Traders' attention is on HBAR as it defends a critical support level at $0.1274, amidst negative sentiment and overwhelming downward pressure. Despite some local accumulation indicators, technical and structural data present significant challenges to recovery.
📉 Current Situation Analysis (December 7, 2025)
· Price and Sentiment: HBAR is trading at $0.1304, within a narrow range between $0.1274 (support) and $0.147 (resistance). Sentiment is generally negative, as indicators like CMF and trading volume suggest weak confidence and declining liquidity.
· The bigger picture (weekly time frame): The chart is forming a bearish "head and shoulders" pattern, which is a strong reversal pattern. The neckline of this pattern is at $0.160. As long as the price remains below this level, the pattern remains valid and suggests a bearish target heading towards $0.113.
🎯 Main trading scenarios to watch
1. The bearish scenario (currently most likely):
· Operator: A consistent daily close below $0.1274.
· Confirmation: Increased trading volume during the breakout.
· Targets: $0.113, then $0.100.
· Management: Any immediate recovery attempt after the breakdown may face resistance at $0.1274 (previous support turned resistance).
2. Recovery/sideways scenario:
· The basic condition: The price must hold above $0.1274 as support.
· Recovery steps: First needs to break $0.147 - $0.148, then overcome the psychological barrier at $0.160 (the neckline of the bearish pattern).
· Implication: Reaching above $0.160 may invalidate the head and shoulders pattern and change sentiment in the medium term.
⚠️ Warnings and risk management
· Low liquidity: Decreased trading volumes increase the risks of sharp volatility and "stop hunts" around key levels.
· Market timing: Waiting for confirmation of the breakout (break with high trading volume and closing a candle away from the level) is safer than trading based on expectations.
· Critical levels:
· Bearish keys: $0.1274 ➜ $0.113.
· Recovery keys: $0.147 ➜ $0.160.
Summary: HBAR is taking a defensive position at a critical support level. While the market awaits the next catalyst, breaking $0.1274 will prioritize the long-term bearish scenario. Any real recovery must start by holding above this support and then breaking multiple resistance levels. Caution and waiting for confirmation remain the optimal approach in this environment.
