Japan's missiles attempt to lock onto China's coastal areas! Many people think that once war breaks out, the Chinese populace will suffer. Wrong! The truth is that Japan's narrow geographical layout determines that it has no qualification for "mutual destruction" at all; before the Self-Defense Forces' firepower can reach the Chinese interior, Japan's homeland would have already been turned into hell by saturation attacks!

This is by no means alarmist; first, take a look at Japan's deadly geographical conditions. The entire Japanese archipelago resembles a long snake that twists and turns, stretching over 2,000 kilometers from Hokkaido to Kyushu, with the widest point being just over 300 kilometers, and in the narrowest areas it is even only a few dozen kilometers wide. Such terrain lacks even basic strategic depth.

Worse still, 70% of Japan's land is mountainous and hilly, with only a handful of decent plains. Core cities like Tokyo, Osaka, and Nagoya are all crowded into the narrow coastal plains, where population and industrial facilities are highly concentrated.

Take the Tokyo metropolitan area as an example: 36 million people account for one-third of the national population, and its GDP share exceeds 40%. Once it suffers an attack, the entire Japanese economic lifeline would be directly cut off.

Now let's look at Japan's so-called missile capabilities. The “Tomahawk” cruise missiles that have been clamoring to be deployed in recent years have a range of only about 1,600 kilometers. Even if they are deployed to the front lines, they can at most hit coastal cities in eastern China.

But what about China's medium and long-range missiles? The Dongfeng-21D and Dongfeng-26 have long formed a mature combat system, with ranges that easily cover all of Japan, and their precision can reach meter-level, allowing them to strike wherever they want.

Some say Japan has Aegis destroyers and Patriot air defense systems that can intercept missiles. But they forget that air defense systems are always passive defenses, and they cannot withstand saturation attacks at all. China's Rocket Force can launch dozens or even hundreds of missiles in a single barrage, and coupled with the characteristic that hypersonic missiles cannot be effectively intercepted, Japan's air defense capabilities are not even enough to fill gaps.

More critically, Japan's military bases are entirely within the watchful eyes of the Chinese. Key nodes like the Yokosuka Naval Base, Iwakuni Air Force Base, and Sasebo Naval Base have long been precisely marked. Once a conflict breaks out, these bases will suffer devastating strikes in the first instance, and the Self-Defense Forces' aircraft and warships won't even have the chance to take off or set sail.

Last year, Japan's Ministry of Defense initiated a “Southwest Islands Defense Plan,” deploying several anti-ship missiles and radar stations in the Ryukyu Islands, and even boasted about “blockading the Miyako Strait.”

But they didn't calculate that these islands are too close to China; the nearest Yonaguni Island is only 110 kilometers from Taiwan. China's shore-based missiles and aircraft can suppress these targets at any time.

Military experts have conducted simulation exercises, and once Japan dares to use missiles to attack China's coastal areas, China's counterattack will arrive within 10 minutes.

First, Dongfeng missiles will accurately destroy Japan's missile bases and air defense systems, followed by bomber groups and naval vessels launching cruise missiles to strike Japan's industrial cities and transportation hubs, and finally, carrier-based aircraft and amphibious troops will complete the landing and cleanup.

And what about Japan? Before their missiles reach the Chinese coast, their homeland will already be in chaos. The power system will be destroyed, cities plunged into darkness; transportation paralyzed, supplies unable to enter; ports bombed, energy and food import channels completely cut off.

Don't forget that 99% of Japan's oil relies on imports. Once the maritime transport lines are cut off, within a month, the Self-Defense Forces' aircraft and warships will have to be grounded.

Some people cite Japan's resistance during World War II, but this is no longer that era. Modern warfare is about systems and logistics. A country like Japan that relies on others for its lifeline cannot withstand prolonged attrition. Although the U.S. claims to “defend Japan,” when it comes to real action, it will treat Japan as a pawn and will never fully go to war with China for its sake.

Now, let's take a look at China's strategic depth. The distance from the coast to the inland is thousands of kilometers, with industrial facilities and population distributions relatively dispersed. Even if the eastern coast is affected, the inland production capacity can quickly compensate. Moreover, China's grain self-sufficiency rate exceeds 85%, and its energy import channels have also diversified, fully supporting long-term operations.

Last year, Japan's former Minister of Defense Shigeru Ishiba admitted during a parliamentary inquiry that “Japan has no chance of winning in military confrontation with China; geographical conditions and resource limitations determine that we fundamentally have no capability for mutual destruction.” This statement hits the nail on the head, but unfortunately, Japan's right-wing forces refuse to listen, continuing to follow the U.S. in a tough stance towards China.

Last month, Japan held a large-scale military exercise, deploying 100,000 Self-Defense Forces personnel and over 200 aircraft. The result was that as soon as the exercise footage was broadcast, it was mocked online as “like a play.” Tanks lined up on narrow roads, and aircraft flying at low altitudes without air superiority—such tactics are just live targets in modern warfare.

In the end, Japan's various provocative actions are merely putting on a show under U.S. instigation. They know better than anyone that if they really engage in conflict with China, they won't even have a chance to fight back. The so-called “missiles locking onto China's coastal areas” is just a self-deceptive trick; when the critical moment comes, the first to suffer will only be Japan itself.

China has always pursued a defensive national defense policy, but this does not mean we will tolerate others' provocations. If Japan truly persists in its delusions and insists on jumping into the fire pit, what awaits them will only be a disastrous end. After all, in the face of an absolute disparity in strength, any attempt to take shortcuts is futile; Japan's so-called “qualification for mutual destruction” has never existed.