three, it was going to go up, then I saw I made 80u, very good, waiting for it to continue rising, I want to make 100u! Then because I stayed up late and was a bit sleepy, I was watching and then fell asleep.

Woke up at five-thirty and saw it was done, a crash 📉, waited for it to go up, waited for a long time without any rise, quickly closed it with a loss of 20u, otherwise if I held on longer, I would have lost 100u and my mindset would explode 😧

Every time I say I need to wait for the critical moment, when I see it clearly to earn a bit more, in the end, when the timing comes to the critical moment, it turns into a loss. Indeed, the greater the expectation, the more distorted the operation, when it was crucial to make money, I fell asleep. Earning in my dreams, waking up to find I lost everything.

Today I made an irys, but there was no movement at all, just left it there, not looking at it anymore.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
12.10 Day 40
Funds 310u This Month 350u
Compared to yesterday +40u

Last night I opened a fart, but it didn't go well. At 10:30, I saw the pin bar thinking it was a false breakout upwards, so I started going short, and then it kept rising. Later I added to my position at 0.4; it was still quite regular. When it got close to 0.405, it came down, then went up to 0.365, and then I closed my position in the morning.

In the morning, I went short on AAVE because I saw a four-hour top divergence suppressing it. I shorted at 205, the highest point, and just closed it, making 30u.

Someone privately messaged me asking how to choose coins.
① Choose coins with large market caps and good liquidity. Large market cap coins are harder to manipulate, and good liquidity leads to good volatility. The ups and downs are comfortable and won't always have pin bars.
② Choose familiar coins. Select coins that you are familiar with and can make money from. Look carefully every day to find the underlying patterns and blacklist those that frequently have incorrect pin bars. In any case, do more of the correct trades and less of the wrong ones.
③ Scan the market. If you have a good trading system, you can scan the market yourself to find coins and look for places with a good risk-reward ratio. However, you still need to have some understanding of the coins you are scanning.

Then tonight, let's see how the market opens at 10:30. I'm not quite sure about the situation; there’s also some Federal Reserve data that might cause pin bars in the early morning. It's best not to hold positions overnight.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
12.9 Day 39
Funds 270u Initial funds this month 350u
Increase of +70u compared to yesterday

Yesterday and today I made a few trades.

Yesterday:
① Around 10:30 I kept an eye on the market, saw it rise around 10:30, so I started shorting, and when it didn't drop by 11:30, I closed the position.

② Then I shorted again at the double top 0.4, and closed the position when I woke up in the morning.

③ Later this morning at 10:30, I saw a sharp rise with a k-line, continued to short, and exited at the small double bottom reversal signal.

Today I will observe the opening situation tonight; if it continues to rise, I can still short if it spikes. If it consolidates at the bottom, I will just watch.

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
12.8 Day 38
Funds 200u Initial capital 350u

Yesterday I took a position in pippin, and when I checked this morning it was plummeting, so I quickly closed it. I couldn't understand this trend, and then it started to rise again for reasons I don't know.

This morning I wanted to go long on fart, thinking that if I went long in the morning, it could rise to 0.405 three times. After watching for a while, I felt too scared to do it.

Well, I waited until the afternoon and saw it had risen to 0.405; I was frustrated that I didn't act. I started to short it out of revenge, made a little profit of 1u.

When I checked again at ten-thirty tonight, it was dropping towards 0.365.
If the daily line breaks 0.41, it could go to 0.5 and then see 0.6.
The scenario I envisioned is first going down to 0.365 and then up to 0.5👆

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
12.7 Day 37
Capital 200u fluctuating

Yesterday I shorted a Griffin, stopped out.
Yesterday I also shorted a cookie, stopped out.
Then I noticed all AI tokens are rising, swarms are rising, fart is rising, cookie, Griffin is rising.
So why when I go long on swarms and fart they don't rise, fainted.

So today I started going long, and I will go long when it rises.
Started going long on pippn, currently fluctuating.

