Weekly Market Analysis (11.30)
Summary:
1. From Vanke's debt crisis to opportunities in the real estate market
2. The rebound ends before the interest rate cut (12.11), with the bottom appearing after the options expiry (12.19).
3. NVIDIA and MicroStrategy
4. Let's talk about the A-shares
5. Reasons why the daily level rebound is likely not over
6. Market uncertainty and corresponding operational strategies
Operations:
1. $BTC short at 97333, take profit at 80600
2. $ETH short at 3300, take profit at 2620
3. $SOL short at 153.3, take profit at 121
4. Bitcoin long at 80000, add at 78500, take profit at 100300
5. Ethereum long at 2600, add at 2550, take profit at 3400
6. SOL long at 121, add at 118, take profit at 163.3
(If a short position can be established, keep the long position; if a long position is directly established before the short position, cancel the short position)
As everyone knows, I rarely hold a short position. So since I am in a short position, it indicates that the current market is indeed not very good for entry. Theoretically speaking, the weekly downtrend starting from 126000 has not ended, and the current issue is where the daily uptrend starting from 80600 will end.
Considering the reasons mentioned above, I personally still tend to believe that Bitcoin will continue to push above 97000 next week. If that's the case, it would also allow for additional gains from a medium-term short position.
From a structural perspective, it's 80600~98000, 98000~78500. Then it ends the weekly downtrend starting from 126000.
However, if it goes directly down from 93000, that can also make sense. If that's the case, then the weekly downtrend starting from 126000 would equate to 9 daily level structures.
From a structural perspective, it's 80600~93000, 93000~79000, 79000~90000, 90000~77000.
I personally lean more towards the former, as combined with the key nodes of major events, there should only be one 4H level upward and one daily level downward, and there shouldn't be three daily level structures emerging.