Okay, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
12.5 Day 35
Capital 190u Initial 350u this month
Compared to yesterday +20u

Yesterday afternoon I shorted grass and made 10u
Last night at eleven o'clock I saw fart not going down, I thought it would test the double top resistance and went long directly, made 30u
Today in the afternoon I went long on fart, thinking it would test 0.4 again, continued to go long, but it broke down, losing 22u

Alright, goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
Day 4
170u
Holding a short position, it looks like it's about to hit the stop loss.
Nothing much to say today, just a quick update.
Goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
Day 5
Funds 170u (deposited 25u)

Yesterday I made two trades and both hit stop-loss. This week I made five trades and lost on all, winning rate 0.

The funds have decreased too much, originally I wasn't planning to deposit money, but it feels too little, the pressure makes it hard to trade, so I deposited a bit of the nxpc I earned from the chain game yesterday; losing on contracts while making money on chain games, focusing on one being brighter in the east than the west.

I feel like the positions were opened incorrectly or something, all hit stop-loss and then dropped. A griffian hit a stop-loss at 2215 and went to 2245, a fart hit a stop-loss at 0.343 and went to 0.345, I also feel like I'm cracking.

I didn't trade today, felt like it would also be a loss. I'll look again tomorrow. I can only seek situations I'm most familiar with, down, up, then down again, V reversal double top divergence, place the stop-loss on one K-line, then judge the double indicators' resonance based on the opening before and after nine.

Alright, will next week let me win two times? I'm about to faint.

Goodbye👋

#200u起家日记
13.1 Day 31
Capital 385u (Withdrawal 200u) Compared to yesterday -30u

Yesterday afternoon I did swarms to short, it kept rising.
Last night on Sunday I did fart to go long and closed with a spike.

This morning at 7 AM the US stock market opened, because it was closed over the weekend, the opening at 7 AM on Monday would be very strong, so I was optimistic about the direction. I woke up at 6 o'clock and watched for a while, thinking that the spike down at 5 o'clock meant the market should go up, so I went long, but found that I hit a waterfall and stopped loss directly.

My AI November summary
Before and after the US stock market opens (20:00-24:00)
71.4% win rate (10 wins/14 total)
🎯 Golden period, full attack

Morning (08:00-12:00)
33.3% win rate (5 wins/15 total)
⚠️ Average performance, cautious trading

Afternoon
About 29% win rate (4 wins/13 total)
❌ Heavy loss zone, try to avoid

I am now preparing to open in the evening, and then add the Monday morning 7 AM US stock market opening, other times have a pitiful win rate of 30%, the more I open the more it goes to zero.

As for swarms, two weeks ago swarms went long on Sunday morning and stopped loss, yesterday afternoon swarms went short and stopped loss.
All three trades opened in the evening for swarms were profitable.
Like fart, I made a profit last night, but opened in the morning and lost.
Um, like alch, I also made 100u by placing an order at night.

Alright, I will wait to open in the evening today, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
Day Ten
Funds 250u

Weekly Summary:
Tokens opened this week: swarms.b2.0g.jellyjelly.aia.zec.open.fartcoin.vfy.ff.common a total of 12 positions
Overall result: three profitable trades, seven losing trades, two breakeven trades,
Win rate 20%

Personal Summary:
① It's best to open trades in the evening; all positions made profits in the evening.
② Frequent trading is not advisable; if you lose and then trade again, you'll still lose. I opened four trades on 11.4, losing three, and the only winning one was when I was cautious in the evening.
③ I didn't do well with the highly volatile tokens; both aia and jellyjelly went up while I shorted them, and when they went down, I wanted to long. Left-side trading means trying to go against the market, but the risk of shorting is too high and needs further study.
④ I still haven't found the rhythm; when I open trades, I either can't take profits or keep getting stopped out during fluctuations.
⑤ I feel very anxious; when I feel flustered, I shouldn't trade, or I should use a small position and then go for a walk of five thousand steps outside.

Others: Review all positions a few more times to find commonalities.
Adjust your mental state daily to ensure that each trade has logic. Losing a little is okay; just take your time with the review.

#200u起家日记
12.4 Day 34
Funds 170u
Initial capital 300u + recharge 50u yesterday to hold positions,
Net loss this month 180u

Sorry, the king of leeks is back again.
Because I thought about it, I don't want to withdraw this at all, just play for two days and it will go to zero, posting in the square can still last a few more days.
The main focus is on frenzied trading and opening positions 😫
The main focus is on repeated failures and battles, repeated battles and repeated failures...
The name will be changed back in seven days, need to wait seven days.
That is, the daily posts may spread negative energy, unfollow if you don't like it.

Yesterday I saw fart making money in long positions, and losing money by closing short positions early, after a while I saw it drop so much, originally made a lot turned into a loss.
I thought, what the hell, this definitely needs to be picked up a few more times to turn into profit.

Okay, when I looked at night and saw BTC rise so much, very good, I shorted, and then just like Monday it quickly dropped, then kept rising, rising so much I felt anxious. I saw it was going to be liquidated and quickly transferred some NXPC from the chain game to make up for the position, then it kept rising, kept rising.
Then the game came with a message that this time we have completely failed.
Then I directly fainted.

Then don't learn from me or communicate with me, I mainly focus on solo trading and playing by myself. If I make money, I laugh haha 😀, if I cry, I scream wah wah 😫
Cannot communicate at all, beneath the calm exterior is a heart full of wounds.
I just want to remain silent.

It's not that losing money feels bad, first, the principal hasn't lost to zero, second, the principal is all from playing Web3 chain game adventure island n, I've found that playing this every night can sometimes earn 30u, which is better than opening positions.

Mainly, all positions opened are wrong, opening east and west, both long and short are mistakes, the main focus is on giving me a strong sense of frustration. I don't know how to say, I even memorized my own patterns.

Then I started memorizing the mantra, my classic zeroing three-piece set:
① Stop loss stop loss stop loss, can't take it anymore.
② Don't stop loss, quickly go all-in, quickly make it back.
③ Zero out and run away.

I also have a second pattern:
① Stop loss stop loss stop loss, feeling anxious can't act.
② Earn 1u when making money, lose 100u, 1000u when losing.
③ Can't play, run away.

Today is another starless night 💫
Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
11.26 26 days
Funds 480u

Can't do it anymore, I'm running away. Made seven or eight trades with a 0% win rate.
Everything I did was wrong.
I can only say I still made a profit of 280u this month.
Don't know whether to cry or laugh.

It's time to say goodbye again.
Come back next time.
Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
11.5 Day 7
Funds 223u

It still aligns pretty well with my thoughts from yesterday. The operation of swarms is exactly the same; I predicted a double top pattern appearing at 11 o'clock, and my win rate is relatively high during U.S. stock market hours, so I went short directly, with a take profit of 0.143 perfectly reached.

Then the jelly opened directly hit the stop loss, there's nothing that can be done about that. Actually, I understood before opening that the win rate was probably only about twenty to thirty percent, but there was a chance of success. However, to be honest, I wanted to hit the top, and I really couldn't control my hand because deep down I didn't want to take this trade. It was clear that before I opened it, I felt a loss, so isn't that just clearly losing while throwing money away? Slap myself in the face. Alright, I've already done that.

The 0g was not too bad, just as I thought, continuously eating negative fees for 12 hours earned 12u, and the stop loss lost 17u, for a total loss of 5u. If it shows an uptrend, or continues to consolidate, I would be making money, but it didn't; it dropped directly below my 1.1 stop loss, which isn't a big problem. I lost 5u, but my prediction was exactly the same.

However, in reality, when I looked, the money did not increase. Among all the trades I've opened these days, only the two swarm double top shorts were profitable, all during the U.S. stock market opening time at eleven o'clock. Moreover, I opened them with great confidence, knowing there was a high probability (self-estimated over 70%) of making money.

The ones that can actually make money are still those patterns and familiar tokens that I've practiced countless times in my mind. I also found another thing: the win rate for trades opened during the day from 10 AM to 4 PM is extremely low, whereas the win rate is much higher from 8 PM to 11 PM.

So, do more of the right things and less of the wrong things. However, in this state, it's still acceptable; at least I have a clear understanding of the trades I've made, and I can clearly explain why they are right or wrong, and the probabilities involved. This is the 'money-making pattern.' The 'losing pattern' is having a foggy head, not sleeping at night, shouting every day, and not knowing what I've opened, asking everywhere if it can stop rising.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
11.20 Day 20
Funds 570u Earned 100u yesterday

The review of yesterday's trades is as follows:
① I shorted grass at 8 o'clock, and it rose afterward. I knew it would create a double top before the US stock market opened, so I continued to hold. If you traded with me, the first target of 0.33 would have directly reached the take profit.
Earned 20u

② I added a position to aster when I saw it drop yesterday, then closed the position before going to bed, as it had been two days without much movement, so I decided to close.
Earned 40u

③ At around eleven o'clock at night, I exited with a pattern (V-shaped double top divergence + continuous rise after the US stock market opened, opening a short position in the opposite direction). I placed the stop loss at the previous high, achieving a risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2. I executed this type of trade four times this month, and each time it was very profitable; this is a situation I am most familiar with.
Earned 40u

I have to say, my ultimate form is actually at night 😀, with a win rate that is quite high. I have predicted all the movements and take profit/stop loss points, which gives me a lot of confidence and peace of mind; this is a classic double top pattern at the opening of the US stock market that I am very familiar with. I memorized it all.

If you want to follow me in opening trades, feel free to do so. I now try to open trades at night, and you can see when I close positions. It's a bit risky to open trades at night because there tends to be a rebound around three or four in the morning, so I personally prefer to close all positions before going to bed. You can find ways to manage this based on your situation.

In any case, it's important to protect profits and reduce losses; don't let gains turn into losses. You need to be aware that around three or four in the morning, there's a high probability of a reversal, especially with big bearish candles that can easily reverse. The downtrend may last a bit longer; please pay attention to this.

I want to thank “CaiNiao MingZhi” and all the friends who have supported me by following my posts. Many people don’t speak up, but I know they are paying attention and supporting me from behind. I feel that posting every day is very beneficial for my personal trading; I can clearly see how I perform each day, correct mistakes in a timely manner, avoid repeating them, and do more of the right things. Sometimes I want to slack off, but thinking about posting keeps me going; I want to thank everyone for supervising me. This is a bit lengthy, thank you all for reading.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
11.14 Day 14
Funds 480u

Today I made two trades

① One was a short on alch, the reason being a four-hour top divergence, with a time difference of one day, predicting a drop of 30 points. Then I did my classic operation: I ran away after making 1u.

Actually, I don't really understand why, but every time I need to make 2 or 30 points, I can precisely close the position in advance and run away.
Here, I slap myself, alright, I did it.

② The second trade was going long on bnb, but the situation was not right, so I closed it directly to reduce losses, losing 10u and ran away. The good thing about this is that I was able to close the position in advance during the loss, which I have been doing a bit better recently.

Someone asked me to call out trades
My win rate is not very stable,
First week win rate 0
Second week win rate 20
This week is not yet counted.
Keep working hard, be responsible for myself
I feel that having both gains and losses, having rises and falls, is the true situation.

Alright, goodbye 👋

#200u起家日记
11.7 Day 9
Funds 250u

Yesterday I made a short position based on the fart strategy, predicting a double top at 9:30, with a win rate of seventy, I went short directly and made 30u

aia attempted to short but was unsuccessful, earning 10u

vfy set a buy order for a double bottom, earning 10u

open the trend was not right, directly closed the position to cut losses, lost 5u

In the evening, I will wait until around 9:30 to see the situation again and make high win rate trades, but it looks like the market is rebounding, so there should be no short opportunities.

Alright, goodbye👋